Terry Tibbs
Hall of Fame
2 slams now for Andy. How many do you think he will win in total in his career?
How many slams will Murray win?
- Thread starter Terry Tibbs
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veroniquem
Bionic Poster
Maybe 4? Another W and another USO. He's already 26, so it's hard to be overly optimistic. Let's say 3 minimum and 6 maximum. And for sure more than anyone not called Fed, Nadal and Djoko in his era.
BigServer1
Legend
I think five. He's peaked later in his career, imo. He started making Major finals in 2008, but his game now is really the best it's ever been. I could see him winning three more, maybe just two if someone springs up and starts challenging the top (not looking likely). I'll be shocked if he wins fewer than four.
J
JRAJ1988
Guest
I voted 4, though the optimist in me says 6.
How many will Djokovic end up with?
How many will Djokovic end up with?
tennis_pro
Bionic Poster
Let's say he has the 2013 US, 2014 and 2015 seasons of prime tennis.
Murray is the same age as Djokovic and Novak has been the flat out best AO player of recent times, 3-0 against Murray there in 2011, 2012, 2013. So unless Djokovic gets upset he's not winning there. Let's say he gets the odd 1.
FO - never ever, not in a billion years.
Wimbledon - he's got Djokovic's number, Federer is old (I expect him to play 1 last great Wimbledon where he wins), Nadal has been upset badly in the last 2 Wimbledons. The rest of the field is way below average. Let's say 2 more.
US Open - 50/50 between him and Djokovic. I think Djokovic will like his revenge this year (plus I doubt he'll be screwed up with the scheduling an there won't be a hurricane again..). Let's say 1.
So 1 AO, 2 Wimbledons, 1 US - that's 4 + 2 he's got already that's 6. And that's the optimistic version.
The realistic version I would say 1 more Wimbledon (he won't have the drive he had before today - sort of like Federer before winning the 2009 FO), and 1 AO or US (probably US). That's 4. One would have to consider Nadal and Federer having odd great runs in non-clay majors. I'm sure both will be motivated at the US, especially Federer.
Pesimistic (and best) version = he stands at 2. He capitalized on very favorable draws and a tired Djokovic in the final. Won't happen again.
Murray is the same age as Djokovic and Novak has been the flat out best AO player of recent times, 3-0 against Murray there in 2011, 2012, 2013. So unless Djokovic gets upset he's not winning there. Let's say he gets the odd 1.
FO - never ever, not in a billion years.
Wimbledon - he's got Djokovic's number, Federer is old (I expect him to play 1 last great Wimbledon where he wins), Nadal has been upset badly in the last 2 Wimbledons. The rest of the field is way below average. Let's say 2 more.
US Open - 50/50 between him and Djokovic. I think Djokovic will like his revenge this year (plus I doubt he'll be screwed up with the scheduling an there won't be a hurricane again..). Let's say 1.
So 1 AO, 2 Wimbledons, 1 US - that's 4 + 2 he's got already that's 6. And that's the optimistic version.
The realistic version I would say 1 more Wimbledon (he won't have the drive he had before today - sort of like Federer before winning the 2009 FO), and 1 AO or US (probably US). That's 4. One would have to consider Nadal and Federer having odd great runs in non-clay majors. I'm sure both will be motivated at the US, especially Federer.
Pesimistic (and best) version = he stands at 2. He capitalized on very favorable draws and a tired Djokovic in the final. Won't happen again.
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Oceansize
Rookie
Big question mark for me is his health. He clutches his hip and lower back a lot (admittedly usually only when he's lost an important point), and he continues to often run around too much whilst playing too defensively.
I wouldn't be surprised if his career goes like Hewitt's, with injuries taking their toll after picking up two Slams. If he's to prove this wrong, he needs to win big in the next three years imo, as I think his body will have definitely had enough by the time he's aged 29-30.
I wouldn't be surprised if his career goes like Hewitt's, with injuries taking their toll after picking up two Slams. If he's to prove this wrong, he needs to win big in the next three years imo, as I think his body will have definitely had enough by the time he's aged 29-30.
Terry Tibbs
Hall of Fame
You think Federer has another wimbledon in him? Big call dude. Surely it would have to be next year if he was to do that. Cant see anybody winning wimbledon at 33+
J
JRAJ1988
Guest
I sincerely hope Murray's health doesn't go the way of Hewitt's.
tennis_pro
Bionic Poster
Well no-one else won 17 Slams before Federer too...if there's any Slam where are 33+ year old can win, it's Wimbledon.
Plus I think he's aiming for that one last Slam and then retires. 2014 or 2015 Wimbledon would be my guess.
Terry Tibbs
Hall of Fame
I also like to think that he has another slam in him but im not sure if this is my heart or my head. Agassi won his last slam at 32 and Federer remains incredibly fit and injury free. Im not convinced that this is most likely to be wmbledon though as the courts dont play the same as they used to. I think he could win another US Open.
Nativenewyorker
New User
I voted for six slams. That may be a best case scenario but I think it's doable. Murray may be a late bloomer coming of age in one of the most competitive eras in men's tennis, but I think that winning Wimbledon should give him a real boost. He finally ended the drought for the British and made history. Regardless of what he does going forward, he will always have that.
I can see him winning another one or two USO's and maybe even getting an AO. I also see him winning at least one more Wimbledon. I don't see him winning the French Open.
As long as he stays healthy, there's no reason he can't get to six. We will have to see how it all plays out.
I can see him winning another one or two USO's and maybe even getting an AO. I also see him winning at least one more Wimbledon. I don't see him winning the French Open.
As long as he stays healthy, there's no reason he can't get to six. We will have to see how it all plays out.
Peters
Professional
Hmm. My guess is around 5 more. Him and Novak are very closely matched, so Andy will never dominate him and win every GS final against him. It'll always swing back and forth.
Plus he's 26 and he already has to manage his back problem all year round. I'm just not seeing him winning more than 4 or 5 more purely on practical reasons.
Plus he's 26 and he already has to manage his back problem all year round. I'm just not seeing him winning more than 4 or 5 more purely on practical reasons.
rosewallGOAT
Banned
I always said 4 to 6 so will stick with that. He will win another Wimbledon for sure, and probably another U.S Open. I could see him winning as many as 3 or 4 Wimbledons, 2 or 3 U.S Opens, and 1 Australian, but still 6 overall would be the maximum. I will be generous and go with 6 since other than Djokovic, an iffy off clay Nadal at this stage of his career, Del Potro, and possibly Jankowicz, Dmitrov, and Nishikori, he doesnt have much competition going forward.
If I had to break down his final totals it would be:
Australian Opens- 1
Wimbledons- 3
U.S Opens- 2
If I had to break down his final totals it would be:
Australian Opens- 1
Wimbledons- 3
U.S Opens- 2
rosewallGOAT
Banned
He is never winning the French so if one gives him until 2017 to possibly win majors that would mean he has to win 5 of the next 11 non clay majors to get there. I guess that is possible but it will be hard. If he did win 7 I think it would be:
Australian Opens- 1
Wimbledons- 4 (or 3)
U.S Open- 2 (or 3)
He really should dominate Wimbledon the next few years. Djokovic not that good on grass. Nadal looks like he might be finished on grass due to his knees not able to handle the low bounces of a grass court. Federer likely done winning majors. Del Potro still possibly an emerging threat there and a few up and comers.
Ginger ninja
Semi-Pro
2 more wimbledons
1 more us open
5 total
1 more us open
5 total
tennis_hack
Banned
minimum 0 more, maximum 1 more I think.
rosewallGOAT
Banned
I really hope he wins atleast 1 Australian. That would suck to lose all those finals there and never win it. It would be an emotional victory for him when he finally wins there, if he can.
I dont think it will be easy to win there though. Djokovic is the Australian Open GOAT and probably the one to beat there for years to come, and I think Nadal will really make a bigger push for both the Australian and U.S Opens now that it is apparent his grass glory days might be over.
I dont think it will be easy to win there though. Djokovic is the Australian Open GOAT and probably the one to beat there for years to come, and I think Nadal will really make a bigger push for both the Australian and U.S Opens now that it is apparent his grass glory days might be over.
FreeBird
Legend
So you are saying 11 USO + 1W?
norbac
Legend
Drive had nothing to do with Federer's 09 FO win. He just had a joke draw.
TheF1Bob
Banned
Great post and agree with most things here, especially the second from top and last paragraphs.
We would all like that my friend but sadly...it ain't happening.
tennis_pro
Bionic Poster
At least he didnt play freaking Youzhny, Verdasco and Janowicz en route to the final but Haas, Monfils and Del Potro instead.
Duncan Bell
Hall of Fame
Do numbers go high enough?
4 more
4 more
Sid_Vicious
G.O.A.T.
More than 10% think 11+ :shock:
Duncan Bell
Hall of Fame
Brits either do overwhelming pessimism or overwhelming optimism.
See: England/Scottish/Welsh National Football Teams
Desertman
Hall of Fame
Mark my words.....Janowicz will never be No.1 and never win a GS.
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