Federer News

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oldmanfan

Legend
My pick of SF going strong.

I think Stan will be gassed. That was reminiscent of the Murray match in 2017.

Agreed. And bad luck for Stan. It's borderline 'rigging' at this point with how often Fedr lands in Stan's path since AO17.

Before Fedfans hand wringer too much in case a Fedal SF happens, riddle me this. Who do you think Nadl is rooting for to play against, exhausted-Stan or Fedr? Yes it's clay, but the choice is between the guy whom Nadl owns, or the guy whom he lost 5 straight to, and the last 3 without winning a set. To top it off, the last time Nadl met Stan, he ran over him on clay at Madrid19, while the last time Nadl met Fedr, he ducked (don't know how severe the injury was, but probably not more severe than when Fedr chose not to duck and still played Nadl when Fedr had back issues at IW a few years ago).

I'm sending The Old Man good vibes. ;)
We all should. 8-B
 

MasturB

Legend
Those are some pretty big "ifs."

It's one thing to make Chatrier look like SW19 when you're playing guys ranked in the 60s. In order to win the title, he'll have to go through the 2 best returners on tour. And they'll be damned if they're going to let Fed S&V them to death on clay of all places. Novak shuts that strategy down completely, even on grass. And especially Rafa on clay, who voluntarily lives 100 ft back and will unload on those kickers after they've started coming down, he won't get eaten up by them by standing close and trying to hit them at shoulder height.

Even Thiem in Madrid was wising up to it by the end of the match and started passing him on some big points from what I remember. There's a reason players don't S&V on clay.

Fred has been moving much better on clay at RG than Madrid.

Even the matches he won against Monfils and Gasquet he was not sliding much left or right. And he was moving very cautiously.

At RG he's been moving much smoother and sliding a lot more here.

It's veen progressing from Madrid to Rome and RG.
 

oldmanfan

Legend
Im curious as to why one quarter is on Lenglen and other on Chatrier for both men and women.

Don't they have enough time for 4 QF (2 men and 2 women) on chatrier?

I had that thought too. I can only think of the reason as $$ bc if all 4 QFs played on PC, they lose out on a SL's session worth of ticket sales. I'm assuming this is bc RG doesn't have two sessions yet (probably a huge reason they finally will implement lights in 2021(?), to have day/night sessions a la USO/AO, so more $$).
 
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Deleted member 763024

Guest
Fred has been moving much better on clay at RG than Madrid.

Even the matches he won against Monfils and Gasquet he was not sliding much left or right. And he was moving very cautiously.

At RG he's been moving much smoother and sliding a lot more here.

It's veen progressing from Madrid to Rome and RG.

Coach what’s your take on how far Rog goes?

I think all this talk of getting to and beating Nadal on Chatrier is a bit far fetched
 

Poisoned Slice

Bionic Poster
What more can you say about him? The observers have told me that he is in great spirits here. His interview yesterday with Mats Wilander made me feel like Roger had his bugs bunny fix. Totally at ease, ya know. It would be foolhardy to write Wawrinka off. He has defeated the grandmaster here before. But this is a different time, different shoes, different racquets, different sponsors, different weather forecast, ya know. I am looking forward to it.
220px-Dave_Meltzer_2018.jpg
 

MasturB

Legend
I had that thought too. I can only think of the reason as $$ bc if all 4 QFs played on PC, they lose out on a SL's session worth of ticket sales. I'm assuming this is bc RG doesn't have two sessions yet (probably a huge reason they finally will implement lights in 2021(?), to have day/night sessions a la USO/AO, so more $$).

They've been doing 2 mens and 2 women's matched a day since the start of the tourney.

Just weird for the QF they stop.

Unless they're afraid of matches going over and not getting 4 matches finished in 8 hours.
 

Rogfan

Professional
I can totally see a Fedal semi now. Our champ will beat the bull and redeem himself after all those losses. Unfortunately he will then go down in four in the final against a very determined and focused Djoker. It continues I RG that those who beat Nadal won’t win the title :cry:
 

JoshuaPim

Semi-Pro
I think you're all setting yourself up for disappointment.

No player with a single handed backhand is beating Rafa on PC. Too much of a disadvantage and Rafa will just wear them down over 5 sets on that side. That is his get out jail free card and especially on PC he’ll know either Stan or Roger will cough up a short ball eventually to take control of the rally. This is not Rod Laver arena.

This is supposed to be for Fed news only. Discussions should be held over on the General thread.
 

Poisoned Slice

Bionic Poster
The evil weather, ya know. Yeah! Fantastic match, fantastic match, tremendous. You can say Federer wasted some break points but there was some great saves from Wawrinka as well. Federer did get a break when he needed it most. He has the edge but Stan has been with him on this day. Look forward to the conclusion.
220px-Dave_Meltzer_2018.jpg
 

BeatlesFan

Bionic Poster
Even if he pulls it out, I don't know how I will get through watching him play Nadal.

I know what you mean. We all know Roger has possibly a 15% chance against Nadal and he's expected to lose fairly easily. But the nerves will be there, even with an anticipated defeat. And who knows? If Goffin can take a set off Nadal, Fed should be able to do the same, if not more. But if he brings the strategy he's using against Stan (baseline bashing), he has absolutely no chance. His only chance is mixing it up and keeping the rallies short, even if that means many UE's. Never give Rafa any rhythm.
 
I know what you mean. We all know Roger has possibly a 15% chance against Nadal and he's expected to lose fairly easily. But the nerves will be there, even with an anticipated defeat. And who knows? If Goffin can take a set off Nadal, Fed should be able to do the same, if not more. But if he brings the strategy he's using against Stan (baseline bashing), he has absolutely no chance. His only chance is mixing it up and keeping the rallies short, even if that means many UE's. Never give Rafa any rhythm.

Nadal hasn't beat Fed since 2014. That has to play in the psyche some as well, also Nadal has been smoked the last 3 times, 4 really if you count what was coming before he withdrew. I'd put the chances of winning higher than 15% today. I know that's about what it is historically but I'd say more like double that. 30%
 

Ann

Hall of Fame
I know what you mean. We all know Roger has possibly a 15% chance against Nadal and he's expected to lose fairly easily. But the nerves will be there, even with an anticipated defeat. And who knows? If Goffin can take a set off Nadal, Fed should be able to do the same, if not more. But if he brings the strategy he's using against Stan (baseline bashing), he has absolutely no chance. His only chance is mixing it up and keeping the rallies short, even if that means many UE's. Never give Rafa any rhythm.
Roger needs to serve underhand like Kyrgios did and really pizz off Ralph and then giggle at his tirade. Don't know if it will help him win a game but it would crack me up.
 

Lleytonstation

Talk Tennis Guru
I know what you mean. We all know Roger has possibly a 15% chance against Nadal and he's expected to lose fairly easily. But the nerves will be there, even with an anticipated defeat. And who knows? If Goffin can take a set off Nadal, Fed should be able to do the same, if not more. But if he brings the strategy he's using against Stan (baseline bashing), he has absolutely no chance. His only chance is mixing it up and keeping the rallies short, even if that means many UE's. Never give Rafa any rhythm.

I know, why does Fed do this in matches. He thinks he can still hit with these guys. Then again on Clay it's much tougher to be aggressive.
 

TheIntrovert

Hall of Fame
I couldn’t care less what happens on Friday. Reaching the semis and going down to Nadal is no small feat. Has been a wonderful clay season. I admit I was part of the crowd that was wary of him playing. But this has put him in very good shape for Wimbledon. Momentum is there, and groundstrokes has a lot of practice. And with the frame of mind feds been in since 2017, I dont think a loss will hurt him as much mentally as it did during his peak. Points don’t hurt either of course. Of course a win would be dreamy, but it’s so unlikely I’m not bothered.
 

BeatlesFan

Bionic Poster
I couldn’t care less what happens on Friday. Reaching the semis and going down to Nadal is no small feat. Has been a wonderful clay season. I admit I was part of the crowd that was wary of him playing. But this has put him in very good shape for Wimbledon. Momentum is there, and groundstrokes has a lot of practice. And with the frame of mind feds been in since 2017, I dont think a loss will hurt him as much mentally as it did during his peak. Points don’t hurt either of course. Of course a win would be dreamy, but it’s so unlikely I’m not bothered.
Very well said. But it's still hard not to get tied into knots on Friday when they play, even with the likely outcome.
 

Lleytonstation

Talk Tennis Guru
I couldn’t care less what happens on Friday. Reaching the semis and going down to Nadal is no small feat. Has been a wonderful clay season. I admit I was part of the crowd that was wary of him playing. But this has put him in very good shape for Wimbledon. Momentum is there, and groundstrokes has a lot of practice. And with the frame of mind feds been in since 2017, I dont think a loss will hurt him as much mentally as it did during his peak. Points don’t hurt either of course. Of course a win would be dreamy, but it’s so unlikely I’m not bothered.

True, it has been a great and fun run. But, Fed might find a way to make it close, and if he does, he will give us hope. I don't want hope unless it comes with a win. Hope is terrifying.
 
D

Deleted member 762343

Guest
I couldn’t care less what happens on Friday. Reaching the semis and going down to Nadal is no small feat. Has been a wonderful clay season. I admit I was part of the crowd that was wary of him playing. But this has put him in very good shape for Wimbledon. Momentum is there, and groundstrokes has a lot of practice. And with the frame of mind feds been in since 2017, I dont think a loss will hurt him as much mentally as it did during his peak. Points don’t hurt either of course. Of course a win would be dreamy, but it’s so unlikely I’m not bothered.

Yep. He exceeded my expectations, doesn’t matter whether he wins or loses the next match. Incredible from Goaterer.
 

Poisoned Slice

Bionic Poster
Roger Federer was the guy out there today. What a joy it is to have him back playing here. Has he been studying the secret clay texts that were published in the 1st century? hahahaha Now it is the greatest test in tennis. Rafa Nadal at Roland Garros. Anthony Joshua was knocked out this past weekend. This would be an even bigger upset I feel. It has been a long time since their last encounter here. Head is telling me Nadal will win in less than 5 sets.
davemeltzer.jpg
 

TheIntrovert

Hall of Fame
Roger Federer was the guy out there today. What a joy it is to have him back playing here. Has he been studying the secret clay texts that were published in the 1st century? hahahaha Now it is the greatest test in tennis. Rafa Nadal at Roland Garros. Anthony Joshua was knocked out this past weekend. This would be an even bigger upset I feel. It has been a long time since their last encounter here. Head is telling me Nadal will win in less than 5 sets.
davemeltzer.jpg
How many stars you give him?
 
Fedr's ToC is actually 14 minutes less than Wapha's despite the (half) marathon

Fedr: 1'41" 1'36" 2'11" 1'42" 3'35"=10'45"
Nadl: 1'51" 2'13" 2'49" 2'9" 1'57" = 10'59"

Did not expect Stan to hang in like that. I thought he'd go to pieces after losing the 1st set. Good test of ground game. WIM 14 & 15 were too easy until the final & he couldn't cope with the higher stakes especially in 15.

Zero, literally, zero expectations on Friday. Just happy to see him play 6 matches in a slam after so long.
 
It’s nice to see a match like this go Federer’s way. He outplayed Stan thoughout the match, but found himself in a very close match in the fourth, and these types of matches in slams (and other places) have hurt him.

Break points converted: Fed, 2/18, Stan—2/5
Receiving points won: Fed—63, Stan—44
Total points won: Fed—168, Stan—152

This very easily could have been a straightforward, straight sets win and should have been. Federer controlled his serve games throughout and put pressure on Stan’s serve throughout. Federer has only been broken 3 times the entire tournament. Honestly, other than the points played on break point, Federer dominated him.
 
Fedr's ToC is actually 14 minutes less than Wapha's despite the (half) marathon

Fedr: 1'41" 1'36" 2'11" 1'42" 3'35"=10'45"
Nadl: 1'51" 2'13" 2'49" 2'9" 1'57" = 10'59"

Did not expect Stan to hang in like that. I thought he'd go to pieces after losing the 1st set. Good test of ground game. WIM 14 & 15 were too easy until the final & he couldn't cope with the higher stakes especially in 15.

Zero, literally, zero expectations on Friday. Just happy to see him play 6 matches in a slam after so long.
One should look at points played/energy spent, because of RAFA's time wasting
 
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