Will Nadal win the Australian Open next year?

Will Nadal win the Australian Open next year?

  • yes

    Votes: 3 11.5%

  • no

    Votes: 23 88.5%
  • Total voters
    26
lambielspins

lambielspins

Banned
How many people here think Nadal will win the Australian Open next year? I think he is a lock for the Australian and French, but has no chance at Wimbledon and the U.S.
 
I don't think he has enough 2 take the aussie open, a lot of big hitters in the draw on the hard courts... And he can't avoid um all, and i think he'll get deep but not a winner... Same for Wimbledon think this year was a bit of a fluke(No disrespect it was a wonderful achievement)
 
Do you think organizers will speed up the courts at Wimby and especially at AO due to players complains? If AO will be faster i don not think he will.
 
scineram said:
Do you think organizers will speed up the courts at Wimby and especially at AO due to players complains? If AO will be faster i don not think he will.
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They definitely will. If Hewitt wants it faster they will cater to him. You will see faster courts next year for sure. Hopefully at Wimbledon too, since the event was basicaly the French Open twice this year, pathetic.
 
alienhamster said:
He will win the Aussie within the next couple of years. The surface seems to suit his game really well . . .
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I doubt he will ever win a slam outside of the French. I am serious.
 
cuddles26 said:
I doubt he will ever win a slam outside of the French. I am serious.
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Why, though? The AO is slow enough so that it's hard for the flatter players to blow him off the court, and the Rebound Ace makes his heavy topspin even more effective.
 
How many people in here have really played on Rebound Ace? I have and I gotta tell ya that it doesn't favour Nadal's spin as much as everyone think it will. Sure the courts are slower but it's not the same type of slow that you see in say a slow hardcort here in the states because they loaded it up with tons of sand. That court won't take his spin as well as it does in Indian Wells or PLO. So, again if he runs into a good hard court player, no way.
 
I dont think so. The differences in all the different kind of hard courts is much exagerrated. They are still hard courts. Safin(if he stays healthy), Federer, Roddick(if he keeps this form), all have a better then 50% chance vs him on rebound ace. Lots of dangerous big hitters who can take him out-Berdych, Blake, any of the Russian players. Nothing much changes from the U.S Open.
 
justineheninhoogenbandfan said:
I dont think so. The differences in all the different kind of hard courts is much exagerrated. They are still hard courts. Safin(if he stays healthy), Federer, Roddick(if he keeps this form), all have a better then 50% chance vs him on rebound ace. Lots of dangerous big hitters who can take him out-Berdych, Blake, any of the Russian players. Nothing much changes from the U.S Open.
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Yeah, my predictions:
* Federer (obvious reasons)
* Safin (if he uses this last 10 days as a 'platform' and stays on this high for the next quarter)
* Roddick (ditto)
 
Agreed. He isn't winning anything outside the French Open. There are way too many players flattening out their balls. I'm waiting for Federer to get used to that topspin though
 
alienhamster said:
Why, though? The AO is slow enough so that it's hard for the flatter players to blow him off the court, and the Rebound Ace makes his heavy topspin even more effective.
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Well considering that the weather is hot and the court is sticky it takes spin really well, I would say he's got a couple of Aussies in him. I can see him win a couple of them, maybe a Wimby too after this year. He's too good not to win other slams outside the French. Now I need the Fedfans to throw insults at me because I said that Nadal can win outside of clay.
 
edberg505 said:
How many people in here have really played on Rebound Ace? I have and I gotta tell ya that it doesn't favour Nadal's spin as much as everyone think it will. Sure the courts are slower but it's not the same type of slow that you see in say a slow hardcort here in the states because they loaded it up with tons of sand. That court won't take his spin as well as it does in Indian Wells or PLO. So, again if he runs into a good hard court player, no way.
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Well, I haven't played on Rebound Ace, though I'd love to at some point. But I have seen graphics on the different shots off of the surface, and it really did seem to take topspin shots and kick serves pretty high--at least higher than most other hardcourts I've seen.

I'm not certain that Nadal will win it, but it seems pretty likely. I definitely think he'd beat Federer more often than not on that surface. (Not so on grass, indoor, or fast hardcourt.)
 
I've heard the rebound ace has extreme traction, which would suit topspin shots. You can only speed that surface up so much as it's padded.
 
stormholloway said:
I've heard the rebound ace has extreme traction, which would suit topspin shots. You can only speed that surface up so much as it's padded.
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Well, I dunno. I didn't see my serves kicking any higher or out any wider. My served has much more action on a surface like PLO where the make up in the surface has a lot of sand. I guess we'll see.
 
Gilbert tends to think that Rafa would do extremely well in Melburn because the surface is slow and balls bounce very high. If they leave the surface the way it is, he def. has an excellent chance, he would rally till cows come home like he does on clay and grind everyone to dust. He will never win USO, though, unless they slow the surface down. But with american guys doing better on fast one, why would they lay down a slow court?
 
arosen said:
Gilbert tends to think that Rafa would do extremely well in Melburn because the surface is slow and balls bounce very high. If they leave the surface the way it is, he def. has an excellent chance, he would rally till cows come home like he does on clay and grind everyone to dust. He will never win USO, though, unless they slow the surface down. But with american guys doing better on fast one, why would they lay down a slow court?
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Please dont insinuate the Australian Open is now the equivalent of the French Open. It is not. It is slower then the U.S Open but if it was like another French Open you would not see Kiefer in the semis for example, or Bhagdatis in the final.

Nadal will still lose to the really good hard courts players who are suited style-wise to playing him, if they have an extremely good day.
 
What I think is that Nadal can win on any surface if he just works on it. I watched him play at Cincinnati and in the match against Ferrero he tried to play super defense and Juan Carlos was just taking it too him. But then Nadal would step in and take the ball early he has success. I also watched him play in practice and my friend could understand the conversations between Rafa and Tony and they were talking about taking the early and being more aggressive. In the match against Fererro Nadal started out playing aggressive but then he stopped once it got tight and he lost in two breakers (2 and 1). I think that if Rafa keeps practicing that he could and can win any tournament. But I still think that Fed will win because he is the best ever!!!
 
I think the key is to Nadal's game is how well he moves on clay. The movement on hard court is a lot different and him not being able to slide affects his game. Just like US players sliding on clay hurts them. I definitely don't think Australian Open favors Nadal close to as much as the French but Nadal has a chance to win there.
 
Federer will win IMO, the only reason he lost was because of his mentality, now with all records broken, I think he will be able to relax and play at his full potential. For the French, I think Rog and Rafa will play an extremely amazing 5 set with Nadal taking it.
 
weallwegot said:
Federer will win IMO, the only reason he lost was because of his mentality, now with all records broken, I think he will be able to relax and play at his full potential. For the French, I think Rog and Rafa will play an extremely amazing 5 set with Nadal taking it.
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I think if Murray can step it up he actually has the best shot, especially if Nadal and Federer take the USO and the MC. They'll be satiated, and probably take it easy during the off-season.

Federer's problem with Nadal is 60% match-up, and 40% mental. And while breaking Sampras' record certainly didn't hurt him, it still didn't come by defeating his #1 rival. And if Nadal is healthy I don't see him having trouble at RG next year, and on top of that I wonder if Federer will have the same motivation now that he's finally won it.
 
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