Why does De Minaur have such a lopsided h2h record against Medvedev?

[momopte]

ADM lost to Medvedev in Shanghai Master again.
Medvedev's footwork is very close to or same as ADM.
Medvedev has the edge of defense coverage and serve against ADM.

ADM's FH and BH just cannot break through Medvedev's defense.
The question is : Why ADM's forehand is less powerful?
In my opinion：1/His forehand is bent arm. 2/ His wingspan is not long enough for bent arm forehand to generate high speed and spin like long wingspan does.

If his wingspan is close to Sinner's, then it will not be the same case.

He should use straight arm like Alcaraz does. It can help generate more speed and spin than bent arm forehand with short wingspan. But it is not realistic for his age.

 

[ChrisJR3264]

Well I mean medvedev has had his struggles of late. But med 25 is not close to how good med used to be. Plus two of ADM’s wins came on clay.

 

[esm]

ADM is a pusher and just played against a better pusher.
Probably one of the weakest Aussie no.1…. lol

 

[momopte]

Well I mean medvedev has had his struggles of late. But med 25 is not close to how good med used to be. Plus two of ADM’s wins came on clay.

The thread topic may be wrong. What I mean is Medvedev has big edge in H2H against ADM. But I do not know how to edit the topic name or delete the thread.

 

[ALCARAZWON]

De Minaur is struggling to beat Medvedev on hardcourt, but strangely De Minaur beat the better version of Medvedev on hardcourt in 2022 (at Paris Indoors) and 2023 (at Canada).
Now Medvedev is no longer a slam contender, and De Minaur is ranked higher than ever but can't beat Medvedev on hardcourt... couldn't even take a set in their last 3 hardcourt matches.

 

[momopte]

ADM is a pusher and just played against a better pusher.
Probably one of the weakest Aussie no.1…. lol

His forehand is not powerful enough to destroy a good pusher's defense, such as Medvedev.

 

[momopte]

De Minaur is struggling to beat Medvedev on hardcourt, but strangely De Minaur beat the better version of Medvedev on hardcourt in 2022 (at Paris Indoors) and 2023 (at Canada).
Now Medvedev is no longer a slam contender, and De Minaur is ranked higher than ever but can't beat Medvedev on hardcourt... couldn't even take a set in their last 3 hardcourt matches.

Medvedev may have a mental edge against De Minaur.