Which peak Big 3 would be toughest matchup for Sampras at USO?

Toughest matchup for Sampras at USO?

  • Peak Fed

    Votes: 21 35.6%
  • Peak Nadal

    Votes: 23 39.0%
  • Peak Nole

    Votes: 15 25.4%

  • Total voters
    59

ForehandRF

Legend
On which courts? USO changed a lot over the years. On fast courts of yesteryear you'd need another guy with a dominant serve to challenge Pete so Fed is the obvious pick.

With the way USO played the last few years who knows. Doubt Sampras ever played on a HC that slow.
He played on those slow courts in Miami and I think those conditions were the closest to the current ones at the US Open.
 

zagor

Bionic Poster
Courier being an elite baseliner with a backhand even Roddick memes just makes me consider the barren standards of 90s baseliners. Chang won no Slams in the 90s, Agassi was MIA for much of the 90s.

Roddick said Courier BH was ugly, not ineffective, not to mention that the guy had one of the best IO FHs ever. Agassi did waste a lot of his years in the 90s but even when he was on form and playing some of his best career tennis (like 1995) Sampras was still able to hang with him from the backcourt.

Point is, peak Sampras wasn't vulnerable from the baseline on anything but clay. This modern narrative about him being a glorified servebot who attacked the net at every opportunity is nonsense. In his best years under Gullikson he was known as the most complete player on tour, basically Fed of his time.

Sampras return stats plummeted long before being a dinosaur was a legit excuse. USO was basically won exclusively by s&v players until like 99, so while court speed matters, 90s circumstances benefitted Sampras insanely because he was the best of a player type that dominated the era, but it's ridiculous to think Sampras could do anything other than serve + pray for miracle vs Big 3.

Sampras career trajectory was very standard for players of the 80-90s era, dropping off in late 20s and peaking in early-mid 20s was the norm. Sampras wasn't really a serve and volleyer (like Edberg and Rafter), he was an all-courter.

Who knows how Sampras would develop in this era (he played with a 2 hander until he was 14) but with that serve, FH, footspeed, hands, mental toughness etc. I sincerely doubt he wouldn't be able to challenge the famed big 3 on HC/grass (even modern grass). A guy like Tsonga was able to beat all of them in slams, Sampras would be a much, much improved version of him.
 

Yugram

Legend
Considering 90% of people here never saw Pete Sampras play one match, that's not surprising. They have utterly no basis of comparison but will weigh in anyway. You also didn't specify whether the surface would be the one Sampras played on at the USO (very fast) or today's consditions (pathetically slow).

Obviously Federer would give him the most trouble, but I still think if they played 10 matches at the USO, Pete takes it 6-4. Against the other two, forget it, Pete wins most matches.
Why not pathetically fast?
 

NonP

Legend
Sampras would hardly be immune to huge population decreases in 1st%points won which was his greatest advantage over is opponents, and increased topspin across the board would make it a lot harder for him to win the same amount of points at the net all the while his chances from the baseline would dwindle.

But yeah, the guy who got double breadsticked by Hewitt when he could still make USO finals would surely do way better vs the guys who pummeled Hewitt into irrelevance.

The '01 USO final is a p!ss-poor example cuz it's a documented fact that Pete served almost 10 mph slower that day than in the previous rounds. Maybe you really didn't know Pete was gassed vs. Rusty, but that's really common knowledge among aficionados by now.

Sampras was largely done by the time Hewitt smoked him in USO final (and Super Saturday format wasn't helping things), like almost every player from the 90s (or 80s for that matter). He wasn't getting passed by the game but was simply near the end mentally and physically. Most players back then lasted till about 29-30 as top players with few exceptions (Agassi most notably, guys like Henman and Moya), it was the norm. Heck, a guy like Lendl who was a fitness freak was also largely done as a contender by the time he was 30.

In his peak years Sampras really had no trouble going toe-to-toe from the baseline on HC with then best baseliners on the tour (Courier, Agassi, Chang etc.). Not to mention that his serve would have been even more monstrous with modern sticks, you saw his exos with Fed. Judging his baseline ability by his results on clay is faulty, his main problem with clay is that he wasn't a natural mover on it. I have little doubt Sampras would have been a monster in this era if you put him instead of one of the big 3.

No! This is why (one of my few genius analyses, ain't even kidding):


Courier being an elite baseliner with a backhand even Roddick memes just makes me consider the barren standards of 90s baseliners. Chang won no Slams in the 90s, Agassi was MIA for much of the 90s.

Sampras return stats plummeted long before being a dinosaur was a legit excuse. USO was basically won exclusively by s&v players until like 99, so while court speed matters, 90s circumstances benefitted Sampras insanely because he was the best of a player type that dominated the era, but it's ridiculous to think Sampras could do anything other than serve + pray for miracle vs Big 3.

Man this is just wrong all around. A couple things:

- The Courier BH was much better than it looked. And anyone from this era not named Nadal (hell, even Rafa too in most years) would wanna avoid peak Jim at RG:


- It's pretty much established that Pete coasted a lot in his later years, but not so much at the majors:


Compare those #s with his regular-season ones and you'll see why it's unwise to judge Pistol's top level by the latter.

- Even the biggest haters know Pistol couldn't play his usual S&V at RG, right? Well guess what, he still put together not one but two CC seasons w/60+% of games won, something that several former FO champs and finalists (including Stan and Thiem) couldn't manage once:


But you're right about one thing: it's indeed "ridiculous to think Sampras could do anything other than serve + pray for miracle vs Big 3"... cuz he'd beat 'em more often than not at the Slams (K outside RG)!

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Red Rick

Bionic Poster

- It's pretty much established that Pete coasted a lot in his later years, but not so much at the majors:


Compare those #s with his regular-season ones and you'll see why it's unwise to judge Pistol's top level by the latter.

- Even the biggest haters know Pistol couldn't play his usual S&V at RG, right? Well guess what, he still put together not one but two CC seasons w/60+% of games won, something that several former FO champs and finalists (including Stan and Thiem) couldn't manage once:


But you're right about one thing: it's indeed "ridiculous to think Sampras could do anything other than serve + pray for miracle vs Big 3"... cuz he'd beat 'em more often than not at the Slams (K outside RG)!



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[x] Nadal would want to avoid Courier.
[x] Pretents to be objective.

It's actually a nice example of the mental gymnastics required to hype the 90s
 

NonP

Legend
[x] Nadal would want to avoid Courier.
[x] Pretents to be objective.

It's actually a nice example of the mental gymnastics required to hype the 90s

First off, I never pretend to be objective, cuz I know and freely and loudly profess that I'm the smartest one around this corner.

Second, why does your simple-minded insistence on stats somehow take a back seat when it comes to the '90s? They clearly show that only three versions of Nadal have bested '92 Courier in terms of games won at RG. Do numbers no longer count when they don't jibe with your alternate reality?

Third, "mental gymnastics" is no longer a thing unless you wanna remain stuck in the aughts, which I don't think is much better than hyping up the '90s.
 

travlerajm

Talk Tennis Guru
that's not how it works. Wind becomes an equalizer and Agassi was clearly the more experienced player in the wind at that time.
Wind also favors certain styles over others. It favors a player like Agassi who has cleaner, longer hitting zones on both wings.

It also favors a player like Nadal, for different reason. His high-margin spin becomes more effective as a weapon.
 
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Deleted member 777746

Guest
Pistol shoots through Bull (mentality but not the game for hardcourt) and 40-15-Man (game but not the mentality) any day of the week.
Nole is his hardest matchup by FAR. Got a good solid game, and ATG mental game.
 

socallefty

G.O.A.T.
Peak Nole in 2011 and 2015-1H2016 has been the toughest challenge for both Nadal and Federer and he beat them in the USO final in 2011 and 2015. I would suspect that Novak would be the toughest challenge for Sampras also.

Djokovic is reputed to be amongst the best returners ever and he would put pressure on enough of Pete’s service games where Sampras could not just coast till he got just one break in each set which was his modus operandi. Sampras also is not going to beat any of the Big 3 from the baseline and least of all, peak Djokovic who in my opinion is the BOAT baseliner.
 

Dolgopolov85

G.O.A.T.
The Nadal easily. Pete would have no chance from the back of the court, get passed all the time. He'd be reduced to a standard servebot. He couldn't even handle Hewitt that well, imagine him going against someone with Hewitt's counterpunching skills and a GOAT forehand.

Nightmare matchup.
The one aspect I would push back against here is that with Nadal standing so far back for the return, he would give Sampras both time and court real estate to hit volleys into. That was a big issue for him against both Safin and Hewitt in the respective finals where he got burnt because they took up much more aggressive return positions and STILL burnt him with their returns. Note of course that this was a tired Sampras in both finals (see how easily he beat Safin in 2001 on a hot Saturday) but in general, an aggressive returner is harder to handle than one who stays way back if you're a serve volleyer.

From that standpoint, I am going to say I consider Djokovic the most dangerous matchup for Sampras because he will be early on the returns and from both wings. Sampras against a hypothetical young Fed with neo backhand would be impossible but the young Fed's actual backhand would be a little more susceptible to Sampras' kicker. Against Nadal, yes, Sampras would face difficulties in returning Nadal's heavy lefty serves and forehands into his backhand. The strongest leftie (from the baseline) in Sampras' time was maybe Muster unless you count Rios' here today-gone tomorrow moment under the sun. There is no comparison that way between Nadal and Muster, especially at USO. Fed would also be tough because of his own serve being so consistent. He could either edge him out in tiebreaks or punish Sampras for the one bad service game, similar to the Wimbledon 2001 dynamic. But overall, at USO, I am going with Djokovic as the toughest proposition.

All of the above with the caveat that I don't know just what Sampras' serve would look like with poly. Given the spin he got just off full nat gut, Sampras wielding a poly and maybe a 95 instead of an 85 would be monstrously good on serve. My question then would be whether ANYBODY would break him on a fast USO, basically Arthur Ashe from 97 to 2004. You - as in a general you and not you specifically - may regard this observation as hyperbole if you hadn't seen how unbreakable Sampras was on serve especially under the clutch in heavyweight bouts. He really brought his A+ game on serve and I can't help but think that poly would improve his consistency even more.
 
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