Megafanoftennis100
Hall of Fame
I know that, at first glance, the title of this post may sound somewhat crazy, but please hear me out.
After watching the Roland Garros and Wimbledon finals this year, it is beyond clear that Sinner has figured out Alcaraz on natural surfaces. All it would've taken Sinner to beat Alcaraz in 4 sets at BOTH RG and Wimbledon as well as win 4 Slams in a row (The Sinner Slam) was if he had converted just one of the triple championship points at RG instead of spraying uncharacteristic errors out of nervousness. But at Wimbledon this year, his game has evidently become choke-free.
And it should be obvious to anyone who has been watching tennis with open eyes over the past 2 years that Alcaraz has zero chance of winning the Australian Open as long as Sinner is present. I mean, Carlos couldn't even beat a 38 year old injured Djokovic there. Sinner would've eaten Carlos alive if they met at the AO this year (and last year too).
At the US Open, I'd say Alcaraz also has zero chances because he almost lost to Sinner there back in 2022 - when Alcaraz was actually BETTER at the US Open than he is now and Sinner was far WORSE than now.
At the US Open, current Sinner (if he plays like he did in 2024) >> 2022 Sinner = 2022 Alcaraz > current Alcaraz
So really, I do not see any Slam where Alcaraz is "safe" from Sinner.
Furthermore, so far, Alcaraz has won 4* Slam titles (2 Wimbledon titles, 1* RG title, 1 USO title), but he has never shown a truly dominant run in any of them. He has been taken to five sets multiple times by players he should've beaten much more convincingly, and has even had to save match points (or at least, "de facto" match points) on multiple occasions.
On the other hand, Sinner has been nothing short of utterly dominant in three out of the four Slams he has won so far. So really, what is to stop him from defeating Carlos in every GS final in the future?
After watching the Roland Garros and Wimbledon finals this year, it is beyond clear that Sinner has figured out Alcaraz on natural surfaces. All it would've taken Sinner to beat Alcaraz in 4 sets at BOTH RG and Wimbledon as well as win 4 Slams in a row (The Sinner Slam) was if he had converted just one of the triple championship points at RG instead of spraying uncharacteristic errors out of nervousness. But at Wimbledon this year, his game has evidently become choke-free.
And it should be obvious to anyone who has been watching tennis with open eyes over the past 2 years that Alcaraz has zero chance of winning the Australian Open as long as Sinner is present. I mean, Carlos couldn't even beat a 38 year old injured Djokovic there. Sinner would've eaten Carlos alive if they met at the AO this year (and last year too).
At the US Open, I'd say Alcaraz also has zero chances because he almost lost to Sinner there back in 2022 - when Alcaraz was actually BETTER at the US Open than he is now and Sinner was far WORSE than now.
At the US Open, current Sinner (if he plays like he did in 2024) >> 2022 Sinner = 2022 Alcaraz > current Alcaraz
So really, I do not see any Slam where Alcaraz is "safe" from Sinner.
Furthermore, so far, Alcaraz has won 4* Slam titles (2 Wimbledon titles, 1* RG title, 1 USO title), but he has never shown a truly dominant run in any of them. He has been taken to five sets multiple times by players he should've beaten much more convincingly, and has even had to save match points (or at least, "de facto" match points) on multiple occasions.
On the other hand, Sinner has been nothing short of utterly dominant in three out of the four Slams he has won so far. So really, what is to stop him from defeating Carlos in every GS final in the future?