Likely scenarios for Federer to be No. 2 before RG

[OverratedIvanovic]

First off, if Federer is no. 2 before RG, then there is a 50 percent chance that Djokovic draws Nadal in RG semis and takes him out.

I am not the best when it comes to rankings , but here is what I can make out (Apologies for mistakes if any :roll

Nadal has 9105 points at the moment (Courtesy - http://live-tennis.eu/)
Note - Rome points have already dropped off.

Federer will have 9430 points if he wins Madrid.
Federer will have 9030 points if he loses in Madrid finals.
Federer will have 8790 points if he loses in Madrid semis.

Federer's road to No. 2 before RG relies on how Rafa performs at Rome. Here are the possible cases :

Case 1 : Nadal wins Rome, then he has 10105 points, then Roger wont be No. 2 no matter what.

Case 2 : Nadal loses in finals, then he has 9705 points. So following scenarios are possible :
Scenario (a) : If Federer wins Madrid (9430 points), then he only needs a semi in Rome to overatake Nadal as No. 2. Federer wil have 9790 points i.e. 85 points ahead of Nadal.
Scenario (b) : If Federer loses in Madrid finals (9030 points), he would need to win Rome to be No. 2
Scenario (c) : If Federer loses in semis (8790 points), he would need to win Rome to be no. 2.

Case 3 : Nadal loses in semis, then he has 9465 points. So following scenarios are possible:
Scenario (a) : Federer wins Madrid, then he just needs to win 2nd round i.e. his first match to overtake Rafa
Scenario (b) : Federer loses in Madrid finals, then he needs to make finals in Rome to overtake Rafa.
Scenario (c) : Federer loses in Madrid semis, then he needs to win Rome to be No. 2

 

[CMM]

Djokovic is the only one left in the draw who could beat Federer.
But he's in complaining mode and doesn't seem very motivated.

 

[Feather]

First off, if Federer is no. 2 before RG, then there is a 50 percent chance that Djokovic draws Nadal in RG semis and takes him out.

I am not the best when it comes to rankings , but here is what I can make out (Apologies for mistakes if any :roll

Nadal has 9105 points at the moment (Courtesy - http://live-tennis.eu/)
Note - Rome points have already dropped off.

Federer will have 9430 points if he wins Madrid.
Federer will have 9030 points if he loses in Madrid finals.
Federer will have 8790 points if he loses in Madrid semis.

Federer's road to No. 2 before RG relies on how Rafa performs at Rome. Here are the possible cases :

Case 1 : Nadal wins Rome, then he has 10105 points, then Roger wont be No. 2 no matter what.

Case 2 : Nadal loses in finals, then he has 9705 points. So following scenarios are possible :
Scenario (a) : If Federer wins Madrid (9430 points), then he only needs a semi in Rome to overatake Nadal as No. 2. Federer wil have 9790 points i.e. 85 points ahead of Nadal.
Scenario (b) : If Federer loses in Madrid finals (9030 points), he would need to win Rome to be No. 2
Scenario (c) : If Federer loses in semis (8790 points), he would need to win Rome to be no. 2.

Case 3 : Nadal loses in semis, then he has 9465 points. So following scenarios are possible:
Scenario (a) : Federer wins Madrid, then he just needs to win 2nd round i.e. his first match to overtake Rafa
Scenario (b) : Federer loses in Madrid finals, then he needs to make finals in Rome to overtake Rafa.
Scenario (c) : Federer loses in Madrid semis, then he needs to win Rome to be No. 2

If Nadal wins Rome, he won't have 10,105 points. He will get only 400 more. He will have 9505 points. If Roger Federer wins Madrid and reaches QF in Rome, he will be number two.

 

[MG1]

If Nadal wins Rome, he won't have 10,105 points. He will get only 400 more. He will have 9505 points. If Roger Federer wins Madrid and reaches QF in Rome, he will be number two.

Dude he has already dropped off Rome points.

 

[OverratedIvanovic]

If Nadal wins Rome, he won't have 10,105 points. He will get only 400 more. He will have 9505 points. If Roger Federer wins Madrid and reaches QF in Rome, he will be number two.

Note - Rome points have already dropped off.

This ^^
10 chars

 

[SLD76]

It wont matter...last year Djoker caught people with their pants down. This year no such mistakes will be made. If Fed is number 2, he will still draw Nadal for the semi, book it. If you cant have Fed in the final, the next best thing for your tourney is a Rodger Rafa semi. Book it.

And given that Fedal semi, Delpo Isner, Raonic, Berdych etc will be guaranteed to be in Roger's quarter as well.

 

[NatF]

Federer may have more chance against Nadal in the Semi's, Nadal played subpar for most of the French Open. If Rome doesn't go Nadal's way and he doesn't peak Federer may have a chance. A slim chance, Nadal is Federer's kryptonite.

 

[SLD76]

Federer may have more chance against Nadal in the Semi's, Nadal played subpar for most of the French Open. If Rome doesn't go Nadal's way and he doesn't peak Federer may have a chance. A slim chance, Nadal is Federer's kryptonite.

If FO plays fast like it did last year....his chances will be better than zero, sure.

 

[OverratedIvanovic]

It wont matter...last year Djoker caught people with their pants down. This year no such mistakes will be made. If Fed is number 2, he will still draw Nadal for the semi, book it. If you cant have Fed in the final, the next best thing for your tourney is a Rodger Rafa semi. Book it.

And given that Fedal semi, Delpo Isner, Raonic, Berdych etc will be guaranteed to be in Roger's quarter as well.

Although its pretty lucrative for the tournament but you never know with French. They introduced fast balls last year but too bad for them nadal still managed to win instead of Federer.

 

[SLD76]

Although its pretty lucrative for the tournament but you never know with French. They introduced fast balls last year but too bad for them nadal still managed to win instead of Federer.

nah, they wont change the courts, they'll just have yannick noah as a line judge...rofl.

but seriously, no.

 

[jackson vile]

His best bet was an act of god, he got that and then still could not adapt and hold on to the No. 2 spot.

 

[zagor]

It's Fed thread resurrecting time!