Was Federer at a age/form disadvantage in his H2H vs Djokovic overall?

Was Federer at disadvantage in his H2H vs Djokovic?


  • Total voters
    137
I think most fair would be a time when both were older than 21 and not older than 31. Fed was slightly past his prime at 31 but all 3 have won slams past age 31 so it is fair enough. Also fed won his first slam about at age 21 so that is a fair starting point too.

That time would be about 09 to 12.

During that time novak leads 11 to 9.

That is not completely fair either but fair enough, fed was clearly better 09 and 10 and novak clearly better 11 and 12.

Of course it is not fair that novak had his best year 11 while fed had his best years before that entire period but still it is the best we have especially since both won 4 slams in that time.

Obviously anything before 08 or after 2013 would be pretty unfair so 09 to 12 is most fair.
 
Last edited:
Yes, because he's kept being good for so long that he keeps getting to the latter stages of tournaments. It's the curse of being good at your job for too long. Like, a tennis player once they approach 30 is generally, historically nearing the end, they're certainly past their best.

I mean you could even backtrack that to include late 20s (Nadal was 28 when he fell into his slump, Djokovic was 29) but let's be generous and say 30 is the cut off point for anyone being considered anywhere close to their best.

He's been around for almost 10 years now in that post-30 zone. You can counter that with the comically vapid retort that Djokovic is now also in his 30s, but then of course the simple response is that ever since Djokovic moved into his 30s in this rivalry Federer has been 37+, and how many slams in the Open era have been won by dudes 37+?

1 out of 211.

The average age of slam winners in the Open era is 24-26, Djokovic turned 24 in May 2011, so you could say if you wanted (and I think it'd be pretty generous to do so) that prior to that point Federer had the advantage (Even though Novak at 23 would still be closer to the 24-26 age range than Federer was since, what, late 2008?) but let's again be generous and say Federer has the advantage in the head to head prior to May 2011. Their head to head at that point was 13-9 to Federer. Post Federer's 30th it is 18-9 to Djokovic. They've played 5 more times in that window (Interestingly enough if you discount the 5 meetings they've had since Novak hit 30, it's 14-8 to Djokovic, almost identical to the early rivalry's 13-9) so of course he has an advantage.

Of course the funny thing is the one time they met after Djokovic hit peak slam winning age and before Federer hit 30... How'd that go? And thus we come at last to the whole reason for this rambling mess of a post. A chance to post this GIF:

6Xn.gif
 
Yes, because he's kept being good for so long that he keeps getting to the latter stages of tournaments. It's the curse of being good at your job for too long. Like, a tennis player once they approach 30 is generally, historically nearing the end, they're certainly past their best.

I mean you could even backtrack that to include late 20s (Nadal was 28 when he fell into his slump, Djokovic was 29) but let's be generous and say 30 is the cut off point for anyone being considered anywhere close to their best.

He's been around for almost 10 years now in that post-30 zone. You can counter that with the comically vapid retort that Djokovic is now also in his 30s, but then of course the simple response is that ever since Djokovic moved into his 30s in this rivalry Federer has been 37+, and how many slams in the Open era have been won by dudes 37+?

1 out of 211.

The average age of slam winners in the Open era is 24-26, Djokovic turned 24 in May 2011, so you could say if you wanted (and I think it'd be pretty generous to do so) that prior to that point Federer had the advantage (Even though Novak at 23 would still be closer to the 24-26 age range than Federer was since, what, late 2008?) but let's again be generous and say Federer has the advantage in the head to head prior to May 2011. Their head to head at that point was 13-9 to Federer. Post Federer's 30th it is 18-9 to Djokovic. They've played 5 more times in that window (Interestingly enough if you discount the 5 meetings they've had since Novak hit 30, it's 14-8 to Djokovic, almost identical to the early rivalry's 13-9) so of course he has an advantage.

Of course the funny thing is the one time they met after Djokovic hit peak slam winning age and before Federer hit 30... How'd that go? And thus we come at last to the whole reason for this rambling mess of a post. A chance to post this GIF:

6Xn.gif
/thread

again.
 
Djokovic has an advantage of being the better player.
Yes.

He proved it at Wimbledon 2019.

Somehow he was able to escape those 2 MPs.

I’ll never figure out how he was able to do that. That epic day, he beat Peak Federer at his best slam, getting revenge for when pre-peak Fed beat Novak at RG in 2011 (during the worst year of Novak’s storied career).

“40-15” Lady Forever!!!
 
The equivalent of Djokovic playing Federer in the last few years would be a 21 year old Federer playing a 15 year old Djokovic. The H2H has been affected hugely by Federer's age disadvantage.
 
Yes, except for 2012 and 2015, his form was excellent both those years. But the same is true for Djokovic pre 2011. His serve was a complete mess after he switched racquets back in what....2009? Their best doesn't really match up.
 
In the same way Federer was able to break him just the game prior. I take it you didn't watch the match to not know that?

smiley_emoticons_santagrin.gif
I was being sarcastic. (See my “peak” assessments).

I don’t think Djokovic is better than Federer.

I was - probably badly - trying to make the point that it is expected that a near 38 year old ATG should have a tough time beating a 32 year old ATG.

And no - I did not watch the match.

Are you kidding?

It was sad enough to read about.

Still amazed at how good he is for how old he is.

Straight set routined Novak the next match they had.

Quite the GOAT - to me anyway.
 
I was being sarcastic. (See my “peak” assessments).

I don’t think Djokovic is better than Federer.

I was - probably badly - trying to make the point that it is expected that a near 38 year old ATG should have a touch time beating a 32 year old ATG.

And no - I did not watch the match.

Are you kidding?

It was sad enough to read about.

Still amazed at how good he is for how old he is.

Straight set routined Novak the next match they had.

Quite the GOAT - to me anyway.

It is quite a legitimate question to ask ... if you haven't watched the match, so I suggested that you didn't.

The two consecutive games were a carbon copy of each other, with the roles of the players reversed.

smiley_emoticons_santagrin.gif
 
It is quite a legitimate question to ask ... if you haven't watched the match, so I suggested that you didn't.

The two consecutive games were a carbon copy of each other, with the roles of the players reversed.

smiley_emoticons_santagrin.gif
Of course it’s legit.

Sorry - that was snarky.

I just - man ... I hate that story!!

So I can’t bring myself to.

I have watched some highlights before the 5th set.

I was really impressed with a lot of what I saw from Fed TBH.

I “felt” like he deserved to win.

But of course he did not do what he had to in the key moments.

But still love the Fed.
 
A
I was being sarcastic. (See my “peak” assessments).

I don’t think Djokovic is better than Federer.

I was - probably badly - trying to make the point that it is expected that a near 38 year old ATG should have a tough time beating a 32 year old ATG.

And no - I did not watch the match.

Are you kidding?

It was sad enough to read about.

Still amazed at how good he is for how old he is.

Straight set routined Novak the next match they had.

Quite the GOAT - to me anyway.
Fed thrashed Murray with his highest serving level ever in one of his best matches at Wimbledon. W 2015 SF, right before the final where Djokovic SPANKED him.

Age shmage. It matters but you are overrating it.
 
A lot I'd say, most of their matches took place after the swiss legend's prime ended.
However, the post-2010 h2h could still be very equal if Roger did not keep on underperforming on important points, so I think he himself is responsible for having a losing h2h against nole.
 
Of course it’s legit.

Sorry - that was snarky.

I just - man ... I hate that story!!

So I can’t bring myself to.

I have watched some highlights before the 5th set.

I was really impressed with a lot of what I saw from Fed TBH.

I “felt” like he deserved to win.

But of course he did not do what he had to in the key moments.

But still love the Fed.

Unless by the bolded you mean "to win" in general, I have to disagree here: again, from watching the match already more than 5 times start to finish, I can tell you that Federer played as good as his state allowed him. The game in question was no different: he knifed two aces, and had a couple of other successful plays. He missed the first MP by a cat's whisker by moving to hit what was basically I/O FH. In fact, he got into position, but overcooked it: it happens when your mind thinks that you are late for the shot and need to put a bit more steam on it to compensate . The second MP was the right tactic: Djokovic played (intentionally or not) an attackable ball: Federer didn't do stellar job with the approach shot and that allowed Djokovic to pass him, but the tactical decision was sound, and even then it was a very difficult shot for Djokovic to execute, as it required a pinpoint precision (which obviously Djokovic delivered on that occasion). All in all, Federer played to his strengths, and that is what matters. He lost, but he lost playing like he should.

smiley_emoticons_santagrin.gif
 
A

Fed thrashed Murray with his highest serving level ever in one of his best matches at Wimbledon. W 2015 SF, right before the final where Djokovic SPANKED him.

Age shmage. It matters but you are overrating it.
When you are trolling, at least make sure that you make the difference between a serve centric performance and a performance illustrated by the overall ground game and skills.
 
There's no question that Roger Federer isn't the same player that he was 10-15 years ago.

His age difference with Djokovic was initially an advantage as he was able to win the majority of his early career matches against him.

From about 2011-15 he was able to remain somewhat competitive. Winning some of the matches but struggling to break even with Novak.

Since 2016 it's been a losing proposition for Roger.
 
Unless by the bolded you mean "to win" in general, I have to disagree here: again, from watching the match already more than 5 times start to finish, I can tell you that Federer played as good as his state allowed him. The game in question was no different: he knifed two aces, and had a couple of other successful plays. He missed the first MP by a cat's whisker by moving to hit what was basically I/O FH. In fact, he got into position, but overcooked it: it happens when your mind thinks that you are late for the shot and need to put a bit more steam on it to compensate . The second MP was the right tactic: Djokovic played (intentionally or not) an attackable ball: Federer didn't do stellar job with the approach shot and that allowed Djokovic to pass him, but the tactical decision was sound, and even then it was a very difficult shot for Djokovic to execute, as it required a pinpoint precision (which obviously Djokovic delivered on that occasion). All in all, Federer played to his strengths, and that is what matters. He lost, but he lost playing like he should.

smiley_emoticons_santagrin.gif
Yeah - I meant ”to win”.

And it’s good to hear about the match that way.

I think - I hope - people will have perspective w time and realize what a monster he is for being that position to begin w at near 38.

Fed has played so well For so long he appears to be Djokdals generation.

But they are only his main rivals because of the anomaly of his unprecedented run into his late years.
 
THIS
/thread
Sorry buckaroo, doesn't work that way. If you're gonna call this gen weak because they prefer social media over hard work then you gotta point out the party boy Safins and restaurant connoisseurs Baghdatis and Nalbandians of 03-07. Agassi was the hardest worker in that period and the guy was on one leg with the other in a retirement home, ROFLMAO!
 
For me personally, I think it was around the end of 2010 and the start of 2011 when Djokovic began to have a greater age advantage. T
Advancements in nutrition and sports science made it possible in the last decades for players to expand their competitive prime/peak level into their early 30s. Roger Federer had no age disadvantage at all in 2010/2011 against Djokovic. Federer was aged merely 29 and 30 in the USO 2010 and USO 2011 SF, as well as the AO 2011 SF and RG 2011 SF.

Stephen Curry just made his HIGHEST scoring match ever last night. Curry scored 62 points. Curry is 32 years old, that is to say, 3 years older than Federer was in those matches against Djokovic. Both Cristiano and Messi won the Ballon d'Or (the award of best football player in the world) when they were aged 33. Michael Jordan averaged over 30 points per game during the 1995-1996 season when he was 33 years old.

32-33 years old Nadal stopped Thiem from being an all-time great by stopping him in multiple RG finals as well as the USO 2018 QF. 32 years old Djokovic also stopped Thiem at the AO 2020 final. Without Nadovic, Thiem would likely be an ATG after winning 6 Slams already (RG 2017, RG 2018, USO 2018, RG 2019, AO 2020, USO 2020).

The ability to stop the Next Gen is a crucial factor in a GOAT candidate in any sport. Kasparov stopped the Next Gen Anand in his late 30s, Cristiano and Messi stopped the Next Gen by winning the Ballon d'Or into their 30s, MIchael Jordan stopped the Next Gen being the MVP of the season and winning NBA championships into his 30s, Nadal and Djokovic stopped the Next Gen (Thiem and Medvedev) into their 30s. Federer failed to stop the Next Gen (Nadal and Djokovic) and thus he failed to retain his GOAT status.

 
Last edited:
2010 was a very important year - because it was the end of the Weak Era. Federer had no age disadvantage, he was just finally being outplayed by competitors who stepped up to the non-dinner plate.
 
My favorite rivalry. I don't think age plays that big of a role. Having watched his whole career, I think some of Fed's best tennis came between 2014-2019. Federer was playing great during a lot of these matches. My 2 cents is that in this particular matchup, Djokovic is a better player. *ducks*
 
32-33 years old Nadal stopped Thiem from being an all-time great by stopping him in multiple RG finals as well as the USO 2018 QF. 32 years old Djokovic also stopped Thiem at the AO 2020 final. Without Nadovic, Thiem would likely be an ATG after winning 6 Slams already (RG 2017, RG 2018, USO 2018, RG 2019, AO 2020, USO 2020).
Didn't even bother reading the rest of your post when I saw this portion.
 
Both Cristiano and Messi won the Ballon d'Or (the award of best football player in the world) when they were aged 33.

everyone who watches soccer a bit closer knows that Ballon d'Or is 99% PR contest
so shall one be surprised that Cristiano and Messi win it year after year?
or shall one be surprised that Javi, Iniesta and Sneijder didn't win it when they obviously deserved it?

sorry, but the Ballon d'Or is as weak as an argument as Lewiscean statistics in proving that Novak shall be rated above Federer and Nadal.
 
everyone who watches soccer a bit closer knows that Ballon d'Or is 99% PR contest
so shall one be surprised that Cristiano and Messi win it year after year?
or shall one be surprised that Javi, Iniesta and Sneijder didn't win it when they obviously deserved it?

sorry, but the Ballon d'Or is as weak as an argument as Lewiscean statistics in proving that Novak shall be rated above Federer and Nadal.

@Sport
do you have anything to answer, or your silence is the acknowledgement that you got owned like Lewie gets owned in every thread
 
everyone who watches soccer a bit closer knows that Ballon d'Or is 99% PR contest
so shall one be surprised that Cristiano and Messi win it year after year?
or shall one be surprised that Javi, Iniesta and Sneijder didn't win it when they obviously deserved it?

sorry, but the Ballon d'Or is as weak as an argument as Lewiscean statistics in proving that Novak shall be rated above Federer and Nadal.
The top scorers in all 5 major footballing leagues in Europe last season were thirty plus and you can’t claim that the talent pool in the world’s most popular sport is lacking.
 
No, just beaten by mentally superior players time and time again who didn't squander leads or choke at the biggest moments.
 
Didn't even bother reading the rest of your post when I saw this portion.
Since 17 Federer has dominated Nadal off clay, whereas, when Roger was younger it was Nadal who had the advantage over Roger off grass. Roger aged very slowly, probably due to condidtioning, game style and genes. Roger had the age advantage over Novak till 2011, while Novak has had the slight advantage since then. In the end, it all evens out, advantage wise.
 
Since 17 Federer has dominated Nadal off clay, whereas, when Roger was younger it was Nadal who had the advantage over Roger off grass. Roger aged very slowly, probably due to condidtioning, game style and genes. Roger had the age advantage over Novak till 2011, while Novak has had the slight advantage since then. In the end, it all evens out, advantage wise.
Generally, in most cases, I think (especially with careers of their lengths and magnitudes) that this is true. Sure, there are some ATGs whose careers overlapped where the age difference was more pronounced, but H2H records has never been that big of a factor to me in ranking players. Much as many poasters use shortcuts to reduce the tour to seemingly 3 or 4 players, to build such resumes, they're playing against fields of up to 128 players.
 
Last edited:
Since 17 Federer has dominated Nadal off clay, whereas, when Roger was younger it was Nadal who had the advantage over Roger off grass. Roger aged very slowly, probably due to condidtioning, game style and genes. Roger had the age advantage over Novak till 2011, while Novak has had the slight advantage since then. In the end, it all evens out, advantage wise.
It doesn't. Novak skipped 3 of Federer's best years, 2004-2006, while Fed played every version of Novak.

And Novak hasn't had only a slight age advantage. There's a reason Fed hasn't beaten Novak in a major in 10 years.
 
Last edited:
im shocked @abmk hasn't commented on this thread

just saw this thread today.

It doesn't. Novak skipped 3 of Federer's best years, 2004-2006, while Fed played every version of Novak.

2 matches in 3 of fed's 3 best years (04-06), including 0 in slams.
18 matches in 3 of djoko's 3 best years (11,12,15)

also them having played a lot more matches post 2010 than pre-2010 obviously is another clear indicator.
 
just saw this thread today.



2 matches in 3 of fed's 3 best years (04-06), including 0 in slams.
18 matches in 3 of djoko's 3 best years (11,12,15)

also them having played a lot more matches post 2010 than pre-2010 obviously is another clear indicator.
You liked a comment earlier in 21 so think you browsed through briefly before.
 
It doesn't. Novak skipped 3 of Federer's best years, 2004-2006, while Fed played every version of Novak.

And Novak hasn't had only a slight age advantage. There's a reason Fed hasn't beaten Novak in a major in 10 years.
Djokovic barely turned pro in 04/05 tbh.
 
Last edited:
I would say it’s more of a surface disadvantage. Fed just can’t hang with djokovic on these conditions. Djoker was just too solid and consistent. But to be fair no one in history can. At least consistently LOL. Djokovic has always been on a different planet when it came to slow surfaces overall. Djokovic on slow courts is what Sampras was to fast, slick low bouncing surfaces. It’s not really a knock Fed or even Nadal. No one can hang with djokovic consistently. He’s just too good
 
I would say it’s more of a surface disadvantage. Fed just can’t hang with djokovic on these conditions. Djoker was just too solid and consistent. But to be fair no one in history can. At least consistently LOL. Djokovic has always been on a different planet when it came to slow surfaces overall. Djokovic on slow courts is what Sampras was to fast, slick low bouncing surfaces
How many matches have they played on what you would consider a decently fast surface?
 
Till 2010 he was 13-6 and till 2015 23-22..so definitely he had a dis-advantage post 30s when the battle became physical with prime djoker. He lost many close battled both in slams and masters. Had both them were of same age federer would have won atleast 2 of their slam finals between 2012-15.
 
Djokovic barely turned pro in 04/05 tbh.

that's what happens in case of younger ATGs vs older ATGs typically (when they play sufficient # of matches). Which is why younger ATGs have the h2h advantage,

all ATGs who played entirely in the open era : Connors, Borg, Mac, Lendl, Wilander, Becker, Edberg, Sampras, Agassi, Federer, Nadal, Djokovic

where there is a 4-6 year gap b/w ATGs

Borg leads Connors : 15-8
Mac leads Connors : 20-14
Lendl leads Wilander : 15-7
Becker trails Lendl 10-11 (but leads GS h2h 5-1) (such a domination in slams clearly overshadows a 1 match overall lead)
Edberg leads Lendl : 14-13
Sampras leads Becker : 12-7
Agassi leads Becker : 10-4
Agassi leads Edberg : 6-3
Sampras leads Edberg : 8-6 ( trails 0-2 in GS h2h, Edberg didn't meet Sampras in GS after AO 93 -- 93 was when Sampras' prime started)
Nadal leads Federer : 24-16
Djokovic leads Federer 27-23

The only instance in the open era where the older ATG had the edge is Lendl vs Wilander.
every other rivalry ,its the younger ATG with a clear edge or small edge.

and if is further gap, obviously as well, like Fed-Agassi is 8-3
 
Back
Top