Meles
Bionic Poster
I just love this match. Tsitsi has looked a little punch drunk late in his matches this week, but he's pretty good at running on fumes. He's much more consistent from the back of the court, but Fognini is very adept at hitting through people. Fabio has beaten Thiem and challenged Nadal this year on clay so I have little doubt he can light up Stefanos with his heavy spin game. This looks like a poor match up for the Greek, but he's very wily and competitive so he might have a chance of getting Fognini to self destruct. This hasn't happened much this year and Stefanos doesn't like a lot of depth which Fognini provides all too often with his aggressive hitting. Tsitsi might be able to win this match on the serve and return front. He's got a big enough serve to hold Fabio's excellent first return maybe to 25% and if he can keep around 55% on 2nd serve he might be able to hold serve well enough. Tsitsi's hard court return game is awful. I'm in shock right now looking at his numbers for the Summer with a horrid 34% won on return and a Kyrgios like first return of 23.9%. Fabio is at 32.0% on first return! Tsitsipas has been crazy clutch to be 15-8 on hard courts this Summer while only winning 50.3% of points. Match of the day tomorrow in my mind, just because of the personality clash and Fabio's disdain for NextGen. Ultimate tennis gives Tsitsi a 20% chance of winning the title. Fognini higher.
Somehow I've got faith in Tsitsi's clutchness and he has won 39% of break points despite the paltry 34% on regular return points. Somehow I think he gets Fognini to implode and takes this in straight sets. @BeatlesFan no doubt for this one.