Which of the Top 20 seeds will go out in 1R?

Babblelot · Jan 15, 2006

Roger Federer SUI (1) vs. Denis Istomin UZB
Andy Roddick USA (2) vs. Michael Lammer SUI
Lleyton Hewitt AUS (3) vs. Robin Vik CZE
David Nalbandian ARG (4) vs. Danai Udomchoke THA
Nikolay Davydenko RUS (5) vs. Ivo Karlovic CRO
Guillermo Coria ARG (6) vs. Victor Hanescu ROM
Ivan Ljubicic CRO (7) vs. Chris Guccione AUS
Gaston Gaudio ARG ( 8 ) vs. Razvan Sabau ROM
Fernando Gonzalez CHI (9) vs. Alex Bogomolov Jr.USA
Thomas Johansson SWE (10) vs. Cyril Saulnier FRA
David Ferrer ESP (11) vs. Florent Serra FRA
Dominik Hrbaty SVK (12) vs. Oliver Marach AUT
Robby Ginepri USA (13) vs. Jurgen Melzer AUT
Richard Gasquet FRA (14) vs. Tommy Haas GER
Juan Carlos Ferrero ESP (15) vs. Tomas Zib CZE
Tommy Robredo ESP (16) vs. Jiri Vanek CZE
Radek Stepanek CZE (17) vs. Bjorn Rehnquist SWE
Mario Ancic CRO ( 18 ) vs. Agustin Calleri ARG
Tomas Berdych CZE (19) vs. Bobby Reynolds USA
James Blake USA (20) vs. Jose Acasuso ARG

I've got these four...
Guillermo Coria ARG (6) vs. Victor Hanescu ROM
Ivan Ljubicic CRO (7) vs. Chris Guccione AUS
Richard Gasquet FRA (14) vs. Tommy Haas GER
Tomas Berdych CZE (19) vs. Bobby Reynolds USA

pound cat · Jan 15, 2006

Out Ferrero
Ancic
Gasquet

Hewitt (up all night with the baby)

opiate · Jan 15, 2006

pound cat said:
Out Ferrero
Ancic
Gasquet

Hewitt (up all night with the baby)

Bad, bad Mia!

I go for Coria, for now...

Shabazza · Jan 15, 2006

I'm going for Gasquet and Ferrer
I can't see Reynolds beating Berdych

jamumafa · Jan 15, 2006

Davydenko, refer back here when it happens

killer · Jan 15, 2006

I'll add Ginepri and James Blake...they've both got pretty tough first-round opponents. If Jurgen Melzer plays like he did against Roddick at USO05, robby's going to have a long day...and Jose Acasuso can be tough on a slow surface, though James may be able to overpower him...

idj49 · Jan 15, 2006

killer said:
I'll add Ginepri and James Blake...they've both got pretty tough first-round opponents. If Jurgen Melzer plays like he did against Roddick at USO05, robby's going to have a long day...and Jose Acasuso can be tough on a slow surface, though James may be able to overpower him...

Juergen Melzer did not play Roddick at the US Open it was Gilles Muller that beat him.

killer · Jan 15, 2006

Ugh...thanks idj49- my bad! Serves me right for trying to recall matches without my morning coffee! I think I'll retract Ginepri's name form the potential casualty list then...

jhhachamp · Jan 15, 2006

Davydenko, Ferrer, Gasquet, and Ferrero will lose first round I think.

rilokiley · Jan 15, 2006

I say... none.
(has this ever happened before? not just top 20 but top 32?)

GrassCourtFan · Jan 15, 2006

Gasquet.
Ferrer.
At a stretch, Davydenko

GrassCourtFan · Jan 15, 2006

rilokiley said:
I say... none.
(has this ever happened before? not just top 20 but top 32?)

Doubtful. They've only been seeding 32 players (as opposed to 16) for a couple of years now, since 2001 or 2002.

rilokiley · Jan 15, 2006

Max G. said:
Doubtful. They've only been seeding 32 players (as opposed to 16) for a couple of years now, since 2001 or 2002.

Oh really? Then how about all top 16 players getting thru the first round? That ever happened on the man's side?

Dan007 · Jan 15, 2006

jamumafa said:
Davydenko, refer back here when it happens

Yeah, I think Davydenko is going out in the 1st RD. It's unfair because Karlovics just suck, but he still wins because his freaking tall height.

Babblelot · Jan 15, 2006

rilokiley said:
I say... none.
(has this ever happened before? not just top 20 but top 32?)

When you say, "ever" do you mean, like #3 Roddick losing in straights to Muller at 2005 USO, or #1 Hewitt going down to Karlovic at 2003 Wimby (...just off the top of my head).

Or do you mean at the AO:
2005 AO seeds
#5 Moya lost to GG-L
#19 Spadea lost to Stepanek
(#28 Kiefer lost to O. Rochus)

GrassCourtFan · Jan 15, 2006

He meant "has it ever happened that none of the seeds lose in the first round."

Rpp · Jan 15, 2006

Most likely:
Davydenko
Ferrer

Possible:
Stepanek
Coria

All others will continue...

Babblelot · Jan 15, 2006

Max G. said:
He meant "has it ever happened that none of the seeds lose in the first round."

Yeah, well, that wasn't the question. I think you're giving him way too much credit.

Having said that, "none" is a good answer, as in, "I don't think any of the Top 20 seeds will lose in 1R."

croatian sensation · Jan 15, 2006

Gasquet Fererro Davydenko
Coria wins AO, remember? ;-)

Andres · Jan 15, 2006

Nikolay Davydenko RUS (5) vs. Ivo Karlovic CRO
Ivan Ljubicic CRO (7) vs. Chris Guccione AUS
Richard Gasquet FRA (14) vs. Tommy Haas GER
Mario Ancic CRO ( 18 ) vs. Agustin Calleri ARG
James Blake USA (20) vs. Jose Acasuso ARG

Both Ljubicic and Davydenko matches will be extremely tough. it depends on them winning 'em

jhhachamp · Jan 15, 2006

Dan007 said:
Yeah, I think Davydenko is going out in the 1st RD. It's unfair because Karlovics just suck, but he still wins because his freaking tall height.

Haha yeah, we are lucky Yao Ming didn't play tennis. No one would stand a chance! 8)

Andres · Jan 15, 2006

He may suck at groundstrokes, but he own the very best serve out there.

35ft6 · Jan 15, 2006

There are my picks. Ginepri's the one I feel the least sure about.

Guillermo Coria ARG (6) vs. Victor Hanescu ROM
David Ferrer ESP (11) vs. Florent Serra FRAT
Robby Ginepri USA (13) vs. Jurgen Melzer AUT
Richard Gasquet FRA (14) vs. Tommy Haas GER

35ft6 · Jan 15, 2006

Ljubicic's serve is better than Guccione's. If he plays well, it'll be 4 sets at the MOST.

No way Davydenko is losing to Karlovic in a best of 5 in the Aussie sun.

Andres · Jan 15, 2006

35ft6 said:
Ljubicic's serve is better than Guccione's. If he plays well, it'll be 4 sets at the MOST.

No way Davydenko is losing to Karlovic in a best of 5 in the Aussie sun.

Don't be so sure. Have you ever seen Guccione serving? If not, this may be your chance.

He's my darkhorse for Wimby also

Moose Malloy · Jan 17, 2006

So only two top 20 guys lost, Gasquet & Gonzalez.

Shabazza · Jan 17, 2006

Moose Malloy said:
So only two top 20 guys lost, Gasquet & Gonzalez.

well, I was right with Gasquet, thought Serra would be tougher for Ferrer

Gonzo out in 1st Rnd

Moose Malloy · Jan 17, 2006

Only 6 of the 32 seeds lost. Moya, Volandri, Dent, Monfils in addition to those two.

Babblelot · Jan 17, 2006

Moose Malloy said:
Only 6 of the 32 seeds lost. Moya, Volandri, Dent, Monfils in addition to those two.

To tell you the truth, I don't know 6 is a low number. Seems kinda high to me, but I'll have to look into it when I get a chance.

Moose Malloy · Jan 17, 2006

Babblelot,
# of seeds that lost in the 1st Round of Australian:
'05-3
'04-13
'03-4
'02-6
'01-0(and this was the last year that there were 16 seeds. Theoretically there should have been more dangerous unseeded floaters that year. 10 of the 16 seeds advanced to the round of 16 that year.)

35ft6 · Jan 17, 2006

Andres Guazzelli said:
Don't be so sure. Have you ever seen Guccione serving? If not, this may be your chance.

He's my darkhorse for Wimby also

No, I know he's got a nasty serve, he's lefty and served 51 aces in 3 sets last year!!! Here are the match statistics from the Ivan Chris match:

Personally, I think Ivan, when he's on, has the best serve in tennis.

Which of the Top 20 seeds will go out in 1R?

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