Can Carlos Alcaraz beat Nadal?

Can Alcaraz beat Nadal?


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    36
  • Poll closed .

ChaelAZ

G.O.A.T.
I just watched Alcaraz doing Nadal things to Norrie. That might have been the highest level tennis I’ve seen in ages. Both players were amazing but Alcaraz was something else.

Same for me. I had that exact same excitement watching Alcaraz as I did watch Nadal when he started. Having Ferrero and Spanish tennis behind him I think will keep him on a very good path. Excited to see.
 

tlm

G.O.A.T.
I just watched Alcaraz doing Nadal things to Norrie. That might have been the highest level tennis I’ve seen in ages. Both players were amazing but Alcaraz was something else.

I agree that was some of the best tennis I have watched this year. Both played well but the Spaniard is scary good, I can definitely see him taking out Rafa.
 

Gt86

Professional
He’s good, but he’s an inferior version of Nadal. Being Spanish, playing with a babolat, and wearing sleeveless shirts doesn't fool me.
He plays nothing like Nadal. He is actually a lot more like Djokovic style wise but with
Much more power. At the moment he makes a lot of UFEs but once those are ironed out if he avoids the pitfalls of celebrity and stays humble and works hard he could break the Nadal Slam Record in 15 years time
 

Gt86

Professional
I agree that was some of the best tennis I have watched this year. Both played well but the Spaniard is scary good, I can definitely see him taking out Rafa.
To beat Rafa he will need to hit his spots better on serve and cut down the FH ufes. Clearly he has all the tools to beat Rafa but this match up obviously is as much mental as between the lines. It's a bit Dart Vader v Obi One. Whether Alcaraz shakes hands saying '....now I am the master' on Saturday remains to be seen.
 

T007

Hall of Fame
He needs improve his serve by several nothces to challenge Nadal.

Serve is one of the biggest weapon against Nadal. He can hang on with Nadal in long rallies but for how long ???

That's why i would pick Nadal as a big favourite
 
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He plays nothing like Nadal. He is actually a lot more like Djokovic style wise but with
Much more power. At the moment he makes a lot of UFEs but once those are ironed out if he avoids the pitfalls of celebrity and stays humble and works hard he could break the Nadal Slam Record in 15 years time

Agree, it's a very different style to Nadal.

However, they do share that combination of absolute brutal power while also having phenomenal touch and feel off the stringbed.

Alcaraz is so good at smacking the felt off the ball and then feathering a drop shot volley off the short reply.

Just an amazing mix of power and great hands which is a Nadal staple.
 

T007

Hall of Fame
To beat Rafa he will need to hit his spots better on serve and cut down the FH ufes. Clearly he has all the tools to beat Rafa but this match up obviously is as much mental as between the lines. It's a bit Dart Vader v Obi One. Whether Alcaraz shakes hands saying '....now I am the master' on Saturday remains to be seen.
Very well said ...Korda,opelka and Kyrgios all had raw power to trouble Nadal but mentally they all choked with poor decision making in crucial phases of the match.

So even he is up a break he still has to consolidate it till the end of set...which korda and kyrgios failed to do.
 

Gt86

Professional
Agree, it's a very different style to Nadal.

However, they do share that combination of absolute brutal power while also having phenomenal touch and feel off the stringbed.

Alcaraz is so good at smacking the felt off the ball and then feathering a drop shot volley off the short reply.

Just an amazing mix of power and great hands which is a Nadal staple.
Mentally Alcaraz is a replica of Nadal no doubt as well.
 

Gt86

Professional
Very well said ...Korda,opelka and Kyrgios all had raw power to trouble Nadal but mentally they all choked with poor decision making in crucial phases of the match.

So even he is up a break he still has to consolidate it till the end of set...which korda and kyrgios failed to do.
Indian wells due to the thin air and high bouncing conditions helps the tall big servers as it allows them to get the ball over head height. Rafa has had arguably the 3 hardest players in these conditions he could have got in those conditions.
 
Can he? Yes. Shapo and Medvedev can beat him too, but they folded mentally as will Alcaraz.

Maybe when Rafa is 40+, CAG can turn the H2H around, but it will take a while.

Do you still think Nadal can get to 25 majors? I remember when you made that comment quite a while ago, before he was even in the 20s.
 

DSH

Talk Tennis Guru
Although Nadal sometimes seems defeated, he will never give up until the chair umpire says game, set and match.
He always (or almost) has an ace up his sleeve.
Nadal is definitely "a beautiful mind" and with that he is enough to win the vast majority of matches and against Alcaraz it will be no different.
:D
 

vex

Legend
He doesn't look talented enough, so no.
Enthusiasm and athleticism is simply not enough.
Bro... Alcaraz's groundstrokes look suspiciously like Djokovic's. He hits them with depth and accuracy. His serve needs work and I don't love the way he has adopted Rafa's return positioning from the first row of the stands... but he is the most accurate groundstroker the tour has seen since Djokovic. He's gonna be good. Really, really good.
 

jondice

Semi-Pro
Pretty sure Alcaraz will replace Rafa as my favorite one day. I just really hope that day isn't Saturday!
That said, sure. Nadal can get beat by Alcaraz. The Aussie brat should have beat him today, if I'm being honest.
 
Indian wells due to the thin air and high bouncing conditions helps the tall big servers as it allows them to get the ball over head height. Rafa has had arguably the 3 hardest players in these conditions he could have got in those conditions.

Yeah, you could really see the height Opelka was getting. Some of his serves were going over the back wall off the bounce. When you return as far back as Nadal you are getting those serves pretty close to the height of the bounce, too.
 

timnz

Legend
Okay going out on a limb here. I am picking Alcaraz to win. In my experience form is everything. And I think Alcaraz is in the form of his life. The way is beat Monfils (who was in top form himself) tells me he is in the form to beat Nadal. He has practiced recently on hard court with Nadal so he has a sense of the game that will be brought to him.
 

Gt86

Professional
Yeah, you could really see the height Opelka was getting. Some of his serves were going over the back wall off the bounce. When you return as far back as Nadal you are getting those serves pretty close to the height of the bounce, too.
Only tall guys with big serves can trouble Rafa in these IW type conditions we are seeing this hear. At Roland Garros only two players have ever really got close to beating a git Nadal and that is soderling who beat him and Isner. Djokovic 2013 does not count as Rafa was nowhere near fit that event yet he still won that match
 

lim

Professional
Rafa will have to play at a higher level than he did today. The way he choked that second set was cringe worthy
 

ChaelAZ

G.O.A.T.
He plays nothing like Nadal. He is actually a lot more like Djokovic style wise but with much more power.

To me he is very much like the young Nadal, with power, fight to win every point, movement and defense to offense, and even the arm pump celebration. Djo has always been lanky and flexible, but not as explosive to me.
 

Patriots

Semi-Pro
After dodging bombs from Korda, Opelka & Kyrios and with a days rest, figure Nadal will have enough left to handle Alcaraz.
 

T23

Semi-Pro
Can Alcaraz beat Nadal in a tennis one on one?

Can Alcaraz defeat LeBron James in a basketball one on one?

Can Alcaraz annihilate Albus Dumbledore in a magical one on one?

Stay tunned.
It’s called a magical ‘duel’ my good Sir, most important factor or the question we should be asking is it one on one vs a ‘Peak-Dumbledore’ in possession of the elder-wand or is it vs a younger dumbledore yet to fathom his own powers and has not faced off Grindelwald yet, which version is Alcaraz facing? The surface also matters… mind you.
i’m sure somewhere we may find a post by @RS or @Nadal_King where we have a poll of ‘Peak Dumbledore vs Peak Alcaraz 10matches’ thread somewhere on ttw. :)
 

Artanis

Semi-Pro
Bro... Alcaraz's groundstrokes look suspiciously like Djokovic's. He hits them with depth and accuracy. His serve needs work and I don't love the way he has adopted Rafa's return positioning from the first row of the stands... but he is the most accurate groundstroker the tour has seen since Djokovic. He's gonna be good. Really, really good.
Well, for sure Carlito is special and spectacular.
But technique-wise, Alcaraz hits straight-arm FH, unlike Nole (and similar to Federer). On BH side are more alike, with way better BH DTL for Nole.
On topic: he definitely has a big chance now given he is fresher than Nadal who struggled.
Will he? Hard to say if mentally will be here for the occasion.
 
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Bud

Bionic Poster
Indian wells due to the thin air and high bouncing conditions helps the tall big servers as it allows them to get the ball over head height. Rafa has had arguably the 3 hardest players in these conditions he could have got in those conditions.
Indian Wells Tennis Garden is close to sea level.
 

The Big Foe fan

Hall of Fame
Well, for sure Carlito is special and spectacular.
But technique-wise, Alcaraz hits straight-arm FH, unlike Nole (and similar to Federer). On BH side are more alike, with way better BH DTL for Nole.
On topic: he definitely has a big chance now given he is fresher than Nadal who struggled.
Will he? Hard to say if mentally will be here for the occasion.
Not really good to compare Alcaraz's BHDTL with the best BHDTL in history.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
There are some interesting parallels between Alcaraz ‘21/‘22 and Nadal ‘04/‘05 up to now. Alcaraz is 11 months younger in this comparison but both won their first ATP titles post-Wimbledon on clay and then started the next season with a second title also on clay during the SA Golden Swing.

Obviously the glaring difference when reviewing 2005 and comparing it to 2022 is that there are now two ATGs to contend with while fedr was just on his way to establishing his bona fides. Nadal managed the Bo3 upset of fedr at Miami’04 and a couple of then Bo5 DC wins vs Clement and Roddick. The Roddick victory in Day 1 of the DC final probably was the highlight of his year. Little traction was gained in the slams by missing two due to injury and getting drubbed at AO by Hewitt and USO by defending champion Roddick, certainly nowhere near the peak slam result from Alcaraz.

At this point Alcaraz’s trajectory is on a slightly steeper course. The next three months will show if it’s real or fool’s gold.
2 points I want to make:

1. I think 2005 Nadal started the year better since the loss to Hewitt at the AO was better than Alcaraz's loss to Berrettini. Now can Alcaraz try to pull a Nadal and push Rafa to the limit at IW like Youngdal did in Miami against Fed?

2. The current ATGs are in their mid 30's so it's a better time for Alcaraz now than it was for Nadal in 2005 when Federer was right in the middle of his dominance and was definitely scarier than Djokovic and Nadal this year so far. But if you want to just look at the number of ATGs present, then 2005 also had 2 ATGs in Federer and Agassi.
 

stringertom

Bionic Poster
2 points I want to make:

1. I think 2005 Nadal started the year better since the loss to Hewitt at the AO was better than Alcaraz's loss to Berrettini. Now can Alcaraz try to pull a Nadal and push Rafa to the limit at IW like Youngdal did in Miami against Fed?

2. The current ATGs are in their mid 30's so it's a better time for Alcaraz now than it was for Nadal in 2005 when Federer was right in the middle of his dominance and was definitely scarier than Djokovic and Nadal this year so far. But if you want to just look at the number of ATGs present, then 2005 also had 2 ATGs in Federer and Agassi.
You’re overthinking. Trust your eyes and stop overanalyzing.
 

initialize

Hall of Fame
Alcaraz reminds of young Nadal, but without the chronic foot injury.

Scary to think what he can achieve.
Alcaraz compares his game to Federer actually. His forehand is closed to Fed’s than Nadal’s (but closer to Verdasco’s than either)
 

stringertom

Bionic Poster
I mean, Alcaraz is good and I've seen it with my own eyes, so no problems there.

Was just correcting some statements :)
Correcting? That’s pretty big of you. After all, they are just opinions, not facts.

I’ll take Alcaraz’s USO’21 win over a #3 seed as a better accomplishment than a loss to a #3 seed. But that’s just my opinion and not a fact, Professor with a red pencil in his hand.

By quoting me and then adding your snide “just correcting some statements” line you are implying I am wrong and you are right. Stop lecturing from your high and mighty podium like you are right and others, including myself, are wrong.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
Correcting? That’s pretty big of you. After all, they are just opinions, not facts.

I’ll take Alcaraz’s USO’21 win over a #3 seed as a better accomplishment than a loss to a #3 seed. But that’s just my opinion and not a fact, Professor with a red pencil in his hand.

By quoting me and then adding your snide “just correcting some statements” line you are implying I am wrong and you are right. Stop lecturing from your high and mighty podium like you are right and others, including myself, are wrong.
Sorry, I didn't want to come off that way :) All good.
 
D

Deleted member 788697

Guest
Alcaraz didn't look good enough to beat Nadal when I saw the Alcaraz-Norrie match.
Plus he'll probably play worse when he plays Nadal, because of the added tension.
 

ibbi

G.O.A.T.
Only thing standing in his way here might be the mental hurdle he'll have to overcome. Looking at the two of them play this week he can and absolutely should. Norrie had to play the match of his life yesterday just to try and keep up with the kid, and still couldn't even manage a set. Nadal can't move like that anymore.

Alcaraz is a world a way from the player he was when they met last year, and it's not on clay either. The one other thing working against him is this is going to be a day match, and I'm pretty sure all his matches have been night ones, so the conditions will be slightly more to Rafa's liking and what he's used to.
 

Jokervich

Hall of Fame
@Jokervich what do you think? Can he? Whom will you be cheering?:D
No, because he will fail in the pressure moments/big points. I don't expect Nadal to lose, as much as people are hyping up Alcaraz.

I'll be cheering Nadal personally, because I want the unbeaten streak to keep going so it allows Djokovic to be the one to end it.:sneaky:
 

NeutralFan

G.O.A.T.
No, because he will fail in the pressure moments/big points. I don't expect Nadal to lose, as much as people are hyping up Alcaraz.

I'll be cheering Nadal personally, because I want the unbeaten streak to keep going so it allows Djokovic to be the one to end it.:sneaky:

Slowly i am leaning towards total domination of Djokodal and want one of them to clinch the slam race , imagine salt and whinning here when Djokodal dominate Tennis till2024 :D :D
 
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