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TCF
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I like to call you out on these factual issues. You can pull stuff like you beat Harrison in practice...but this stuff is on the record.
Please list the top three 18s that he has beaten?
Through the years I noticed that he seems to never beat the boys in his age group ranked 1,2,or 3.
Could be wrong, if so, please correct me. The current top 18s are:
Hiltzik, Goldoff, Schneider.....has he beaten these players since they entered the 18s?
http://www.tenniscruz.com/
This guy did a study and found that 93 out of the top 100 players had either been ranked top 5 ITF, or won a jr slam, or an Orange Bowl, or won a euro championship.
It was 5 years ago and things have changed and will continue to change....but the fact is we can find commonalities between almost all the top 100 guys and their success at younger ages.
If I had a dime for every time you said you could do this or that IF you wanted to. Your MO is always the same.
You were going to be the "#1 18 in the USTA in a year" over a year ago. He is only # 14 and magically the 18s are now meaningless to you and a waste of money.
HUGE difference in getting to #1 USTA 18 and #14. Now the top ITFs are a waste too. Amazing.
Funny how every top 20 guy was winning big things at age 15-17, but that path is all a waste for you.
At 16 he still has plenty of time to address some of these issues and I am certain he will. I would love to see him break through and get on tour. In my opinion he needs more top level matches against players that will expose these weaknesses. That is where the REAL learning takes place. I'm sure he is quite fit for a junior, but at the pro level legs and lungs are at a premium. Mirror Andy Murray's training and track work.
You said he would be the "#1 ranked 18" in a year and now say juniors does not matter. Like always, you pulled him because you knew he would not be able to beat the top 3 guys, like you did in the other age groups.
You dodged the 16s because at the time he could not beat any of the top 3 16s.
Not good enough. Sorry, but he will not 'break through' as ringer hopes. And 'working on some of the issues' is not enough.
He needs to take 5 steps backwards, can not work on it while playing futures. He needs full time at IMG for 2-3 years with coaches expert in tactics, strategy, anticipation needed for the money making top 75.
Great, can you post a link to the study? I looked on the site you posted but I could not find it.
How to Talk Tennis:
- Start a new thread on any topic in the "Junior Tennis" forum: sportsmanship, nutrition, rankings, academies, USTA, phenoms, forehands, backhands, cheating, chip shots, academics.
- Appreciate the contributions of the two or three posters who reply to your query.
- Watch as our two combatants show up and turn the thread into a ******* contest as DB's dad (errr..., massage therapist) and TCF debate DB's prospects for the next seven pages of posts.
- Rinse, lather, and repeat ad infinitum.
The question still remains:
How serious are we ??
Read "The Ugly Truth About Tennis". Good article. It was written in 2007. There is less of a relationship betweeen top 5 ITF juniors and a pro career now than 6 years ago. I have heard 2 top ATP players in interviews talk about how they were not world top ranked juniors and played several years in the "minors" before their pro breakthrough- Karlovic and Stepanek. Karlovic achieved an ITF juniors best of 400. Have also read from others on this Board that Anderson and Soeda were not world ranked juniors. I looked up their repective rankings and can confirm that. It is still a better indicator to win OB or junior slam. It can be done without that pedigree, just less likely.
Two grown men using the other's kids as targets in an internet forum flame war seems about one of the most childish and immature spectacles I can ever remember reading and I have been reading forums and bulletin boards for over twenty years. I would not let either one of you coach any child I had authority over based on your behavior in this thread alone.
Hi
This is a hard topic to debate - logically, if a junior is top 10 in jr ITF rankings, one would think that this will translate to a pro game. In my opinion, this is not a reliable predictor of future pro potential. The reason why I have this opinion is that most of the top 10 juniors that I watched do not play a game that will translate to becoming a pro tennis player. I would put money on juniors that don't buy in to wins and losses in the juniors and spend their junior years preparing for the pro game. They work on their footwork movement, rally patterns, first strike tennis, and most importantly, strength conditioning. They probably will need to spend their formative years hitting and competing against pros to understand how the game is played at the highest level and how can they develop their games to be competitive. Not saying that this is a foolproof plan but, I believe, that this plan will prepare a jr to become a pro if the jr has the talent to do so.
First off I enjoy sparring with TCF , we actually are like to competitive brothers with more in common then he wants to admit and one day he and I will sit down at some major and drink a soda together but the one thing I can honestly say is that 20 years is a long time on the blogs pretty embarrassing . As for coaching your kid or any other kid you would have not a loss for me so go ahead and take them somewhere else. Let me know if you need a reference ?
To all on this Board: Did you see Raonic tonight and/or yesterday? In today's match- have you ever seen more aces+ service return clean winners. Awesome display. Is this what the men's game is evolving to? For a youngster thinking of going pro, watching this match would be scary.
Rationalize it any way that lets you sleep at night.
To all on this Board: Did you see Raonic tonight and/or yesterday? In today's match- have you ever seen more aces+ service return clean winners. Awesome display. Is this what the men's game is evolving to? For a youngster thinking of going pro, watching this match would be scary.
When you make obviously ridiculous statements like this you lose all credibility. At some point it does not matter what good observations you may have because no one can take anything you say seriously.
Rp you in Ca right ?
DBs 17 year old ceiling is FAR below #553.
Quinzi and DB have trained about the same length time....one of them made it to #1 ranked ITF and #553 by age 17.....the other has never won a thing.
BMC...not sure why you think this is such a mystery. Quinzi started tennis later, loves skiing more at first, and reached a higher level at age 15,16, and now 17.
So why is all that going to magically change unless DB goes to IMG full time and trains full time with coaches solely focused on improving his weaknesses? If he continues to train more of less like he always has, he is not going to drastically improve in a year.
DB is 16 - so how would you know where his 17 year old ceiling is? No one will really know that for another 14 months or so.
BMC I will try and not group you all into what I am going to say but when someone says a kid is at his ceiling of his sport at 16 yet has always been on a solid climb and has a winning percentage at all the high level tournaments he plays and we know that boys growth and maturity continues till something like 22 years of age !
Now here is where I hope you all get irritated at me but this is a guy that swears college is the road and when I bash on the higher learned, TCF is a representitive of the college educated he makes that group sound like idiots with what he says , he is strait up embarrassing for all the pro college people on here and I am sure if you were standing where I am you could see what I see and laugh ?
That's not what I'm talking about. I wouldn't make that claim. You keep making statements about where he will top out - and the last time, which I'm simply pointing out, was a year ahead of where he is now in age. Why not just stop making claims about what hasn't happened yet. You call BB out for doing it, and yet you do it just the same. Just stop and let it play out.
Has nothing to do with education, has to do with pride. TCF is sticking to his points and his pride, as are you. Someone will be proven right, and someone wrong. I won't make any predictions on someone's pro potential or ceiling as i'm not in a position to judge that. Time will play it out.
Ha, BB, this is a classic. Your buddy tried to throw you a life line with Quinzi. But lets review how that went.
Quinzi....just 16 years old as of a week ago....loved skiing more, then switched to tennis....trained less time than DB, smaller, only 2 months older.....yet at age 16 he was #553 and had been #1 ITF in the world.
It is what it is, no surprises, talent is either evident or not.
When a study is done about what 93% of top 100 pros won at his age, I get information.
Thats it jgmellor!! Thats the Tennis Cruz information I referenced.
"Carefully compare the WTA or ATP rankings with the junior careers of tennis players and you will realize that with very few exceptions (Pete Sampras for example) almost every player in the top hundred was either top of their junior year or among the top five in the ITF world rankings or was a winner of either the Junior French Open, Australian Open, Wimbledon, US Open or Orange Bowl!
Wow, you totally proved my point yet again, thanks. Your attempt to take shot backfired big time. Quinzi was INTO ALPINE SKIING as a kid. Took 2nd place in a major event at age 7....had to be pried away from skiing at age 8 to go play tennis at IMG....dabbled back to skiing when he had breaks in his tennis.
Even though he did not go full into tennis at age 5 like DB.....Quinzi fits EXACTLY into what I said, look for a guy top ranked ITF as a junior, a kid that won as a junior.
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" but at seven years old, after leaving other sports as well, he focused his efforts primarily on tennis."
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