Wimbledon Contenders 2024

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
I legit think I would favor Grigolo over Med in a QF matchup. Dimitrov might genuinely be the third favorite for Wimbledon.
Possible. Although he looked awesome in Brisbane and then crashed in R3 in Australia.
But yes reaching QF is good result in RG so maybe he can build on it this time. In terms of skills, he is right up there with the best.
 

socallefty

G.O.A.T.
Last year’s semi finalists were Alcaraz, Medvedev, Sinner and Djokovic. Djokovic is out, but the others are playing well enough in the last year to get back there. I think OP is under-rating Fritz and Hurkacz as big serving can make up for return deficiencies on grass. Dimitrov could be a dark horse to make the semis.

Zverev just hasn’t showed the ability to move well enough on grass to be considered a top 5 contender at Wimbledon. Rublev, Ruud, Tsitsipas, Paul are more of a threat on slower surfaces than on grass. Rune and Shelton have the game to make the QFs and if they are in good form could make the semis with an upset.

Btw, Norrie has made a Wimbledon semifinal and who knows if he will be inspired again by the home crowd support.
 

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
Last year’s semi finalists were Alcaraz, Medvedev, Sinner and Djokovic. Djokovic is out, but the others are playing well enough in the last year to get back there. I think OP is under-rating Fritz and Hurkacz as big serving can make up for return deficiencies on grass. Dimitrov could be a dark horse to make the semis.

Zverev just hasn’t showed the ability to move well enough on grass to be considered a top 5 contender at Wimbledon. Rublev, Ruud, Tsitsipas, Paul are more of a threat on slower surfaces than on grass. Rune and Shelton have the game to make the QFs and if they are in good form could make the semis with an upset.
You are right. Zverev hasn't showed his form is good enough to reach semis. But I have to respect his results. I think he will bow out in QF.
But if these guys can make a run then so can Zverev who is playing at high level already.
 

socallefty

G.O.A.T.

2024 MEN'S WIMBLEDON ODDS​

  • Carlos Alcaraz +137
  • Jannik Sinner +162
  • Novak Djokovic +350
  • Daniil Medvedev +1600
  • Alexander Zverev +1600
  • Rafael Nadal +2000
  • Grigor Dimitrov +2500
  • Matteo Berrettini +2500
  • Hubert Hurkacz +2500
  • Alex De Minaur +3000
  • Holger Rune +3300
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas +3300
  • Taylor Fritz +3300
  • Ben Shelton +4000
  • Nick Kyrgios +5000
  • Casper Ruud +5000
  • Andrey Rublev +5000
  • Felix Auger Aliassime +5000
  • Sebastian Korda +6600
  • Andy Murray +6600
  • Cameron Norrie +6600
  • Milos Raonic +6600
  • Jan-Lennard Struff +6600
  • Alexander Bublik +8000
 

ND-13

Legend
Agree on Alcaraz, Sinner being heavy favorites

Raonic, Berretini , Hurcakz, Paul, Shelton and Shapavalov are the outside contenders to make QF/SF runs.

Medvedev, Rublev, Zverev will be very lucky to go beyond QF
 

Pheasant

Legend
My odds of winning Wimbledon:

1. Alcaraz 40%- Mr. Clutch and defending champion. He’s the obvious favorite.
2. Sinner 30%- semis last year + he has improved immensely.
3. Djoker 20%- his odds of even playng I’d guess are 50%. Thus, .4 x .5= 20% chance of winning.
4. Dimitrov- 5% this dude plays well at a slam once ever 3 years on average. That’s good enough for 4th place in my book.
5. Hurkacz- 3%. This dude’s serve is what gives him a 3% shot
 

The Guru

Legend
I don't think Dimi will do as well as people think but let's see.
He could easily crash and burn but if he keeps up his momentum he’s a tough out. How many players do you actually trust on grass now? It’s not like I have a ton of faith in Grigor it’s just there’s not really anyone else to have faith in.
 

Poisoned Slice

Bionic Poster
Smoking some Mary on a cross, sitting on Henman Hill, while Roger Federer returns to win the title. Meth has been banned this year. :p

I'm not really sure who I fancy. I'm thinking of considering Alcaraz, defending champion and all, I guess I just have to watch him win consecutive slams first.
 

jl809

Hall of Fame
I think you're overrating Med, Zed and Rublev, while underrating Alex de Minaur who's in career best form, likes grass and just made QF in his worst slam.

Alex de Minaur hits a flat ball, is offensive-minded (albeit underpowered), has a very good return game and knows how to move on grass. He's definitely not a top contender but I wouldn't leave him out of the conversation.

Another guy who plays attacking tennis and I think can play above his ranking is Ugo Humbert, who's also had career-best results in recent times.
Agreed, grass actually helps DeMemeable because it allows his low pace child rat groundstrokes to fly through the court quicker and do more damage
 

neytron

Semi-Pro
Dude made the SF through the softest draw imaginable. And when he finally had to play someone who had more than just a pulse and a will to live he got mauled.

1R: Arthur Fery - If you’re like me you’re probably asking yourself who is Arthur Fery? Well allow me to enlighten you dear friends. At the time of Wimby 2023 Fery was a spry 21 year old 5’8 munchkin with a tour level record of 0-1 in singles and was 1-1 in doubles. He has since improved his record to *checks notes* 0-1 in singles and 1-1 in doubles.

2R: Mannarino - My description of his threat level will be proportional to the number of hairs he has on his head starting now:

3R: Fucsovics - Besides having a very hilariously funny name to say in English the only other thing I can say about him is that he’s far more accomplished as a model than he is as a tennis player.

4R: Lehechka - Who was coming off of a very draining 5 setter the round before, and then proceeded to retire once down 2-0.

QF: Eubanks - Christopher was playing in his first ever Wimby main draw after failing to qualify for the tournament in 2018-2019, 2021-2022. His results in those qualifying draws were: Q1, Q2, Q1, Q2. He played in 4 other GS main draws (all on HC) before Wimby 2023. He went 0-4 in those appearances.
3 grass players isn't a weak draw, look at Sinner's draw last year. And Medvedev's serve was crap. He said his shoulder pain hasn't bothered him lately and he can practice his serve. So we can expect some improvements.
 

SpinToWin

Talk Tennis Guru
I legit think I would favor Grigolo over Med in a QF matchup. Dimitrov might genuinely be the third favorite for Wimbledon.
Would you put him ahead of Hurlacz? I feel people may be underrating Hubi in this thread, his game suits grass rather well.

And I love Dimi btw
 

SpinToWin

Talk Tennis Guru

2024 MEN'S WIMBLEDON ODDS​

  • Carlos Alcaraz +137
  • Jannik Sinner +162
  • Novak Djokovic +350
  • Daniil Medvedev +1600
  • Alexander Zverev +1600
  • Rafael Nadal +2000
  • Grigor Dimitrov +2500
  • Matteo Berrettini +2500
  • Hubert Hurkacz +2500
  • Alex De Minaur +3000
  • Holger Rune +3300
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas +3300
  • Taylor Fritz +3300
  • Ben Shelton +4000
  • Nick Kyrgios +5000
  • Casper Ruud +5000
  • Andrey Rublev +5000
  • Felix Auger Aliassime +5000
  • Sebastian Korda +6600
  • Andy Murray +6600
  • Cameron Norrie +6600
  • Milos Raonic +6600
  • Jan-Lennard Struff +6600
  • Alexander Bublik +8000
why is Rafa 6th please people lol
 

SpinToWin

Talk Tennis Guru
Agree on Alcaraz, Sinner being heavy favorites

Raonic, Berretini , Hurcakz, Paul, Shelton and Shapavalov are the outside contenders to make QF/SF runs.

Medvedev, Rublev, Zverev will be very lucky to go beyond QF
Good call on Berretini he could suddenly bring some form. But he needs to raise his level relative to what he is playing now to make it.
 

The Blond Blur

G.O.A.T.
3 grass players isn't a weak draw, look at Sinner's draw last year. And Medvedev's serve was crap. He said his shoulder pain hasn't bothered him lately and he can practice his serve. So we can expect some improvements.
3 grass players, where? I went through his entire draw and the only one you can make an argument for being a GC player is Mannarino…who was 35. Prior to last years Wimby his best run there was to the 4R. I don’t see any reason to expect he’ll replicate his results unless he a draw that weak again.
 

PMChambers

Hall of Fame
It's not getting the juices flowing. Feels like 500 quality wise.
Maybe they could pave it in green and paint "dead" patches 5m behind baseline every night. The best quality grass is making worst grass court tennis.
 

Humble Crumble

Semi-Pro
It's not getting the juices flowing. Feels like 500 quality wise.
Maybe they could pave it in green and paint "dead" patches 5m behind baseline every night. The best quality grass is making worst grass court tennis.

Whatever makes the Wimbledon courts as fast as they were 25 years ago, I approve.

Slow courts ruin tennis.
 

PMChambers

Hall of Fame
Whatever makes the Wimbledon courts as fast as they were 25 years ago, I approve.

Slow courts ruin tennis.
Wimbledon needed to change to remain relevant but it's got to the point where we know Wim is the lowest quality tennis due to the surface. It's like putting F1 on Home brand retreads or gravel. Sort of interesting but it's not best.
Poly hurt tennis more than any surface changes and TBH I think it helped Clay and Slower HC. Gritty courts increase the spin affects so Top Spin and Slice are more pronounced. There's more tactics on slow court now than fast.
Poly probably adversely affected club tennis. It magnifies ability levels and no one likes being destroyed.
 

Federev

G.O.A.T.
Possible. Although he looked awesome in Brisbane and then crashed in R3 in Australia.
But yes reaching QF is good result in RG so maybe he can build on it this time. In terms of skills, he is right up there with the best.

I think Novak is playing.

He’s gone into WB with no grass prep and won it all before.

His already putting plenty of pressure in the knee in his PT videos.

If Fritz can do it, Novak can do it better.
 

neytron

Semi-Pro
3 grass players, where? I went through his entire draw and the only one you can make an argument for being a GC player is Mannarino…who was 35. Prior to last years Wimby his best run there was to the 4R. I don’t see any reason to expect he’ll replicate his results unless he a draw that weak again.
Fucsovics's only slam quarters at Wimbledon. Eubanks won the grass tournament before Wimbledon.
 
I just want Alcaraz vs Sinner.
I legit think I would favor Grigolo over Med in a QF matchup. Dimitrov might genuinely be the third favorite for Wimbledon.

I just want anyone other than Alcaraz or Sinner.

I would absolutely love it if Dimitrov won Wimbledon. And I'm in some ways ready to believe in him one more time and be disappointed once more, but I'm also wary of Zizou Bergs in round 2.
 
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Poisoned Slice

Bionic Poster
Volley Highway will be rockin no matter the result.
Safaw.gif
 

InsuranceMan

Hall of Fame

2024 MEN'S WIMBLEDON ODDS​

  • Carlos Alcaraz +137
  • Jannik Sinner +162
  • Novak Djokovic +350
  • Daniil Medvedev +1600
  • Alexander Zverev +1600
  • Rafael Nadal +2000
  • Grigor Dimitrov +2500
  • Matteo Berrettini +2500
  • Hubert Hurkacz +2500
  • Alex De Minaur +3000
  • Holger Rune +3300
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas +3300
  • Taylor Fritz +3300
  • Ben Shelton +4000
  • Nick Kyrgios +5000
  • Casper Ruud +5000
  • Andrey Rublev +5000
  • Felix Auger Aliassime +5000
  • Sebastian Korda +6600
  • Andy Murray +6600
  • Cameron Norrie +6600
  • Milos Raonic +6600
  • Jan-Lennard Struff +6600
  • Alexander Bublik +8000
Best value imo: Struff, Dimitrov, Hurk, and if they bumped him a little further down after the 1st round L in STGT, Shelton

@Kralingen what catches your eye?
 

messiahrobins

Hall of Fame
If Djokovic plays W he will win it. On grass nobody is remotely close to him, he is arguably the greatest of all time on grass in terms of his modern game post 2016 when he developed that serve of his to go with his goat return.
Alcaraz beating him last year was wind assisted and i suspect a one off result between the pair on grass.
 

Kralingen

Bionic Poster
Best value imo: Struff, Dimitrov, Hurk, and if they bumped him a little further down after the 1st round L in STGT, Shelton

@Kralingen what catches your eye?
First of all Sinner and Carlos undervalued bc Djokovic is definitely not winning in a million years, he will almost certainly withdraw.

So the time to bet is now before they recalibrate odds.

Yeah I like Demon, Dim, Hurk, Struff (though he had to retire today, concerning), Berrettini, long shot Bublik and Felix.

To profit all you need is one of these long shot guys to make the QFs or SFs
 
If Djokovic plays W he will win it. On grass nobody is remotely close to him, he is arguably the greatest of all time on grass in terms of his modern game post 2016 when he developed that serve of his to go with his goat return.
Alcaraz beating him last year was wind assisted and i suspect a one off result between the pair on grass.
Alcaraz has the highest win percentage on grass with a 16-2 record. Sure small sample size but that works both ways as obviously being able to win multiple grass titles with the number of games played is extremely impressive
 
I think Novak is playing.

He’s gone into WB with no grass prep and won it all before.

His already putting plenty of pressure in the knee in his PT videos.

If Fritz can do it, Novak can do it better.
He shouldn’t rush back. Olympics is more a realistic target. It seems he will be back quicker than North American hard court swing I initially predicted. We will see.
 

kangaroo1973

New User
Watching Berrettini play in Stuttgart, he should be a dark horse. He is sooo comfortable on grass, I kinda feel sorry for him that back in 22, after winning Queens, Stuttgart back 2 back, he had contracted covid. I thought that he would reach at lrast semis.
So my prediction is ,that Berrettini is gonna reach SF or at least QF.
 
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