The story of that match will be depending on Verdasco.
1-If Verdasco(the fiasco) goes there with the mentality of being glad of beating Djokovic and getting to his first final he will lose.That is what i think his mentality is,for him it's already a great run to get to the final in Monte Carlo.
2-If Verdasco pull his sh.. together go for his shots pressure Nadal's second serve ,and believe he can beat Nadal he can beat him,since his forehand and his serve are better than Rafa's.
I think Verdasco will lose another one.