Does Thiem have a decent chance of beating Nadal at RG?

[JaoSousa]

as he lost several past encounters, it means he is approaching his 6th or 7th chance

That's not how probability works...

 

[DSH]

If Rafa reaches the Semifinals of Roland Garros there's only one thing able to stop him, his own body.

His 24-0 (100%) record on Semifinals & Finals is just divine.

His Victims :


Federer x6
Djokovic x5
Thiem x3
Murray x2
Ferrer x2
Wawrinka x1
Del Potro x1
Ljubicic x1
Soderling x1
Puerta x1
Melzer x1

24-0

And in all those 24 matches he lost only 10 sets: 4 against Federer, 4 against Djokovic, 1 against Thiem and 1 against Puerta.
Invincibledal!

 

[Adam233789]

I think Novak is the only person who could possibly beat Nadal in a five set match at the French Open.

 

[DSH]

I think Novak is the only person who could possibly beat Nadal in a five set match at the French Open.

He beat Nadal before but it was the worst version of the Spaniard in his 15 participations there.
So the question is obvious, can the Serb defeat a great version of Nadal in a RG final?

 

[Beckerserve]

He's beaten Nadal on clay a few times, never at RG. Took 1 set off him last year. Do you think he has a decent chance of beating Nadal this year?

No not on what we are seeing of Nadal where he seems have gone back to his pre 2010 clay style of play.

 

[Steve0904]

If you call "decent" 5% then sure. Otherwise no.