A legendary player and coach, Segura watches tennis daily from the comfort of his couch on Tennis Channel and remains of the game’s leading analysts. How good is he? In a discussion before the start of the US Open, Segura told Tennis Week
“Del Potro will win the US Open. Del Potro’s the one.” He reiterated that prediction during a book signing he conducted during the first week of the Open at the National Tennis Center.
In an
interview with Tennis Week last April,
Segura not only forecast the rise of del Potro and Caroline Wozniacki, who reached the US Open final before falling to the resurgent Kim Clijsters, he also predicted Rafael Nadal’s reign as World No. 1 might not last too long.
I hope I am wrong because I am a friend of Rafael Nadal. He is a good person and he is a gentleman. But talking about tennis only, the longevity might be only another two or three years because there are too many guys 6-foot-3 and taller coming up and coming on strong,”
Segura said last April. “Let me break down his game for a moment to explain. Does he have a great serve? Questionable. Does he have a great return of serve? Questionable. He is great on rallies, great on defense, he has the heart of a lion, the conditioning of a giant and he’s got guts, therefore he wins. But look at some of his biggest matches, with the exception of the Federer match in the French Open final last year, he wins many of these matches in tight ways. Look at the scores. He is winning some sets, 7-5 or 7-6. That shows he is a better player, but not a dominant player. When you win a set 7-5 it means you are just a little bit better than the other guy, not a dominant player and when you win a set 7-6 the margin is so small.
Del Potro has an advantage because he is 6-foot-6. If he plays left-handers like Nadal, who play heavy topspin, then the ball bounces high where he likes it and he is hitting downward on every shot due to his height. Del Potro hits the ball hard and clean. He has the potential to be a great player. He has a great backhand, great forehand, he moves rather well, especially for a guy his size, he has a huge serve too and also he is only 20 years old. So he has everything going for him, it’s just a question of time. He can still improve his second serve and his volley game. I believe he will be one of the best players in the world, if not the best player in the world.
I like Nadal very much. I think Nadal is potentially a great player, but he works too hard for every point. He puts so much effort into every point and that can take a toll. I don’t think he is as fluid as Federer or as fluid as del Potro. You can never count out Nadal, but there are so many other guys coming up. How about Verdasco? How about Soderling? How about Cilic? How good will they get? The big guys are changing the men’s game. That is the sad part of the game. You will not see 5-foot-8 guys like I was at the top of the game in the future because the most important part of the game is the serve and the return of serve. What are you gonna do when you play the big gorillas who serve so big? You see how the bigger guys like del Potro and Cilic can play Nadal and Nadal’s return of serve is average — it is not great. In the womens’ game, you can get away with being 5-foot-5 or 5-4 like Henin was or like this girl Oudin at the US Open. But who can serve on the women’s side? The Williams sisters are the only ones in women’s tennis who can serve consistently well — that’s one reason why they always have a shot in the majors.
Tennis Week caught up with Segura on Friday afternoon where before completing this interview, he offered one more prediction:
“I like Cilic over Nadal in the (Beijing) semis,” Segura said.