Oceansize
Rookie
I was bored so i started thinking about this question (a bit sad, i know
).
This time five years ago the top five was 1.Fed, 2.Rafa, 3.Nalby, 4.ARod and 5.Ljubicic:shock:.
My best guess is that in five years time the top five will be something like 1.Djokovic(turning 29), 2.Tomic(23), 3.Dimitrov(turning 25) 4.Raonic(25), 5.Cilic(27).
With regards to Fed, he will be 34 years old, and it will be over 13 years since he first broke into the top 5, so i don't think he'll still be there. For example, Sampras went out of the top 5 for the last time just over 10 and a half years after first breaking into it. Agassi did go out of the top five over 17 years after first breaking in, but he did have a lot of time out of the top five during those years, unlike Fed. Also, i can't see Fed carrying on if he isn't at the very top and winning Slams still, which is hard to see him still doing five years from now.
Nadal will be 29(almost 30) and with the wear and tear his game causes, i'm just not sure he will still be fit to compete at the very top at that point. It would be almost exactly 11 years since he first broke into the top five, by then.
Murray like Hewitt, has a tendency to get involved in long counter punching points, which will probably cause long term injuries over time. However, Murray does have more power than Hewitt and a better serve, so i don't think the decline will be quite as fast, but i still think he'll be struggling to be top 5 by then.
As for Del Potro, the only thing that stops me from including him are his injuries, as he'll be 28 by then, and i'm not sure he'll still be fit enough for the top 5, with his wrist and hip issues(also i think he had back problems a few years ago?)
Anyone else see it differently? I know there could always be a young unkown player to come through, but if you look at the current top five, they were all in the top 100 5 years ago, so i think the chance of a currently unheard of player breaking through that fast, is unlikely.
).This time five years ago the top five was 1.Fed, 2.Rafa, 3.Nalby, 4.ARod and 5.Ljubicic:shock:.
My best guess is that in five years time the top five will be something like 1.Djokovic(turning 29), 2.Tomic(23), 3.Dimitrov(turning 25) 4.Raonic(25), 5.Cilic(27).
With regards to Fed, he will be 34 years old, and it will be over 13 years since he first broke into the top 5, so i don't think he'll still be there. For example, Sampras went out of the top 5 for the last time just over 10 and a half years after first breaking into it. Agassi did go out of the top five over 17 years after first breaking in, but he did have a lot of time out of the top five during those years, unlike Fed. Also, i can't see Fed carrying on if he isn't at the very top and winning Slams still, which is hard to see him still doing five years from now.
Nadal will be 29(almost 30) and with the wear and tear his game causes, i'm just not sure he will still be fit to compete at the very top at that point. It would be almost exactly 11 years since he first broke into the top five, by then.
Murray like Hewitt, has a tendency to get involved in long counter punching points, which will probably cause long term injuries over time. However, Murray does have more power than Hewitt and a better serve, so i don't think the decline will be quite as fast, but i still think he'll be struggling to be top 5 by then.
As for Del Potro, the only thing that stops me from including him are his injuries, as he'll be 28 by then, and i'm not sure he'll still be fit enough for the top 5, with his wrist and hip issues(also i think he had back problems a few years ago?)
Anyone else see it differently? I know there could always be a young unkown player to come through, but if you look at the current top five, they were all in the top 100 5 years ago, so i think the chance of a currently unheard of player breaking through that fast, is unlikely.
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