Ok, so that's what your going with, right?
Let's see these quotes from these athlete's so we can look at those. Let's not assume the entire ATP is thinking the same thing.
Who says Wimbledon plays slowly? I know some tennis pro's and former pro's said that, but let's see the exact quotes and their context.
Why? Everyone quoted is saying one thing.
Past players:
"It's much slower, the bounce is much truer, and the subsurface is much harder," says Cliff Drysdale, a singles semifinalist here in 1965 who is now an ESPN commentator. "The ball bounces up, so you can hit it, which did not used to be the case. It's so much more like playing on a hard court now, it's unbelievable. I didn't think it was possible, but they have done it."
-2005
http://sports.espn.go.com/sports/tennis/wimbledon05/news/story?id=2090997
Past Champions McEnroe, Cash and Navratilova have said it.
Martina Navratilova was blunt in support of the British nearly man [Henman]. "It messed him up, the grass being slow and long," she said. "If the grass had been like it was two years ago I think he could have won Wimbledon. It may be still like that this year."
-2003
http://www.independent.co.uk/sport/tennis/groundsman-quick-to-defend-slower-courts-541560.html
Players whose careers overlapped the change, playing at elite levels, thus having the best perspective have said it:
Henman said it after having won matches there, not solely after losses.
"We realise there'd been a big effort to slow the game down," Henman said. "Some indoor courts needed slowing down but if you look at what happened at Wimbledon last year it does pose the question whether on grass it's been slowed down too much.
"It's making life a lot harder, that's for sure. A few years ago strategy on grass didn't come to it. Now everyone has an opportunity to set themselves up for passing shots and returns."
-2003 after a win.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/tennis/atptour/2405794/Henman-bemoans-the-new-go-slower-court.html
Bjorkman who won 10 singles matches in his first seven years at Wimbledon through 2000 and won 18 after the slow down and had his best result there, reaching a SF in 2006, even though his results suffered on every other surface, thus having
no alterior motive, commented on how slow it was.
The experienced Swedish competitor Jonas Bjorkman said in 2002 that it was strange that Centre Court was playing almost as slow as a clay court.
http://www.independent.co.uk/sport/...ated-by-henman-insists-groundsman-733292.html
"There was a time when clay-court [specialists] wouldn't even make the trip [to England]," Bjorkman said after losing to Nadal at the Artois Championships, a warm-up event for Wimbledon. "Now they hardly even need to adjust their game."
..."There is a danger that we will have only one type of player soon because everyone is growing up on courts that are roughly the same speed,"
-2008
http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1815724,00.html?iid=chix-sphere
Even
Federer who, depending on how someone elects to spin it, can either be described as being best able to adapt to or greatest beneficiary of the slow downs tour wide has said it:
"You don't have these American hardcourt tournaments which are just unplayable from the baseline, unreturnable," says No. 1 Roger Federer, the reigning U.S. Open champion who won his fourth consecutive Wimbledon crown July 9 against Rafael Nadal. "Everywhere you sort of get into the points. It's actually quite slow now."
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/tennis/2006-07-16-surface-tension_x.htm
The head Groundsman at the AELTCC,
Eddie Seaward himself let the cat out of the bag, despite prior and later denials by himself and tournament director Alan Mills:
One important aim, however, is to make the grass more playable for all the players. "We hope that with time it may encourage more of the clay court players to come," Seaward emphasises. "We want to help them get over the mind barrier [against grass]. It would be good for the tournament and good for the game."
-2003
http://www.independent.co.uk/sport/tennis/groundsman-quick-to-defend-slower-courts-541560.html
The clay courters themselves accept it:
Costa, now retired and coaching Feliciano Lopez of Spain, said he has misgivings about that decision.
"Now I regret for sure that I was not playing more times," he says, "especially with the heavier balls and slower conditions."
Of course, maybe it wasn't a bad decision: Costa won just one match in five trips.
...Almagro agreed, saying that both Nadal and Ferrer had given the other Spaniards a pep talk before Wimbledon.
"They told us if we play the same way as clay, we can do well," he saidsays
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/tennis/2008-06-25-spanish-success_N.htm
Forget the very visible difference in the playing conditions everyone refers to for the moment; name the one player who has come out to denounce the above. One.
Instead you've elected to go with:
1- N_F's break % analysis. Firstly, I'll go out on a limb here and say that the analyst in question, objectivity is at best, "challenged".
Let's suspend disbelief for the moment and trust N_F's numbers as is. I would also ask where did the raw data for that analysis come from? ATPTour.com?
I tried to duplicate his numbers and started with '94 and '95 Wimbledon. I got as far as:
Yevgeny Kafelnikov v. Laurence Tieleman 1R '94
won by YK: 7-5, 6-7(5), 7-5, 6-7(5), 11-9
the stats for that match say there were 10 breaks in 48 return games played.
Interesting in that 60 return games played in that match.
http://www.atpworldtour.com/Share/Match-Facts-Pop-Up.aspx?t=540&y=1994&r=1&p=K267
Marc-Kevin Goellner v. David Prinosil 1R '95
won by Goellner 6-4, 6-7(7), 4-6, 6-3, 13-11
Again the stats say 9 breaks in 41 return games played, except there were 65 return games played.
http://www.atpworldtour.com/Share/Match-Facts-Pop-Up.aspx?t=540&y=1995&r=1&p=G252
It's not just 5 setters that are a problem.
Cristiano Caratti v. Guillaume Raoux 1R '95
The stats stated there were 3 breaks in 12 return games, except that the score line was:
6-4, 0-1 RET.
11 games played, not 12.
So even if N_F was unbiased, the stats he most likely based them on are notoriously unreliable.
2- Then you attempt to link hardcourt results to grass court results, when for most people who have watched the game for any period of time will tell you there are at least as many examples of players who have their best results on hardcourts, even fast hardcourts who have no traction on grass and/or Wimbledon in particular.
One you should be familiar with is James Blake.
Blake is 7-8 Lifetime at Wimbledon.
You've already stated that you started watching tennis in '98. Evidently you believe that right from the get go, within 3 years you evidently grasped entirely, what you were seeing then. Then instead of heeding what all those listed above are saying, you latch onto stats in a vacuum, provided by a historically biased poster, based on raw data most likely collected from a historically very unreliable source.
God bless.
5