This is why Federer is the heavy favorite at Wimbledon this year

[SardinesForDinner]

Federer hasn't truly lost at Wimbledon since 2015. Hear me out! I guess you could count 2018 and 2019 as losses, I mean, if you really want to be splitting hairs...

Federer has played 1515 matches in his pro career. He has won 1243 of these.

In 2016 Federer was clearly injured and never would have lost to Raonic if healthy. Nadal fans would have to agree. The year after we saw what should have happened when Federer took Mr Walkman to school in 3 sets and didn't lose a set the entire tournament.
In 2018 and 2019 he had match points in both the matches he eventually 'lost'. Now, Federer has in total lost 23 matches he has held match points. Doing the math, he loses 1,85 % of the matches in which he gets to a MP (23/1423).

So, to sum it up:

2016: Clearly injured and would have beaten both Mr Walkman and MuryGOAT if healthy
2017: One of the most dominant Wimbledon wins in history
2018: 1,85 % happened
2019: 1,85 % happened

What has happened has happened but Federer has Wimbledon as his biggest goal every year and particularly this year after what has happened. He's taking every step to make sure he's arriving at full fitness level and as healthy a 39 year old has ever been. So the last time Fed really lost while healthy was against peak Djokovic in the 2015 final. Even in 2018 he had wrist problems in his match against Kevin Anderson.

So with that being said, Federer will very likely only lose at Wimbledon IF he reaches match points. He refuses to bow out before that. And as his 20+ career tells us, there's only a 1,85 % risk of him blowing an opportunity with match points.

Federer 98,15 % lock to win the tournament vs the field 1,85 %

Discuss.

 

[Username_]

tomic is always favourite he just prefers tanking

 

[StrongRule]

Yeah, Federer is unbeatable if we exclude losses. This reminds me of the comments which came from a few Djokovic fans who didn't want to accept the USO loss last year.

That being said, the grass competition is so bad that Federer is probably the second favorite after Djokovic. Absolute joke.

 

[SardinesForDinner]

tomic is always favourite he just prefers tanking

Well Federer never tanks so my point stands.

 

[SardinesForDinner]

Yeah, Federer is unbeatable if we exclude losses. This reminds me of the comments which came from a few Djokovic fans who didn't want to accept the USO loss last year.

I'm taking about match point "losses"... Federer won those matches based on style and overall greatness alone and even more points won against Djokovic (maybe Anderson too?)... so we shouldn't be splitting hairs. Tennis forums aren't made to go too deep into detail about every little obnoxious thing.

 

[socallefty]

I am just like Federer - I have lost only matches where I faced match points.

 

[Deleted member 748597]

We really are in the weak era.

 

[RaulRamirez]

That's why I only eat sardines for lunch - and seldom at that.

 

[bjsnider]

I see, so Federer will win the tournament if he can avoid being in that dreaded position, up match point. I think you should get this information to him, because I'm positive he has not discussed this strategy with his staff.

 

[SardinesForDinner]

I see, so Federer will win the tournament if he can avoid being in that dreaded position, up match point. I think you should get this information to him, because I'm positive he has not discussed this strategy with his staff.

I'm certain Ljubicic is lurking around this forum scratching his head, so I'm confident this information will reach Fedr sooner rather than later.

 

[Deleted member 629564]

Federer 98,15 % lock to win the tournament vs the field 1,85 %

I guess this man below does like 1.85%.
With his tongue in cheek, literally.

 

[Deleted member 771911]

He's played two matches in what, 17 months? He is not winning Wimbledon.

 

[Nuclear Warhead Sinner]

Are you winning son?
Yes dad! Federer is the heavy favorite at wimbledon this year!

 

[daphne]

Federer hasn't truly lost at Wimbledon since 2015.

Stopped reading here.

 

[Jaitock1991]

Federer hasn't truly lost at Wimbledon since 2015. Hear me out! I guess you could count 2018 and 2019 as losses, I mean, if you really want to be splitting hairs...

Federer has played 1515 matches in his pro career. He has won 1243 of these.

In 2016 Federer was clearly injured and never would have lost to Raonic if healthy. Nadal fans would have to agree. The year after we saw what should have happened when Federer took Mr Walkman to school in 3 sets and didn't lose a set the entire tournament.
In 2018 and 2019 he had match points in both the matches he eventually 'lost'. Now, Federer has in total lost 23 matches he has held match points. Doing the math, he loses 1,85 % of the matches in which he gets to a MP (23/1423).

So, to sum it up:

2016: Clearly injured and would have beaten both Mr Walkman and MuryGOAT if healthy
2017: One of the most dominant Wimbledon wins in history
2018: 1,85 % happened
2019: 1,85 % happened

What has happened has happened but Federer has Wimbledon as his biggest goal every year and particularly this year after what has happened. He's taking every step to make sure he's arriving at full fitness level and as healthy a 39 year old has ever been. So the last time Fed really lost while healthy was against peak Djokovic in the 2015 final. Even in 2018 he had wrist problems in his match against Kevin Anderson.

So with that being said, Federer will very likely only lose at Wimbledon IF he reaches match points. He refuses to bow out before that. And as his 20+ career tells us, there's only a 1,85 % risk of him blowing an opportunity with match points.

Federer 98,15 % lock to win the tournament vs the field 1,85 %

Discuss.

I have to admit. Mr Walkman had me laughing hard.

 

[NoleIsBoat]

Yeah, Federer is unbeatable if we exclude losses. This reminds me of the comments which came from a few Djokovic fans who didn't want to accept the USO loss last year.

That being said, the grass competition is so bad that Federer is probably the second favorite after Djokovic. Absolute joke.

Why is that a joke? Federer in 2019 played some of his best ever clay and grass tennis.

 

[Deleted member 629564]

Are you winning son?
Yes dad! Federer is the heavy favorite at wimbledon this year!

That's the outcome after selecting Federer vs. Federer in the game menu.

 

[a10best]

Once he clears up the mistakes against Djokovic like 40-15 MP's and tiebreakers he's all good. That was the worst ever match at Wimbledon and a bad memory.
It's the little mistakes you need to tweak.

 

[Sport]

Considering Federer's age and Zverev's form, I don't see Federer beating Zverev at Wimbledon.

Zverev has a huge serve, powerful forehand and backhand strokes, fine movement and baseline game despite his height, solid stamina due to his age...

 

[Deleted member 629564]

Once he clears up the mistakes against Djokovic like 40-15 MP's and tiebreakers he's all good.

It's the little mistakes you need to tweak.

In other words: Federer just needs to develop his weak points a bit and he soon will be very promising 40-years-old guy with a bright future in the ATP.

 

[NoleIsBoat]

Considering Federer's age and Zverev's form, I don't see Federer beating Zverev at Wimbledon.

Zverev has a huge serve, powerful forehand and backhand strokes, solid stamina due to his age...

True but Zverev has to make it deep first.

 

[weakera]

I guess this man below does like 1.85%.
With his tongue in cheek, literally.

His tongue is not in his cheek there.

 

[Hitman]

Federer isn't getting past Djokovic....he's going to have to hope and pray that Novak falters before they meet in the final.

 

[SardinesForDinner]

Federer isn't getting past Djokovic....he's going to have to hope and pray that Novak falters before they meet in the final.

 

[Forehanderer]

Is this a jinx thread from Nadalovic fans. Grandpa ain't winning Wimby or anything. Relax. Don't know what you would do if you hero passes 20. This forum's true colors will come out then

 

[Druss]

I love OPs optimism, but I prefer to be realistic. Best to make assessments once Fedr completes several matches in a row, or at least two tournaments.

 

[BeatlesFan]

Is this a jinx thread from Nadalovic fans.

OP is not a Fed fan.

 

[D.Nalby12]

Federer has either won or lost having MPs in last 3 years at Wimbledon - op made good observation Lol.

 

[Beckerserve]

Federer isn't getting past Djokovic....he's going to have to hope and pray that Novak falters before they meet in the final.

Federer will do to Djokovic what Nadal did to Djokovic at FO last year if they met at SW19 mark my words.
Djokovic has lost step and has stamina issues now outdoors when it is above 27C. That means his biggest weapons against Federer, i.e speed and endurance are not as big weapons now. Therefore on grass it would be less about physicality between then now but on shot making ability. Federer has always been a far better all round player than Djokovic shot for shot and still is which is amplified on grass.
I have been saying since FO 2020 Nadal would need to win FO 2021 to ensure parity with Federer as i felt Federer will win SW19 if fit, and rumours are he looks very fit and sharp.

 

[Beckerserve]

OP is not a Fed fan.

I genuinely feel Roger is going to make you and his legions of fans very happy within next few months and cement himself as undisputed GOAT by winning a Major at 40 which even if Nadal ended up with more Majors would probably still mean Federer is regarded as GOAT a bit like Tom Brady is even though other QBs have better stats.
I am not jinxing, i just know Federer would have retired if he felt he could not win another Major.

 

[socallefty]

If Federer lost at the last two Wimbledon’s after having match points, I would recommend if I were his coach that he play in such a way that he doesn’t hold match points in any match starting with the first round. We don’t want to damage his delicate psyche at the age of 40 by giving him the chance of blowing another Wimbledon match by losing match points.

I have to figure out how he is going to win his first round match without holding a match point - but, I’m sure there is a solution. Maybe get his opponent upset enough to bash a ball at a linesperson and get defaulted - it’s happened before

 

[ollinger]

Have to assume this thread was intended as a joke

 

[SardinesForDinner]

I see my calculation of 98,15 vs 1,85 still stands. Federer knows it. And you all know it deep down too... Roger is a lock for the Wimbledon title.

 

[Dedans Penthouse]

Federer hasn't truly lost at Wimbledon since 2015. Hear me out! I guess you could count 2018 and 2019 as losses, I mean, if you really want to be splitting hairs...

Federer has played 1515 matches in his pro career. He has won 1243 of these.

In 2016 Federer was clearly injured and never would have lost to Raonic if healthy. Nadal fans would have to agree. The year after we saw what should have happened when Federer took Mr Walkman to school in 3 sets and didn't lose a set the entire tournament.
In 2018 and 2019 he had match points in both the matches he eventually 'lost'. Now, Federer has in total lost 23 matches he has held match points. Doing the math, he loses 1,85 % of the matches in which he gets to a MP (23/1423).

So, to sum it up:

2016: Clearly injured and would have beaten both Mr Walkman and MuryGOAT if healthy
2017: One of the most dominant Wimbledon wins in history
2018: 1,85 % happened
2019: 1,85 % happened

What has happened has happened but Federer has Wimbledon as his biggest goal every year and particularly this year after what has happened. He's taking every step to make sure he's arriving at full fitness level and as healthy a 39 year old has ever been. So the last time Fed really lost while healthy was against peak Djokovic in the 2015 final. Even in 2018 he had wrist problems in his match against Kevin Anderson.

So with that being said, Federer will very likely only lose at Wimbledon IF he reaches match points. He refuses to bow out before that. And as his 20+ career tells us, there's only a 1,85 % risk of him blowing an opportunity with match points.

Federer 98,15 % lock to win the tournament vs the field 1,85 %

Discuss.

 

[Tennisbg]

I always say it, bet your house on this prediction if you are so sure. You will win tons of money.