Steve Tignor's Wimbledon Final prediction: Federer d. Djokovic

[Adman]

And over there at tennis.com, Steve makes the boldest prediction of them all. I wonder what's his secret TTW handle is.

Sarcasm aside, a Fed VS Djok final will be a testament to tennis fans dropping to WWE levels of neutrality. Throwing objects at the Serb is not out of the question.

 

[Jonesy]

There is a good chance they will face each other if Fed avoids Berrettini.

 

[Jai]

In all likelihood Fed isn't even reaching the final. Let's see.

 

[Aabye5]

There is a good chance they will face each other if Fed avoids Berrettini.

It is only THROUGH Berrettini that he can win a Berrettini Open

 

[Aabye5]

And over there at tennis.com, Steve makes the boldest prediction of them all. I wonder what's his secret TTW handle is.

Sarcasm aside, a Fed VS Djok final will be a testament to tennis fans dropping to WWE levels of neutrality. Throwing objects at the Serb is not out of the question.

I don't think I have personally ever seen Tignor get it right, although I haven't followed him recently.

 

[Jack the Hack]

This was Tignor's comment about his pick of Federer to win the tournament:

"He didn’t show much in Halle, but his draw could help him shed the rust. Despite what happened in 2019, no one knows how to close at Wimbledon like Federer."

 

[One]

No way Fed ia beating Novak. Even with cupcake draw, i dont see him as a real threat. He will start losing sets from first decent opponent he faces.

 

[Krish872007]

Tignor is the sureshs of tennis.com - he's basically sealed Fed's fate right away with this statement.

This would be an absolute miracle of all miracles

 

[daphne]

Delusion continues.

 

[40-15 still haunts me]

And over there at tennis.com, Steve makes the boldest prediction of them all. I wonder what's his secret TTW handle is.

Sarcasm aside, a Fed VS Djok final will be a testament to tennis fans dropping to WWE levels of neutrality. Throwing objects at the Serb is not out of the question.

Oh sheet I’ve been rumbled

 

[D.Nalby12]

In other words 6th Wimbledon for Djokovic.

 

[40-15 still haunts me]

In other words 6th Wimbledon for Djokovic.

Wrong, Kyrgios is a lock for this years title

 

[Jai]

Tignor is basically the sureshs of tennis.com - he's basically sealed Fed's fate right away with this statement.

This would be an absolute miracle of all miracles

Frankly I think Tignor just wanted to generate a lot of buzz and clicks on the article, retweets blah blah.

Ok, nothing is IMPOSSIBLE in sport, but the chances of Fed defeating Novak this time in the final are so, so, so slim it is next to nil. The only realistic chance Fed has, is if Novak gets knocked out in earlier rounds in an utter shock result, and the rest - Zverev/Berrettini/ Tsits are unable to put out Fed. It might, just might, happen, but again, the chances are very slim; and that is not what Tignor predicted, he's gone cuckoo and has Fed winning over Novak.

Well, let's see. I would be amazed if that did happen. I would be actually very surprised indeed if Fed made the final.

 

[ForehandCross]

Steve Tignor is still living in 2012.


Tell him the 2 in there has moved to left and 1 is on the last now

 

[Adman]

I don't think I have personally ever seen Tignor get it right, although I haven't followed him recently.

Tignor is useless at predicting. Sean Randall at tennis-x has much, much more success in predictions.

 

[Phoenix1983]

Tignor is useless at predicting. Sean Randall at tennis-x has much, much more success in predictions.

I looked for Tandon's prediction - she used to be very good. Couldn't see her on tennis.com though

 

[nolefam_2024]

This is like Hulk Hogan and Undertaker headlining Wrestlemania 38.

 

[daggerman]

Generally I think it's wise to not count out Roger Federer, especially at Wimbledon, but I really just don't see how his movement is going to hold up over 7 Bo5 matches this year. How much improvement can be made in ~10 days when so much remained to be made after a few months (i.e., the time between Doha and Halle)?

 

[Nadal_King]

There is a good chance they will face each other if Fed avoids Berrettini.

Don't think Federer who made the semis will have any issues with Berrettini , I think federer plays well with such guys on grass especially

 

[Deleted member 771911]

Lol. It’s what many people want to read and they need eyeballs so.

 

[pj80]

There is a good chance they will face each other if Fed avoids Berrettini.

Zverev is bigger threat to Fed then Bettettini

 

[van_Loederen]

calm down guys. is clickbait

 

[Deleted member 783101]

I hope Djoker gives Federer a real business lesson. None of that ON teletubby stuff.

 

[MeatTornado]

If Fed even makes the QF I'll be over the moon

 

[Aabye5]

J. Wertheim's predictions seem more accurate to me, but still a bit off.

Although my record on predicting Slams is probably worse than Tignor's.

 

[jm1980]

Tignor actually had a pretty decent track record in predictions for a while:

Blue: guessed player correctly
Green: guessed winner/loser correctly

Tournament​	Actual final​	Predicted final​	Semifinal 1​	Semifinal 2​	Predictions lost before SF​
2017 Wim	Federer d. Cilic	Federer d. Nadal	Nadal d. Murray	Federer d. Djokovic	Nadal: 4R; Murray: QF; Djokovic: QF
2017 USO	Nadal d. Anderson	Murray d. Kyrgios	Kyrgios d. Dimitrov	Murray d. Zverev	Murray: withdrew; Kyrgios: 1R; Dimitrov: 2R; Zverev: 2R
2018 AO	Federer d. Cilic	Federer d. Kyrgios	Kyrgios d. Nadal	Federer d. Djokovic	Kyrgios: 4R; Nadal: QF; Djokovic: 4R
2018 RG (archived)	Nadal d. Thiem	Nadal d. Zverev	Nadal d. Cilic	Zverev d. Djokovic	Cilic: QF; Zverev: QF; Djokovic: QF
2018 Wim	Djokovic d. Anderson	Federer d. Nadal	Federer d. Cilic	Nadal d. Djokovic	Federer: QF; Cilic: 2R
2018 USO	Djokovic d. del Potro	Djokovic d. Nadal	Nadal d. Wawrinka	Djokovic d. Cilic	Wawrinka: 3R; Cilic: QF
2019 AO	Djokovic d. Nadal	Djokovic d. Cilic	Djokovic d. Zverev	Cilic d. Nadal	Zverev: 4R; Cilic: 4R
2019 RG	Nadal d. Thiem	Nadal d. Djokovic	Djokovic d. Thiem	Nadal d. Wawrinka	Wawrinka: QF
2019 Wim	Djokovic d. Federer	Djokovic d. Federer	Djokovic d. Wawrinka	Federer d. Cilic	Wawrinka: 2R; Cilic: 2R
2019 USO	Nadal d. Medvedev	Djokovic d. Nadal	Djokovic d. Federer	Nadal d. RBA	Djokovic: 4R; Federer: QF; RBA: 1R
2020 AO	Djokovic d. Thiem	Djokovic d. Nadal	Nadal d. Rublev	Djokovic d. Federer	Nadal: QF; Rublev: 4R
2020 USO (picks)	Thiem d. Zverev	Djokovic d. Raonic	Djokovic d. Tsitsipas	Raonic d. Medvedev	Djokovic: 4R; Tsitsipas: 3R; Raonic: 2R
2020 RG (picks)	Nadal d. Djokovic	Nadal d. Djokovic	Djokovic d. Shapovalov	Nadal d. Thiem	Shapovalov: 2R; Thiem: QF
2021 AO (archived)	Djokovic d. Medvedev	Djokovic d. Medvedev	Djokovic d. Thiem	Medvedev d. Nadal	Thiem: 4R; Nadal: QF
2021 RG	Djokovic d. Tsitsipas	Nadal d. Tsitsipas	Nadal d. Djokovic	Tsitsipas d. Zverev	-
2021 Wim	Djokovic d. Berrettini	Federer d. Djokovic	Djokovic d. Tsitsipas	Federer d. Berrettini	Tsitsipas: 1R; Federer: QF
2021 USO	Medvedev d. Djokovic	Djokovic d. Tsitsipas	Djokovic d. Zverev	Tsitsipas d. Medvedev	Tsitsipas: 3R
2022 AO	Nadal d. Medvedev	Medvedev d. Zverev	Zverev d. Djokovic	Medvedev d. Sinner	Zverev: 4R; Djokovic: withdrew; Sinner: QF
2022 RG	Nadal d. Ruud	Djokovic d. Tsitsipas	Djokovic d. Alcaraz	Tsitsipas d. Kecmanovic	Djokovic: QF; Alcaraz: QF; Tsitsipas: 4R; Kecmanovic: 3R
2022 Wim	Djokovic d. Kyrgios	Berrettini d. Djokovic	Djokovic d. Hurkacz	Berrettini d. Nadal	Hurkacz: 1R; Berrettini: withdrew
2022 USO	Alcaraz d. Ruud	Nadal d. Fritz	Fritz d. Medvedev	Nadal d. Hurkacz	Fritz: 1R; Medvedev: 4R; Nadal: 4R; Hurkacz: 2R
2023 AO	Djokovic d. Tsitsipas	Djokovic d. Nadal	Nadal d. Norrie	Djokovic d. Fritz	Nadal: 2R; Norrie: 3R; Fritz: 2R

(tennis.com is kind of buggy, had to use the Web Archive and picks to fill in missing pieces)

I would call the 2017 USO prediction atrocious, but that draw fell apart so spectacularly that it's hard to blame him

 

[Aabye5]

Tignor actually has a pretty decent track record in predictions recently. 9 out of the 13 last Slam winners guessed correctly!

Blue: guessed player correctly
Green: guessed winner/loser correctly

Tournament	Final	Semifinal 1	Semifinal 2	Predictions lost before SF
2018 AO	Federer d. Kyrgios	Kyrgios d. Nadal	Federer d. Djokovic	Kyrgios: 4R; Nadal: QF; Djokovic: 4R
2018 RG (archived)	Nadal d. Zverev	Nadal d. Cilic	Zverev d. Djokovic	Cilic: QF; Zverev: QF; Djokovic: QF
2018 Wim	Federer d. Nadal	Federer d. Cilic	Nadal d. Djokovic	Federer: QF; Cilic: 2R
2018 USO	Djokovic d. Nadal	Nadal d. Wawrinka	Djokovic d. Cilic	Wawrinka: 3R; Cilic: QF
2019 AO	Djokovic d. Cilic	Djokovic d. Zverev	Cilic d. Nadal	Zverev: 4R; Cilic: 4R
2019 RG	Nadal d. Djokovic	Djokovic d. Thiem	Nadal d. Wawrinka	Wawrinka: QF
2019 Wim	Djokovic d. Federer	Djokovic d. Wawrinka	Federer d. Cilic	Wawrinka: 2R; Cilic: 2R
2019 USO	Djokovic d. Nadal	Djokovic d. Federer	Nadal d. RBA	Djokovic: 4R; Federer: QF; RBA: 1R
2020 AO	Djokovic d. Nadal	Nadal d. Rublev	Djokovic d. Federer	Nadal: QF; Rublev: 4R
2020 USO (picks)	Djokovic d. Raonic	Djokovic d. Tsitsipas	Raonic d. Medvedev	Djokovic: 4R; Tsitsipas: 3R; Raonic: 2R
2020 RG (picks)	Nadal d. Djokovic	Djokovic d. Shapovalov	Nadal d. Thiem	Shapovalov: 2R; Thiem: QF
2021 AO (archived)	Djokovic d. Medvedev	Djokovic d. Thiem	Medvedev d. Nadal	Thiem: 4R; Nadal: QF
2021 RG	Nadal d. Tsitsipas	Nadal d. Djokovic	Tsitsipas d. Zverev	-
2021 Wim	Federer d. Djokovic	Djokovic d. Tsitsipas	Federer d. Berrettini

(tennis.com is kind of buggy, had to use the Web Archive and picks to fill in missing pieces)

Like I said, haven't followed him recently. But you are right, that's not bad. Although anyone who picked Kyrgios to get to a Slam final before this year was a bit...ambitious?

 

[jm1980]

And to show how much more difficult it is to guess the women's side... Tignor's picks:

Blue: guessed player correctly
Green: guessed winner/loser correctly

Tournament​	Actual final​	Predicted final​	Semifinal 1​	Semifinal 2​	Predictions lost before SF​
2017 Wim	Muguruza d. Venus	Kvitova d. Pliskova	Pliskova d. Safarova	Kvitova d. Lucic-Baroni	Pliskova: 2R; Safarova: 2R; Kvitova: 2R; Lucic-Baroni: 1R
2017 USO	Stephens d. Keys	Muguruza d. Pliskova	Pliskova d. Keys	Muguruza d. Halep	Pliskova: QF; Muguruza: 4R; Halep: 1R
2018 AO	Wozniacki d. Halep	Svitolina d. Pliskova	Pliskova d. Sharapova	Svitolina d. Wozniacki	Pliskova: QF; Sharapova: 3R; Svitolina: QF
2018 RG (archived)	Halep d. Stephens	Kvitova d. Pliskova	Pliskova d. Halep	Kvitova d. Svitolina	Pliskova: 3R; Kvitova: 3R; Svitolina: 3R
2018 Wim	Kerber d. Serena	Serena d. Kvitova	Kvitova d. Kerber	Serena d. Venus	Kvitova: 1R; Venus: 3R
2018 USO	Osaka d. Serena	Halep d. Kvitova	Halep d. Stephens	Kvitova d. Kerber	Halep: 1R; Stephens: QF; Kvitova: 3R; Kerber: 3R
2019 AO	Osaka d. Kvitova	Serena d. Kvitova	Serena d. Svitolina	Kvitova d. Goerges	Serena: QF; Svitolina: QF; Goerges: 1R
2019 RG	Barty d. Vondrousova	Halep d. Pliskova	Halep d. Osaka	Pliskova d. Stephens	Halep: QF; Osaka: 1R; Pliskova: 3R; Stephens: QF
2019 Wim	Halep d. Serena	Kerber d. Keys	Kerber d. Konta	Keys d. Pliskova	Kerber: 2R; Konta: QF; Keys: 2R; Pliskova: 4R
2019 USO	Andreescu d. Williams	Keys d. Halep	Halep d. Osaka	Keys d. Barty	Halep: 2R; Osaka: 4R; Keys: 4R; Barty: 4R
2020 AO	Kenin d. Muguruza	Osaka d. Pliskova	Osaka d. Kvitova	Pliskova d. Collins	Osaka: 3R; Kvitova: QF; Pliskova: 3R; Collins: 2R
2020 USO (picks)	Osaka d. Azarenka	Muguruza d. Osaka	Osaka d. Kerber	Muguruza d. Konta	Kerber: 4R; Muguruza: 2R; Konta: 2R
2020 RG (archived)	Swiatek d. Kenin	Halep d. Muguruza	Halep d. Azarenka	Muguruza d. Stephens	Halep: 4R; Azarenka: 2R; Muguruza: 3R; Stephens: 2R
2021 AO (archived)	Osaka d. Brady	Osaka d. Barty	Barty d. Kenin	Osaka d. Serena	Barty: QF; Kenin: 2R
2021 RG	Krejcikova d. Pavlyuchenkova	Sabalenka d. Barty	Barty d. Muguruza	Sabalenka d. Anisimova	Barty: 2R; Muguruza: 1R; Sabalenka: 3R; Anisimova: 1R
2021 Wim	Barty d. Pliskova	Serena d. Kvitova	Serena d. Krejcikova	Kvitova d. Muguruza	Serena: 1R; Krejcikova: 4R; Kvitova: 1R; Muguruza: 3R
2021 USO	Raducanu d. Fernandez	Pliskova d. Kerber	Pliskova d. Barty	Kerber d. Krejcikova	Pliskova: QF; Kerber: 4R; Barty: 3R; Krejcikova: QF
2022 AO	Barty d. D. Collins	Osaka d. Kontaveit	Osaka d. Krejcikova	Kontaveit d. Sabalenka	Osaka: 3R; Krejcikova: QF; Kontaveit: 2R; Sabalenka: 4R
2022 RG	Swiatek d. Gauff	Swiatek d. Jabeur	Swiatek d. Sabalenka	Jabeur d. Azarenka	Sabalenka: 3R; Jabeur: 1R; Azarenka: 3R
2022 Wim	Rybakina d. Jabeur	Kerber d. Swiatek	Swiatek d. Halep	Kerber d. Ostapenko	Swiatek: 3R; Kerber: 3R; Ostapenko: 4R
2022 USO	Swiatek d. Jabeur	Garcia d. Zheng	Zheng d. Bencic	Garcia d. Jabeur	Zheng: 3R; Bencic: 3R
2023 AO	Sabalenka d. Rybakina	Sabalenka d. Swiatek	Swiatek d. Pegula	Sabalenka d. Pliskova	Swiatek: 4R; Pegula: QF; Pliskova: QF

(tennis.com is kind of buggy, had to use the Web Archive and picks to fill in missing pieces)

 

[jm1980]

Like I said, haven't followed him recently. But you are right, that's not bad. Although anyone who picked Kyrgios to get to a Slam final before this year was a bit...ambitious?

Tignor seemed pretty bullish on Kyrgios; also picked him to reach the USO final in 2017 (added to table)

 

[ZYW]

Of course Fed can defeat Djokovic in the final, but the chance Fed make the final is close to Zero.

 

[daggerman]

Tignor actually has a pretty decent track record in predictions recently. 10 out of the 15 last Slam winners guessed correctly!

Blue: guessed player correctly
Green: guessed winner/loser correctly

Tournament	Actual final	Predicted final	Semifinal 1	Semifinal 2	Predictions lost before SF
2017 Wim	Federer d. Cilic	Federer d. Nadal	Nadal d. Murray	Federer d. Djokovic	Nadal: 4R; Murray: QF; Djokovic: QF
2017 USO	Nadal d. Anderson	Murray d. Krygios	Kyrgios d. Dimitrov	Murray d. Zverev	Murray: withdrew; Kyrgios: 1R; Dimitrov: 2R; Zverev: 2R
2018 AO	Federer d. Cilic	Federer d. Kyrgios	Kyrgios d. Nadal	Federer d. Djokovic	Kyrgios: 4R; Nadal: QF; Djokovic: 4R
2018 RG (archived)	Nadal d. Thiem	Nadal d. Zverev	Nadal d. Cilic	Zverev d. Djokovic	Cilic: QF; Zverev: QF; Djokovic: QF
2018 Wim	Djokovic d. Anderson	Federer d. Nadal	Federer d. Cilic	Nadal d. Djokovic	Federer: QF; Cilic: 2R
2018 USO	Djokovic d. del Potro	Djokovic d. Nadal	Nadal d. Wawrinka	Djokovic d. Cilic	Wawrinka: 3R; Cilic: QF
2019 AO	Djokovic d. Nadal	Djokovic d. Cilic	Djokovic d. Zverev	Cilic d. Nadal	Zverev: 4R; Cilic: 4R
2019 RG	Nadal d. Thiem	Nadal d. Djokovic	Djokovic d. Thiem	Nadal d. Wawrinka	Wawrinka: QF
2019 Wim	Djokovic d. Federer	Djokovic d. Federer	Djokovic d. Wawrinka	Federer d. Cilic	Wawrinka: 2R; Cilic: 2R
2019 USO	Nadal d. Medvedev	Djokovic d. Nadal	Djokovic d. Federer	Nadal d. RBA	Djokovic: 4R; Federer: QF; RBA: 1R
2020 AO	Djokovic d. Thiem	Djokovic d. Nadal	Nadal d. Rublev	Djokovic d. Federer	Nadal: QF; Rublev: 4R
2020 USO (picks)	Thiem d. Zverev	Djokovic d. Raonic	Djokovic d. Tsitsipas	Raonic d. Medvedev	Djokovic: 4R; Tsitsipas: 3R; Raonic: 2R
2020 RG (picks)	Nadal d. Djokovic	Nadal d. Djokovic	Djokovic d. Shapovalov	Nadal d. Thiem	Shapovalov: 2R; Thiem: QF
2021 AO (archived)	Djokovic d. Medvedev	Djokovic d. Medvedev	Djokovic d. Thiem	Medvedev d. Nadal	Thiem: 4R; Nadal: QF
2021 RG	Djokovic d. Tsitsipas	Nadal d. Tsitsipas	Nadal d. Djokovic	Tsitsipas d. Zverev	-
2021 Wim		Federer d. Djokovic	Djokovic d. Tsitsipas	Federer d. Berrettini

(tennis.com is kind of buggy, had to use the Web Archive and picks to fill in missing pieces)

I would call the 2017 USO prediction atrocious, but that draw fell apart so spectacularly that it's hard to blame him

Thanks for sharing this data!

An observation - the distribution of his winner picks nearly came to fruition:

Predicted totals
Djokovic: 7
Nadal: 4
Federer: 3
Other: 1

Actual totals
Djokovic: 7
Nadal: 5
Federer: 2
Other: 1

Pretty good stuff!

 

[jm1980]

J. Wertheim's predictions seem more accurate to me, but still a bit off.

Although my record on predicting Slams is probably worse than Tignor's.

Wertheim made very similar predictions to Tignor, picking the same winners almost every time. But he did pick Nadal to win the USO both in 2018 and 2019 (whereas Tignor went with Djokovic for both), so he ended up with the same score of 10/15. He does seem marginally better at picking the women's side; he got 2/15 of the women's winners right

JW's picks for Wimbledon are:

Djokovic d. Tsitsipas, Berrettini d. Federer; Djokovic d. Berrettini
Barty d. Serena, Sabalenka d. Kvitova, Sabalenka d. Barty

 

[Aabye5]

Tignor seemed pretty bullish on Kyrgios; also picked him to reach the USO final in 2017 (added to table)

I guess he likes the look of his game a lot.

 

[Aabye5]

Wertheim made very similar predictions to Tignor, picking the same winners almost every time. But he did pick Nadal to the USO both in 2018 and 2019, so he ended up with the same score 13/15. He also got 1/15 of the women's winners right -- Osaka for the 2021 AO

Ah, very interesting about his results.

His predictions this year are more accurate this year (I'm guessing here) with Djoko beating Tsitsipas and Berrettini beating Fed, but I just think there might be surprise either among those 3 matches or before that even. I just don't know who the weak link is here.

 

[Midaso240]

Wrong, Kyrgios is a lock for this years title

I felt good about Kyrgios being a potential spoiler but he's facing Humbert in the first round who has shown some great stuff on grass this year so it may well be a short tounament for Nick

 

[jm1980]

And here are Jon Wertheim's predictions for the men.

Blue: guessed player correctly
Green: guessed winner/loser correctly

Tournament​	Actual final​	Predicted final​	Semifinal 1​	Semifinal 2​	Predictions lost before SF​
2017 Wim	Federer d. Cilic	Federer
2017 USO	Nadal d. Anderson	Federer
2018 AO	Federer d. Cilic	Federer d. Nadal	Federer d. Zverev	Nadal d. Dimitrov	Zverev: 3R; Dimitrov: QF
2018 RG	Nadal d. Thiem	Nadal d. Thiem	Nadal d. del Potro	Thiem d. Zverev	Zverev: QF
2018 Wim	Djokovic d. Anderson	Federer d. Nadal	Federer d. Cilic	Nadal d. Djokovic	Federer: QF; Cilic: 2R
2018 USO	Djokovic d. del Potro	Nadal d. Djokovic	Nadal d. Wawrinka	Djokovic d. Zverev	Wawrinka: 3R; Zverev: 3R
2019 AO	Djokovic d. Nadal	Djokovic d. Federer	Djokovic d. Thiem	Federer d. Anderson	Thiem: 2R; Federer: 4R; Anderson: 2R
2019 RG	Nadal d. Thiem	Nadal d. Djokovic	Djokovic d. Thiem	Nadal d. Berrettini	Berrettini: 2R
2019 Wim	Djokovic d. Federer	Djokovic d. Federer	Djokovic d. Zverev	Federer d. total surprise	Zverev: 1R
2019 USO	Nadal d. Medvedev	Nadal d. Djokovic	Djokovic d. Federer	Nadal d. Kyrgios	Djokovic: 4R; Federer: QF; Kyrgios: 3R
2020 AO	Djokovic d. Thiem	Djokovic d. Nadal	Nadal d. Medvedev	Djokovic d. Federer	Nadal: QF; Medvedev: 4R
2020 USO	Thiem d. Zverev	Djokovic d. Raonic	Djokovic d. Tsitsipas	Raonic d. Berrettini	Djokovic: 4R; Tsitsipas: 3R; Raonic: 2R; Berrettini: 4R
2020 RG	Nadal d. Djokovic	Nadal d. Djokovic	Djokovic d. Shapovalov	Nadal d. Thiem	Shapovalov: 2R; Thiem: QF
2021 AO	Djokovic d. Medvedev	Djokovic d. Medvedev	Djokovic d. Thiem	Medvedev d. Nadal	Thiem: 4R; Nadal: QF
2021 RG	Djokovic d. Tsitsipas	Nadal d. Tsitsipas	Nadal d. Djokovic	Tsitsipas d. total surprise	-
2021 Wim	Djokovic d. Berrettini	Djokovic d. Berrettini	Djokovic d. Tsitsipas	Berrettini d. Federer	Tsitsipas: 1R; Federer: QF
2021 USO	Medvedev d. Djokovic	Djokovic d. Rublev	Djokovic d. Zverev	Rublev d. Medvedev	Rublev: 3R
2022 AO	Nadal d. Medvedev	Zverev d. Medvedev	Zverev d. Djokovic (or Nadal)	Medvedev d. total surprise	Zverev: 4R; Djokovic: withdrew
2022 RG	Nadal d. Ruud	Djokovic d. Tsitsipas	Djokovic d. Alcaraz	Tsitsipas d. Kecmanovic	Djokovic: QF; Alcaraz: QF; Tsitsipas: 4R; Kecmanovic: 3R
2022 Wim	Djokovic d. Kyrgios	Djokovic d. Auger Aliassime	Djokovic d. Hurkacz	Auger Aliassime d. Berrettini	Hurkacz: 1R; Auger Aliassime: 1R; Berrettini: withdrew
2022 USO	Alcaraz d. Ruud	Alcaraz d. Tsitsipas	Tsitsipas d. Medvedev	Alcaraz d. Nadal	Tsitsipas: 1R; Medvedev: 4R; Nadal: 4R
2023 AO	Djokovic d. Tsitsipas	Djokovic d. Tsitsipas	Tsitsipas d. surprise (Korda?)	Djokovic d. Fritz	Korda: QF; Fritz: 2R

 

[zagor]

Steve is smoking some good stuff.

 

[BeatlesFan]

Delusion continues.

Look at it like this: what a tribute to Fed that someone almost 40 years old is picked as a co-favorite at a slam. Legendary status confirmed.

 

[jm1980]

Wertheim also struggles to predict the women's draws, although he does seem to pick them marginally better than Tignor

Blue: guessed player correctly
Green: guessed winner/loser correctly

Tournament​	Actual final​	Predicted final​	Semifinal 1​	Semifinal 2​	Predictions lost before SF​
2017 Wim	Muguruza d. Venus	Kvitova wins
2017 USO	Stephens d. Keys	Muguruza wins
2018 AO	Wozniacki d. Halep	Halep d. Wozniacki	Halep d. Keys	Wozniacki d. Venus	Keys: QF; Venus: 1R
2018 RG	Halep d. Stephens	Svitolina d. Halep	Halep d. Muguruza	Svitolina d. Kvitova	Kvitova: 3R; Svitolina: 3R
2018 Wim	Kerber d. Serena	Halep d. Stephens	Halep d. Muguruza	Stephens d. Vandeweghe	Halep: 3R; Muguruza: 2R; Stephens: 1R; Vandeweghe: 1R
2018 USO	Osaka d. Serena	Halep d. Keys	Halep d. Stephens	Keys d. Kvitova	Halep: 1R; Stephens: QF; Kvitova: 3R
2019 AO	Osaka d. Kvitova	Sabalenka d. Svitolina	Svitolina d. Pliskova	Sabalenka d. Kerber	Svitolina: QF; Sabalenka: 3R; Kerber: 4R
2019 RG	Barty d. Vondrousova	Pliskova d. Halep	Halep d. Barty	Pliskova d. Bencic	Halep: QF; Pliskova: 3R; Bencic: 3R
2019 Wim	Halep d. Serena	Barty d. Pliskova	Barty d. total surprise	Pliskova d. Osaka	Barty: 4R; Pliskova: 4R; Osaka: 1R
2019 USO	Andreescu d. Williams	Keys d. Halep	Halep d. total surprise	Keys d. Serena	Halep: 2R; Keys: 4R
2020 AO	Kenin d. Muguruza	Serena d. Pliskova	Pliskova d. total surprise	Serena d. Keys	Pliskova: 3R; Serena: 3R; Keys: 3R
2020 USO	Osaka d. Azarenka	Osaka d. Muguruza	Osaka d. Pliskova	Muguruza d. Konta	Pliskova: 2R; Muguruza: 2R; Konta: 2R
2020 RG	Swiatek d. Kenin	Halep d. Muguruza	Halep d. Azarenka	Muguruza d. Kvitova	Halep: 4R; Azarenka: 2R; Muguruza: 3R
2021 AO	Osaka d. Brady	Osaka d. Azarenka	Azarenka d. Barty	Osaka d. Halep	Azarenka: 1R; Barty: QF; Halep: QF
2021 RG	Krejcikova d. Pavlyuchenkova	Barty d. Sabalenka	Barty d. Muguruza	Sabalenka d. total surprise	Barty: 2R; Muguruza: 1R; Sabalenka: 3R
2021 Wim	Barty d. Pliskova	Sabalenka d. Barty	Barty d. Serena	Sabalenka d. Kvitova	Serena: 1R; Kvitova: 1R
2021 USO	Raducanu d. Fernandez	Barty d. Sabalenka	Barty d. Pliskova	Sabalenka d. Gauff	Barty: 3R; Pliskova: QF; Gauff: 2R
2022 AO	Barty d. D. Collins	Muguruza d. Barty	Barty d. Gauff	Muguruza d. Swiatek	Gauff: 1R; Muguruza: 2R
2022 FO	Swiatek d. Gauff	Swiatek d. Jabeur	Swiatek d. Kasatkina	Jabeur d. Gauff	Jabeur: 1R
2022 Wim	Rybakina d. Jabeur	Swiatek d. Jabeur	Swiatek d. Gauff	Jabeur d. Maia Haddad	Swiatek: 3R; Gauff: 3R; Haddad Maia: 1R
2022 USO	Swiatek d. Jabeur	Gauff d. Sabalenka	Sabalenka d. Pegula	Gauff d. Kasatkina	Pegula: QF; Gauff: QF; Kasatkina: 1R
2023 AO	Sabalenka d. Rybakina	Sabalenka d. Pegula	Pegula d. Swiatek	Sabalenka d. surprise	Swiatek: 4R; Pegula: QF

 

[Tony48]

Tignor actually has a pretty decent track record in predictions recently. 10 out of the 15 last Slam winners guessed correctly!

Blue: guessed player correctly
Green: guessed winner/loser correctly

Tournament	Actual final	Predicted final	Semifinal 1	Semifinal 2	Predictions lost before SF
2017 Wim	Federer d. Cilic	Federer d. Nadal	Nadal d. Murray	Federer d. Djokovic	Nadal: 4R; Murray: QF; Djokovic: QF
2017 USO	Nadal d. Anderson	Murray d. Krygios	Kyrgios d. Dimitrov	Murray d. Zverev	Murray: withdrew; Kyrgios: 1R; Dimitrov: 2R; Zverev: 2R
2018 AO	Federer d. Cilic	Federer d. Kyrgios	Kyrgios d. Nadal	Federer d. Djokovic	Kyrgios: 4R; Nadal: QF; Djokovic: 4R
2018 RG (archived)	Nadal d. Thiem	Nadal d. Zverev	Nadal d. Cilic	Zverev d. Djokovic	Cilic: QF; Zverev: QF; Djokovic: QF
2018 Wim	Djokovic d. Anderson	Federer d. Nadal	Federer d. Cilic	Nadal d. Djokovic	Federer: QF; Cilic: 2R
2018 USO	Djokovic d. del Potro	Djokovic d. Nadal	Nadal d. Wawrinka	Djokovic d. Cilic	Wawrinka: 3R; Cilic: QF
2019 AO	Djokovic d. Nadal	Djokovic d. Cilic	Djokovic d. Zverev	Cilic d. Nadal	Zverev: 4R; Cilic: 4R
2019 RG	Nadal d. Thiem	Nadal d. Djokovic	Djokovic d. Thiem	Nadal d. Wawrinka	Wawrinka: QF
2019 Wim	Djokovic d. Federer	Djokovic d. Federer	Djokovic d. Wawrinka	Federer d. Cilic	Wawrinka: 2R; Cilic: 2R
2019 USO	Nadal d. Medvedev	Djokovic d. Nadal	Djokovic d. Federer	Nadal d. RBA	Djokovic: 4R; Federer: QF; RBA: 1R
2020 AO	Djokovic d. Thiem	Djokovic d. Nadal	Nadal d. Rublev	Djokovic d. Federer	Nadal: QF; Rublev: 4R
2020 USO (picks)	Thiem d. Zverev	Djokovic d. Raonic	Djokovic d. Tsitsipas	Raonic d. Medvedev	Djokovic: 4R; Tsitsipas: 3R; Raonic: 2R
2020 RG (picks)	Nadal d. Djokovic	Nadal d. Djokovic	Djokovic d. Shapovalov	Nadal d. Thiem	Shapovalov: 2R; Thiem: QF
2021 AO (archived)	Djokovic d. Medvedev	Djokovic d. Medvedev	Djokovic d. Thiem	Medvedev d. Nadal	Thiem: 4R; Nadal: QF
2021 RG	Djokovic d. Tsitsipas	Nadal d. Tsitsipas	Nadal d. Djokovic	Tsitsipas d. Zverev	-
2021 Wim		Federer d. Djokovic	Djokovic d. Tsitsipas	Federer d. Berrettini

(tennis.com is kind of buggy, had to use the Web Archive and picks to fill in missing pieces)

I would call the 2017 USO prediction atrocious, but that draw fell apart so spectacularly that it's hard to blame him

WTF…he predicted Kyrgios would make two slam finals??!!

 

[jm1980]

Thanks for sharing this data!

An observation - the distribution of his winner picks nearly came to fruition:

Predicted totals
Djokovic: 7
Nadal: 4
Federer: 3
Other: 1

Actual totals
Djokovic: 7
Nadal: 5
Federer: 2
Other: 1

Pretty good stuff!

@Mainad, we have reached the sad point where poor Murray is bundled into "Other"

 

[Nostradamus]

And over there at tennis.com, Steve makes the boldest prediction of them all. I wonder what's his secret TTW handle is.

Sarcasm aside, a Fed VS Djok final will be a testament to tennis fans dropping to WWE levels of neutrality. Throwing objects at the Serb is not out of the question.

do you want to know my prediction ? Novak won't even get to the final

 

[jm1980]

do you want to know my prediction ? Novak won't even get to the final

Thank you, Fedace. This means Novak will surely at least make the final

 

[Swingmaster]

In all likelihood Fed isn't even reaching the final. Let's see.

Probably not, but I still think he has the best shot. I'd give him about a 38% chance, which aint too bad.

 

[Nostradamus]

Thank you, Fedace. This means Novak will surely at least make the final

Thank you Nadalgirl, K Anderson will beat novak early in the 1st week. you heard it here first

 

[jm1980]

WTF…he predicted Kyrgios would make two slam finals??!!

In 2017, Kyrgios had those two wins against Djokovic, and played a really close match against Federer in Miami.

Then he made the final at Cincinnati with a pretty impressive run, beating Nadal en route

Maybe it's a bit bold to predict a Slam final based on that, but worse picks have been made

 

[Bluemoon20]

And over there at tennis.com, Steve makes the boldest prediction of them all. I wonder what's his secret TTW handle is.

Sarcasm aside, a Fed VS Djok final will be a testament to tennis fans dropping to WWE levels of neutrality. Throwing objects at the Serb is not out of the question.

Unlikely but if it happened probably means Djokovic remains third as it would be devastating for him. If Federer got that far he probably wins but more likely he loses to Cilic 3r

 

[Rafa4LifeEver]

And over there at tennis.com, Steve makes the boldest prediction of them all. I wonder what's his secret TTW handle is.

Sarcasm aside, a Fed VS Djok final will be a testament to tennis fans dropping to WWE levels of neutrality. Throwing objects at the Serb is not out of the question.

Guess she predicted 2 years late??

 

[AllPlayersAreGood]

Steve makes the boldest prediction

Not really a crazy prediction. Nadal has a vacation and Murray has a hip. Nobody else has come ahead of Roger and Novak at Wimby since 2003! 18 long years of Roger and Novak at the top. 18 years should have been more than enough to even grow a new Becker for Wimby.

 

[Subway Tennis]

I love Steve Tignor's predictions and draw breakdowns. I miss the old version of the tennis.com podcast when he teamed up with Peter Bodo.

Sometimes you have to pick with your head and sometimes with your heart, but tipping Federer is covering both bases!