Which of these is most likely to happen at RG 2015 ?

[sbengte]

So the draw is now out and we have more concrete information to make predictions with (for eg : We now know that there will be no Djokodal final).

Which of the scenarios is most likely to happen at RG ?

1. Nadal wins RG :
If Nadal gets past Djoko, he will win the whole thing. He is coming in with possibly the lowest expectations into RG in almost a decade now, so I have a feeling it will work to his advantage and he will defy all odds and rise to the occasion.

2.Murray wins RG :
The pressure of having Nadal out of the way can get to Djokovic and he may fumble against ClayRay, after beating Nadal, and Murray will get his RG before Djoko.

3.An unexpected dark horse will win:
Either Nishikori , Stan or Ferrer (and less likely Monfils/Berd/Fed/....) will win. Nishikori or Monfils have a very good chance of making the final and if there are a couple of upsets in the other half and they are up against a first time RG finalist facing them, anything can happen.
Ferrer's chances are slim since he needs to get past Murray and Djoko/Nadal, but if he somehow gets past the semi, there is no reason he shouldn't win the whole thing.

I have not included the option of Djokovic winning because a majority of the folks here think that is what will happen, while I believe there will be an unexpected twist contrary to the default expectation.

 

[veroniquem]

Only 2 things are likely to happen at RG: Nadal or Djoko winning it.
Anything else may happen but it doesn't qualify as "likely". It would only qualify as "unexpected".
I think the most likely of the "unexpected" options would be Murray, Fed or Nishi winning it.
Anything else would be like Cilic winning last USO: a complete surprise.

 

[RF-18]

If Novak doesn't win in QFs, federer will be there at the end stopping Nadal. Mark my words. Nadal is not winning the title this year.

 

[veroniquem]

If Nadal reaches final, he will be playing at a high level and Fed does not have a shade of a chance vs confident Nadal playing at a high level on red clay.

ETA: and if Rafa cannot find his high level, with the draw he has, he will lose before final, guaranteed.

 

[Wynter]

If Nadal reaches final, he will be playing at a high level and Fed does not have a shade of a chance vs confident Nadal playing at a high level on red clay.

But if Fognini's on the other side Rafa will quail in the presence of the italian maestro 8)

 

[veroniquem]

But if Fognini's on the other side Rafa will quail in the presence of the italian maestro 8)

Fognini, Nishi, Monfils, heck even Cuevas would have a better chance than Fed.
(Notice I didn't mention Berdych )

 

[Wynter]

Fognini, Nishi, Monfils, heck even Cuevas would have a better chance than Fed.
(Notice I didn't mention Berdych )

I want Fog to take T-Bird out so bad

He has a great draw, so long as he plays well he can go a mile.

 

[natalia]

I don't kow why the expectations should be low towards Rafi - he will get his usual dose of blood *ahem* booster and will be at his usual RG level.

Nishikori = the most overrated random player ever.

 

[Feather]

If Novak doesn't win in QFs, federer will be there at the end stopping Nadal. Mark my words. Nadal is not winning the title this year.

No way! I would have reposed more confidence on Roger had they met in QF of RG 2015. In final, no way

 

[OhYes]

Nadal can win against Novak only in 5 sets, while Novak can win against Nadal even in 3. Having Murray in semi will exhaust him even more, so that puts very tired Nadal against other finalist.
Kei would win, Stan, even Fed could try and beat his demons.

Anyway, Novak will take it this year.

 

[D.Nalby12]

I'm sorry but King Djokovic is winning this now. None of your mentioned options will happen actually. When Novak is winning everything for last 7-8 months, suggesting he will lose indirectly is quite disrespectful to his Tennis abilities and achievements.

Thank you.

 

[G A S]

I'm sorry but King Djokovic is winning this now. None of your mentioned options will happen actually. When Novak is winning everything for last 7-8 months, suggesting he will lose indirectly is quite disrespectful to his Tennis abilities and achievements.

Thank you.

I don't think so, it is very subjective and how BORING it would be if this was really true.
If everyone was saying Amen to "Novak will win"...

 

[ThomasGB]

Federer will roll back the years (Jimmy Connors style), knock out Monfils in four, Stan in three, Nishikori in four, and Djoko/Nadal/Murray in four.

Federer for RG domination! Once he beats Monfils, I can't see anyone stopping him before the final.

From there, Federer just has to dominate! :twisted:

 

[sbengte]

 

[xFedal]

Beat a Tired and lackluster Djokovic in the final, Bravo!! A year earlier beats 'injured Nadal', his wins have asterisks.

 

[MichaelNadal]

Beat a Tired and lackluster Djokovic in the final, Bravo!! A year earlier beats 'injured Nadal', his wins have asterisks.

 

[sbengte]

Beat a Tired and lackluster Djokovic in the final, Bravo!! A year earlier beats 'injured Nadal', his wins have asterisks.

Atleast he didn't win his slams beating a 34 year old grandpa who hobbled out of his retirement home in the finals

 

[MichaelNadal]

Delete poast.

 

[hup]

Beat a Tired and lackluster Djokovic in the final, Bravo!! A year earlier beats 'injured Nadal', his wins have asterisks.

in 2012 he played a gruelling 5 setter against murray in the SF and then won in a 6hr grindfest final against nadal. Yet in 2015, still in his prime, a 50 minute 6-1 set in between SF and F led to him being 'tired and lackluster' ? Djokovic thought he could win by playing passive tennis and waiting for stan's level to drop but it didn't work out that way. end of story.

 

[xFedal]

Atleast he didn't win his slams beating a 34 year old grandpa who hobbled out of his retirement home in the finals

That 34 year old 'grandpa' beat STAN at wimby14, USO15?

 

[xFedal]

in 2012 he played a gruelling 5 setter against murray in the SF and then won in a 6hr grindfest final against nadal. Yet in 2015, still in his prime, a 50 minute 6-1 set in between SF and F led to him being 'tired and lackluster' ? Djokovic thought he could win by playing passive tennis and waiting for stan's level to drop but it didn't work out that way. end of story.

You can't always have a 5 hour match and then win the final in 6hrs all the time//

 

[xFedal]

Alberto del rio is good wrestler, is he still the the biz?

 

[MichaelNadal]

You can't always have a 5 hour match and then win the final in 6hrs all the time//

The machine hasn't even been tired in 5 years so I don't see why not.

 

[MichaelNadal]

Alberto del rio is good wrestler, is he still the the biz?

Yeah he just came back to WWE a few months ago.

 

[xFedal]

Yeah he just came back to WWE a few months ago.

Can you remember the HEEL Muhammed Hassan? He was there like in 2005, one of the best heels ever!!!

 

[xFedal]

Yeah he just came back to WWE a few months ago.

 

[MichaelNadal]

He got soooo much heat lol. I wish he stuck around longer. I liked his stuff with Taker.

 

[OhYes]

Atleast he didn't win his slams beating a 34 year old grandpa who hobbled out of his retirement home in the finals

If you use hyperbole that much, then use it properly. Novak isn't exactly in his early pro years either.