Made a large bet at 4.4 (+340) in March when I saw how ****ty Novak was playing and now again at much worse odds (2.75/+175) with the news that Novak’s knee is probably preventing him from playing.
However you can still get good value on Wimbledon for that exact reason by the way, the odds have still priced in Djovak’s odds. Although he has slipped to 3rd in odds, once he officially withdraws, Sinner and Carlos will both experience huge boosts in their odds so getting in now is smart.
I used this strategy for AO and USO ‘22 where I essentially made a calculated bet that Novak would not play due to vaccines, and got boosted futures odds for other players as a result. For example Alcaraz at huge + odds for USO 22 saved my boneheaded Nadal CYGS bets simply because of how big the payout was for him. Always looking for arbitrage. Hurkacz, Fritz, and Dimitrov are nice long shots too,
I don’t think you can really beat the books betting individual matches at Masters/Slams on a daily basis anymore. I mean you can bet momentum swings and live bet over/unders, but I mean pre match bets it’s just too difficult, the odds are too sharp nowadays. I used to bet ITF/Challenger matches during college/COVID, I would have multiple screens of it up during the ret but I’m just too old for it now and I have too much going on to track that much information. So futures bets are to me the best singular bet going right now, at least for me, because they offer great hedging opportunity and are often heavily mispriced. Apologies for the rant to your simple question, lol.