How much chances you give to big 3 for finishing leader in slam race after this year Us open if we assume each one's wins.

[Nadal_King]

Big 3 are as close in slam race as they have never been before, this year's us open will be huge in many aspects so how much % chances you give post us open in each one's win scenario

If Djokovic wins he is 1 shy of nadal and 3 shy of roger, with aus open next(his pet slam) one would think he would have great chance to equal rafa.
Chances-: Djokovic 50% Federer 30% Nadal 20%

If Rafa wins he is one shy of roger and with him being best bet at rg than anyone at any slam, you would think he will have good chance to be ahead but still djokovic will be in contention.
Chances-: Rafa 50% Federer 30% Djokovic 20%

If Roger wins he goes to a good gap 3 with Rafa, 5 with novak so it could be big for him to remain as leader
Chances-: Roger 50% Rafa 30% Djokovic 20%
So all in all This is huge for all 3 and anyone winning will be in for a good chance to finish as leader although many would argue djokovic is such streaky player nothing is out of reach for him considering in peak form he covers gap quickly but imo with time it would be tough so each of these events are huge.But these % are only for post us open and can change after each slam.

 

[Lleytonstation]

That is great and all, but to end up as leader, doesnt Djoker need 5 and Rafa 3?

 

[r2473]

If Kyrgios wins, he only needs 19 to tie and 20 to take the slam lead. 75% Kyrgios 10% Federer 10% Djokovic 5% Berdych

 

[MeatTornado]

So all in all This is huge for all 3

Every slam is huge for all 3. We had the exact same conversation heading into at least the last 10 slams now.

 

[Lleytonstation]

Every slam is huge for all 3. We had the exact same conversation heading into at least the last 10 slams now.

It will continue this way for 2+ years as they need 8 to pass Fed. If they win every slam for 2 years, then every slam this convo will still be here.

It is big, until they retire. Nothing special about this one. If Rafa wins, then the narrative gets intensified.

 

[Deleted member 77403]

Every slam is huge for all 3. We had the exact same conversation heading into at least the last 10 slams now.

Correct.