Will Jannik Sinner be the first non big 3 player to win 10+ titles in a single season

Thoughts


  • Total voters
    26

dking68

G.O.A.T.
He’s got a massive game for outdoor hard court, indoor hard court and he has shown talent on Clay giving breadsticks to Alcaraz in Umag 2022.

Will he be the first non big three player to win 10 and over titles in a season since 2000?
 

SonnyT

Legend
Sinner and Alcaraz are in a horse race.

Sinner can afford to take more time, since Carlos' dynamic game may be for the young only.
 
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Sinner more likely to do so. Sinner is better on indoor by a landslide. He only lost 2 matches on indoor hard last year.

Alcaraz is poor indoors, true. But I could imagine him one day winning something like this: Australian Open, Buenos Aires, Rio, Miami, Barcelona, Madrid, Roland Garros, Queen’s, Canada, Beijing.
 

dking68

G.O.A.T.
Alcaraz is poor indoors, true. But I could imagine him one day winning something like this: Australian Open, Buenos Aires, Rio, Miami, Barcelona, Madrid, Roland Garros, Queen’s, Canada, Beijing.
This will be his least successful slam due to the low bounce and speed of the court. I don’t see him winning more than 2 titles there in his career. ;)
 

Aussie Darcy

Bionic Poster
Don't see it happening.

Players haven't gotten close to winning 10 titles in a season in a while.

Here's a look at most titles per season this century:

2023: Djokovic - 7
2022: Alcaraz & Djokovic - 5
2021: Zverev - 6
2020: Rublev - 5
2019: Djokovic & Thiem - 5
2018: Nadal - 5
2017: Federer - 7
2016: Murray - 9
2015: Djokovic - 11
2014: Djokovic - 7
2013: Nadal - 10
2012: Ferrer - 7
2011: Djokovic - 10
2010: Nadal - 7
2009: Murray - 6
2008: Nadal - 8
2007: Federer - 8
2006: Federer - 12
2005: Federer & Nadal - 11
2004: Federer - 11
2003: Federer - 7
2002: Hewitt & Agassi - 5
2001: Hewitt & Kuerten - 6
2000: Safin - 7

Double digits haven't happened since 2015, Murray came close in 2016 with 9 but nobody won above 7 in the last 7 seasons. Only 6 of the last 24 seasons have had a player win 10+.
 

dking68

G.O.A.T.
Don't see it happening.

Players haven't gotten close to winning 10 titles in a season in a while.

Here's a look at most titles per season this century:

2023: Djokovic - 7
2022: Alcaraz & Djokovic - 5
2021: Zverev - 6
2020: Rublev - 5
2019: Djokovic & Thiem - 5
2018: Nadal - 5
2017: Federer - 7
2016: Murray - 9
2015: Djokovic - 11
2014: Djokovic - 7
2013: Nadal - 10
2012: Ferrer - 7
2011: Djokovic - 10
2010: Nadal - 7
2009: Murray - 6
2008: Nadal - 8
2007: Federer - 8
2006: Federer - 12
2005: Federer & Nadal - 11
2004: Federer - 11
2003: Federer - 7
2002: Hewitt & Agassi - 5
2001: Hewitt & Kuerten - 6
2000: Safin - 7

Double digits haven't happened since 2015, Murray came close in 2016 with 9 but nobody won above 7 in the last 7 seasons. Only 6 of the last 24 seasons have had a player win 10+.
Sinner 2024 >>> Zverev 2021. I’m sure Sinner can get 8 titles this season.
 
This will be his least successful slam due to the low bounce and speed of the court. I don’t see him winning more than 2 titles there in his career. ;)

Quite possibly true. But he just needs one of those two to occur in a season in which he sweeps a bunch of clay titles and at least one of IW and MI and he could get to 10. But you can take AO out and add USO instead to that list, if you prefer!
 

dking68

G.O.A.T.
Quite possibly true. But he just needs one of those two to occur in a season in which he sweeps a bunch of clay titles and at least one of IW and MI and he could get to 10. But you can take AO out and add USO instead to that list, if you prefer!
USO more likely. But Sinner will be favored on a hard court over the massively overhyped prodigious Spaniard.
 

ChrisRF

Legend
I think he will do it this year. Because even if Djokovic will get to his top form soon, he won't be everywhere. Sinner on the other hand will play quite a lot of tournaments AND is also at least a potential candidate to win any big event he enters.

I wouldn't even rule him out on clay after the recent developments.
 

pedro94

Semi-Pro
He can play very well on indoor and outdoor hard. Hence why Federer and Djokovic achieved 10+ titles more than once, unlike Nadal
2015: Djokovic - 11
2014: Djokovic - 7
2013: Nadal - 10
2012: Ferrer - 7
2011: Djokovic - 10
2010: Nadal - 7
2009: Murray - 6
2008: Nadal - 8
2007: Federer - 8
2006: Federer - 12
2005: Federer & Nadal - 11
2004: Federer - 11
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USO more likely. But Sinner will be favored on a hard court over the massively overhyped prodigious Spaniard.

Yes, Sinner should for the most part be favorite against him at both of the hard-court slams (and a fortiori indoors) - but not at Roland Garros, I think.

With Djokovic's loss last night, Sinner's path to #1 is probably a bit easier. He gets to #2 if he outdoes or equals Alcaraz at Indian Wells, but Miami could cause a delay. If he were to win IW, do you think he might withdraw from Miami? I hope he doesn't. It's fair enough to only play a few events in your 30s, but at 22, I think it's best to try to play almost all the major events. He could skip Monte Carlo instead.

Edit: I just saw that #2 doesn't depend only on equaling Alcaraz, because if he and Alcaraz both lost prior to the SF, Meddy would be #2 if he won IW. Either way, if Sinner makes the final of IW, he is #2 next week. If he loses the SF to someone other than Alcaraz, he is #2 next week.
 

dking68

G.O.A.T.
Yes, Sinner should for the most part be favorite against him at both of the hard-court slams (and a fortiori indoors) - but not at Roland Garros, I think.

With Djokovic's loss last night, Sinner's path to #1 is probably a bit easier. He gets to #2 if he outdoes or equals Alcaraz at Indian Wells, but Miami could cause a delay. If he were to win IW, do you think he might withdraw from Miami? I hope he doesn't. It's fair enough to only play a few events in your 30s, but at 22, I think it's best to try to play almost all the major events. He could skip Monte Carlo instead.

Edit: I just saw that #2 doesn't depend only on equaling Alcaraz, because if he and Alcaraz both lost prior to the SF, Meddy would be #2 if he won IW. Either way, if Sinner makes the final of IW, he is #2 next week. If he loses the SF to someone other than Alcaraz, he is #2 next week.
I think Sinner will win IW.
 

Sudacafan

Bionic Poster
That could only happen if Sinner's competition turns to be the Lost Gen.
He has only won a Slam and a M1000 so far. Are we allowed to ask this?
 

Sudacafan

Bionic Poster
Don't see it happening.

Players haven't gotten close to winning 10 titles in a season in a while.

Here's a look at most titles per season this century:

2023: Djokovic - 7
2022: Alcaraz & Djokovic - 5
2021: Zverev - 6
2020: Rublev - 5
2019: Djokovic & Thiem - 5
2018: Nadal - 5
2017: Federer - 7
2016: Murray - 9
2015: Djokovic - 11
2014: Djokovic - 7
2013: Nadal - 10
2012: Ferrer - 7
2011: Djokovic - 10
2010: Nadal - 7
2009: Murray - 6
2008: Nadal - 8
2007: Federer - 8
2006: Federer - 12
2005: Federer & Nadal - 11
2004: Federer - 11
2003: Federer - 7
2002: Hewitt & Agassi - 5
2001: Hewitt & Kuerten - 6
2000: Safin - 7

Double digits haven't happened since 2015, Murray came close in 2016 with 9 but nobody won above 7 in the last 7 seasons. Only 6 of the last 24 seasons have had a player win 10+.
This is helpful. Thanks.
 
Don't see it happening.

Players haven't gotten close to winning 10 titles in a season in a while.

Here's a look at most titles per season this century:

2023: Djokovic - 7
2022: Alcaraz & Djokovic - 5
2021: Zverev - 6
2020: Rublev - 5
2019: Djokovic & Thiem - 5
2018: Nadal - 5
2017: Federer - 7
2016: Murray - 9
2015: Djokovic - 11
2014: Djokovic - 7
2013: Nadal - 10
2012: Ferrer - 7
2011: Djokovic - 10
2010: Nadal - 7
2009: Murray - 6
2008: Nadal - 8
2007: Federer - 8
2006: Federer - 12
2005: Federer & Nadal - 11
2004: Federer - 11
2003: Federer - 7
2002: Hewitt & Agassi - 5
2001: Hewitt & Kuerten - 6
2000: Safin - 7

Double digits haven't happened since 2015, Murray came close in 2016 with 9 but nobody won above 7 in the last 7 seasons. Only 6 of the last 24 seasons have had a player win 10+.

It is tough to win ten titles in a year, but part of that recent history is the top players being 30+ from 2017 onwards and so playing a lighter schedule than Sinner (or Alcaraz) need to play at their ages.
 
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