Would Federer have beaten Djokovic in the 2018 Wimbledon Final?

Who wins?

  • Djokovic in 3 sets

  • Djokovic in 4 sets

  • Djokovic in 5 sets

  • Federer in 3 sets

  • Federer in 4 sets

  • Federer in 5 sets


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gjm127

Professional
"If" poll.

Federer started the year on a 21-0 win streak. Bubble burst after wasting 3 MPs to Del Potro at Indian Wells Final but he was still having a good season having won Rotterdam and Stuttgart. He somehow found a way to lose to Anderson after leading 2-0 in the QF.

Djokovic... was almost nowhere to be seen for the previous year and a half. Pulls off a roller-coaster SF 5-setter win against Nadal and makes his way to an easy F win against Anderson.
 

Third Serve

G.O.A.T.
Djokovic was in clearly better form throughout that tournament so this answer isn't too difficult. Fed lost to Anderson in a very middling match while Djokovic beat Nadal in the highest-quality match in pretty much the last 7 years. A more simplified way (and maybe a bit inaccurate considering there's more nuance to this) would be to take the 2019 Wimbledon final and make Fed worse and Djokovic better. Then you've got the potential result.

Still, Fed would grab a set and probably make things tough on Djokovic for a little bit. My possible scoreline looks something like this:

5-7 6-4 6-4 6-3

Fed would start well but would fade away later on in the match, I think.
 
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Novak was still building confidence during that tournament after his year and a a half of poor form/injury. It wouldn't be guaranteed but probably 75-25 for Novak.
 

MeatTornado

G.O.A.T.
Can't see it. Fed was in really scratchy form throughout the whole summer of 2018. His ground game wasn't nearly good enough at the time to penetrate Novak's defenses.
 

BauerAlmeida

Professional
At the time I remember thinking Djokovic's big obstacle towards the title was Nadal in the SF, I didn't think Federer had a strong chance given the 2014 and 2015 finals (though 2014 was a five-setter, Djokovic choked the 4th). But given in 2019 it was a five-setter saving two MPs, I suppose 2018 could have been close too. 2017 would have been a great match had Djokovic not gotten injured against Berdych, he was playing well that Wimbledon, nothing like the rest of the season, and Federer didn't drop a set that tournament.
 
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