Will djoker’s numbers be surpassed in our lifetime?

I can’t see it happening as this new group of guys are all missing that fire and drive that the older generation had. The younger they get, the lazier and more complacent they seem to be. None of them have that same tennis IQ as well
 
No. But not because of some attack on the younger generation that you've done OP. Just because of how good the numbers are and the fact his body is just insane and has held up so well.
 
No. But not because of some attack on the younger generation that you've done OP. Just because of how good the numbers are and the fact his body is just insane and has held up so well.

Just playing devils advocate, why do you assume that similar advancements in medicine and sports science can't lead to continued gains in physical fitness, longevity, endurance, etc. as we have already seen over the last couple of decades? What makes you think Djokovic has achieved the peak of what will be possible for the next 50+ years?

It seems more likely than not that the records will be surpassed, based on the current rate of gains in the longevity of pro athletes.
 
Just playing devils advocate, why do you assume that similar advancements in medicine and sports science can't lead to continued gains in physical fitness, longevity, endurance, etc. as we have already seen over the last couple of decades? What makes you think Djokovic has achieved the peak of what will be possible for the next 50+ years?

It seems more likely than not that the records will be surpassed, based on the current rate of gains in the longevity of pro athletes.
Cause we haven’t seen it for the young guys lol. If anything the bodies are getting worse with the young guys. Alcaraz is barely 20 and he's already missed a slam (this years Aus Open) and lost at another one due to cramping. Djokovic played 51 consecutive slams until the 2017 US Open.

No tennis athlete will ever have the body/lack of injuries like Novak.
 
Alcaraz is barely 20 and he's already missed a slam (this years Aus Open) and lost at another one due to cramping. Djokovic played 51 consecutive slams until the 2017 US Open.

No tennis athlete will ever have the body/lack of injuries like Novak.

Very myopic
 
Very myopic
Why not actually come up with a reply instead of just saying that? Tell me, have you seen anything in the last 13 years that shows that the advancements in medicine and sports science has made the next generation better in longevity or endurance? We’ve seen how a number of young male players have openly said they’d prefer B03. We see cramping so much more than we did when I watched the sport growing up. The youngsters are missing slams and Masters all the time.

What is it that you’re seeing that I’m not? I don’t see literally anyone consistently holding up with these so called advancements. The one that is doing well is Alcaraz and what did I say in my post? Already missed a slam and lost another due to injury this early on. Djokovic played 51 straight.
 
Why not actually come up with a reply instead of just saying that? Tell me, have you seen anything in the last 13 years that shows that the advancements in medicine and sports science has made the next generation better in longevity or endurance? We’ve seen how a number of young male players have openly said they’d prefer B03 as their bodies aren’t holding up. We see cramping so much more than we did when I watched the sport growing up. The youngsters are missing slams and Masters all the time.

What is it that you’re seeing that I’m not? I don’t see literally anyone consistently doing well. The one that is doing it is Alcaraz and what did I say in my post? Already missed a slam this early on. Djokovic played 51 straight.

You simply don't understand the way of the sporting world. In time, the legacies of the big three will not be dissimilar to that of Rod Laver's today. It is inevitable as medicine and sports science continue to advance what was thought of as possible for modern athletes. It's more difficult to measure in slow motion or real-time, particularly as Djokovic is still active. But give it 20-30 years and the gap in the average athletic ability/prowess between the modern tennis player and today's average tennis player will be glaring. This has happened in every single sport in the world over time - sometimes it takes a little less, sometimes a little more, but it is inevtiable.
 
Cause we haven’t seen it for the young guys lol. If anything the bodies are getting worse with the young guys. Alcaraz is barely 20 and he's already missed a slam (this years Aus Open) and lost at another one due to cramping. Djokovic played 51 consecutive slams until the 2017 US Open.

No tennis athlete will ever have the body/lack of injuries like Novak.
I wouldn’t go as far to say there will never “ever” be another tennis athlete with the body/lack of injuries as Novak but definitely agree it will be none of the currently active players.
 
You simply don't understand the way of the sporting world. In time, the legacies of the big three will not be dissimilar to that of Rod Laver's today. It is inevitable as medicine and sports science continue to advance what was thought of as possible for modern athletes. It's more difficult to measure in slow motion or real-time, particularly as Djokovic is still active. But give it 20-30 years and the gap in the average athletic ability/prowess between the modern tennis player and today's average tennis player will be glaring. This has happened in every single sport in the world over time - sometimes it takes a little less, sometimes a little more, but it is inevtiable.
That might be true for the “average” player but at the very top, which is what we are talking here, the gap of athleticism between different eras is always widely exaggerated. Guys like Wilt or Russel could compete with basketball players of today in terms of athletic ability, there are several track and field records from the 80s/90s still standing etc. Fact is it becomes obvious that nobody of the young players of today show signs that they can compete with Novak in terms of athleticism/lack of injuries and whether any of the next generations produces such a player remains to be seen. Apart from longevity and not getting injured such a player would also need to be extremely (GOAT level) talented to come anywhere close to Novak’s records. I would also not expect that there will be so much room anymore for physical improvements due to nutrition/advances in medicine etc. At some point, we will reach the limit.
 
Why do you assume there will be no great players in the next 15 years lol?
Let's say to become an ATG you need at least 6 Slams:

Connors - 1952
Borg - 1956 (+4)
McEnroe - 1959 (+3)
Lendl - 1960 (+1)
Wilander - 1964 (+4)
Edberg - 1966 (+2)
Becker - 1967 (+1)
Agassi - 1970 (+3)
Sampras - 1971 (+1)
Federer - 1981 (+10)
Nadal - 1986 (+5)
Djokovic - 1987 (+1)
Alcaraz (potentially) - 2003 (+16)

Not 15 maybe, but even 5-6 is more than enough for him to rack up half of Djokovic's numbers just because Djokovic is 36 years old himself and the time is running out for him while Alcaraz is slowly entering his prime. By 2027/2028 Alcaraz can easily be sitting on double digit Slams.

Also you'd think even if there was a younger ATG than Alcaraz at 17-18 you'd hear about him breaking through in the Challengers or lower tier ATP tournaments. I heard about Alcaraz for the first time when he was like 15 or 16. Nothing new since he came up.
 
Let's say to become an ATG you need at least 6 Slams:

Connors - 1952
Borg - 1956
McEnroe - 1959
Lendl - 1960
Wilander - 1964
Edberg - 1966
Becker - 1967
Agassi - 1970
Sampras - 1971
Federer - 1981
Nadal - 1986
Djokovic - 1987
Alcaraz (potentially) - 2003

Not 15 maybe, but even 5-6 is more than enough for him to rack up half of Djokovic's numbers just because Djokovic is 36 years old himself and the time is running out for him while Alcaraz is slowly entering his prime. By 2027/2028 Alcaraz can easily be sitting on double digit Slams.

Till how long do you think Djokovic could hang with Alcaraz?
 
Guys like Wilt or Russel could compete with basketball players of today in terms of athletic ability, there are several track and field records from the 80s/90s still standing etc.

There is no freaking chance. While I'm willing to entertain the idea that Russell was similarly athletically gifted to today's athletes, the gap in skill is otherwise immeasurable. The games only advance. I see your track and field examples and raise you the fact that Michael Phelps has now lost every single one of his noteworthy individual world records. Bill Russell would be Tyrus Thomas or Stromile Swift in today's NBA, unironically.

This stuff is intuitive, too. These sports are now more global and accessible than ever, which means there is a larger pool of competition and more barriers to entry. The cream rises to the top. Of course we're seeing greater athletic performances today than we used to. Team USA Basketball isn't playing teams to the level of Angola 1992 anymore - Spain, Argentina, Canada etc. are not such slouches. Steph Curry can do things that no one could dream of pre-merger.

There isn't a sport in the world that won't significantly advance over a 30-year period, unless of course that sport is becoming less popular and less frequently pursued.
 
Till how long do you think Djokovic could hang with Alcaraz?
I honestly thing he's done a great job to have split the meetings with him at 2-2, if Alcaraz won Cincinnati I think this would've been over, maybe Djokovic could've snatched one last AO or something.

But even there Djokovic has to pretty much redline to be dead even with Alcaraz and Alcaraz isn't even in his prime yet. Until next year max. By 2025 Alcaraz should be firmly in control at 22 vs a 38-year old Djokovic.

Djokovic-Alcaraz this year feels a bit like 2003 Agassi-Federer. Once Alcaraz takes over he'll take over for good. Like Agassi in 2004-2005 against Fed Djokovic will still be good enough to win sets vs Alcaraz even push him to 5, but I don't think he'll beat him again once Alcaraz cleans his game and starts reaching his prime.
 
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I can’t see it happening as this new group of guys are all missing that fire and drive that the older generation had. The younger they get, the lazier and more complacent they seem to be. None of them have that same tennis IQ as well
Djokovic stayed around to try to overtake the records. If possible, he would try to stay long enough to pass Nadal's French Open haul of 14. But that's not going to happen. Everything else is attainable though.
I can see another great player coming through during a relatively ordinary or weak era and running roughshod and winning everything and passing 20+ majors. Maybe in the next 10-20 years.
Not sure it will be Alcaraz. Likely someone else will do it.
 
For this to happen a player needs to be as talented, as dedicated, mentally strong, physically strong, keep body in great shape for 20 years, great fitness/stamina and insane drive to be the best.

The closest we have to this is Alcaraz right now but there are still unknowns. The big 3 were obsessed with being the best and had every attribute required to make it happen.

At this point in time only Alcaraz seems capable but it’s a very long way to maintain it.

While medicine and athletes these days can go longer which makes it more possible the flip side is more players now just aren’t as driven and loss interest quicker. There is to much social media or other distractions these days that could prevent it from happening too.

The big 3 grew up before the majority of that came in the main were built different to the rest. Maybe Alcaraz or someone can follow their path but it’s still to early to know.

Time will tell
 
You simply don't understand the way of the sporting world. In time, the legacies of the big three will not be dissimilar to that of Rod Laver's today. It is inevitable as medicine and sports science continue to advance what was thought of as possible for modern athletes. It's more difficult to measure in slow motion or real-time, particularly as Djokovic is still active. But give it 20-30 years and the gap in the average athletic ability/prowess between the modern tennis player and today's average tennis player will be glaring. This has happened in every single sport in the world over time - sometimes it takes a little less, sometimes a little more, but it is inevtiable.
Don’t try to tell me that I don’t understand the sporting world. You couldn’t even answer me that nothing in the last 13 years has given any indication that newer generations are improving in longevity or endurance. They’re getting worse. Nobody is coming anywhere close to what Djokovic did and does and it’s looking awful. Point to me to someone where people are looking good. Your playing in hypotheticals, I deal with reality.
 
For this to happen a player needs to be as talented, as dedicated, mentally strong, physically strong, keep body in great shape for 20 years, great fitness/stamina and insane drive to be the best.

The closest we have to this is Alcaraz right now but there are still unknowns. The big 3 were obsessed with being the best and had every attribute required to make it happen.

At this point in time only Alcaraz seems capable but it’s a very long way to maintain it.

While medicine and athletes these days can go longer which makes it more possible the flip side is more players now just aren’t as driven and loss interest quicker. There is to much social media or other distractions these days that could prevent it from happening too.

The big 3 grew up before the majority of that came in the main were built different to the rest. Maybe Alcaraz or someone can follow their path but it’s still to early to know.

Time will tell
Alcaraz has already missed a slam with injury and lost another one due to cramping. Djokovic played 51 slams straight. No athlete will come close to the body of Djokovic.

Unless you believe @weakera despite providing nothing to back it up with. Apparently medicine and sports science is coming to make someone eclipse Djokovic.
 
Djokovic stayed around to try to overtake the records. If possible, he would try to stay long enough to pass Nadal's French Open haul of 14. But that's not going to happen. Everything else is attainable though.
I can see another great player coming through during a relatively ordinary or weak era and running roughshod and winning everything and passing 20+ majors. Maybe in the next 10-20 years.
Not sure it will be Alcaraz. Likely someone else will do it.
It’s possible but there is no guarantee. It will probably be broken but it maybe when we all gone, who knows?

A player needs to basically have everything the big 3 had a maintain it and the drive for 20 years. Alcaraz or Someone might do it but it’s still tough.

It is like golf where Jack Nicklaus still holds the record despite at one point it looked like tiger woods would pass him. In the end he hasn’t and golf players usually have a longer window to achieve it.

Same in darts. Will anyone beat Phil Taylor’s records. That seems very difficult to see considering what he did, how talented and dedicated he was.

Alcaraz is the best chance until we see another but it’s hard to see now.
 
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Don’t try to tell me that I don’t understand the sporting world. You couldn’t even answer me that nothing in the last 13 years has given any indication that newer generations are improving in longevity or endurance. They’re getting worse. Nobody is coming anywhere close to what Djokovic did and does and it’s looking awful. Point to me to someone where people are looking good. Your playing in hypotheticals, I deal with reality.

Longevity is undoubtedly better on the tour today than it was 13-years ago, are you serious? Roddick retired at 30 and no one blinked an eye, that was more recent than 13 years ago. Today Isner is retiring at 38, that's how suddenly perception and normality has changed regarding longevity in tennis.

Lol get lost with this nonsense
 
You simply don't understand the way of the sporting world. In time, the legacies of the big three will not be dissimilar to that of Rod Laver's today. It is inevitable as medicine and sports science continue to advance what was thought of as possible for modern athletes. It's more difficult to measure in slow motion or real-time, particularly as Djokovic is still active. But give it 20-30 years and the gap in the average athletic ability/prowess between the modern tennis player and today's average tennis player will be glaring. This has happened in every single sport in the world over time - sometimes it takes a little less, sometimes a little more, but it is inevtiable.
Early on but not at this point. Players are approaching the human ceiling.

You could argue that players will have Olympic sprinter speed and be able to dunk and do the splits. Guess what, that's Monfils 15 years ago.
 
Alcaraz has already missed a slam with injury and lost another one due to cramping. Djokovic played 51 slams straight. No athlete will come close to the body of Djokovic.

Unless you believe @weakera despite providing nothing to back it up with. Apparently medicine and sports science is coming to make someone eclipse Djokovic.
It’s hard to say either way. You are correct though. Alcaraz body seems vulnerable to injury so that’s a slight worry for him. He needs to manage his body better.

On the positive for him he’s already won more slams than Fed and djoko did at same age. Only youngdal was as good by age of 20.

I think though there are many obstacles in Alcaraz way just like for any player. A lot has got to go right and you need that bit of luck too for everything to align.

We will have to see.
 
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Early on but not at this point. Players are approaching the human ceiling.

That is definitely not true. Just for example, eventually the legal human ceiling will be beyond what Barry Bonds and Lance Armstrong achieved - once that is done cleanly, we'll know we're approaching a new human ceiling.

Monfils for all of his gifts has a less tennis-appropriate physique and makeup than Djokovic
 
Longevity is undoubtedly better on the tour today than it was 13-years ago, are you serious? Roddick retired at 30 and no one blinked an eye, that was more recent than 13 years ago. Today Isner is retiring at 38, that's how suddenly perception and normality has changed regarding longevity in tennis.

Lol get lost with this nonsense
Is this a joke? Babe, Rod Laver retired at 37. That was in the 1970s. Yet you're acting like John Isner is the future for longevity? Oh and ISNER is your benchmark? Of all people? A servebot who barely moves on court? You're just showing how hilariously wrong you are.

Look at the players, nobody is ever coming close to Djokovic's body. Alcaraz is the closest and he's missed a slam already and lost another due to injury.

Seriously "get lost" with this idiocy that anyone will come close to having a fitness and lack of injuries like Novak.
 
Is this a joke? Babe, Rod Laver retired at 37. That was in the 1970s. Yet you're acting like John Isner is a miracle? And that's your benchmark? A servebot who barely moves on court? You're just showing how hilariously wrong you are.

The only reason I cite Isner as an example is to serve as contrast to Roddick. In tennis, retiring as young as Roddick did used to be completely normal - as recently as when Roddick retired in 2012. Today if a top player/slam winner/former #1 retired at age 30 it would send shockwaves through the sport. You can be obtuse if you'd like but the point is evident. I never stated that no one made it to 35+ in tennis - the point that you need help understanding is that 30 was more of the norm and 35+ the outlier whereas today, things are flipped around.

You not understanding how dramatically the perception surrounding tennis longevity has shifted in the last decade or so is hilarious.
 
Is this a joke? Babe, Rod Laver retired at 37. That was in the 1970s. Yet you're acting like John Isner is a miracle? And that's your benchmark? A servebot who barely moves on court? You're just showing how hilariously wrong you are.
I love what you're doing here. The feminist/woke kind of arguing that the left just loves.

Argument: "men on average are stronger than women"
Feminist: "but I know this girl who is pretty strong"

Laver was an outlier. Connors was an outlier. For decades until the last 5-10 years maybe it was the norm to retire at 30-34. Just because you can name a couple of players who kept on playing at 35, 36, 37 doesn't mean that on average they played longer. Now I would say it's easily in the 36-38 range. Tons of player hanging on until 36+, Monfils at 37 literally just came back and beat a couple of noobs as we speak. Even someone able to produce decent tennis at 38-40 isn't shocking anymore - Fed, Karlovic, Haas, Wawrinka and that's just off the top of my head. Djokovic and broken hip Murray will be there too probably. Watch Bautista-Agut still cause upsets in the future when he's 35+ himself.
 
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The only reason I cite Isner as an example is to serve as contrast to Roddick. In tennis, retiring as young as Roddick did used to be completely normal - as recently as when Roddick retired in 2012. Today if a top player/slam winner/former #1 retired at age 30 it would send shockwaves through the sport. You can be obtuse if you'd like but the point is evident. I never stated that no one made it to 35+ in tennis - the point that you need help understanding is that 30 was more of the norm and 35+ the outlier whereas today, things are flipped around.

You not understanding how dramatically the perception surrounding tennis longevity has shifted in the last decade or so is hilarious.
It would be near impossible for any male slam champion to retire before the age of 30 since Djokovic and Nadal hold almost all the slams of the active players. Remove Cilic, Murray & Wawrinka who are 30+ and Thiem who is 30 in about 10 days and that leaves Medvedev and Alcaraz lmao.

And unsurprisingly you are still not understanding the point that NOBODY is getting close to Djokovic. No players body is holding up or will ever hold up to his. That's the clear thing here. I can't convince you otherwise. :rolleyes:
 
It would be near impossible for any male slam champion to retire before the age of 30 since Djokovic and Nadal hold almost all the slams of the active players. Remove Cilic, Murray & Wawrinka who are 30+ and Thiem who is 30 in about 10 days and that leaves Medvedev and Alcaraz lmao.

And unsurprisingly you are still not understanding the point that NOBODY is getting close to Djokovic. No players body is holding up or will ever hold up to his. That's the clear thing here. I can't convince you otherwise. :rolleyes:


You remind me of the 105-year old nursing home patient who used to live in my neighborhood who insists that no one will ever reach the level of Bill Tilden
 
I love what you're doing here. The feminist/woke kind of arguing that the left just loves.

Argument: "men on average are stronger than women"
Feminist: "but I know this girl who is pretty strong"

Laver was an outlier. Connors was an outlier. For decades until the last 5-10 years maybe it was the norm to retire at 30-34. Just because you can name a couple of players who kept on playing at 35, 36, 37 doesn't mean that on average they played longer. Now I would say it's easily in the 36-38 range. Tons of player hanging on until 36+, Monfils at 37 literally just came back and beat a couple of noobs as we speak.
Oh god, as soon as you said feminist/woke and "left" I just laughed. Your obsession with gender politics is so disturbing. The way you bring woke/feminism/the left into discussions that have nothing to do with it is concerning. Seek help babe. :(

And just a cringe like from you @weakera. Thought you would be above such a thing.
 
Imagine one big 3 member without the other 2 for 15 years.

That's starting in 2024.
I believe some numbers will be surpassed, any of the big 3 would have 500+ weeks, 50 masters and 30+ slams by now without the other two. Carlos have a lots of potential, if no other kid step up, everything is possible...
 
Oh god, as soon as you said feminist/woke and "left" I just laughed. Your obsession with gender politics is so disturbing. The way you bring woke/feminism/the left into discussions that have nothing to do with it is concerning. Seek help babe. :(

And just a cringe like from you @weakera. Thought you would be above such a thing.

I don't discriminate in my like giving, if someone posts something that I like, I smash the like button
 
Oh god, as soon as you said feminist/woke and "left" I just laughed. Your obsession with gender politics is so disturbing. The way you bring woke/feminism/the left into discussions that have nothing to do with it is concerning. Seek help babe. :(

And just a cringe like from you @weakera. Thought you would be above such a thing.
Cause this is exactly what you're doing lol. Can't lose an argument when you have one example that disproves it, innit?

Argument: "back in the day tennis players on average retired 2-4 years earlier than tennis players today"
Aussie Daisy: "but Laver retired at 37"

and?

It's a clear change of trend in the last couple of years. I don't even have to look at the numbers to know it's the case. Wanna make a case for yourself go do on average retirement age of the top 100 players in the last 30-40 seasons and then come back to me. It's rare if somebody retires before their 35th birthday today. And of course now you can bring in Del Potro in the discussion just to prove that I'm wrong, "babe"

But to be fair, the age of players maturing ON AVERAGE (before you bring in Alcaraz) and reaching their prime shifted a couple of years too. The last truly great teenager until Alcaraz came was Nadal almost 20 years ago. There was a platoon of great 18-19-year old players 20-40 years back, so if you wanna argue anything you can argue that the career span of players of "solid tour years" is roughly the same.
 
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Something will change that will make it more likely than as things currently stand. A 5th major being created, changes to ranking systems, a continuation of the currently poor talent levels of next gen players (bar Alcaraz).
 
That is definitely not true. Just for example, eventually the legal human ceiling will be beyond what Barry Bonds and Lance Armstrong achieved - once that is done cleanly, we'll know we're approaching a new human ceiling.

Monfils for all of his gifts has a less tennis-appropriate physique and makeup than Djokovic
You don't know if it's true or not.
 
There is no freaking chance. While I'm willing to entertain the idea that Russell was similarly athletically gifted to today's athletes, the gap in skill is otherwise immeasurable. The games only advance. I see your track and field examples and raise you the fact that Michael Phelps has now lost every single one of his noteworthy individual world records. Bill Russell would be Tyrus Thomas or Stromile Swift in today's NBA, unironically.
Russel and Wilt would still dominate today. Those guys were almost Olympic level in Decathlon. Russ high jumped more than 2 metres while Wilt played 48.5 minutes per game over a whole season at faster pace. Cannot see many (if any) player of today repeating that feat. As for skill level: keep in mind, that shoes, courts etc. were all crap compared to today, there were far stricter rules on travelling and far more lenient rules on fouls. Wilt and Russ would be ATGs in any era no question.
I see your track and field examples and raise you the fact that Michael Phelps has now lost every single one of his noteworthy individual world records. Bill Russell would be Tyrus Thomas or Stromile Swift in today's NBA, unironically.
And in the long jump Mike Powell’s record from 1991 still stands and I think Bob Beamon’s 8.90 from 1968 to this day was only broken twice. 100 meters or swimming also largely depends on equipment so I wouldn’t read too much into it (have to admit though Bolt is a one in a billion talent and likely way above anyone in history regardless of better shoes etc.).
This stuff is intuitive, too. These sports are now more global and accessible than ever, which means there is a larger pool of competition and more barriers to entry. The cream rises to the top. Of course we're seeing greater athletic performances today than we used to. Team USA Basketball isn't playing teams to the level of Angola 1992 anymore - Spain, Argentina, Canada etc. are not such slouches. Steph Curry can do things that no one could dream of pre-merger.
Djokovic comes from a country without much tennis tradition, Switzerland a country of 9 million people has produced two great players (one GOAT candidate) in the last 20 years while way bigger countries like the US or Germany haven’t produced anything. It is not as easy as saying larger talent pool = better players. Of course on average this holds true, but the emergence of a GOAT candidate depends so much on luck and circumstances that the differences are way smaller than one would expect. To think, that the best players of today are by default better than the best of the past only because the sport is more popular or because there are more people practicing it, is too simplistic.
 
I can’t see it happening as this new group of guys are all missing that fire and drive that the older generation had. The younger they get, the lazier and more complacent they seem to be. None of them have that same tennis IQ as well
If the competition remains as bad as you say, and Alcaraz has no competition in his 30s from a younger ATG (which is what happened to Djokovic and Nadal), then he will obliterate their records.
 
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