Favourite for Wimbledon?

[joeri888]

Who do you guys consider the favourite for Wimbledon at this point? I think Thats really hard and really close between the big four with outsiders like tsonga, berdych, Stan standing a slight chance.

Djokovic is the most in form player but the least natural on grass, is slice is average and his movement isnt as good as on other surfaces.

Nadal is a big questionmark. I wouldnt worry about current form because he Will play himself into form on clay. The question is whether he can navigate through the first week mostly! Hes been a real force but not for a while now.

Murray would be the logical favourite. He is priming age wise and his game really suits grass: good first serve, great aggressive return, great passing shots and volleys and a great backhand. But Andy has been injured and is not back to where he needs to be.

Finally, Federer is the best grasscourter of the last 15 years by a mile. He has got the experience, he has got the confidence back and his bigger racket seems to help him get more power and make more returns and passes, something he utterly sucked at last year. The big question rests in my opinion in whether he still has the legs and Lungs to beat these guys in a best of 5. The other not so big questionmark is can he beat Nadal? The obvious answer is most likely no.

 

[Maximagq]

Hard to argue against Federer the way he's been playing

 

[beast of mallorca]

A poll would be nice

 

[kOaMaster]

really difficult.
the obvious choice would be nadal or federer. But I think it's still too early. if federer can keep it up like this - he might be the favourite. if nadal stays injury free (whatever this means) and comes through the first two-three matches he's at least as considerable.

 

[Wynter]

Hewitt for one final run <3

 

[Russeljones]

Going to be Federer but how about Dimitrov for one of the semi-finalists?

 

[chjtennis]

It's too early for any predictions. Murray has still not recovered fully and Del Potro's wrist is a question mark. Not that I consider Del Potro as a potential winner, but he can knock out favorites so he will be a factor in that sense. Then, there are young players and also existing top 10 players whose form can change a lot between not and then. On the current form, though, I think it's between Djokovic and Federer.

 

[Sreeram]

Federer so far is the favourite. Second is Murray. But if these 2 gets into the same draw then Djoker or Nadal has a chance.

 

[batz]

Right now you've got to say Roger but if the only guy on the planet to have made semis or better for the last 5 years, and who is currently on an 18 match grass win streak regains some form, then there might be an argument that he is favourite.

 

[Vcore89]

Roger is the man for the eight time!

 

[Sid_Vicious]

guys, how can Federer be the favorite for Wimbledon? :?

His results for the past 4 years QF, QF, W, 2R.


Yeah, I'm going to hold off on that.

 

[Mr.Lob]

I'd like to see the Dog Man, or Stan the Man, win... one of the man's.

 

[Nathaniel_Near]

I'd like to see the Dog Man, or Stan the Man, win... one of the man's.

Nah.

Not happening!

 

[Jam]

I'm going to back Nadal. At 6-1 on betfair that's like saying he has less than a 15% chance. Nadal beats everyone he has a winning record over everyone apart from the Davydenko anomaly. It's obvious he's the best player. All he has to do is get past the first couple of rounds to get in the swing of it. Federer can't beat him so his hopes really rely on someone (probably in the first week) knocking him out. That's got to be a long shot despite the last two reversals he's experienced. He's just too good. Who do I want to win? Well that'll be the Scotsman but I think he'll go slamless this year as he's playing total pish at the moment.

 

[Federer20042006]

Federer is extremely vulnerable on grass, though. His results the last 4 years could very easily be 1R (Falla), QF, 3R (Benneteau), and 2R.

I wish the transition between clay and grass could be a little longer this year so he could play 2 grass tournaments to make the transition to grass.

 

[Backspin1183]

1. Murray 2. Federer 3. Djokovic

4. Nadal

 

[chrischris]

Federer and then Muzza

 

[Kenshin]

I'm feeling Nadal well do quite well this year at Wimbldon if he gets to 2nd week . I don't see Federer winning it because he hasn't won a big title for almost 2 years. He needs to at least win masters 1000 to convince me that he can still win the majors. Murray will be one of the favorites but I question his form and his expectations around him to defend the title. Djokovic will be a contender but this surface is not his best and could get upset by a hot player. I believe this year other players other than top 4 have a decent chance to claim the title.

 

[syc23]

It's between Murray and Federer. Provided Andy gets back to 2013 form then I can't see anyone winning other than the real Swiss no.1 who will probably meet (and school) Djokovic in the SF again.

Nadal will play into form from clay?? What by getting Rosolled and bundled out of R1 by Darcis in the last 2 years?!

 

[Bobby Jr]

I don't think you can call anyone a favourite for Wimbledon three months out. Even looking at who is looking good in the couple of weeks prior has been a poor guide the past few years, let alone three months out.

 

[gambitt]

Federer can't beat him

h2h on grass 2-1 Federer...

 

[Edgecrusher]

I don´t see any clear favourite. Federer has a history at SW19 but has to prove he has still the power and the will to win Grand Slams in best of 5 matches.

Murray is light years away (sorry, that´s a German Expression ) from his best. Who knows if he can regain form in the next 3 months and reach his form of summer 2012 and 2013?

Nadal ... you never know what you get at Wimbledon. He could win this one or he could go down in the first round as well.

Djoker ... I don´t have a fu*kin´ clue what to expect from Djoker going from Indian Wells.

Stan the man ... he feels pressure right now. He isn´t used to being a favourite when entering matches against Top 20 players.

Berdych ... can´t see him winning a GS title.

DelPo ... his injuries are really making his life miserable.

 

[chjtennis]

I don't think you can call anyone a favourite for Wimbledon three months out. Even looking at who is looking good in the couple of weeks prior has been a poor guide the past few years, let alone three months out.

I fully agree with you.

 

[batz]

I don´t see any clear favourite. Federer has a history at SW19 but has to prove he has still the power and the will to win Grand Slams in best of 5 matches.

Murray is light years away (sorry, that´s a German Expression ) from his best. Who knows if he can regain form in the next 3 months and reach his form of summer 2012 and 2013?

Nadal ... you never know what you get at Wimbledon. He could win this one or he could go down in the first round as well.

Djoker ... I don´t have a fu*kin´ clue what to expect from Djoker going from Indian Wells.

Stan the man ... he feels pressure right now. He isn´t used to being a favourite when entering matches against Top 20 players.

Berdych ... can´t see him winning a GS title.

DelPo ... his injuries are really making his life miserable.

Hi mate re Murray - his current form is better than it was at this time of the season in 2010 and 2011 when he was losing in the first round of tournaments to young and bogomolov. He still had pretty good Wimbledons.

 

[m2nk2]

If Murray is skipping the clay season like he did last year and only focus on grass. Then he would be a favourite I have to admit :/

I'm hoping Federer/Edberg can get to SF or F though!

 

[joeri888]

Poll has been added.

 

[Peters]

Ask me again the week before Wimby.

If Murray can get back up to speed by then I'd probably pick him as favourite. But that's a big if...

His ranking points are plummeting, so who knows what path he might have through the tournament - even if he does get back to some semblance of decent form.

 

[Roddick85]

2014 has proved to be quite unpredictable so far, the top 4 aren't the force they used to be.

Murray hasn't been the same since his return from back surgery. His ranking is slowly dropping, which may not favor his draw by the time Wimbledon is around. Not convinced he'll be able to shrug this off very soon.

Djokovic has never been a great grass player. I don't see him going further than the semi. I think Djokovic's priority this year is RG, not Wimby.

Nadal doesn't look very convincing so far, grass has been his worst surface for the past 2 years. He did say however that he'd be playing Halle this year to help his transition to grass. If the knee is stable enough on grass and he can get past the 1st week, I think he'll go far. I don't expect him to have 2013 results, but he will bounce back soon.

Federer looks in-form so far, best grass player in the 4, but form has been on/off for the last couple of years. If we're making picks today, he's my guy (as usual) because he's playing rather well lately and given his history at Wimbledon, it would be insane to write him out.

 

[winstonlim8]

I think Fed is going to focus very hard on winning Wimbledon - why else bring Edberg on board? Winning No. 8 would seal his place among the immortals of the game and rank him above Sampras in the pantheon and record books without a doubt. No one has ever done it in the Open Era.

 

[Sir Shankalot]

Call me sentimental but I'm going with Muzza.

I actually think he is doing OK so far this season. Granted, he only got as far as the QFs at the AO rather than his customary SF or F, but not bad for his first big tournament after coming back from surgery. He did just fine at Acapulco and seemed OK physically: three tough matches in three days didn't seem to bother him. Yes he was s**te at IW but what's new? He always does badly there for some reason.

Let's see how he does in Miami and then in the European clay season... personally I'm quite optimistic. Key will be for him to somehow get back to the #4 ranking before Wimbledon so that he does not have to meet the big three before the semis.

 

[cknobman]

I voted someone else, not because I dont think one of these guys will win it but because I dont feel any particular one of them is a "favorite".

Murray and Nadal - suspect backs
Djokovic - inconsistent level of play
Federer - old and cant count on maintaining high level for 5 sets

 

[Solo]

Federer.

Novak will get stomped somewhere in the SF.
Murray will reach the final most likely along with Federer.
Nadal will collect his £20k pay cheque from the first round.

 

[octobrina10]

It's between Murray and Federer...

Somebody was Stakhovskied last year...

 

[tennis_hack]

Nadal is a lock for this Wimbledon. He either wins it (since he owns every single one of his rivals across all surfaces) or goes out in the first two matches because he is too rested. Freak upsets like that can't happen three times, so logic dictates that Nadal will win it.

 

[reaper]

In the betting markets Djokovic is a distinct favourite at 2/1. Nadal, Murray and Federer are equal second favourites at 5/1. You don't have to agree with the betting market....but the favourite is Djokovic.

 

[FreeBird]

This new Slicovic's chances are under-rated here.

 

[octobrina10]

In the betting markets Djokovic is a distinct favourite at 2/1. Nadal, Murray and Federer are equal second favourites at 5/1. You don't have to agree with the betting market....but the favourite is Djokovic.

Djoko was their favourite for the AO also!

 

[FreeBird]

Djoko was their favourite for the AO also!

And Indian wells too. :twisted:

 

[edberg volleys]

Djoko was their favourite for the AO also!

And he was the favourite for the IW also.

 

[Murray2012]

If Murray can get back up to speed by then I'd probably pick him as favourite. But that's a big if...

His ranking points are plummeting, so who knows what path he might have through the tournament - even if he does get back to some semblance of decent form.[/QUOTE]

Murray's seeding should still be fine if Wimbledon continue to use grass court weighting for their seeding by adding I think it is 100% of grass court points from last year and 50% from 2012. With Wimbledon and Queens wins last year and Wimbledon Final and Olympic gold that's around 3200 points he gets added to his total - way more than anyone else.

 

[Murray2012]

If Murray can get back up to speed by then I'd probably pick him as favourite. But that's a big if...

His ranking points are plummeting, so who knows what path he might have through the tournament - even if he does get back to some semblance of decent form.

Murray's seeding should still be fine if Wimbledon continue to use grass court weighting for their seeding by adding I think it is 100% of grass court points from last year and 50% from 2012. With Wimbledon and Queens wins last year and Wimbledon Final and Olympic gold that's around 3200 points he gets added to his total - way more than anyone else.[/QUOTE]

Edit - it is 100% 0f points from previous 12 months (2000 + 250) and 75% of the best tournament result from 2012 (75% of 1200, so 800) which makes 3050 points to add. Only Federer and Djokovic will pick up a reasonable amount but nothing close to this.

 

[batz]

Nadal is a lock for this Wimbledon. He either wins it (since he owns every single one of his rivals across all surfaces) or goes out in the first two matches because he is too rested. Freak upsets like that can't happen three times, so logic dictates that Nadal will win it.

Let me get this right - logic dictates that the guy who hasn't made it past R2 since 2011 is a lock to win this year's Wimbledon? Makes perfect sense when you look at it that way.

 

[monfed]

This is how I see it -

If Nadal gets dumped out in the first week then -

1) Federer
(big gap)
2) Murray
3) Others

If Nadal survives the first week then -

1) Nadal
(massive gap)
2) Federer
(big gap)
3) Murray

Heck I'll say Nadal becomes a lock for Wimbledon if he survives the first week that is unless he runs into a rampant Nole like 2011 OR Murray finally figured out how to beat Nadal on grass. And umm what are the odds of Nadal going out of Wimbledon in the first week THREE times in a row? Think about that.

 

[Phoenix1983]

Federer.

10Feds

 

[tennisaddict]

Federer will meet Murray in an epic QF, while Rafa will have his pigeons Ferrer and Berdych in the SF and QF.

 

[Mainad]

Maybe we should forget 'the Big 4' with their various injuries and erratic form and watch out for Tomas Berdych. The 2010 Wimbledon finalist is of a mind to go all the way and go one better than he managed 4 years ago!

He's planning to break through on grass this year and has both Queens and Wimby in his sights:

"Berdych, who has reached the semi-finals in all four of the Grand Slam tournaments during his career, is determined to go all the way at Wimbledon, but first he can’t wait to return to Queen’s."

http://uk.eurosport.yahoo.com/news/...s-targets-wimbledon-crown-110108099--ten.html

 

[Start da Game]

nadal.....

 

[Edgecrusher]

Hi mate re Murray - his current form is better than it was at this time of the season in 2010 and 2011 when he was losing in the first round of tournaments to young and bogomolov. He still had pretty good Wimbledons.

Hey batz,

Yes, you have a point here. What I meant is that I have the feeling that Andy is lacking confidence right now. I guess he's still a little bit cautious in terms of his back. I'm curious if he can build some confidence during the clay season which normaly isn't his best period of the season.

 

[Jam]

h2h on grass 2-1 Federer...

do you really believe that Fed's 2 victories in 2006 and 2007 are a reliable indicator of their current or future match up on grass? I think Nadal is the value bet as he beats everyone. In my opinion if he gets past the first couple of games then he's adapted to grass and could well be the favorite. I only think a 2011 Djokovic or a Murray back to summer 2012-2013 form could stop him and neither at the moment look likely. There may of course be some new contenders including Wawrinka, Dimitrov and Raonic as well as Del Potro but I still think that is unlikely.

 

[batz]

Hey batz,

Yes, you have a point here. What I meant is that I have the feeling that Andy is lacking confidence right now. I guess he's still a little bit cautious in terms of his back. I'm curious if he can build some confidence during the clay season which normaly isn't his best period of the season.

I agree 100% mate - I said last week that he playing like a guy bereft of confidence. I guess my point was that he has been low on confidence in the past but was always able to feed off Wimbledon.

Nothing is certain though.