Federer to make only clay appearance in France
Roger Federer will make his only appearance on clay this season at Roland Garros, his agent has told Reuters.
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(Assuming Fed can't draw Rafa, Thiem and Novak before the semis, of course), I'd add Zverev to the list (at least, he has the game for it, and making the semis at AO may give him more belief), and possibly Stan. We'll see if anyone else has a good clay swing coming in.Can Federer repeat SF at RG? Only Goffin, Tsitsipas, Medvedev and Shchartzman have a legitimate shot to defeat the Swiss at RG before the SF. Wawrinka is too declined to do so, I believe.
Sadly, even this Federer fan admits both points are true.He is irrelevant on clay, anyway.
He will bet the last bullet of his repertoire a month after RG.
360 points for Madrid/RomeHow many points is he defending on clay?
Can Federer repeat SF at RG? Only Goffin, Tsitsipas, Medvedev and Shchartzman have a legitimate shot to defeat the Swiss at RG before the SF. Wawrinka is too declined to do so, I believe.
360 points for Madrid/Rome
720 for the FO semi
Total: 1080 points. But he gained 540 points at the AO this year by making the semis. He will be defending a total of 2100 points from Dubai, IW and Miami, which will be tough to defend.
If Federer does not accumulate enough points to be in the top 4 for Wimbledon (he is currently the fourth pre-qualified after Djokovic, Nadal and Medvedev), would you rather see him face the Serbian in a hypothetical quarterfinals at Center Court?
Wimbledon has its own seeding formula and Federer, regardless of his results the rest of the year, will be a top 4 seed. He could be ranked 8th in July and because of their seeding formula (last year's grass results factored in), he'll be top 4 seed.If Federer does not accumulate enough points to be in the top 4 for Wimbledon (he is currently the fourth pre-qualified after Djokovic, Nadal and Medvedev), would you rather see him face the Serbian in a hypothetical quarterfinals at Center Court?
You do realize that Wimbledon seeding are a little different than other events yes? The past two years of grass events are also taken into consideration, so the fact Federer made the final last year, it is highly unlikely he will be seeded outside the top four this year.
While writing this, I am reviewing the race to Wimbledon, and currently the Swiss is the fourth pre-qualified with 5025 points, 85 points below Medvedev and with a still important advantage over Thiem, who is currently fifth.
Considering Federer's age, it is very likely that for the first time since 2002, he will not be part of the top 4 when the third Major of the season begins.
ATP Open Era & Live Rankings
ATP Live Rankings, Forecast for the next 52 weeks and Open Era ATP Rankings database.openerarankings.com
While writing this, I am reviewing the race to Wimbledon, and currently the Swiss is the fourth pre-qualified with 5025 points, 85 points below Medvedev and with a still important advantage over Thiem, who is currently fifth.
Considering Federer's age, it is very likely that for the first time since 2002, he will not be part of the top 4 when the third Major of the season begins.
ATP Open Era & Live Rankings
ATP Live Rankings, Forecast for the next 52 weeks and Open Era ATP Rankings database.openerarankings.com
They are only big because of the clay bias though.Looks as if Monte Carlo and Rome are forever going to be the only big ATP titles missing from Fed's resumé.
Stranger things have happened. Maybe Federer will win FO20!
That is taking it too far. Semi-final very likely. Final- possible.
Win the title- 0 chance.
Stranger things have happened. Maybe Federer will win FO20!
Wrong decision. He needs more matches.
But why would he care about going deep? If he doesn't feel he's got a chance in hell of winning the French Open, why bother with clay? He's not going to beat Nadal or Djokovic or Thiem. He'll probably struggle against many other lower ranked players.Makes no sense. How the hell can he go into the French without playing any clay matches?!?!
He is a decent player on clay. If the draw goes his way and Rafa stumbles, he can go deep.
But not playing any warmups? Might as well not even show up. This is bullsh#t.
A guy nearing 39 trying to grind it out on clay against much younger players! LOL Not going to happen.That is taking it too far. Semi-final very likely. Final- possible.
Win the title- 0 chance.
They are only big because of the clay bias though.
Monte Carlo and Rome have always been big tournaments though, long before they were included in the present Masters series.
Not always.
No Monte Carlo or Barcelona?
Apparently there was a time when the Italian Open (Rome) was thought to be a bigger clay event than Roland Garros.
Apparently there was a time when the Italian Open (Rome) was thought to be a bigger clay event than Roland Garros.
Like 20 years agoHas Fed ever played Barcelona?
But why would he care about going deep? If he doesn't feel he's got a chance in hell of winning the French Open, why bother with clay? He's not going to beat Nadal or Djokovic or Thiem. He'll probably struggle against many other lower ranked players.
He also had the absolute weakest draw leading up to the SF. He didn't play any threat whatsoever other than Stan in the QF who was already dead from the previous match going 8-6 in the 5th set against Tsitsipas.The draw needs to go his way and maybe Thiem upsets Rafa...Anything could happen. He looked damned respectable last year getting to SF.
Fed has said that the only reason he is playing is to win slams. And he has skipped the French many times in recent years to focus on Wimbledon; many said it was wise strategy.
If he is going in half-assed, he should skip it just like he did in recent years... What has changed now? What does he gain by playing it now when he skipped it earlier?
He also had the absolute weakest draw leading up to the SF. He didn't play any threat whatsoever other than Stan in the QF who was already dead from the previous match going 8-6 in the 5th set against Tsitsipas.
Federer has declined further since then. His last 2 Slams (USO and AO) have seen him physically falling apart on the court to the point where he's almost had to quit mid-way against journeymen. He's looking a lot worse than 1 year ago. And no surprise. He's really old now that he can barely keep up any longer. He might as well skip clay and give it one last go at Wimbledon.
Not sure about the wisdom of entering his weakest slam without any prior match play. What is his goal?
Apparently there was a time when the Italian Open (Rome) was thought to be a bigger clay event than Roland Garros.
WHEN?
The only thing that made no sense was skipping RG (or skipping any Slam when healthy) in the first place. I just hate it, especially when winning the most Slams is the ultimate goal. It is foolish to give up one chance per year deliberately, and after seeing what happened at the US Open in the past years I’m not even sure if it is the smallest chance.Assuming skipping French does not affect Wimb seeding, there is no reason to play the French. Unlless it is a farewell appearance.
Even then, his past strategy was to focus on fitness by skipping French. Makes no sense to change that now.
But who wants to enter the French to get ass whipped by a nobody.
Going in half-assed is just a bad look. Either skip it or enter it with proper warmup events.
He can live with itLooks as if Monte Carlo and Rome are forever going to be the only big ATP titles missing from Fed's resumé.
The only thing that made no sense was skipping RG (or skipping any Slam when healthy) in the first place. I just hate it, especially when winning the most Slams is the ultimate goal. It is foolish to give up one chance per year deliberately, and after seeing what happened at the US Open in the past years I’m not even sure if it is the smallest chance.
The SF last year at RG followed by the Wimbledon final which he should have won (and in which he had great stamina as well) clearly showed that it isn’t about losing fitness by playing another tournament 3 weeks earlier (or even 5 weeks between both final weekends of the Slams).
Even as a fan I’m somewhat glad that the 2018 loss against Anderson seemed to have opened his eyes about how nonsensical the skipping was.
I agree that he should add at least one clay masters though.
Okay, if this is the only remaining career goal, then maybe such a decision is understandable, but not if the full Slam count is on the line. Also I doubt that playing a few weeks earlier really influences the chances at Wimbledon.Well, Rosewall decided not to participate in the French Open in 1970 to have a better chance of winning the elusive Wimbledon title. His goal of his whole life. He reached the final in that edition and faced John Newcombe there. He was almost 10 years older than him. Unfortunately, he lost in 5 sets despite giving everything.