nolefam_2024
Bionic Poster
For quite a bit of time, I have been trying to find ways to see if a player is at Grand slam winning level. And this is what I have deduced.
1 thing I have seen is when a player is at very high level throughout the year, he is also huge threat at slams. But there are exceptions which I will try to discuss with time.
When a player is building up his skills, as he reaches maturing age physically, he will trade all out attacking game for increase in movement and stamina. Consistency is much bigger. As it happens there is generally rise in number of breaks of serves.
Breaks of serve is generally how big is your game after serves are in play. When a player matures physically, he is able to win more points on returns in play.
But you need to get returns back in play first. This is what maturing does, players learn how to return serves for maximum aggression to consistency ratio. As player matures, they go for more consistency on the return.
To me, return game is not just return, but its entire game from groundstrokes to dropshots, slices net game everything.
Second is serving. Serving is far too simplistic. You get better at it with repetition. Higher first serves in %, higher accuracy are critical.
But then there is higher serve +1 aggression as well. Greatest of the players at any season are mostly great at +1 aggression as well.
To me, service game can be heavily influenced by serve and +1 agression.
The mental stuff is secondary to me but these three things, getting fitter and getting first serves in better and having potent +1 are far more important.
With that said and going through early 2000s to now, there is a theme in great players dominating. I think this should be same for pre 2000s as well but may need some tweaking due to surface differences.
If your hold % and break % in season add up to 115, you are very strong contenders of winning slams and if you are not winning them, it is very likely due to competition or partly injuries.
This formula will give both holds and breaks adequate weights.
If your hold and break % in season doesn't even add up to 110, its very unlikely that you are winning slams.
- A player will reach slam winning level when his physicality is up to it.
- When return game is passing at least minimum criteria.
- When his serve improves.
- When his +1 aggression improves.
1 thing I have seen is when a player is at very high level throughout the year, he is also huge threat at slams. But there are exceptions which I will try to discuss with time.
When a player is building up his skills, as he reaches maturing age physically, he will trade all out attacking game for increase in movement and stamina. Consistency is much bigger. As it happens there is generally rise in number of breaks of serves.
Breaks of serve is generally how big is your game after serves are in play. When a player matures physically, he is able to win more points on returns in play.
But you need to get returns back in play first. This is what maturing does, players learn how to return serves for maximum aggression to consistency ratio. As player matures, they go for more consistency on the return.
To me, return game is not just return, but its entire game from groundstrokes to dropshots, slices net game everything.
Second is serving. Serving is far too simplistic. You get better at it with repetition. Higher first serves in %, higher accuracy are critical.
But then there is higher serve +1 aggression as well. Greatest of the players at any season are mostly great at +1 aggression as well.
To me, service game can be heavily influenced by serve and +1 agression.
The mental stuff is secondary to me but these three things, getting fitter and getting first serves in better and having potent +1 are far more important.
With that said and going through early 2000s to now, there is a theme in great players dominating. I think this should be same for pre 2000s as well but may need some tweaking due to surface differences.
If your hold % and break % in season add up to 115, you are very strong contenders of winning slams and if you are not winning them, it is very likely due to competition or partly injuries.
This formula will give both holds and breaks adequate weights.
If your hold and break % in season doesn't even add up to 110, its very unlikely that you are winning slams.
