David Nalbandian beat Roger Federer 6-7(4), 6-7(11), 6-2, 6-1, 7-6(3) in the Year End Championship (Tennis Masters Cup) final, 2005 on carpet in Shanghai, China
It was Nalbandian's only title at the event. He was ranked 12th and had made it to the final draw after a number of higher ranked players withdrew. Federer, ranked 1, had won the previous two editions and would go onto win the next 2. The result took the head-to-head 6-3 in Nalbandian's favour, including a Federer win in the round robin stage. A win would have seen Federer match John McEnroe's 82-3 win-loss record from 1984. This was the last edition of the tournament to be played on carpet
Nalbandian won 206 points, Federer 178
Serve Stats
Nalbandian...
- 1st serve percentage (137/196) 70%
- 1st serve points won (91/137) 67%
- 2nd serve points won (30/59) 51%
- Aces 2
- Double Faults 6
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (37/196) 19%
Federer...
- 1st serve percentage (111/188) 59%
- 1st serve points won (76/111) 68%
- 2nd serve points won (27/77) 35%
- Aces 10 (1 not clean), Service Winners 2
- Double Faults 8
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (43/188) 23%
Serve Pattern
Nalbandian served...
- to FH 28%
- to BH 59%
- to Body 12%
Federer served...
- to FH 32%
- to BH 58%
- to Body 10%
Return Stats
Nalbandian made...
- 137 (37 FH, 100 BH), including 3 return-approaches
- 11 Winners (5 FH, 6 BH)
- 31 Errors, comprising...
- 13 Unforced (9 FH, 4 BH)
- 18 Forced (7 FH, 11 BH)
- Return Rate (137/180) 76%
Federer made...
- 153 (46 FH, 107 BH), including 3 runaround FHs & 6 return-approaches
- 3 Winner (2 FH, 1 BH), including 1 runaround FH
- 35 Errors, comprising...
- 17 Unforced (8 FH, 9 BH), including 3 runaround FHs & 1 return-approach
- 18 Forced (9 FH, 9 BH)
- Return Rate (153/190) 81%
Break Points
Nalbandian 11/14 (13 games)
Federer 6/20 (10 games)
Winners (including returns, excluding aces)
Nalbandian 58 (22 FH, 20 BH, 6 FHV, 9 BHV, 1 OH)
Federer 46 (21 FH, 8 BH, 7 FHV, 4 BHV, 6 OH)
Nalbandian's FHs - 10 cc (2 returns), 2 dtl (1 pass), 3 inside-out (1 return), 4 inside-in (1 return) and 3 drop shots (2 at net - 1 a running-down-drop-shot)
- BHs - 5 cc (1 return, 2 passes), 8 dtl (3 returns), 3 inside-out returns and 3 drop shots
- 1 from a serve-volley point - a first volley, FHV
- 2 from return-approach points - 1 BHV and 1 BH drop shot at net
Federer's FHs - 5 cc (2 passes), 4 dtl (1 pass), 5 inside-out (1 at net), 3 inside-in (1 runaround return), 2 longline, 1 running-down-drop-shot cc at net and 1 net chord dribbler return
- BHs - 2 cc passes (1 Nalbandian left), 1 dtl pass, 2 inside-out (1 return), 1 longline pass, 1 drop shot and 1 running-down-drop-shot cc at net pass
- 3 from serve-volley points
- 2 second volleys (2 OH)
- 1 fourth volley (1 OH), which struck an at net Nalbandian
- 4 FHVs were swinging shots - 1 of them from no-man's land which has not been counted a net point
Errors (excluding returns and serves)
Nalbandian 83
- 50 Unforced (23 FH, 24 BH, 3 BHV)
- 23 Forced (15 FH, 15 BH, 2 BHV, 1 Tweener), with 2 FH running-down-drop-shots at net & 1 BH running-down-drop-shot at net
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 49.8
Federer 103
- 65 Unforced (29 FH, 32 BH, 3 FHV, 1 BHV)
- 38 Forced (13 FH, 20 BH, 1 FH1/2V, 1 BHV, 2 BH1/2V, 1 OH)... with 1 FH running-down-drop shot at net & 3 BH running-down-drop-shots at net. the OH was a flagrantly forced baseline attempt to cope with a Nalbandian smash at net
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 46.2
(Note 1: all half-volleys refer to such shots played at net. Half -volleys played from other parts of the court are included within relevant groundstroke counts)
(Note 2: The 'Unforced Error Forcefulness Index is a measure of how aggressive of intent the average UE made was. 60 is maximum, 20 is minimum. This match has been scored using a four point scale - 2 defensive, 4 neutral, 5 attacking, 6 winner attempt)
Net Points & Serve-Volley
Nalbandian was...
- 34/55 (62%) at net, including...
- 2/2 serve-volleying, both 1st serves
---
- 2/3 (67%) return-approaching
- 1/2 forced back
Federer was...
- 41/65 (63%) at net, including...
- 8/11 (73%) serve-volleying, comprising..
- 8/10 (80%) off 1st serve and...
- 0/1 off 2nd serve
---
- 4/6 (67%) return-approaching
- 1/3 (33%) forced back/retreated
Match Report
Conditioning is the key factor in the final result. Nalbandian undergoes the usual - and significant - wear that comes with playing a long five setter but Federer is a lot worse. He's struggling at the latest by middle of third set and appears severely hampered by the end. Nonetheless, the defending champion makes a very brave fight of it. Down 0-4 in the fifth and having lost the last 10 games, he engineers a most unlikely fightback and reaches 30-0 serving for the match. Its as close as he gets to reversing the result
Action varies drastically across the full match. There's plenty of glorious, all court, attacking play on a fast carpet court, based on point construction and combinations of shots rather than pure shotmaking. There's a good number of attacking errors that come out of striving for such play. Federer's BH is apt to dish out routine errors. Neither player serves strongly. Nalbandian returns very well. Lots of drop shots (especially from Nalby), lots of net play. Movement isn't great from either and Federer's in particular deteriorates as match goes on. Some bad line calls, most of them against Nalby
On the positive front, I would signal out Nalby's punishing returning, use of drop shots and smart net game as impressive, while he manages to make the most of an average serve. On the down side, Federer's movement is below his norm from the start and gets worse and worse longer match goes. His serve is also not too damaging on a court where there was potential to be
Some background. Federer had entered the tournament before fully recovering from an ankle problem, which apparently had him on crutches just weeks before the event. He's wearing a brace on his right ankle, which he would continue wearing all the way to the Australian Open in 2006. Nonetheless, he made it through to the final without loss of match, having in double bagelled his opponent in the semi-final
Serve & Return
Nalbandian's serve is average, as 2 aces in 137 first serves would suggest; nothing in it to do damage or hurt Federer. He makes most of it by serving to the body on big points. 12% to the body isn't large, but that's his go-to serve in trouble
The power and precision (or lack thereof) of Nalby's serve is such that its the only way to pressure Fed with the shot. Anything 'wide' tends to be easy to reach and swing through. Very few forceful serves from Nalby
Note Fed with 17 UEs to 18 FEs on the return... that's a very high proportion of UEs on a fast court. And even most of the FEs are well-makeable. A serve like that is at its best when its at the body and gives Fed that little extra less bit of time to hit it. The body serves themselves aren't particularly good - often not precisely at the body and of no greater force than serves anywhere else - but the best he can do
Fed returns surely at 81%. There's scope to attack the return that's beyond him to do orthodoxly and on rare occasions where he attacks, its with chip-charges or runaround FHs. Just 9 such returns combined (plus 4 errors trying) is a small figure and a fair reflection of Fed's returning strategy: He puts returns in play consistently, not trying to attack unduly. A fair strategy when action in play favours the returner. In this match, it never clearly does favour Fed... he'd probably have done better to attack with the return more
Nalby's returning is the high point of serve-return complex. Note the high 11 winners (just 1 pass) and including 6/8 basic return types (everything but FH dtl and BH inside-in). How often does one see so many return winners in a baseline match?
And all that while returning with high consistency of 76%. Going into a match with Roger Federer on a fast carpet court, that return rate would be a good outcome, even without all the damage his return does. To get both is outstanding from Nalby
He regularly whacks Fed's serves - including the firsts - wide of the server. The winners are the minority success'.... most such returns push Fed on the defence or force errors via some combination placement in particular, sometimes coupled with power and/or depth. These shots often see him take charge of points from the 4th ball
Nalby's returning has a big hand in Fed's very low 35% second serve points. For last 3 sets, the figure is a good deal lower than that even - 11/47 at 23%, which is atrocious. But even prior to Fed's physical problems, Nalby keeps Fed to a relatively low 16/30 second serve points won (in same period, Nalby wins 16/33 of his second serve points)... a good outcome, given the greater weight of Fed's serve (in that period, at least)
Fed's serving isn't good, especially third set onwards. 23% unreturned rate is distinctly low in these conditions. He seems to be serving within himself of power, though regularly sends first serves damagingly wide
Most aspects of quality of Fed's serve falls as match goes on
- for first 2 sets, serves at 68%, theraefter its 50%
Serve is more damaging in second part, where he needs it to do more of the work as his court game isn't holding up, but he struggles to hit the necessary damaging ability. Plenty of unforceful first serves in second part.
In short, when free of fitness issues, Fed perhaps holds back on first serves some. After the issues crop up, he goes for more, finds himself not able to be as effective but its best he can manage. All his 8 double faults come in second part too
It was Nalbandian's only title at the event. He was ranked 12th and had made it to the final draw after a number of higher ranked players withdrew. Federer, ranked 1, had won the previous two editions and would go onto win the next 2. The result took the head-to-head 6-3 in Nalbandian's favour, including a Federer win in the round robin stage. A win would have seen Federer match John McEnroe's 82-3 win-loss record from 1984. This was the last edition of the tournament to be played on carpet
Nalbandian won 206 points, Federer 178
Serve Stats
Nalbandian...
- 1st serve percentage (137/196) 70%
- 1st serve points won (91/137) 67%
- 2nd serve points won (30/59) 51%
- Aces 2
- Double Faults 6
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (37/196) 19%
Federer...
- 1st serve percentage (111/188) 59%
- 1st serve points won (76/111) 68%
- 2nd serve points won (27/77) 35%
- Aces 10 (1 not clean), Service Winners 2
- Double Faults 8
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (43/188) 23%
Serve Pattern
Nalbandian served...
- to FH 28%
- to BH 59%
- to Body 12%
Federer served...
- to FH 32%
- to BH 58%
- to Body 10%
Return Stats
Nalbandian made...
- 137 (37 FH, 100 BH), including 3 return-approaches
- 11 Winners (5 FH, 6 BH)
- 31 Errors, comprising...
- 13 Unforced (9 FH, 4 BH)
- 18 Forced (7 FH, 11 BH)
- Return Rate (137/180) 76%
Federer made...
- 153 (46 FH, 107 BH), including 3 runaround FHs & 6 return-approaches
- 3 Winner (2 FH, 1 BH), including 1 runaround FH
- 35 Errors, comprising...
- 17 Unforced (8 FH, 9 BH), including 3 runaround FHs & 1 return-approach
- 18 Forced (9 FH, 9 BH)
- Return Rate (153/190) 81%
Break Points
Nalbandian 11/14 (13 games)
Federer 6/20 (10 games)
Winners (including returns, excluding aces)
Nalbandian 58 (22 FH, 20 BH, 6 FHV, 9 BHV, 1 OH)
Federer 46 (21 FH, 8 BH, 7 FHV, 4 BHV, 6 OH)
Nalbandian's FHs - 10 cc (2 returns), 2 dtl (1 pass), 3 inside-out (1 return), 4 inside-in (1 return) and 3 drop shots (2 at net - 1 a running-down-drop-shot)
- BHs - 5 cc (1 return, 2 passes), 8 dtl (3 returns), 3 inside-out returns and 3 drop shots
- 1 from a serve-volley point - a first volley, FHV
- 2 from return-approach points - 1 BHV and 1 BH drop shot at net
Federer's FHs - 5 cc (2 passes), 4 dtl (1 pass), 5 inside-out (1 at net), 3 inside-in (1 runaround return), 2 longline, 1 running-down-drop-shot cc at net and 1 net chord dribbler return
- BHs - 2 cc passes (1 Nalbandian left), 1 dtl pass, 2 inside-out (1 return), 1 longline pass, 1 drop shot and 1 running-down-drop-shot cc at net pass
- 3 from serve-volley points
- 2 second volleys (2 OH)
- 1 fourth volley (1 OH), which struck an at net Nalbandian
- 4 FHVs were swinging shots - 1 of them from no-man's land which has not been counted a net point
Errors (excluding returns and serves)
Nalbandian 83
- 50 Unforced (23 FH, 24 BH, 3 BHV)
- 23 Forced (15 FH, 15 BH, 2 BHV, 1 Tweener), with 2 FH running-down-drop-shots at net & 1 BH running-down-drop-shot at net
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 49.8
Federer 103
- 65 Unforced (29 FH, 32 BH, 3 FHV, 1 BHV)
- 38 Forced (13 FH, 20 BH, 1 FH1/2V, 1 BHV, 2 BH1/2V, 1 OH)... with 1 FH running-down-drop shot at net & 3 BH running-down-drop-shots at net. the OH was a flagrantly forced baseline attempt to cope with a Nalbandian smash at net
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 46.2
(Note 1: all half-volleys refer to such shots played at net. Half -volleys played from other parts of the court are included within relevant groundstroke counts)
(Note 2: The 'Unforced Error Forcefulness Index is a measure of how aggressive of intent the average UE made was. 60 is maximum, 20 is minimum. This match has been scored using a four point scale - 2 defensive, 4 neutral, 5 attacking, 6 winner attempt)
Net Points & Serve-Volley
Nalbandian was...
- 34/55 (62%) at net, including...
- 2/2 serve-volleying, both 1st serves
---
- 2/3 (67%) return-approaching
- 1/2 forced back
Federer was...
- 41/65 (63%) at net, including...
- 8/11 (73%) serve-volleying, comprising..
- 8/10 (80%) off 1st serve and...
- 0/1 off 2nd serve
---
- 4/6 (67%) return-approaching
- 1/3 (33%) forced back/retreated
Match Report
Conditioning is the key factor in the final result. Nalbandian undergoes the usual - and significant - wear that comes with playing a long five setter but Federer is a lot worse. He's struggling at the latest by middle of third set and appears severely hampered by the end. Nonetheless, the defending champion makes a very brave fight of it. Down 0-4 in the fifth and having lost the last 10 games, he engineers a most unlikely fightback and reaches 30-0 serving for the match. Its as close as he gets to reversing the result
Action varies drastically across the full match. There's plenty of glorious, all court, attacking play on a fast carpet court, based on point construction and combinations of shots rather than pure shotmaking. There's a good number of attacking errors that come out of striving for such play. Federer's BH is apt to dish out routine errors. Neither player serves strongly. Nalbandian returns very well. Lots of drop shots (especially from Nalby), lots of net play. Movement isn't great from either and Federer's in particular deteriorates as match goes on. Some bad line calls, most of them against Nalby
On the positive front, I would signal out Nalby's punishing returning, use of drop shots and smart net game as impressive, while he manages to make the most of an average serve. On the down side, Federer's movement is below his norm from the start and gets worse and worse longer match goes. His serve is also not too damaging on a court where there was potential to be
Some background. Federer had entered the tournament before fully recovering from an ankle problem, which apparently had him on crutches just weeks before the event. He's wearing a brace on his right ankle, which he would continue wearing all the way to the Australian Open in 2006. Nonetheless, he made it through to the final without loss of match, having in double bagelled his opponent in the semi-final
Serve & Return
Nalbandian's serve is average, as 2 aces in 137 first serves would suggest; nothing in it to do damage or hurt Federer. He makes most of it by serving to the body on big points. 12% to the body isn't large, but that's his go-to serve in trouble
The power and precision (or lack thereof) of Nalby's serve is such that its the only way to pressure Fed with the shot. Anything 'wide' tends to be easy to reach and swing through. Very few forceful serves from Nalby
Note Fed with 17 UEs to 18 FEs on the return... that's a very high proportion of UEs on a fast court. And even most of the FEs are well-makeable. A serve like that is at its best when its at the body and gives Fed that little extra less bit of time to hit it. The body serves themselves aren't particularly good - often not precisely at the body and of no greater force than serves anywhere else - but the best he can do
Fed returns surely at 81%. There's scope to attack the return that's beyond him to do orthodoxly and on rare occasions where he attacks, its with chip-charges or runaround FHs. Just 9 such returns combined (plus 4 errors trying) is a small figure and a fair reflection of Fed's returning strategy: He puts returns in play consistently, not trying to attack unduly. A fair strategy when action in play favours the returner. In this match, it never clearly does favour Fed... he'd probably have done better to attack with the return more
Nalby's returning is the high point of serve-return complex. Note the high 11 winners (just 1 pass) and including 6/8 basic return types (everything but FH dtl and BH inside-in). How often does one see so many return winners in a baseline match?
And all that while returning with high consistency of 76%. Going into a match with Roger Federer on a fast carpet court, that return rate would be a good outcome, even without all the damage his return does. To get both is outstanding from Nalby
He regularly whacks Fed's serves - including the firsts - wide of the server. The winners are the minority success'.... most such returns push Fed on the defence or force errors via some combination placement in particular, sometimes coupled with power and/or depth. These shots often see him take charge of points from the 4th ball
Nalby's returning has a big hand in Fed's very low 35% second serve points. For last 3 sets, the figure is a good deal lower than that even - 11/47 at 23%, which is atrocious. But even prior to Fed's physical problems, Nalby keeps Fed to a relatively low 16/30 second serve points won (in same period, Nalby wins 16/33 of his second serve points)... a good outcome, given the greater weight of Fed's serve (in that period, at least)
Fed's serving isn't good, especially third set onwards. 23% unreturned rate is distinctly low in these conditions. He seems to be serving within himself of power, though regularly sends first serves damagingly wide
Most aspects of quality of Fed's serve falls as match goes on
- for first 2 sets, serves at 68%, theraefter its 50%
Serve is more damaging in second part, where he needs it to do more of the work as his court game isn't holding up, but he struggles to hit the necessary damaging ability. Plenty of unforceful first serves in second part.
In short, when free of fitness issues, Fed perhaps holds back on first serves some. After the issues crop up, he goes for more, finds himself not able to be as effective but its best he can manage. All his 8 double faults come in second part too
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