Medvedev underrated on HC? Win rate 91% in 10 months

DjokoLand

Hall of Fame
His only wins vs Nadal was at WTF. Not a good look. Vs Novak he has been successful but what happened in AO.
He played bad and the guy that is 9-0 in finals there who did the same to Nadal in 2019. The Nadal final at USO shouldn’t be used against Med he took it too 5 and had bp in last game. He also wasn’t as good as now.
I opened the thread to show he is underrated on HC not that he is at the level of Djokodal, though I feel he could beat both this year. He is underrated as in most say he isn’t good due to Slam Final loses to Nadal and Djokovic. Yet he is beating everyone else and making it too finals
 

Mainad

Bionic Poster
Reminds me a lot of Murray - consistent against the lower ranked players, unable to win in the big matches against the top players when they aren't having an off day or injured.

I wonder who this guy Murray is that seems to remind you so much of Medvedev? Nobody I can recall (doubt anybody else can either).
 

ForehandCross

G.O.A.T.
People here don't even watch his matches and are giving expert opinions.

I didn't watch him this week at Toronto due to sleep schedule but I have watched about 90% of all his matches since USO 2019.

This guy is absolutely elite on HC. As elite as you can be and almost as good as Djokovic.

HOWEVER, HIS BIGGEST PROBLEM HAS BEEN THE BIG SLAM MATCHES.

He has been absolutely a nervous wreck in them except 2019 USO F, where he was nervy in initial sets anyway.

His 2020 AO loss looked massively disappointing because it seemed Med had tamed Stan into submission and that too magnificently. The 2020 USO SF was supposed to be unstoppable force meeting immovable object but Medvedev lost his mind and the match after a rant at the umpire.

2021 AO F was like 10% of the performance that he was putting in before the final throughout the tournament. A complete disaster. Put me off anything tennis related for two solid weeks.

And no it wasn't DJOKOVIC AT AO thing, in 2019 AO he battled a better Djokovic.

So Medvedev has easily been the best HC player on tour since mid 2019. But he has absolutely legendarily bottled every big slam match he has played since then.

The point I am making is, if you remove those 4 specific matches of HC slams


Medvedev>>>>all of the tour on HC.

But his nervous Uncharacteristically error prone performances in the 4 HC slams since his rise has meant no Slams to show for it.
 

James P

G.O.A.T.
People here don't even watch his matches and are giving expert opinions.

I didn't watch him this week at Toronto due to sleep schedule but I have watched about 90% of all his matches since USO 2019.

This guy is absolutely elite on HC. As elite as you can be and almost as good as Djokovic.

HOWEVER, HIS BIGGEST PROBLEM HAS BEEN THE BIG SLAM MATCHES.

He has been absolutely a nervous wreck in them except 2019 USO F, where he was nervy in initial sets anyway.

His 2020 AO loss looked massively disappointing because it seemed Med had tamed Stan into submission and that too magnificently. The 2020 USO SF was supposed to be unstoppable force meeting immovable object but Medvedev lost his mind and the match after a rant at the umpire.

2021 AO F was like 10% of the performance that he was putting in before the final throughout the tournament. A complete disaster. Put me off anything tennis related for two solid weeks.

And no it wasn't DJOKOVIC AT AO thing, in 2019 AO he battled a better Djokovic.

So Medvedev has easily been the best HC player on tour since mid 2019. But he has absolutely legendarily bottled every big slam match he has played since then.

The point I am making is, if you remove those 4 specific matches of HC slams


Medvedev>>>>all of the tour on HC.

But his nervous Uncharacteristically error prone performances in the 4 HC slams since his rise has meant no Slams to show for it.
This is fair
 

Kralingen

Talk Tennis Guru
It'll admit it's open to debate...However, I would remember two things:

1) There is a reason why even a younger Djokovic (pre-2017?) had more Slams than Agassi
2) Fedfans are savage...they will tell you Roddick is better than Djokovic
You have seen into the future and guess Djokovic didn't look that good?
I would have no issues agreeing '04 Agassi was equal to or better than '21 Djokovic at the AO tbh. Though that was clearly far from Djoker's best for obvious reasons. This is of course level wise and using the eye test.

I think it’s clear Djokovic ‘21 > any 34 year old season ever, because Fedal weren’t healthy for all 4 slams and even Laver and Rosewall didn’t have this all court success at age 34…

however on HC only: Agassi was quite fearsome at slams that year. Battling Safin and Federer, two incredible baseliners in strong form and taking both to winnable 5th sets is quite impressive even if he lost. Plus he won Cincy.
 

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
People here don't even watch his matches and are giving expert opinions.

I didn't watch him this week at Toronto due to sleep schedule but I have watched about 90% of all his matches since USO 2019.

This guy is absolutely elite on HC. As elite as you can be and almost as good as Djokovic.

HOWEVER, HIS BIGGEST PROBLEM HAS BEEN THE BIG SLAM MATCHES.

He has been absolutely a nervous wreck in them except 2019 USO F, where he was nervy in initial sets anyway.

His 2020 AO loss looked massively disappointing because it seemed Med had tamed Stan into submission and that too magnificently. The 2020 USO SF was supposed to be unstoppable force meeting immovable object but Medvedev lost his mind and the match after a rant at the umpire.

2021 AO F was like 10% of the performance that he was putting in before the final throughout the tournament. A complete disaster. Put me off anything tennis related for two solid weeks.

And no it wasn't DJOKOVIC AT AO thing, in 2019 AO he battled a better Djokovic.

So Medvedev has easily been the best HC player on tour since mid 2019. But he has absolutely legendarily bottled every big slam match he has played since then.

The point I am making is, if you remove those 4 specific matches of HC slams


Medvedev>>>>all of the tour on HC.

But his nervous Uncharacteristically error prone performances in the 4 HC slams since his rise has meant no Slams to show for it.

Look fact of the matter is his peak is underwhelming. The stan match is proof. He bullied and streamerolled medvedev. This is Wawrinka post knee surgeries.. and the same guy who Medvedev had beaten just 4 months prior in US open.

If someone like Thiem goes god mode, Medvedev will always be the toast. So he can have 10 straight wins, 20 straight wins, it doesn't matter. He is a disaster waiting to happen.

Not saying he won't be one of the favorites on hard court slams and even win a few by law of averages. But his peak level will never reach highest level.
 

Madinolf

Rookie
Meddy, Tsitsi and Berry in the last year were dominant on hard, clay and grass respectively, but Novak the GOAT said "nope, you stay slamless" :cool:
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
The issue is that Djokovic isn't good at tennis and nobody can be good at tennis once they turn 28, so if you lose to an old Djokovic in a slam final, it follows that your level isn't high. It is what it is.
If you get pasted like that then it's embarrassing.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
Medvedev (or any NextGen, really) will basically have to beat Djokovic either here or at AO22 to salvage even a fraction of respect. That’s all there is to it, in terms of being “rated” on TTW. Tsitsipas and Thiem for example get zero credit for their wins over Rafa in Australia due to not winning the tournament.
Why should Tsits get credit for mugging up against Medvedev afterwards?
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
I think this is true from a standpoint of their development, but this shouldn't be true from an outsiders perspective.

On the one hand they can't win Grand Slams if they can't beat Djokovic (at least not yet) which should trouble them. On the other hand, Federer was still battling an old Agassi, and Agassi wasn't nearly as good as Djokovic.
He wasn't, but he was still good enough and Federer wasn't losing to him.

Of course if you think 2004 Federer is losing to this Djokovic, then no comment. And there's also no guarantee the Next Gen is beating Agassi on HC either.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
I think this is true from a standpoint of their development, but this shouldn't be true from an outsiders perspective.

On the one hand they can't win Grand Slams if they can't beat Djokovic (at least not yet) which should trouble them. On the other hand, Federer was still battling an old Agassi, and Agassi wasn't nearly as good as Djokovic.
We used to say that it's hard to won when they have to play the 3 GOATS. We've moved on from that this year with only Djokovic as a threat and they can't beat him on any surface. Time to stop sugarcoating them.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
Thiem at AO 2020 was probably the best non-Big 3 slam run in recent memory, even though he lost. I loved that match vs. Nadal and completely agreed on Zverev. Thiem is one guy who isn't ATG, but certainly has played at something approaching a Slam-winning level consistently vs. the Big 3.

What I was alluding to is that most people don't really watch the matches, just the results, so until they score a win over Djokovic everything will be decried as weak era tomfoolery and not a legitimate achievement.


Judging from quite a few of these hypothetical threads, some people view '04 Agassi as far better than '21 Djokovic at the AO and possibly the USO as well.
Don't see why not. Don't think his level was far off.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
Thiem at AO 2020 was probably the best non-Big 3 slam run in recent memory, even though he lost. I loved that match vs. Nadal and completely agreed on Zverev. Thiem is one guy who isn't ATG, but certainly has played at something approaching a Slam-winning level consistently vs. the Big 3.

What I was alluding to is that most people don't really watch the matches, just the results, so until they score a win over Djokovic everything will be decried as weak era tomfoolery and not a legitimate achievement.


Judging from quite a few of these hypothetical threads, some people view '04 Agassi as far better than '21 Djokovic at the AO and possibly the USO as well.
If a slam still ends up with a Big 3 winning it then nothing really changed so I can't blame those who think like that.

Especially since there weren't other slams to make up for it.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
I'll admit it's open to debate...However, I would remember two things:

1) There is a reason why even a younger Djokovic (pre-2017?) had more Slams than Agassi
2) Fedfans are savage...they will tell you Roddick is better than Djokovic (they are not alone is terms of hyperbole, of course)
No, you're just interpreting it wrong. That not the fault of the Fed fans.
 

aldeayeah

G.O.A.T.
Look fact of the matter is his peak is underwhelming. The stan match is proof. He bullied and streamerolled medvedev. This is Wawrinka post knee surgeries.. and the same guy who Medvedev had beaten just 4 months prior in US open.

If someone like Thiem goes god mode, Medvedev will always be the toast. So he can have 10 straight wins, 20 straight wins, it doesn't matter. He is a disaster waiting to happen.

Not saying he won't be one of the favorites on hard court slams and even win a few by law of averages. But his peak level will never reach highest level.
His peak is being unplayable on serve and making zero errors on return. That's enough to give anyone a good match. Just because he's not blasting people off the court, doesn't mean he isn't superior to all those glass cannon types.

The players who have bested him consistently all have something in common: groundstroke variety. Med does struggle against varying heights/weights of ball. His game lacks error margin and that's his big weakness - throw him off and he falls apart. But he's kryptonite against bot types.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
I think it’s a pretty fair comparison tbh. Will have to see how Djokovic does at the USO but Agassi played extremely well there vs. a very impressive Federer (of course it was only QFs)
I have 2004 Agassi as a better HC player than 2011 Nadal and the results back up my statement.
 

Jokervich

Hall of Fame
I wonder who this guy Murray is that seems to remind you so much of Medvedev? Nobody I can recall (doubt anybody else can either).
Sarcasm? Andy Murray. He was always consistent against the lower ranked players, the players who he was "supposed" to beat. Just like Medvedev is. But when it came to the business end of big tournaments against top players, he would always fall short unless those top players had a bad day or they were in a slump of form or they were injured or some other mitigating factor.
 

killerboss

Professional
he would always fall short unless those top players had a bad day or they were in a slump of form or they were injured or some other mitigating factor.

Well I don't think it's quite that simple as in you don't beat the big 3 a total of 29 times (would have been more if he himself didn't get injured) and they are injured, off form or some other mitigating factor every time. Medvedev has got a long way to go before he can be compared to Murray. Medvedev is also facing big 3 when they are in their mid 30s unlike Murray.
 

Mainad

Bionic Poster
Sarcasm? Andy Murray. He was always consistent against the lower ranked players, the players who he was "supposed" to beat. Just like Medvedev is. But when it came to the business end of big tournaments against top players, he would always fall short unless those top players had a bad day or they were in a slump of form or they were injured or some other mitigating factor.

Sarcasm AND incredulity! Of the 20 big titles Murray has won, 12 were against the very top players ie. The Big 3 and 6 were against top #10 guys. Are you SERIOUSLY trying to tell us that in all of those case, the opponent in question was, for some odd reason, not playing properly???

To come out with that claptrap you obviously have no understanding of Murray's game or his career at all and even less respect for him. (n)(n)(n)
 

Jokervich

Hall of Fame
Sarcasm AND incredulity! Of the 20 big titles Murray has won, 12 were against the very top players ie. The Big 3 and 6 were against top #10 guys. Are you SERIOUSLY trying to tell us that in all of those case, the opponent in question was, for some odd reason, not playing properly???

To come out with that claptrap you obviously have no understanding of Murray's game or his career at all and even less respect for him. (n)(n)(n)
You're going to defend Murray whatever is said about him, I've noticed that about you. Fact is in slams against big 3, he only beat them when they were injured or had bad days or in poor form. Nadal 2008 (tired after FO, Wimbledon epic and Olympics), Nadal 2010 (injured), Federer 2013 (slump of form), Djokovic 2012 (wind) and 2013 (off day). He got trounced whenever these players were playing at their peak.
 

Mainad

Bionic Poster
You're going to defend Murray whatever is said about him, I've noticed that about you. Fact is in slams against big 3, he only beat them when they were injured or had bad days or in poor form. Nadal 2008 (tired after FO, Wimbledon epic and Olympics), Nadal 2010 (injured), Federer 2013 (slump of form), Djokovic 2012 (wind) and 2013 (off day). He got trounced whenever these players were playing at their peak.

On the contrary, I defend him only when he is being unfairly trashed like you are doing right now because, as I pointed out, you have zero respect for him or any understanding of his game or career. Naturally this "oh he was tired or out of sorts boo hoo " excuses you like to trot out whenever they lose to Murray won't ever apply in reverse will it? Naturally they all played a top of the form Murray whenever they beat him. And yes, that's definitely sarcasm too!!! :rolleyes::rolleyes::rolleyes:
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
You're going to defend Murray whatever is said about him, I've noticed that about you. Fact is in slams against big 3, he only beat them when they were injured or had bad days or in poor form. Nadal 2008 (tired after FO, Wimbledon epic and Olympics), Nadal 2010 (injured), Federer 2013 (slump of form), Djokovic 2012 (wind) and 2013 (off day). He got trounced whenever these players were playing at their peak.
The Nadal wins were good given the way Murray played in those matches. Nadal only became injured in 2010 after Murray was already up 2 sets.

Only Wimb 2013 F is a match where Djokovic was below par. But I don't trust any of the Next Genners to get it done even vs that Djokovic.
 

killerboss

Professional
You're going to defend Murray whatever is said about him, I've noticed that about you. Fact is in slams against big 3, he only beat them when they were injured or had bad days or in poor form. Nadal 2008 (tired after FO, Wimbledon epic and Olympics), Nadal 2010 (injured), Federer 2013 (slump of form), Djokovic 2012 (wind) and 2013 (off day). He got trounced whenever these players were playing at their peak.

Djokovic only Wimbledon off day in 7 finals came against a natural grass player in his prime, instead of past his best player like Federer and not a natural grass player like Nadal. Lmao strange isn't it?
 

Texas Tennis Fan

Professional
Won YECs beating Djokovic, Nadal and Thiem aswell.

The people who underrate him are people who just wants to decieve and put lies cause it doesn't fit their narrative.
This. Anyway, not saying he is great player and deserves the No. 2 ranking are just pushing an agenda. The numbers don't lie.

One of the most impressive things to me is that he really improved his play and results at both the FO and at Wimbledon this year. He will be a force to recon in the future and maybe in a couple of weeks.
 

Aabye5

G.O.A.T.
We used to say that it's hard to won when they have to play the 3 GOATS. We've moved on from that this year with only Djokovic as a threat and they can't beat him on any surface. Time to stop sugarcoating them.

Why couldn't Fed beat ol' Agassi?
 

Aabye5

G.O.A.T.
He wasn't, but he was still good enough and Federer wasn't losing to him.

Of course if you think 2004 Federer is losing to this Djokovic, then no comment. And there's also no guarantee the Next Gen is beating Agassi on HC either.

I didn't say it's a guarantee that the NextGen would beat Agassi. I honestly doubt that they would beat him, on any surface. My point is that age alone isn't a reason to say they should be beating Agassi and Djokovic. And I do think a 34-year-old Djokovic could beat a 34-year-old Agassi (and if you don't think that, then no comment).
 

Third Serve

Talk Tennis Guru
That Roddick is a better player than Nadal? I don't know what's up for interpretation.
Roddick was better than Nadal on at least three separate occasions. Obviously, Nadal doesn’t always play on the level of a 20-time Slam champion which is why he lost three matches to Roddick and has his fair share of upsets even in the Slams. No one’s saying Roddick would beat peak Nadal: the argument is that peak Roddick can take down a below-his-best Nadal.
 

Aabye5

G.O.A.T.
Roddick was better than Nadal on at least three separate occasions. Obviously, Nadal doesn’t always play on the level of a 20-time Slam champion which is why he lost three matches to Roddick and has his fair share of upsets even in the Slams. No one’s saying Roddick would beat peak Nadal: the argument is that peak Roddick can take down a below-his-best Nadal.

No -- stop. Everyone understands that peak Roddick can beat non-peak Nadal, because it actually happened. I'm talking about the hypotheticals that are thrown around (and exaggerating slightly to make a point, but only slightly).
 

Aabye5

G.O.A.T.
He did, on almost every occasion they met:


We're talking 5-sets to beat a 34-year-old Agassi? And Fed is truly a better player than Tsitsipas. And Djokovic (even old Djokovic) is a better player than Agassi.

We could be saying the same thing about Berrettini in 15 years. He lost the first three matches, then goes on a tear...
 

Third Serve

Talk Tennis Guru
We're talking 5-sets to beat a 34-year-old Agassi? And Fed is truly a better player than Tsitsipas. And Djokovic (even old Djokovic) is a better player than Agassi.
Wind screwed up the fourth and fifth sets and basically neutralized the playing field. Very likely that match ends in four for Roger in normal conditions, though the other part of it is that Agassi played a good match himself. Novak had the same happen to him in the 2012 US Open final.
 

Aabye5

G.O.A.T.
Wind screwed up the fourth and fifth sets and basically neutralized the playing field. Very likely that match ends in four for Roger in normal conditions, though the other part of it is that Agassi played a good match himself. Novak had the same happen to him in the 2012 US Open final.

You play the conditions as well as the opponent. That might be the one thing that has remained constant in tennis from the beginning.
 

Third Serve

Talk Tennis Guru
You play the conditions as well as the opponent. That might be the one thing that has remained constant in tennis from the beginning.
Wind changes the playing field because it forces both players to change their game. If one player is dominating before the wind with a winning game, they get screwed worse because they have to abandon that game in order to better deal with the conditions. The losing player has less to sacrifice. That’s why wind is almost universally known as the great equalizer, a phenomenon that I don’t think happens in any other condition because players generally train for different surfaces and the like. The wind ruins rhythm which takes the advantages away from the dominating player.

Kinda like how Djokovic played literally his best US Open in 2012 but when the wind struck in the final, it evened out the match and put him within reaching distance of Murray.
 

Aabye5

G.O.A.T.
Wind changes the playing field because it forces both players to change their game. If one player is dominating before the wind with a winning game, they get screwed worse because they have to abandon that game in order to better deal with the conditions. The losing player has less to sacrifice. That’s why wind is almost universally known as the great equalizer.

And Agassi is famously a wind player. And night conditions help Djokovic. It still took five sets for young Fed to dispatch ol' Agassi. And Tsitsipas took ol' Djokovic to 5-sets, too. And Djokovic is a better player than Agassi.
 

Omega_7000

Legend
I understand people being disappointed about the AO F where he was pasted but this guy is incredible on HC.
He has 2 GS F’s
4 masters
100 wins in 2 and a half seasons.
Is 33-3 in last 10 months(91% win rate)
Has beaten Djokodal in masters.

My question is yes he is poor on Clay, only decent on grass but is he underrated on HC ? It feels like people only consider slams when judging him and then say he is a awful #2. Yes he might have a bad loss etc but overall his consistentcy on HC is incredible.

Djokodal couldn't care less about masters....he would be losing all the finals if Djokodal cared or participated
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
I didn't say it's a guarantee that the NextGen would beat Agassi. I honestly doubt that they would beat him, on any surface. My point is that age alone isn't a reason to say they should be beating Agassi and Djokovic. And I do think a 34-year-old Djokovic could beat a 34-year-old Agassi (and if you don't think that, then no comment).
Sure, he could, but then again a 34 year old Agassi went toe to toe with a 23 y.o. ATG at his peak an opponent 34 yo Djokovic doesn't have.
 

NoleFam

Bionic Poster
People here don't even watch his matches and are giving expert opinions.

I didn't watch him this week at Toronto due to sleep schedule but I have watched about 90% of all his matches since USO 2019.

This guy is absolutely elite on HC. As elite as you can be and almost as good as Djokovic.

HOWEVER, HIS BIGGEST PROBLEM HAS BEEN THE BIG SLAM MATCHES.

He has been absolutely a nervous wreck in them except 2019 USO F, where he was nervy in initial sets anyway.

His 2020 AO loss looked massively disappointing because it seemed Med had tamed Stan into submission and that too magnificently. The 2020 USO SF was supposed to be unstoppable force meeting immovable object but Medvedev lost his mind and the match after a rant at the umpire.

2021 AO F was like 10% of the performance that he was putting in before the final throughout the tournament. A complete disaster. Put me off anything tennis related for two solid weeks.

And no it wasn't DJOKOVIC AT AO thing, in 2019 AO he battled a better Djokovic.

So Medvedev has easily been the best HC player on tour since mid 2019. But he has absolutely legendarily bottled every big slam match he has played since then.

The point I am making is, if you remove those 4 specific matches of HC slams


Medvedev>>>>all of the tour on HC.

But his nervous Uncharacteristically error prone performances in the 4 HC slams since his rise has meant no Slams to show for it.

I wouldn't say he bottled all those matches though. Thiem completely outplayed him when he was leading in both sets 2 and 3. Thiem's power was too much for him, and almost too much for anyone when he is playing well.

He should have ended Wawrinka in 4 though and he should not have lost that match, but couldn't find the extra gear when he needed it to win that.

Gave it his all against Nadal and honestly, all the younger players are now either beating Nadal in hardcourt Slams or pushing him really hard: Thiem (USO 2018, AO 2020), Tsitsipas (AO 2021), Medvevdev (USO 2019) and Zverev (AO 2017).

Could have played a better AO final for sure, but I think a lot of that was because he wasn't expecting Djokovic to play as well as he did (that's the best match Djokovic ever played against him) and the crowd was heavily pro Djokovic which didn't help matters, plus it's a daunting task taking on the AO GOAT in a final.
 
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