Year-end title series(WTF, ATP Tour World Championships/Tennis Masters Cup) is quite rough on old players:

[Pheasant]

Year Winner age of winner
2019 ???
2018 Zverev 21
2017 Dimitrov 26
2016 Murray 29
2015 Djokovic 28
2014 Djokovic 27
2013 Djokovic 26
2012 Djokovic 25
2011 Federer 30
2010 Federer 29
2009 Davydenko 28
2008 Djokovic 21
2007 Federer 25
2006 Federer 24
2005 Nalbandian 23
2004 Federer 23
2003 Federer 22
2002 Hewitt 21
2001 Hewitt 20
2000 Kuerten 24
1999 Sampras 28
1998 Corretja 24
1997 Sampras 26
1996 Sampras 25
1995 Becker 28
1994 Sampras 23
1993 Stich 25
1992 Becker 25
1991 Sampras 20
1990 Agassi 20
Average age of winner: 24.7

 

[lud]

Where is Nadal?

Ahh,he didn't won WTF since there is no Rublev,Berrettini,Youzhny,Puerta...

 

[Pheasant]

This tourney is quite tough to win, since there are no cup cake draws. You cannot win a title while avoiding top-25 players everytime like you can in a slam event. As a result, it's been quite tough for old players to win this event.

This year, it appears that the trend will be broken. The Big 3 are in decent form. Hopefully, Nadal is 100% healthy for this upcoming tourney. It'd be great to see each of the Big 3 in great form.

 

[PeoplesChamp]

If any of the Big 3 win this edition, they'll be the oldest to ever do it.

 

[Druss]

For some it appears, 34-38 is the new peak. Boom! Just like that, the peak age miraculously jumped up 10 years.

 

[Third Serve]

If Federer won this year, how many points would the average jump?

 

[Phoenix1983]

Very good post @Pheasant.

Finally some illuminating stats in an OP (unlike the dross @AnOctorokForDinner serves up regularly).

1-2-3 before the Muscovite - probably a Putin supporter given his comments about women's tennis - requests for my post to be deleted.

 

[TripleATeam]

French Open winner:
2019 Nadal 33
2018 Nadal 32
2017 Nadal 31
2016 Djokovic 28
2015 Wawrinka 30
2014 Nadal 28
2013 Nadal 27
2012 Nadal 26
2011 Nadal 25
2010 Nadal 24
2009 Federer 27
2008 Nadal 22
2007 Nadal 21
2006 Nadal 20
2005 Nadal 19
2004 Gaudio 24
2003 Ferrero 23
2002 Costa 26
2001 Kuerten 24
2000 Agassi 29
1999 Sampras 28
1998 Moya 21
1997 Kuerten 20
1996 Kafelnikov 22
1995 Muster 27
1994 Bruguera 23
1993 Bruguera 22
1992 Courier 21
1991 Courier 20
1990 Gomez 30

Average age: 25.1

I think the French Open is also rough on old players.

Jokes aside, this is just a trend. Take historical returns over the last 30 years and you'll get around the age of 25 for winners of the tournaments. Your point can be made by looking at slam winners vs the YEC winners for those years - as the Big 3 get older, they're still winning all the slams, but the YEC is going elsewhere.

 

[Sport]

Where is Nadal?

Ahh,he didn't won WTF since there is no Rublev,Berrettini,Youzhny,Puerta...

The allusion to Puerta makes no sense, as 19 years old teenager Nadal defeated the #1 Federer, who was at the height of his powers, in the RG 2005 semifinal. In other words, Nadal defeated the toughest possible opponent in RG 2005, as Federer was clearly the second best clay player in the world in 2005. Only because Nadal defeated Federer in the semifinal and Puerta in the final it doesn't follow that it was a weak draw. The order of the opponents does not change the strength of the draw.

And at the USO 2019 Nadal defeated Medvedev, who has made 6 consecutive finals, leads the race post-Wimbledon, and has defeated twice Djokovic in 2019. Medvedev is the most in form player post-Wimbledon. So the USO 2019 does not count as weak draw either, if only for the level of the final's opponent.

At the USO 2017 Nadal defeated Del Potro, the same opponent that Djokovic had in the USO 2018 final. Del Potro may be considered a relatively weak opponent for the Big 3 standards, so I guess you can argue both the USO 2017 and the USO 2018 had relatively weak draws.

 

[RaulRamirez]

If Federer won this year, how many points would the average jump?

Off the top, about .44 year(s)
13.3 ÷30 ...hurried calculation.

 

[Hitman]

Year Winner age of winner
2019 ???
2018 Zverev 21
2017 Dimitrov 26
2016 Murray 29
2015 Djokovic 28
2014 Djokovic 27
2013 Djokovic 26
2012 Djokovic 25
2011 Federer 30
2010 Federer 29
2009 Davydenko 28
2008 Djokovic 21
2007 Federer 25
2006 Federer 24
2005 Nalbandian 23
2004 Federer 23
2003 Federer 22
2002 Hewitt 21
2001 Hewitt 20
2000 Kuerten 24
1999 Sampras 28
1998 Corretja 24
1997 Sampras 26
1996 Sampras 25
1995 Becker 28
1994 Sampras 23
1993 Stich 25
1992 Becker 25
1991 Sampras 20
1990 Agassi 20
Average age of winner: 24.7

It still is, but Djokovic managed to break the sequence with his recording breaking back to back wins in 2022 and 2023 at age 35 and 36.

 

[Pheasant]

It still is, but Djokovic managed to break the sequence with his recording breaking back to back wins in 2022 and 2023 at age 35 and 36.

This is an accomplishment of his that has been swept under the rug. But honestly, it’s one of the most amazing things I’ve ever seen. Bagging that tough tourney in back-to-back years at ages 35-36 is absolutely mind-blowing. All I can do is tip my hat to the guy for that one.

 

[Hitman]

This is an accomplishment of his that has been swept under the rug. But honestly, it’s one of the most amazing things I’ve ever seen. Bagging that tough tourney in back-to-back years at ages 35-36 is absolutely mind-blowing. All I can do is tip my hat to the guy for that one.

The faster conditions in Turin did help him. But he had some very tough encounters to win them. I remember his match against Medvedev, it was so intense, he was shaking from the physicality of it, when everyone was saying he should tank because he has semis and finals with no rest days after that match. The guy went 5-0.

In 2023, despite losing that opening match to Sinner, he really turned it around, and his back to back wins over Alcaraz and Sinner made it one of his best runs at any tournament towards the end.

But I think that is the limit, he is done now. So the new target is 36.5 years.

 

[Pheasant]

The faster conditions in Turin did help him. But he had some very tough encounters to win them. I remember his match against Medvedev, it was so intense, he was shaking from the physicality of it, when everyone was saying he should tank because he has semis and finals with no rest days after that match. The guy went 5-0.

In 2023, despite losing that opening match to Sinner, he really turned it around, and his back to back wins over Alcaraz and Sinner made it one of his best runs at any tournament towards the end.

But I think that is the limit, he is done now. So the new target is 36.5 years.

I saw that Medvedev match. That match was a barn-burner. Djoker had already clinched the semis. But he doesn’t tank any match. If he’s suiting up to play, then he’s bringing his best effort possible. And that’s the way it should be. Because at any time, it could be a fan’s first time ever seeing him play.

 

[Hitman]

I saw that Medvedev match. That match was a barn-burner. Djoker had already clinched the semis. But he doesn’t tank any match. If he’s suiting up to play, then he’s bringing his best effort possible. And that’s the way it should be. Because at any time, it could be a fan’s first time ever seeing him play.

Yes, he needed that win over Medvedev because their rivalry at the time was very close and competitive everywhere, he didn't want to let him qualify or to get that win. He basically put his own chances of winning the title in serious jeopardy as a result, because he was getting no days off. It was three matches in a row.

 

[BauerAlmeida]

This is an accomplishment of his that has been swept under the rug. But honestly, it’s one of the most amazing things I’ve ever seen. Bagging that tough tourney in back-to-back years at ages 35-36 is absolutely mind-blowing. All I can do is tip my hat to the guy for that one.

Because it doesn't fit the "inflation" narrative. Beating SINNER and ALCARAZ at 36 back to back without dropping a set and losing only 3 games per set max. Since then, nobody else aside from those two has won a slam.