Who will be in the ATP top 10 at the end of 2024?

Aabye5

Aabye5

Talk Tennis Guru
I've got (in no particular order) :

1. Sinner
2. Alcaraz
3. Zverev
4. Rune
5. Medvedev
6. Tsitsipas
7. Hurkacz
8. Korda
9. FAA
10. Djokovic


I think Novak falls just by virtue of the number of points he is defending, but not sure where he lands in the final count.
 
dking68 said:
In order

1. Djokovic
2. Alcaraz/Sinner
3. Alcaraz/Sinner
4. Medvedev
5. Zverev
6. Tsitsipas
7. Rune
8. Rublev
9. Khachanov
10. Hurkacz

Honorable mention - Fils, Shelton, Fritz, Tiafoe
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Thank you for not ****ting on tsitsipas.

It's ttw style to completely turn a player into mug once they don't fulfil the expectations. Tsitsipas bad rough year but I hope he comes back to his best.
 
dking68 said:
@nachiket nolefam Sinner is ranked #2 in ELO. You see him reaching that next year if Alcaraz doesn’t defend Wimbledon?
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I think Alcaraz will have a productive off season and sinner probably is reaching his peak physically. But Alcaraz will come back with higher level next January than what we saw post USOpen. So he will be number 2/number 1 going into Wimbledon.

If sinner wins AO then maybe he will be top 2 immidietly. But if not, the clay season will be hard for him, Raz is going for Roland Garros next year.
 
nachiket nolefam said:
I think Alcaraz will have a productive off season and sinner probably is reaching his peak physically. But Alcaraz will come back with higher level next January than what we saw post USOpen. So he will be number 2/number 1 going into Wimbledon.

If sinner wins AO then maybe he will be top 2 immidietly. But if not, the clay season will be hard for him, Raz is going for Roland Garros next year.
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I agree with you. I think Sinner beats Alcaraz on grass next year with the current serve he has
 
Curious if other people feel this way but I'd be shocked if anyone in the top 8 is not in the top 10 next year assuming health. That said pretty much any order would not be all that surprising. Outside of Rublev and probably Tsitsipas I could see any of them finishing the year top 3. I expect Carlos to assume the title of best in the world next year once and for all though I just can't see anyone competing with him on clay unless Rune magically figures out how to play at a high level for more than 2 hours. I'm expecting Rafa level dominance over the dirt next year for Carlos.
 
The Guru said:
Curious if other people feel this way but I'd be shocked if anyone in the top 8 is not in the top 10 next year assuming health. That said pretty much any order would not be all that surprising. Outside of Rublev and probably Tsitsipas I could see any of them finishing the year top 3. I expect Carlos to assume the title of best in the world next year once and for all though I just can't see anyone competing with him on clay unless Rune magically figures out how to play at a high level for more than 2 hours. I'm expecting Rafa level dominance over the dirt next year for Carlos.
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I definitely think the rankings are consolidating quite a bit. Not expecting to see as much movement next year barring catastrophic injuries.

Still not convinced Carlitos is the be-all end-all of modern tennis.
 
There is already 1 thread about it. https://tt.tennis-warehouse.com/ind...p-10-at-the-end-of-2024.760212/#post-17758264

For me the top-5 won't change much, except I'd replace Rublev with Zverev....
1) Djokovic 2) Sinner 3) Alcaraz 4) Medvedev 5) Zverev

Rest of the top-10 is more open. I've put Rublev, Rune, Shelton, Nadal and Fritz. Rublev for his consistency, Rune will keep improving but still won't reach Sinneraz's leval yet. Shelton as the newcomer. Nadal can be top-10 just with a couple of deep runs during clay season. Last place could be anyone, I've picked Fritz but it can be Hurkacz, Auger, Paul or Khachanov... or another newcomer like Humbert or Fils.
 
Lauren_Girl' said:
There is already 1 thread about it. https://tt.tennis-warehouse.com/ind...p-10-at-the-end-of-2024.760212/#post-17758264

For me the top-5 won't change much, except I'd replace Rublev with Zverev....
1) Djokovic 2) Sinner 3) Alcaraz 4) Medvedev 5) Zverev

Rest of the top-10 is more open. I've put Rublev, Rune, Shelton, Nadal and Fritz. Rublev for his consistency, Rune will keep improving but still won't reach Sinneraz's leval yet. Shelton as the newcomer. Nadal can be top-10 just with a couple of deep runs during clay season. Last place could be anyone, I've picked Fritz but it can be Hurkacz or Khachanov... or another newcomer like Humbert or Fils.
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Thanks, maybe the mods can merge them.
 
Midaso240 said:
Djokovic
Alcaraz
Sinner
Medvedev
Zverev
Rune
Rublev
Hurkacz
Shelton
Khachanov

Tsitsipas sucks, I'll be disappointed in the rest of the tour if he's still in the top 10 this time next year
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Stef is so underrated on these boards. Yes, he struggles to beat Nole and Carlitos but he is not a lost cause.
 
The Guru said:
The Guru said:
Curious if other people feel this way but I'd be shocked if anyone in the top 8 is not in the top 10 next year assuming health. That said pretty much any order would not be all that surprising. Outside of Rublev and probably Tsitsipas I could see any of them finishing the year top 3. I expect Carlos to assume the title of best in the world next year once and for all though I just can't see anyone competing with him on clay unless Rune magically figures out how to play at a high level for more than 2 hours. I'm expecting Rafa level dominance over the dirt next year for Carlos.
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I'm impressed by your faith in the little, massively hyped, PR-savvy fella ("best in the world next year once and for all")- though I don't agree. We'll see how it goes.
 
Aabye5 said:
At some point next year? Yes. Not sure he will keep the lead though. Have to see how he does at AO.
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The only worry for me for him at the AO is the heat. He needs to spend Christmas with Cahill and get that serve and body firing
 
Aabye5 said:
I wholeheartedly agree. These wimps chilling in Monte Carlo are only signing away their own checks.

Even the least rugged of the big 3, Raj spent his vacays in Dubai. He could take the heat.
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Or if not Australia, somewhere with similar conditions - like Miami. Where azarenka trains, that’s why she had so much success at AO
 
The Guru said:
Curious if other people feel this way but I'd be shocked if anyone in the top 8 is not in the top 10 next year assuming health. That said pretty much any order would not be all that surprising. Outside of Rublev and probably Tsitsipas I could see any of them finishing the year top 3. I expect Carlos to assume the title of best in the world next year once and for all though I just can't see anyone competing with him on clay unless Rune magically figures out how to play at a high level for more than 2 hours. I'm expecting Rafa level dominance over the dirt next year for Carlos.
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Yeah as said in another thread the top 4 seems about as clear cut and stable as it has been in ages really, the SFs of the YEC clearly include the best 4 players in the world. Rune and Z can get close to that but both had various injury issues this year and will be looking to improve. The key for them is their unimpressive forehands, if they could improve them to the top level consistently they could be legitimate Slam contenders.

But yeah things do feel rather stable going into next year. I think that aside from some sort of nuclear leap from Fils Shelton or Ruud (yes, really, haven’t fully written him off) we won’t see any new Top 5 members and should have the same general 12 guys in contention for YEC.

Nadal is actually the wild card to get back to the top 5 moreso than any young player breaking out. Shelton will be interesting though.
 
Kralingen said:
Yeah as said in another thread the top 4 seems about as clear cut and stable as it has been in ages really, the SFs of the YEC clearly include the best 4 players in the world. Rune and Z can get close to that but both had various injury issues this year and will be looking to improve. The key for them is their unimpressive forehands, if they could improve them to the top level consistently they could be legitimate Slam contenders.

But yeah things do feel rather stable going into next year. I think that aside from some sort of nuclear leap from Fils Shelton or Ruud (yes, really, haven’t fully written him off) we won’t see any new Top 5 members and should have the same general 12 guys in contention for YEC.

Nadal is actually the wild card to get back to the top 5 moreso than any young player breaking out. Shelton will be interesting though.
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Who do you have winning the 4 majors next year?
 
tennis3 said:
Are you sure you understand the Year End Rankings?
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You should not be too harsh to OP. Some may not know how ranking and point system works, but there are also people who never faced one serve from 1000th ranked player or even lift one time tennis racquet in their lives according to their admission, but they are still able to provide a balanced and expert opinion on the game of top players all the time.
 
Jardinier said:
You should not be too harsh to OP. Some may not know how ranking and point system works, but there are also people who never faced one serve from 1000th ranked player or even lift one time tennis racquet in their lives according to their admission, but they are still able to provide a balanced and expert opinion on the game of top players all the time.
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Jardinier, is that a drink?
 
nachiket nolefam said:
Lol
He did do all that before. It's not in Rafa's hands anymore.

Next gen has already come. MOVE ON from Rafa.
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Oh, I didn't say he would beat Djokovic. I said he would die on court rather than let that happen. Rafa fans would naturally accuse Novak of having something to do it. And Novak would vehemently deny it...he would be totally innocent, but that wouldn't stop anyone.

Didn't you see the 2012 AO final?
 
Aabye5 said:
Oh, I didn't say he would beat Djokovic. I said he would die on court rather than let that happen. Rafa fans would naturally accuse Novak of having something to do it. And Novak would vehemently deny it...he would be totally innocent, but that wouldn't stop anyone.

Didn't you see the 2012 AO final?
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2012 was 11 years ago. I have moved on from Rafa after RG 23.
 
Aabye5 said:
Jardinier, is that a drink?
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It is immaterial how many points Djokovic has at the moment (or is defending) for the end 0f 2024 placement; he needs only 5 more points than the second player to finnish in the same place as this year. The number of points or their defending does not come into any consideration for the future number one at the end of 2024 calendar year. Therefore, you have patently incorrect proposition in the introduction. Ask for a better explanation @tennis3.
 
Jardinier said:
It is immaterial how many points Djokovic has at the moment (or is defending) for the end 0f 2024 placement; he needs only 5 more points than the second player to finnish in the same place as this year. The number of points or their defending does not come into any consideration for the future number one at the end of 2024 calendar year. Therefore, you have patently incorrect proposition in the introduction. Ask for a better explanation @tennis3.
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Oh, is that so. Like I don't know the points system. I think one or two other players are going to do better than him at the Slams, so he won't be number one. I don't think he's finishing number 1, based on the points he earns next year. Therefore, his ranking will drop compared to this year. Clear?
 
Aabye5 said:
I've got (in no particular order) :

1. Sinner
2. Alcaraz
3. Zverev
4. Rune
5. Medvedev
6. Tsitsipas
7. Hurkacz
8. Korda
9. FAA
10. Djokovic


I think Novak falls just by virtue of the number of points he is defending, but not sure where he lands in the final count.
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PM me your bank details, and I’ll deposit $10,000 in your a/c if you get this right.

Djokovic at No10! Really?
 
The Sinner said:
PM me your bank details, and I’ll deposit $10,000 in your a/c if you get this right.

Djokovic at No10! Really?
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I said no particular order for that reason. I do think his ranking will drop relative to his ranking this year, but he could still easily end up in the top 3.
 
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