why do you think nadal won AO only once in his carrer ?

Lleytonstation

Talk Tennis Guru
Nadal was surprisingly the least winning Australian Open
Only once did he win that bounce low court at the Australian Open.
Why do you think that?

i'm still glad nadal won 09 AO at that time
even , i was fed fan at that time
Surface conditions aside, I think Rafa needs match play to get going and build up confidence. He does not get that leading up to AO.

Also think every one being fresh hurts him as he can really grind you down late in the season (especially summer heat).
 

RafaelNadal77

New User
Many years, he finished the previous year injured. So his preparation was biased, his body was still fragile, no rythm, so no confidence or injured again.
 

Gazelle

G.O.A.T.
Because he choked 3 winnable finals:

1) Losing against Djokovic from break up.
2) Panic attack against Wawrinka while gunning for the slam record, facing unexpected resistance, tried to hide it behind injury. Probably biggest choke of Nadal's career, he's never mentally collapsed like that.
3) Losing against Federer from break up.
 

MeatTornado

Talk Tennis Guru
It's not complicated if you just look at it year-by-year

2005: not good enough (he wasn't getting through Nalbandian-Roddick-Safin at 18 even if he outlasted Hewitt in that 5th)
2006: injured
2007: not good enough (zoning Gonzo)
2008: not good enough (zoning Jo)
2009: took everything had just to win this one
2010: injured (would've been the favorite if healthy)
2011: injured (wasn't beating Novak anyway)
2012: missed that bunt down the line. But it's not like that was match point.
2013: injured
2014: injured + Stan was great
2015: not good enough
2016: not good enough
2017: Random Fedr backhand god mode
2018: injured (idk if he would've beaten Fed anyway)
2019: even if he came in firing 100% on offense and defense, he wasn't beating that Novak
2020: again, wasn't beating Novak even if he got past Timmy
 

lim

Professional
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Rosstour

G.O.A.T.
Same reason he has zero WTF titles, because fast hard courts are his worst surface.

I would sooner bet on him winning another Wimbledon than another AO.

Even at his peak when Fed was his pigeon, he has been vulnerable on fast HCs, especially indoor.
 

K-H

Hall of Fame
Same reason he has zero WTF titles, because fast hard courts are his worst surface.

I would sooner bet on him winning another Wimbledon than another AO.

Even at his peak when Fed was his pigeon, he has been vulnerable on fast HCs, especially indoor.
How is AO court anything like The O2. Hes reached 5 finals at AO. Beaten fed there 3 times. Its not like London O2. Its not as fast.
Hes been much worse at O2 than AO
 

SonnyT

Legend
Same reason he has zero WTF titles, because fast hard courts are his worst surface.

I would sooner bet on him winning another Wimbledon than another AO.

Even at his peak when Fed was his pigeon, he has been vulnerable on fast HCs, especially indoor.

I don't agree. How many WTF finals has he been in, one maybe? So he had minimal chances of bagging a WTF title!

He has been in 4 AO finals since winning his only one. And two of those, he was the betting favorite midway thru the fifth! He probably should've won one more, and might've won two more!
 

E36BMWM3

Hall of Fame
Simply came up short in 2012, 2017 and 2019.... The better player (in that instance) won. 2014 we can attribute to injury, no? If Nadal was in full health, I foresee a tight 5-set battle. Wawrinka was on fire.
 

Rosstour

G.O.A.T.
How is AO court anything like The O2. Hes reached 5 finals at AO. Beaten fed there 3 times. Its not like London O2. Its not as fast.
Hes been much worse at O2 than AO

I don't agree. How many WTF finals has he been in, one maybe? So he had minimal chances of bagging a WTF title!

He has been in 4 AO finals since winning his only one. And two of those, he was the betting favorite midway thru the fifth! He probably should've won one more, and might've won two more!

It's still on the faster side. It's no mystery, the faster and more 'neutral' the court is, the more he struggles. Rafa thrives in adverse conditions: wind, sun, humidity, slow punishing surfaces. Every time you take one of those factors away, you lower his margins and expose his weaknesses.
 
D

Deleted member 744633

Guest
Because he choked 3 winnable finals:

1) Losing against Djokovic from break up.
2) Panic attack against Wawrinka while gunning for the slam record, facing unexpected resistance, tried to hide it behind injury. Probably biggest choke of Nadal's career, he's never mentally collapsed like that.
3) Losing against Federer from break up.

The AO final against Wawrinka was a choke? What the hell are you talking? He was blasted right off the court by Wawrinka. That was anything but a choke. I don't know if the injury was real but injured or not, he was going to lose. Wawrinka played top tennis!
 

alexio

G.O.A.T.
The AO final against Wawrinka was a choke? What the hell are you talking? He was blasted right off the court by Wawrinka. That was anything but a choke. I don't know if the injury was real but injured or not, he was going to lose. Wawrinka played top tennis!
a big illusion to think he would win anyway..7-6 7-6 7-6 round before with birdman,..machan:D
 

40L0VE

Professional
At the AO there's lot of scope for other players to play above his level which certainly isn't the case on clay. That's all there is to it.
 

Atennisone

Hall of Fame
Nadal was surprisingly the least winning Australian Open
Only once did he win that bounce low court at the Australian Open.
Why do you think that?

i'm still glad nadal won 09 AO at that time
even , i was fed fan at that time
Before UO 2017, I would say Nadal's 2nd best slam was AO. Now I'm saying 3rd, but the thing is AO draws for Nadal have not been as not hard as UO. For me it feels like a destiny.

Nadal is destined to not win another AO
Another example is how I do feel that, Federer is destined, to not win another UO,.

So I know it's an awful excuse but I almost wanna say "unlucky", I mean in a coin flip he would have won just one of 2012 and 2017.
 

dellealpi10

Rookie
Same reason as he has 0 WTF titles: his form.

His form is low in the beginning of the year, then improve in turn and reach peak in the middle of the year, then decline until the end of the year.

So he usually unsuccess in the beginning and the end of the season.
 

Ray Mercer

Hall of Fame
Nadal has had some great Australian runs but early in his career he was vulnerable to big hitters on hard court and when he entered his prime Djokovic was the absolute master on slow hardcourt. Wawrinka’s performance against Djokovic in 2014 was so special. Stan is the one guy who showed up and just blasted Djokovic with heavy power from both wings. It’s why everyone pretty much loves Wawrinka.
 

FiReFTW

Legend
It's not complicated if you just look at it year-by-year

2005: not good enough (he wasn't getting through Nalbandian-Roddick-Safin at 18 even if he outlasted Hewitt in that 5th)
2006: injured
2007: not good enough (zoning Gonzo)
2008: not good enough (zoning Jo)
2009: took everything had just to win this one
2010: injured (would've been the favorite if healthy)
2011: injured (wasn't beating Novak anyway)
2012: missed that bunt down the line. But it's not like that was match point.
2013: injured
2014: injured + Stan was great
2015: not good enough
2016: not good enough
2017: Random Fedr backhand god mode
2018: injured (idk if he would've beaten Fed anyway)
2019: even if he came in firing 100% on offense and defense, he wasn't beating that Novak
2020: again, wasn't beating Novak even if he got past Timmy

lol ok nadal was injured half of his career, healthy nadal unbeatable confirmed.
 

40L0VE

Professional
So I know it's an awful excuse but I almost wanna say "unlucky", I mean in a coin flip he would have won just one of 2012 and 2017.

Rewatch the match on youtube. More times than not Federer's backhand was owning Nadal's forehand. It was something I had not seen before in any of their previous slam matches I had watched. Also the easy points Nadal usually gets off Fed's backhand were in short supply, it held up for better than many fans expected.
 

zagor

Bionic Poster
I think it's just as simple as AO surface not being high bouncing enough. His FH doesn't explode off the court to terrorize players' BHs to the same degree.
 

Pheasant

Legend
The draws are tougher. At the AO, he had to get through the best AO players ever. And that’s by a wide margin.

Djoker has 8 titles there
Federer has 6 titles + 14 semis in a 15 year span(and 15 of 17), which is truly remarkable.

Whatever fortune that Nadal had at the USO has been easily offset by the harsh luck he’s had at the AO. Even in 2018, he was forced to go through an in-form Cilic, followed by an well-playing Federer. Nadal ran across a peak zoning Stan as well. 2017 was no picnic. And then you have Djoker playing his very best tourney at other times.

Nadal has been very unlucky with his draws there.
 

FlamingCheeto

Hall of Fame
Before UO 2017, I would say Nadal's 2nd best slam was AO. Now I'm saying 3rd, but the thing is AO draws for Nadal have not been as not hard as UO. For me it feels like a destiny.

Nadal is destined to not win another AO
Another example is how I do feel that, Federer is destined, to not win another UO,.

So I know it's an awful excuse but I almost wanna say "unlucky", I mean in a coin flip he would have won just one of 2012 and 2017.

2022 Vamos it is his Density!!!

I mean....his Destiny!!

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T

TheNachoMan

Guest
2010 - outplayed by a peaking Murray, and injured
2011 - outplayed by a peaking Daveed, and injured
2012 - lost one of the greatest matches of all time
2013 - absent
2014 - outplayed by a peaking Stan, and injured
2015 - absolutely ROFLstomped by a peaking Berd, probably not injured
2016 - Dasco got revenge for 2009
2017 - lost one of the most historically important matches of all time
2018 - lost to a peaking Cilic, and injured
2019 - sent to the shadowrealm by a peaking and unstoppable Novak, didn’t lose a set until the final
2020 - lost to a peaking Tim, probably not injured
2021 - choked a two set lead to Sissypas, probably just tired from being old and not injured

that about cover it?
 

BGod

G.O.A.T.
The simulation decided it would be fun throwing rocks at Big 3 at one particular Slam.

Fed at French
Novak at USO
Nadal at AO
 
2010 - outplayed by a peaking Murray, and injured
2011 - outplayed by a peaking Daveed, and injured
2012 - lost one of the greatest matches of all time
2013 - absent
2014 - outplayed by a peaking Stan, and injured
2015 - absolutely ROFLstomped by a peaking Berd, probably not injured
2016 - Dasco got revenge for 2009
2017 - lost one of the most historically important matches of all time
2018 - lost to a peaking Cilic, and injured
2019 - sent to the shadowrealm by a peaking and unstoppable Novak, didn’t lose a set until the final
2020 - lost to a peaking Tim, probably not injured
2021 - choked a two set lead to Sissypas, probably just tired from being old and not injured

that about cover it?
All I know is I really enjoyed watching 2009 AO Nadal
 

roysid

Hall of Fame
Primarily bad luck. Half the time he wasnt well prepared for AO.
And in the years he was doing good, lost two very close 5 setters despite being a break up in 5th.

Also compared to USO, AO courts are faster. So others have slightly more chance in AO than USO
 
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