2015 Federer > 2017 Federer

Pheasant

Legend
2017 Fed vs 2015 Fed is interesting. If we back off out clay, then:

2015 Fed was 50-7 whereas 2017 Fed was 52-5 overall.

2015 Fed was 13-4 vs top 10 whereas 2017 Fed was 14-2 vs top 10.

2015 Fed had Djoker to deal with. However, 2017 Fed had an in-form Nadal to deal with. 2017 Federer won Wimbledon without dropping a set. 2015 Fed went to the USO final without dropping a set, but then lost to Djoker.

I would call these two years a wash. Fed’s stats off of clay were clearly better in 2017. But replacing an in-form Rafa with Beastovic probably levels this matchup. 2017 Nadal likely exploits 2015 Fed’s backhand and splits matches with him, instead of going 0-4 vs 2017 Fed.

Hypothetical matches don’t amount to a hill of beans. And nobody in the real world cares. Fed in 2017 was not better than the 2015 version of Djoker, or even as good as he was. But 2017 Fed was better than 2017 Djoker and that is all that matters. That is on Djoker for not being up to his best, just like is was Fed’s fault for getting mono on 2008,blowing out his knee in 2016, and destroying his back in 2013.

This whole “lucky” business is just trash talking. If you need to throw luck into the equation to knock down your favorite player’s opponent, then there is something wrong with you. This reminds me of that thread where people were bickering about which player had more of a cakewalk, Djoker at the 2018 USO, or Rafa at the 2017 USO. I could honestly care less. Both players deserved their titles. It was Fed’s own fault that he was injured for Nadal’s side of the draw and it was Fed’s fault for not being in good enough shape to handle the humidity in NY for Djoker’s side of the draw in the 2018 USO. I hold that against Fed. I refuse to call Nadal or Djoker “lucky”. That is disrespectful and simply untrue. Had Fed taken better care of himself in 2017, or been better prepared for the heat in 2018, then maybe things end differently. But Fed screwed up. Fed lost and that is on him.
 
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Deleted member 757377

Guest
WI-UO-AO 15-16:

fedr vs the field ---> 51 sets to 2
fedr vs djokovic ---> 3 sets to 9

And I was thinking...

WI-UO-AO 11-12:

nadl vs the field ---> 54 sets to 5
nadl vs djokovic ---> 4 sets to 9
 

RS

Bionic Poster
Do you people even have an ounce of tennis understanding ?

All this generalisation just because you people can't be bothered to seriously think what you are saying.

2017 had

Much much more safer much stronger strategic baseline play compared to substanceless risky flashy net rush and laughable attempts of impossibly finishing the points early

A reliable and strong baseline weapon in the form of his Backhand which was a much safer and productive option than relying on net skills in the goddamned mid 2010s

He could actually rally in 2017 and actually opted to construct points rather than be a paranoid net rusher.


FH 2017> FH 2015
BH 2017 >>> BH 2015
MOVEMENT 2017 >= 2015
MENTALITY 2017 >>> 2015
STRATEGY 2017>>>> 2015
SERVE 2017<<<2015


Don't get me wrong only a top level player could beat 2015 Federer like Djokovic did, but 2017 version is by substance and gameplay much better and yet he would lose to the monster that Djokovic was. So no need to get insecure .

2015 moved better IMO and serve near equal. 2015 was more inventive with net charging and coming to the net. And he didn’t skip clay to preserve certain stats as well. 2015 had slightly worse serving stats and he play clay were the power of the seve is nullified.
 

KINGROGER

G.O.A.T.
Fedr getting old from 2008 to 2015 but improving in 2017-18

LOL

What’s so ridiculous about that? He was still old in 2017 but had adjusted fully to the new racket and finally had weapons from the baseline again. Do you even watch tennis? He came back rejuvenated from a 6 month break and was hitting BH winners with ease vs Nadal and off a lot of 2nd serves. His FH was finally looking close to 2012 levels again. He didn’t do any of this in 14/15.

A good indicator of level of play is the number of wins over top10s.

2004: 18
2005: 15
2006: 19
2007: 17
2008: 7
2009: 15
2010: 16
2011: 10
2012: 16
2013: 4
2014: 17
2015: 15
2016: 1
2017: 14

Level of top 10 players is subjective. This stat doesn’t say anything about peak level.
 

KINGROGER

G.O.A.T.
Federer was definitely playing better in Wimbledon 2015 than he was in Wimbledon 2017 and his level at USO 2015 was way higher than it was in Australian Open 2017. Wawrinka and Nishikori can only dream they take that Federer to a fifth set as they did in AO 2017.

Djokovic was the only one denying Fed from big titles in 2014-2016 so it was clear as crystal he only needed Djokovic out of his way so he can win those big titles again and that's exactly what happened in 2017-18. Djokovic went AWOL and Federer dominated. Not a surprise at all and makes perfect sense.
Absolutely not. Maybe his serve and volleys that’s about it. That doesn’t win you grand slams vs an ATG like Djokovic on a medium surface. You need baseline weapons in this era. 2014/2015 Fed had none.
 

RS

Bionic Poster
2017 Fed looks good simply because Nole collapsed. Without that Fed would be stuck at 17.
He might have won Wimbledon in 2017 still. I don’t think Novak would have kept that level for ever. Faster AO in 2017 form might have been a win too.
 
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OhYes

Guest
What happened when they met in Cincy in 2015? o_O

Not to mention Federer's level in the 2018 Cincy final was garbage compared to any final he played in 2017.

Nice but delusional lol.
Novak toyed with Fed at UO 2015, Fed was pumped, he was hyped beyond belief, he had SABR like "new invention", everybody drooled over Fed, crowd was obnoxious.....yet Novak cleaned him like he was Nishikori or Cilic kind of guy - utterly unimportant. He continued toying him at AO next year, Fed escaped most embarassing loss in his career, and that had pretty big consequences to old guy. No wonder Federer played like crap since in his mind he became one facing Djokovic.
 

TheAssassin

Legend
They are similar level-wise, though I think his 2017 was a bit higher, and he was very clutch in certain tournaments. Having said that, Federer was quite reliable against the rest of the field in 2015 excluding Djokovic who was responsible for nearly half of his losses, and he also played a full schedule back then.

I certainly don't think that the 2017 season was all just a result of Novak's slump. But I also don't think that major improvements at Fed's age are possible. Minor adaptations, changes and improvements, being fresher due to playing less tournaments, sure. But improvements that big that he would start beating a guy of peak Djokovic's quality more often than not, no way.
 
Lets fvcking simplify it

Season-wise form :-

AO-Miami 2017 >>> 2015
Clay seson 2017 ?<< 2015 (did not play)
Grass season 2017 >= 2015
NA HC season 2017 <<< 2015
Fall/Indoor season 2017 = 2015 (1 slam & 1 500 to 1 500 & wtf final)


Elements of game :-:-


FH :-
AO-Mia 2017 >> 2015
Clay 2017 ?<< 2015 (did not play)
Grass 2017 = 2015
NA HC season 2017 <<< 2015
Indoor/fall season 2017 = 2015

BH :-

Is that even a question??
Apart from NA HC season, 2017 >>>> 2015

Serve :-

AO - Mia 2017 >> 2015
Clay 2017 ?<< 2015 (did not play)
Grass 2017 < 2015
NA HC season 2017 << 2015
Indoor/Fall season 2017 = 2015

Movement and Footwork :-

AO-Mia 2017 >> 2015
Clay 2017 ?<< 2015
Grass 2017 >= 2015
NA HC season 2017 << 2015
Indoor/Fall season 2017 <= 2015

Mentality :-

2017 >>>>>> 2015
 
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OhYes

Guest
The point was a response to you saying that Djokovic toyed with him :rolleyes: You don't toy with someone if you're on the brink of losing multiple sets.

So yeah you chat ****. Sorry to break it to you.
No offense, but you need to come with something better than "he could've" and "if only" so I could take you remotely serious. Djokovic slipped and pealed his sking off his arm and knee, he had crowd against him, yet he toyed with his oponnent. And if all those things couldn't break Novak, it is more than embarassing to inflate Roger's impact in that match with could and would.
 

NatF

Bionic Poster
No offense, but you need to come with something better than "he could've" and "if only" so I could take you remotely serious. Djokovic slipped and pealed his sking off his arm and knee, he had crowd against him, yet he toyed with his oponnent. And if all those things couldn't break Novak, it is more than embarassing to inflate Roger's impact in that match with could and would.

You definition of toyed is wonky - like your personality :D

Like I said, Djokovic was in a battle for most of that match - he hardly toyed with Federer. Obviously you were just trolling when you said that thought right? Otherwise you'd be delusional. Djok toyed with Federer for most the AO 2016 SF but the USO 2015 F was competitive.
 
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OhYes

Guest
You definition of toyed is wonky - like your personality :D

Like I said, Djokovic was in a battle for most of that match - he hardly toyed with Federer. Obviously you were just trolling when you said that thought right? Otherwise you'd be delusional. Djok toyed with Federer for most the AO 2016 SF but the USO 2015 F was competitive.
So now we are off to personal stuff. End of discussion for me here.
 

KINGROGER

G.O.A.T.
No offense, but you need to come with something better than "he could've" and "if only" so I could take you remotely serious. Djokovic slipped and pealed his sking off his arm and knee, he had crowd against him, yet he toyed with his oponnent. And if all those things couldn't break Novak, it is more than embarassing to inflate Roger's impact in that match with could and would.
What’s your definition of toyed with? Djokovic played mediocre for his standards and relied on Federer hitting too many UFE on easy FHs and 2nd serve returns. Any version of 2004-2008 USO Fed shows up and it’s game over in 4.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
Fed fans are nice but too many are simply delusional. Fed hasn't been able to beat Nole in anything more important than a Masters 1000 since before he turned 31. Wimbledon 2012 was the last time, to be exact. (and no, the 2015 RR win in WTF is of no relevance. What matters is who wins the tournament, and Nole beat Fed in the final).

We've seen this story over and over in the last 5 years. Fed plays well, sometimes incredibly well, with almost no breaks to his serve. Fed fans predict a victory over Djokovic. And then Fed loses. Just look at the polling in all the match threads.

I'm surprised this is even a debate. If Nole hadn't collapsed he would have beaten Fed at AO17, W17, and AO18 if they had met. Just like he's been beating Fed at every slam they have met since Wimbledon 2012.
Aha...

You'rethe one who constantly criticized us for predicting an outcome since there's no way of knowing and yet you go on and do exactly that....

Bravo, man, bravo...
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
who said 2018 Cincy fed was peak? It was just another example of Fed advancing to the finals, his fans expecting him to win, and then he meets Nole and all changes. Fed wasn't broken once in the four matches on the way to the final and then Nole broke him three times.
Well for starters, 2018 Fed after AO has been garbage.

But of course, it's all about Djokovic to you Nolefams.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
I'm not diminishing anything. Fed beat the guys in front of him and won fair and square. But Fed hasn't beaten Nole at anything above a masters in more than 6 years. Fed was lucky Nole's level collapsed, just like Nole may be lucky in the next year or so that he no longer has to face any peak Big 4. You play with the cards you are dealt.
He got that luck big time starting from 2014.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
I'm not diminishing anything. Fed beat the guys in front of him and won fair and square. But Fed hasn't beaten Nole at anything above a masters in more than 6 years. Fed was lucky Nole's level collapsed, just like Nole may be lucky in the next year or so that he no longer has to face any peak Big 4. You play with the cards you are dealt.
Djokovic was lucky Fed was worse than even 2012 in 2014-2016.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
Don't judge Fed fans as those posting here, since that represents .001% of all Fed fans.

I personally haven't predicted Fed to beat Djokovic in any match (except Cincy 2015), since 2011 and why should I? Fed was then 30 and Novak was 24. You're mistaken that most Fed fans predict Roger victories over Djokovic and using match threads here as any type of statistical "analysis" is ludicrous since they're separated by 6 years. Djokovic should be beating Fed like a drum since 2011, and essentially he has done so. Not a big surprise. And if by some miracle Djokovic is still playing when he's 37, he won't be beating ATG's 6 years his junior either.
Of course he won't, aince he won't have any.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
No offense, but you need to come with something better than "he could've" and "if only" so I could take you remotely serious. Djokovic slipped and pealed his sking off his arm and knee, he had crowd against him, yet he toyed with his oponnent. And if all those things couldn't break Novak, it is more than embarassing to inflate Roger's impact in that match with could and would.
You clearly don't understand what toying means.
 

NatF

Bionic Poster
Ignore him. A djoker fan who only showed his face ow that Novak is winning again.

Glory hunter.

She I think. But yeah funny how these Novak fans come out of the woodwork now he's winning again to throw shade on other people - at least I throw shade all year long whether Federer is winning or not :p
 

Plamen1234

Hall of Fame
Pretty much. Fed lucked out the past 2 years in Australia essentially. No Nole Around. 2017- Nadal was coming off pretty poor years and getting back into form. This year he didn’t play anyone in Australia outside of the notorious choker Cilic

Djokovic played both AO 2017 and AO 2018 so your statement is incorrect.He just wasnt good enough to reach Federer as Federer wasnt good enough to reach him at Wimby 2018 and US Open 2018 - will you say that Djokovic lucked out in these 2 tournaments - I doubt it.
 

Raining hopes

Hall of Fame
Pretty much. Fed lucked out the past 2 years in Australia essentially. No Nole Around. 2017- Nadal was coming off pretty poor years and getting back into form. This year he didn’t play anyone in Australia outside of the notorious choker Cilic


Hello 90's clay ! How you doin'?
 
Djokovic played both AO 2017 and AO 2018 so your statement is incorrect.He just wasnt good enough to reach Federer as Federer wasnt good enough to reach him at Wimby 2018 and US Open 2018 - will you say that Djokovic lucked out in these 2 tournaments - I doubt it.


he played but he was in horrid form. Would Fed have ever sniffed those 2 australian open titles if Nole played like he has from Wimbledon-present this year? Of course not.
 

Plamen1234

Hall of Fame
Djokovic fans talking sh*t about Federer now that their guy is winning again. Color me surprised :D

As they say, after war the brave show up.

Exactly,some of them were hiding when Djokovic was in decline but once he started winning they are back - great "fans".Once he starts losing they will again disappear.They are so predictable.
 
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Deleted member 757377

Guest
He got that luck big time starting from 2014.

Highest Grand Slam winning percentage in 2014-16:

1) Djokovic 92.1%
2) Wawrinka 84.7%
3) Murray 84.3%
4) Federer 82.5%
5) Nadal 80%
6) Berdych 79.2%
7) Cilic 77.3%
8) Raonic 77.1%
9) Tsonga 76.6%
10) Nishikori 76.1%

Highest Grand Slam winning percentage in 2004-06:

1) Federer 94.8%
2) Nadal 82.5%
3) Hewitt 80.4%
4) Nalbandian 77.6%
5) Roddick 76%
6) Agassi 74.2%
7) Safin 73.5%
8) Ancic 71%
9) Coria 71%
10) Davydenko 69.2%
 

ak24alive

Legend
Honestly reading this thread hurts.
Many Novak fans who I thought were tennis fans first and foremost have talked so much **** on here that it really hurts.
Its like no one on this site is a fan of tennis. Everyone has an agenda which is bigger than tennis itself.
How on Earth is Federer of 2015 better than Federer of 2017 based on the level of play?!
Its ridiculous.
No one is questioning Novak's level.
But somehow admitting that Fed of '17 was better will invalidate Nole's achievements in '15??
Don't even wanna discuss this ****.
Disgust.
 
Absolutely not. Maybe his serve and volleys that’s about it. That doesn’t win you grand slams vs an ATG like Djokovic on a medium surface. You need baseline weapons in this era. 2014/2015 Fed had none.

Ha! It's not that Fed had none "baseline weapons" in those years. Fed's ground game in 2017 was as solid as it was in 2015. There wasn't really much difference between 2015 and 2017 in that aspect.

I would even dare to say it was a little bit better in 2015 but as impressive as it was, it paled in comparison with Djokovic's and no shame in that. Djokovic is the ultimate baseliner, he's best baseliner in tennis history -off clay at least- and for that it comes as no surprise he's been able to exploit the limitations of Federer's ground game as we've seeing the last few years.
 

metsman

G.O.A.T.
Federer was better in Wimby 2015 and that is obvious. They were not the same. Federer was only broken 1 time and faced only 4 break points leading up to the final in 2015 and that includes playing a great returner on grass like Murray. He was broken 4 times and faced 21 break points in 2017. Leading up to the final in 2015 he was hitting winners 23.85% of the time and making an unforced error 7.33% of the time. In 2017, he hit winners 21.6% of the time and made an unforced error 6.5% of the time. He made slightly more unforced errors in 2015, less than 1%, but he hit more winners at over 2%. He had a better conversion rate on break points in 2015 than 2017 (42.6% vs. 41.0%), even when taking into account the match he played against Djokovic. We also saw nothing in 2017 like the performance he gave in the SF against Murray.

In the USO in 2015, he was only broken 2 times and faced 15 break points leading up to the final. That is still better than 2017 Wimby which favors serving and aggression even more. In Cincinnati he only faced 3 break points and was never broken. He didn't even face a beak point against Murray or Djokovic, two great returners which shows how much of a high level he was playing. So being that Federer played worse in 2017 Wimby than he did in 2015 Wimby, I don't understand why you think that version would beat 2015 USO Djokovic when the 2015 version couldn't.
the best opponent he faced before Murray in 2015 was who? Groth? LMAO. At Wimby he faced Dimitrov, Raonic, and Berdych all of whom at least have a certain standard of play on grass unlike the 15 opponents. Agut and Simon in the R16 and QF on grass and you're bringing up numbers...Freakin Mischa Zverev was better than any of those guys.

The Murray match was legit great, and a good argument in favor of 15, but none of the other numbers mean anything given who he played.
 

abmk

Bionic Poster
Ha! It's not that Fed had none "baseline weapons" in those years. Fed's ground game in 2017 was as solid as it was in 2015. There wasn't really much difference between 2015 and 2017 in that aspect.

I would even dare to say it was a little bit better in 2015
but as impressive as it was, it paled in comparison with Djokovic's and no shame in that. Djokovic is the ultimate baseliner, he's best baseliner in tennis history -off clay at least- and for that it comes as no surprise he's been able to exploit the limitations of Federer's ground game as we've seeing the last few years.

lol., what a massive fail at being an "analyst".
 

abmk

Bionic Poster
You are a massive fail period.

you butthurt much after being owned by me so many times ? :D

that you want to reply to a post of mine which contradicted a massive fail ?

saying fed's baseline game in 2015 was on same level as 2017 is like saying Djokovic was serving well in 2010 to speak in your ******** language so to speak.
 
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abmk

Bionic Poster

I had already broken down way back in Apr 2017.

His FH from AO onwards this year has been the best he's hit since 12 ( visible since the Nishikori match at the AO ) His BH is arguably as good as BH at his peak ( minus passing shots I think )....

The BH improvement was a work under progress under Edberg and finished under Ljubicic. He was hitting it consistently and deep , but not taking it as early as he is now.

He wasn't confident about going for it on the FH with his new racquet, but he's ripping it since his comeback.

Started returning more aggressively under Edberg , esp. with BH .....and finished under Ljubicic.

On the flip side, his movement has declined compared to 15, that was more visible in AO than in IW and is being masked by his groundies off both wings.

He's not servebotting as well as he was in 15, though serve is still pretty good.
Regularity of volleying has gone down quite a bit and level of it somewhat as well I think.

The big time-off ( 6 months ) gave him enough time to recover completely , become more confident on his groundstrokes ?

Comments ?

https://tt.tennis-warehouse.com/ind...015-comparision-of-components-of-game.585744/

Continued with great play in Halle final, Wimbledon, Shanghai, parts of Basel...

but you can keep BSing to cover up your hurt.
 

abmk

Bionic Poster
Honestly reading this thread hurts.
Many Novak fans who I thought were tennis fans first and foremost have talked so much **** on here that it really hurts.
Its like no one on this site is a fan of tennis. Everyone has an agenda which is bigger than tennis itself.
How on Earth is Federer of 2015 better than Federer of 2017 based on the level of play?!
Its ridiculous.
No one is questioning Novak's level.
But somehow admitting that Fed of '17 was better will invalidate Nole's achievements in '15??
Don't even wanna discuss this ****.
Disgust.

its just plain bias/butthurt from Djoko fans.
 

ABCD

Hall of Fame
When Federer was bagged by many of his fans to retire, I predicted that he is going further to improve and be a genuine contender. While many Federer fans were crying that he is old I said that he is not, that he plays better than ever and that only thing required was Djokovic out of his way. That is what happened. Federer was able to beat Nadal 5 times in a row and win 3GS. Many Federer's fans on this forum own me an apology including abmk.
 

abmk

Bionic Poster
Federer was better in Wimby 2015 and that is obvious. They were not the same. Federer was only broken 1 time and faced only 4 break points leading up to the final in 2015 and that includes playing a great returner on grass like Murray. He was broken 4 times and faced 21 break points in 2017. Leading up to the final in 2015 he was hitting winners 23.85% of the time and making an unforced error 7.33% of the time. In 2017, he hit winners 21.6% of the time and made an unforced error 6.5% of the time. He made slightly more unforced errors in 2015, less than 1%, but he hit more winners at over 2%. He had a better conversion rate on break points in 2015 than 2017 (42.6% vs. 41.0%), even when taking into account the match he played against Djokovic. We also saw nothing in 2017 like the performance he gave in the SF against Murray.

In the USO in 2015, he was only broken 2 times and faced 15 break points leading up to the final. That is still better than 2017 Wimby which favors serving and aggression even more. In Cincinnati he only faced 3 break points and was never broken. He didn't even face a beak point against Murray or Djokovic, two great returners which shows how much of a high level he was playing. So being that Federer played worse in 2017 Wimby than he did in 2015 Wimby, I don't understand why you think that version would beat 2015 USO Djokovic when the 2015 version couldn't.

no, it isn't anywhere near obvious.
Federer raised his level significantly in the 2nd week of Wimbledon 2017. dimi, raonic and cilic matches vs clinics. Berdych match was a pretty good perf. though he could have certainly played better.

I'd take Wim 17 level over Wim 15 slightly, but I can see why people would say both are about same level. To say its "obvious" 2015 is better is just being djoko fanboying.

In Wim 17, in the last 4 matches combined, federer was broken a grand total of 2 times (once vs dimi and once vs berdych)
he broke dimi 5 times, raonic 3 times, berdych 2 times and cilic 5 times.

as far as the 1st bold part is concerned, all of dimi, raonic, cilic matches were at a very high level...Obviously you've got to give the nod to the Murray 15 SF perf. given Murray played clearly better than any one of the guys in the above matches, but doesn't mean 2017 perf. were nothing like the 2015 semi performance.

as far as the 2nd bold part is concerned, because he had more belief, played more freely on big points in 2017 than in 2015. (in particular highlighted in the matches vs Nadal)
 
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