90% is an exaggeration but I think he’s at least something like 60-40 over the field. The guy’s just untouchable down under. Last two times he won he was injured. If he’s healthy the rest of the tour might as well not even show up.
Losing to Stan at AO 14 and not playing AO 22 made that impossible. I don't think he has that in mind at all.
I like how his serve increased from 122.9 mph 1st half of 2023 to 125 in 2nd half of 2022
I think for first time I wouldn't take Novak over the field. Don't get me wrong he is still deservedly favourite going in but father time eventually catches up with everyone and there are 3 or 4 guys who I think have a decent shot at taking him out from QF onwards, whereas in past once he got that far I think no one was really strong enough to stop him.
Yes so there is huge difference between 60/40 and 90/10 right? I know it's exaggeration but the member is DARING anyone to oppose the odds. Those odds are ridiculous tbh.
I think I'm going to win it next year.
People trot out Father Time every year and Novak keeps laughing his way to trophies. He’s been unbelievably strong at slams lately. In the last three years, he’s lost to Nadal at the French, Medvedev while going for the calendar slam, and Alcaraz at Wimbledon this year. That’s it. One loss per year and one loss per surface. And he’s not showing any signs of slowing down, other than playing a more limited schedule but that doesn’t seem to hurt his slam chances at all – indeed probably the opposite.
Can Djokovic continue to succeed with his newly minted old man strength, and how will the tour respond? Will he need to find another method to administer the Ls in Melbourne this time around?
Delpo, prior to winning the USO in 2009, only made one SF (RG) and two QFs, not to mention only making R2 in one other slam. In Comparison, Sinner has made QFs in all slams, plus one SF, higher ranking than the Tower of Tandil and a far better win/loss % going into this AO. Just saying.
That whipper boy will be Jannik Sinner. If he doesn’t get it done at AO 24’ it will be done at 25’, mark my words
Nostradamus over here
I like Alcaraz on the slower hard courts, Sinner on the faster ones. I think Alcaraz, Medvedev and Djokovic are still safer bets at this point in time in best of 5 which is why they're all ahead of him in the betting odds right now for AO 24
No one in the history of tennis has ever been a 90% favourite for a grand slam. Maybe for a single match, but not for a slam. He could get a Zverev RG injury in the early rounds, or a disqualification like at USO '20. You just never know, you can't put your house on it which 90% is getting pretty damn close to
Very unlikely anyone beats him at AO unless someone improves a ton... fairly realistic to go win it 4 yrs in a row
You're just a victim of recency bias. He'll decline heavily sooner or later and it won't feel fairly realistic all of a sudden. I'm pretty sure nobody expected Rog's decline to be so rapid following Wimbledon 2019.
Sinner has spent the last couple of years showing that he is ready and then failing when the next big moment arrives. Him losing the WTF final after beating Djoker in the RR is the latest example. So, I would say he will fail once more at the AO. But then he will finally succeed at the next opportunity, whenever that is.
Where were all these guys when Djokovic won 3 Slams this year plus the ATP Finals and 2 Masters tournaments? He won something like 19 matches after Wimbledon before losing to Sinner and then beating him when it was for all the marbles in the ATP Finals final. Not to mention that he has won 7 of 10 Slams he played in plus made 2 more finals. He also has won 9 AO titles since 2011 and lost only 3 matches during that stretch with two coming in 2017-18 when he had an elbow injury. It seems like exactly the right time to bet on Djokovic against the field as the AO is faster these days and Djokovic is hitting his FH as big as he ever did in his career to win all the fast court titles - last 2 ATP Finals, last 2 AOs, Paris Bercy and the Cincinnati Open.
Federer wasn't a decline it was injury messed him up too much... major career ending injury could happen but probably not. Should be no other reason for him to stop being able to be high level for just a few years
Roger was 38 and while he was a direct influence on Djokovic and Nadal in longevity, no one does fitness in sport quite like Djokovic.
He'll be 90% the favorite for every single match at the AO. Close to that at least.
No. He was around 85% at ao 2023 vs sissy pants in the final
dont forget that the speed measurements at the yec are flawed, players are serving 4mp there than any other tournament.
Should note that his absence from about 1 seasons worth of matches due to Covid has aided in his longevity
He declined because of an injury that ended his career, he tried to come back but was no longer the same. It's a decline.
Yes, Rog was 38 and we're discussing whether Djoker could win 4 AO titles in a row, that means he'd have to keep winning it at 38 and even at 39.
If Joker gets the following draw: Felix "the cat" in the third round, "phone boy" in the fourth round, the "chained" in the quarterfinals, "Shaggy" in the semifinals and the "wonder boy" in the final, could he survive?
Yea exactly injury not age decline. Most likely wont happen to Djokovic. No reason why he cant win it at 39
No love for Jim Courier?
The two are related. Rog wasn't really injury-prone in his younger days, he started to get more and more injured as he aged. There's a point when he was too old for his body to take it and he couldn't properly recover to come back, yet his game wasn't as physical as Djoker's. And it's not just about injuries, it will become gradually more difficult to stop the likes of Sinner and Raz.
