Will Djokovic reach 100 wins at each GS? - Federer did it at 2 GS

Will Djokovic reach 100 wins at each GS? Here are the wins he needs to achieve this feat.
- AO: 11 wins
- RG: 15 wins (2023 wins are not counted yet)
- Wimbledon: 14 wins
- US Open: 19 wins


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BVSlam

Professional
Depends on how long he'll keep playing. But to do this, he'll have to win multiple US Opens and go very far at RG/Wimbledon for three more years (Wimbledon can be done in two).

Depends on how long his body keeps up and how long he keeps playing. Even AO is not that easy, he'll have to win it again next year and then be fit enough to reach the quarters in 2025.

At the very least I definitely don't think he'll win a 100 in each slam. US Open with 19 more wins blocks that for me.

Also wow, interesting that Nadal is not in the top 5 at USO despite 4 titles there.
 

Phenomenal

Professional
Depends on how long he'll keep playing. But to do this, he'll have to win multiple US Opens and go very far at RG/Wimbledon for three more years (Wimbledon can be done in two).

Depends on how long his body keeps up and how long he keeps playing. Even AO is not that easy, he'll have to win it again next year and then be fit enough to reach the quarters in 2025.

At the very least I definitely don't think he'll win a 100 in each slam. US Open with 19 more wins blocks that for me.

Also wow, interesting that Nadal is not in the top 5 at USO despite 4 titles there.
It's because Nadal missed USO so many times due to injuries and also maybe covid in 2020.
2012 2014 2020 2021 the years he didn't participate. Also his record is not so good before 2010.
 

Phenomenal

Professional
Borg is also not in top 5 with 6 titles at RG since his career is short. Djokovic at RG is incredibly consistent as i say so many times. He goes atleast Quarter's every year almost.
He has 1 more win at Wimbledon but 5 more titles, 4 more win at AO but 9 more titles.

While i didn't surprise about Nadal and Djokovic's numbers Federer's USO wins are below his standarts. I expected more considering he has 102 wins at AO.
 
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ND-13

Hall of Fame
I think he may end up doing at all 4 majors. Has anyone told him how close he is to the target ? That is all he may need to hear to step on the gas.
 

NoleFam

Bionic Poster
I don't see it happening. He missed one USO with injury, one because of default and one because of covid rules, so that's 3 in total. That pretty much ends his hopes of doing it there.

He missed one Wimbledon because of it being canceled and one AO because of covid rules and he would most likely already be over 90 at both of those now, and most likely would have hit 100 match wins at each.

He's played every RG but he's behind there, which I think is his weakest Slam, so don't see it happening there. The only one I see it happening at now is AO but that also depends on how long he continues to play and how long he plays at a high level.
 

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
Djokovic fully healthy was banned from 2 slams and 1 slam was cancelled. He can do whatever Federer can do but these things are outside his control. A world changing pandemic happened right after Federer played his last tournament. I don't even count 2021. He came for 9 matches. Nothing. He retired at AO 2020. Pandemic started early but world stopped around March.

Anything Federer could do at the same age Djokovic was simply not allowed to.
 

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
102 > 89
105 > 86
89 > 81

It's clear that Federer >> Djokovic.

In general, Federer is several tiers above anyone else in every way.
Even after pandemic stopped Nole do not underestimate him. He is 1 step above fed. He may really play till 40 and achieve these all. It's the same tactics fedfans used discounting his 6 years extra career to call him betterer and stuff.
 

Matrix968

Semi-Pro
He'll get to 90+ at each one for sure, but what is incredible is how close those numbers are. It speaks volume about his ability to play great on every surface, definitely the most complete player ever. I don't think the world will witness something similar in this century...
 

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
He'll get to 90+ at each one for sure, but what is incredible is how close those numbers are. It speaks volume about his ability to play great on every surface, definitely the most complete player ever. I don't think the world will witness something similar in this century...
He and fed both are very complete.
 

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
Agree, that's probably one of the reasons I liked Fed as a player a lot but as a person, not so much.
When looking at Novak's numbers of finals, semis, and quarters at each slam, it's even more amazing.

Finals:
Novak - 6
Roger - 5
Rafa - 5

Semis:
Novak - 10
Roger - 8
Rafa - 7

Quarters:
Novak -12
Roger -12
Rafa - 8

And counting...
Hope he take lead in triple career slam as well. Rafa should never have been allowed to win second Australian open after Novak was deported. Kind of made a joke out of double career slam. Now we need triple.
 

Matrix968

Semi-Pro
You beat me to it, my thoughts too, just wasn't fast enough, typing on a cell with my banana fingers.
Triple CS would be massive, never achieved before on the men's side. I still can't get over Novak's absence from AO and USO last year, canceled Wimbledon the year before, many missed opportunities
 

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
ByAge.png



Novak Djokovic is so much better than Federer that the Pandemic which caused Novak issues on 3 out of 4 slams didn't hurt his stats at the same age as Federer.
Yes USOpen Novak is slacked off a bit but he had horrendous luck at the USOpen getting defaulted once and banned another time, both times when he was fully healthy. He would have trumped Federer at all 4 slams otherwise at the same age. You can't even argue Federer's case anymore.

Nadal as expected is so far down that its not really funny. Except at RG where he is almost unbeatable. Nadal is a surface GOAT but these numbers don't lie.

There is GOAT 1 Djokovic GOAT 1A Federer
Nadal is not GOAT.

If Djokovic can play till 40 years age, he can definitely overcome all 4 slams over Federer. He most likely will be far better than Fed at AO and RG. But at Wimby and USO also he will be very close even after Pandemic.
 

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
Just to finish of the point, this is there wins by age at ATP finals. Nadal again doesn't belong in the conversation with 0 wins and such a bad performance.


ByAge.png
 
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TripleATeam

G.O.A.T.
No. He'll fall short.

The AO necessitates at least 2 more events played, but let's say 3. RG will take probably 4 (3 would entail 3 SFs. 4 would mean 2 QFs and 2 R4s. Accounting for 1 early exit and 1 late run, 4 sounds right). Wimbledon should be around 3 also (2 straight wins seem unlikely, but 2 deep runs will let the 3rd push him over the line). All of these are doable if Djokovic plays 3 more years (2025 Wimbledon). Even that I wouldn't bet on. However, pushing it another almost full year until 2026 is already a bit iffy considering that's right around his 39th birthday.

With just those 3, I'd probably say it's 50/50, maybe leaning in his favor a bit.

Then there's the USO. 19 more wins? That would take 3 years in the best case scenario. And he certainly isn't winning 2 of the next 3 USOs. Even 4 would be very difficult (a SF average over 4 years - meaning a single early exit could sink that chance). Reasonably it would take at least 5 more USOs. Meaning he needs to play 2027 USO (when he's 40) to accomplish this feat. And he needs some good runs in that time. If he fails to do good runs, he'd need to even play the 2028 USO (41 years old). I really don't think Novak will be playing at 40 with his biggest rivals having been long retired by that point.
 

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
No. He'll fall short.

The AO necessitates at least 2 more events played, but let's say 3. RG will take probably 4 (3 would entail 3 SFs. 4 would mean 2 QFs and 2 R4s. Accounting for 1 early exit and 1 late run, 4 sounds right). Wimbledon should be around 3 also (2 straight wins seem unlikely, but 2 deep runs will let the 3rd push him over the line). All of these are doable if Djokovic plays 3 more years (2025 Wimbledon). Even that I wouldn't bet on. However, pushing it another almost full year until 2026 is already a bit iffy considering that's right around his 39th birthday.

With just those 3, I'd probably say it's 50/50, maybe leaning in his favor a bit.

Then there's the USO. 19 more wins? That would take 3 years in the best case scenario. And he certainly isn't winning 2 of the next 3 USOs. Even 4 would be very difficult (a SF average over 4 years - meaning a single early exit could sink that chance). Reasonably it would take at least 5 more USOs. Meaning he needs to play 2027 USO (when he's 40) to accomplish this feat. And he needs some good runs in that time. If he fails to do good runs, he'd need to even play the 2028 USO (41 years old). I really don't think Novak will be playing at 40 with his biggest rivals having been long retired by that point.
If he wins on 2/4 then that is matching Federer, which should be minimum target

3/4 is surpassing Federer longetivity (not really longetivity as he was banned and fed wasn't but still)
 

TripleATeam

G.O.A.T.
If he wins on 2/4 then that is matching Federer, which should be minimum target

3/4 is surpassing Federer longetivity (not really longetivity as he was banned and fed wasn't but still)
There really shouldn't be a target. This is a metric of how good he is, but a secondary one at that. Djokovic's first priority no doubt is winning matches in slams - in order to win slams. Not so he can have 100+ wins at each major, and certainly not so he can do it better than Federer did.

Match wins are mostly a measure of longevity combined with consistency, which we all already know he has in spades. There's nothing left to prove in that arena.
 

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
There really shouldn't be a target. This is a metric of how good he is, but a secondary one at that. Djokovic's first priority no doubt is winning matches in slams - in order to win slams. Not so he can have 100+ wins at each major, and certainly not so he can do it better than Federer did.

Match wins are mostly a measure of longevity combined with consistency, which we all already know he has in spades. There's nothing left to prove in that arena.
Shouldn't he be absolute best Consistency + Longetivity wise? Federer was.
 

TripleATeam

G.O.A.T.
Shouldn't he be absolute best Consistency + Longetivity wise? Federer was.
And Djokovic was too. At this point his numbers are crushed by just not attending slams. Like Federer's RG numbers are a bit lower than his consistency/longevity would suggest, so are Djokovic's USO numbers. Proving you're the best consistency/longevity wise can also just come from looking at stats like "semifinals after 30" or something. It shows just just as well. In a stat like this, you can have an incredible early career keep up poor late career numbers or an incredible late career disguise poor early career numbers.

Federer only really started playing at his own level in 2003 as a 22 year old. He was on pace with Connors - started playing great at 22 and lasted into late 30s. Many people were the opposite. Start great and either retire earlier or just play worse in late career. Djokovic has been the only one that's consistently made 2 QFs or better at the year's slams from age 19 to 35.
 

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
And Djokovic was too. At this point his numbers are crushed by just not attending slams. Like Federer's RG numbers are a bit lower than his consistency/longevity would suggest, so are Djokovic's USO numbers. Proving you're the best consistency/longevity wise can also just come from looking at stats like "semifinals after 30" or something. It shows just just as well. In a stat like this, you can have an incredible early career keep up poor late career numbers or an incredible late career disguise poor early career numbers.

Federer only really started playing at his own level in 2003 as a 22 year old. He was on pace with Connors - started playing great at 22 and lasted into late 30s. Many people were the opposite. Start great and either retire earlier or just play worse in late career. Djokovic has been the only one that's consistently made 2 QFs or better at the year's slams from age 19 to 35.
I posted graphs. Apart from RG Federer and Djokovic mirror each other. RG Fed skipped 3 but he was trending down anyway.
 

Phenomenal

Professional
I don't see it happening. He missed one USO with injury, one because of default and one because of covid rules, so that's 3 in total. That pretty much ends his hopes of doing it there.

He missed one Wimbledon because of it being canceled and one AO because of covid rules and he would most likely already be over 90 at both of those now, and most likely would have hit 100 match wins at each.

He's played every RG but he's behind there, which I think is his weakest Slam, so don't see it happening there. The only one I see it happening at now is AO but that also depends on how long he continues to play and how long he plays at a high level.
Still think he was better at RG than Wimbledon until like 2015. But it is clear that RG is weakest late of his career. AO he has a good chance to pass 100. For all almost no way.
 

Phenomenal

Professional
Hope he take lead in triple career slam as well. Rafa should never have been allowed to win second Australian open after Novak was deported. Kind of made a joke out of double career slam. Now we need triple.
Nadal could have take the AO, DCGS ın 2014 before Djokovic get his career slam. But he was injured in the final against Stan. So yes it's also his issue and we don't know what would have happened had he not injured.

He almost didn't played for 6 months until one 250 tournament prior to winning AO.
 

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
Nadal could have take the AO, DCGS ın 2014 before Djokovic get his career slam. But he was injured in the final against Stan. So yes it's also his issue and we don't know what would have happened had he not injured.

He almost didn't played for 6 months until one 250 tournament prior to winning AO.
Great point.
 

Matrix968

Semi-Pro
Considering that Novak played 3 less AOs, 5 less Wimbys and 3 USOs, numbers are well distributed, and there is still a chance he'll get to 100 at two, hopefully. Regarding the total number of wins, I'm almost certain he'll pass Roger's total, which in my opinion is stronger stat than the one in the OP.
Father time will take tool in the years to come, but it's a privilege to be a tennis fan in this era and observe the big 3 battles and watch records being broken left and right.
For me, as tennis fan in general and especially Novak's fan, it's been a nice ride, I enjoy every bit of it...
 
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NoleFam

Bionic Poster
Still think he was better at RG than Wimbledon until like 2015. But it is clear that RG is weakest late of his career. AO he has a good chance to pass 100. For all almost no way.
I wouldn't even say he was better at RG then. In 2014, he had made at least 6 SFs in both Slams but had 2 titles at Wimbledon to 0 at RG. Hard to argue for RG here.
 

Phenomenal

Professional
I wouldn't even say he was better at RG then. In 2014, he had made at least 6 SFs in both Slams but had 2 titles at Wimbledon to 0 at RG. Hard to argue for RG here.
Context should matter no? Facing against Nadal is not the same. Until 2014 He didn't played against Federer either other than 2012 if i'm not wrong. So Federer didn't stop him from winning Wimbledon. Considering he has only 1 more win now maybe 1 less time played at Wimbledon. In 2014-15 he must have more wins at RG than Wimbledon. Only 2009-10 bad for him probably at RG otherwise he is/was much more consistent at RG.
 

NoleFam

Bionic Poster
Context should matter no? Facing against Nadal is not the same. Until 2014 He didn't played against Federer either other than 2012 if i'm not wrong. So Federer didn't stop him from winning Wimbledon. Considering he has only 1 more win now maybe 1 less time played at Wimbledon. In 2014-15 he must have more wins at RG than Wimbledon. Only 2009-10 bad for him probably at RG otherwise he is/was much more consistent at RG.
I don't understand what you meant there. He had more match wins at Wimbledon at the end of 2014 than RG. Yes Nadal is a tougher roadblock at RG than anyone at Wimbledon, but Djokovic's natural game is more lethal on grass than clay. There's no doubt about it.
 

Phenomenal

Professional
I don't understand what you meant there. He had more match wins at Wimbledon at the end of 2014 than RG. Yes Nadal is a tougher roadblock at RG than anyone at Wimbledon, but Djokovic's natural game is more lethal on grass than clay. There's no doubt about it.
Oh really he had more wins back then at WB. I was saying since Wimbledon cancelled one year he played Wimbledon 1 less time than RG probably. He didn't face against Federer in Federer's prime. Facing against Prime Nadal at RG is already much more difficult than anyone he can face at Wimbledon. Since from the beginning he was reaching Nadal more often than not. At RG Nadal was stopping him mostly In Wimbledon he had losses against other players more.

But still for proper comparison, whether he was better on clay or grass there needs to be more tournaments on grass.
 
ByAge.png



Novak Djokovic is so much better than Federer that the Pandemic which caused Novak issues on 3 out of 4 slams didn't hurt his stats at the same age as Federer.
Yes USOpen Novak is slacked off a bit but he had horrendous luck at the USOpen getting defaulted once and banned another time, both times when he was fully healthy. He would have trumped Federer at all 4 slams otherwise at the same age. You can't even argue Federer's case anymore.

Nadal as expected is so far down that its not really funny. Except at RG where he is almost unbeatable. Nadal is a surface GOAT but these numbers don't lie.

There is GOAT 1 Djokovic GOAT 1A Federer
Nadal is not GOAT.

If Djokovic can play till 40 years age, he can definitely overcome all 4 slams over Federer. He most likely will be far better than Fed at AO and RG. But at Wimby and USO also he will be very close even after Pandemic.
Nice charts.
It clearly shows that Djokovic career path has been closer to Federer path.
 

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
ByAge.png



Novak Djokovic is so much better than Federer that the Pandemic which caused Novak issues on 3 out of 4 slams didn't hurt his stats at the same age as Federer.
Yes USOpen Novak is slacked off a bit but he had horrendous luck at the USOpen getting defaulted once and banned another time, both times when he was fully healthy. He would have trumped Federer at all 4 slams otherwise at the same age. You can't even argue Federer's case anymore.

Nadal as expected is so far down that its not really funny. Except at RG where he is almost unbeatable. Nadal is a surface GOAT but these numbers don't lie.

There is GOAT 1 Djokovic GOAT 1A Federer
Nadal is not GOAT.

If Djokovic can play till 40 years age, he can definitely overcome all 4 slams over Federer. He most likely will be far better than Fed at AO and RG. But at Wimby and USO also he will be very close even after Pandemic.

@BeatlesFan see this. They are exactly the same. I feel it's rather honoring Roger's greatness that Novak is matching him as Novak is the goat..
 

BeatlesFan

Bionic Poster
@BeatlesFan see this. They are exactly the same. I feel it's rather honoring Roger's greatness that Novak is matching him as Novak is the goat..
I’m just curious, it’s a fan’s mindset that seems odd to me, but what do I know.

When Rafa passed Roger in the slam count, I was happy for him and didn’t really care. Tennis is always bigger than one individual person in the sport.
 

abmk

Bionic Poster
Still think he was better at RG than Wimbledon until like 2015. But it is clear that RG is weakest late of his career. AO he has a good chance to pass 100. For all almost no way.

till 13 only tops.
With Wim 14, he surpassed it.

Wim 07 > RG 07
Wim 08 < RG 08
Wim 09 > RG 09 (QF compared to 3R)
Wim 10 > RG 10 (atleast beat Hewitt at Wim)
Wim 11 ~ RG 11
Wim 12 > RG 12 (had to save MPs vs tsonga and was down 2 sets to love vs Seppi)
Wim 13 < RG 13
 
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