Bookmakers say Nole is the favorite to win US Open

tennis_pro

Bionic Poster
Murray is 7/2 while Nadal 9/2? What a joke. First of all Nadal is going to play. Secondly, Murray will be lucky to reach the quarters and not get humiliated by a top 10 player. Thirdly, Djokovic has been the favorite for every Slam since late 2011 (except the FO in 2012/2013) and it hasn't worked that well for him, has it?

This is how the odds should look like:

Djokovic 5/2
Nadal 7/2
Federer 9/2
Murray 8/1
Wawrinka 8/1
The rest below 10/1
 

MichaelNadal

Bionic Poster
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conway

Banned
Nadal hasn't had a good year at all. Even on clay he had probably his worst year of clay tennis (even below 2011), but won the French since he is the clay GOAT and the clay field today is awful (plus Novak by now has a huge mental bloc playing Nadal at RG and maybe even in slams again). He hasn't even won a title off clay, did super poorly at Wimbledon again, many other poor showings, terrible loss in the Australian Open final considering the opponent, and put up meek and poor performances in getting killed his last couple non clay meetings with Novak. IMO the bookies have his odds right. The only change I would make is to move Federer up to 2nd favorite. I have no idea who would be 3rd as nobody else has a good chance really.
 

Mainad

Bionic Poster
Djokovic is the world #1 so of course he's going to be the favourite to win every tournament he enters. What would be the point of being ranked best player in the world if nobody thought you were the favourite to win? :confused:
 

MichaelNadal

Bionic Poster
Djokovic is the world #1 so of course he's going to be the favourite to win every tournament he enters. What would be the point of being ranked best player in the world if nobody thought you were the favourite to win? :confused:

Hint: google search "5555 Lance Storm" :lol:
 

Djokovic2011

Bionic Poster
Nadal hasn't had a good year at all. Even on clay he had probably his worst year of clay tennis (even below 2011), but won the French since he is the clay GOAT and the clay field today is awful (plus Novak by now has a huge mental bloc playing Nadal at RG and maybe even in slams again). He hasn't even won a title off clay, did super poorly at Wimbledon again, many other poor showings, terrible loss in the Australian Open final considering the opponent, and put up meek and poor performances in getting killed his last couple non clay meetings with Novak. IMO the bookies have his odds right. The only change I would make is to move Federer up to 2nd favorite. I have no idea who would be 3rd as nobody else has a good chance really.

That's not true as he won Doha at the beginning of the year.

Anyway if Djokovic plays like we all know he can then I can understand him being the favourite. But if he plays like he has been these past couple of weeks, he'll be lucky to reach the QF.
 
well of course he is the favorite on hardcourt with nadal being injured, fed being old and murray being out of shape.

novak is a great player but his form this year is not all that good.
 

BringBackSV

Hall of Fame
Nadal hasn't had a good year at all. Even on clay he had probably his worst year of clay tennis (even below 2011), but won the French since he is the clay GOAT and the clay field today is awful (plus Novak by now has a huge mental bloc playing Nadal at RG and maybe even in slams again). He hasn't even won a title off clay, did super poorly at Wimbledon again, many other poor showings, terrible loss in the Australian Open final considering the opponent, and put up meek and poor performances in getting killed his last couple non clay meetings with Novak. IMO the bookies have his odds right. The only change I would make is to move Federer up to 2nd favorite. I have no idea who would be 3rd as nobody else has a good chance really.

So is Doha played on clay these days? Rafa has not played much HC tennis but he made the AO finals and another MS 1000 finals, so he can't be playing that badly. I'm not sure what Wimbledon has to do with HC. Did he do well at Wimbledon last year before sweeping Toronto, Cincy, and the US Open? If Rafa is healthy, I'd put him at 1-2. He should be able to play himself into form at the US Open over the first week.
 

Maximagq

Banned
Djokovic is the favorite but by his performances in Canada/Cincy, he isn't he clear favorite. I think Federer will give him a hard time.
 

bjsnider

Hall of Fame
Federer looks to be the favourite to me at the moment. If Djokovic's level of play improves by week 2, assuming he makes it that far, then he becomes the favourite.
 
I can see Nole as the current betting favorite going into the US Open.

Wonder what his odds would be going into Flushing Meadows against this 'weak era' group of bums. :)

1 Jim Courier USA
2 Stefan Edberg SWE
3 Pete Sampras USA
4 Boris Becker GER
5 Goran Ivanišević CRO
6 Michael Chang USA
7 Petr Korda CZE
8 Ivan Lendl CZE
9 Andre Agassi USA
10 Richard Krajicek NED
11 Wayne Ferreira RSA
12 Guy Forget FRA
13 Michael Stich GER
14 MaliVai WashingtonUSA
15 Cedric Pioline FRA
16 Sergi Bruguera ESP
17 Alexander Volkov RUS
18 Thomas Muster AUT
19 Magnus GustafssonSWE
20 John McEnroe USA
 

tipsa...don'tlikehim!

Talk Tennis Guru
Novak is still favourite by far
Bookies and the public are not sure if Novak is bluffing, always hard to say
but of course his odds have a lot to do with Nadal's injury too, Nadal was around @4.00 after Wimbledon and Noval was @2.80 back then
 

tipsa...don'tlikehim!

Talk Tennis Guru
Also don't get fooled by the odds anyway, Nadal last year was @9.50 to win the US open after the Darcis loss, i jumped on it and made 4K (that i lost later that year :evil: )
 

West Coast Ace

G.O.A.T.
So the bookies don't jump off and on bandwagons like most of the posters here. I guess that's how they make money.

#1, unless injured, should be the favorite. So he hasn't looked great after WINNING Wimbledon? Tsonga has done that to a lot of guys; and Robredo is 16th. If Djokovic had lost to Ryan Harrison and Flippo Volandri, then I'd wonder.
 

5555

Hall of Fame
Wonder what his odds would be going into Flushing Meadows against this 'weak era' group of bums. :)

1 Jim Courier USA
2 Stefan Edberg SWE
3 Pete Sampras USA
4 Boris Becker GER
5 Goran Ivanišević CRO
6 Michael Chang USA
7 Petr Korda CZE
8 Ivan Lendl CZE
9 Andre Agassi USA
10 Richard Krajicek NED
11 Wayne Ferreira RSA
12 Guy Forget FRA
13 Michael Stich GER
14 MaliVai WashingtonUSA
15 Cedric Pioline FRA
16 Sergi Bruguera ESP
17 Alexander Volkov RUS
18 Thomas Muster AUT
19 Magnus GustafssonSWE
20 John McEnroe USA

Off topic comment detected.
 

Mr.Snrub

Banned
Well if that's such a sure thing, it would be pretty stupid of him not to play, no?
Who do you think can take Djoko out prior to the quarters?
Isner, Cilic, Simon, Monfils, Anderson, etc...if Djokovic doesn't take his head out of his rear end he might find himself upset by a competent floater.
 
D

Deleted member 77403

Guest
Nole is still bookies' favorite after Federer's win at Cincinnati.

That is hardly surprising.

Djokovic would have at least still been co-favorite had Nadal played. Federer outperforming in the HC masters wouldn't really change this.
 

bjsnider

Hall of Fame
That is hardly surprising.

Djokovic would have at least still been co-favorite had Nadal played. Federer outperforming in the HC masters wouldn't really change this.

You responded to that comment without underlining every other word? Your irony is in dire need of sharpening, sir.
 

martini1

Hall of Fame
The bookies like to force you to bet on the underdogs because the odds of an upset is always lower. And when there are multiple players/teams/horses in the race they can easily cover the upset.
 

heninfan99

Talk Tennis Guru
It seems like a perfect scenario for Fed. Even the odds-makers have underestimated him slightly but I would throw spare change at either Milos or Wawrinka.
 
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