Either 16 or 17, but I'll err on the conservative side. 16.
If I recall correctly, at the end of last year you predicted Nole would win Shanghai, Paris, and WTF. I predicted only 1 or 2 of those. Nole won only one.That is honestly quite ridiculous, given that Novak projected CYGS as his goal...when was the last time, when you seen him projecting goals and failing to reach them? LOL okay Olympyc gold...but what else?
If I recall correctly, at the end of last year you predicted Nole would win Shanghai, Paris, and WTF. I predicted only 1 or 2 of those. Nole won only one.
It might seem ridiculous now, but no one sees a decrease in form coming. All it takes is a bad day. A CYGS will not happen this year. If it does, I will eat a sock.
[Everyone can quote me on this: @TripleATeam will eat a sock if Djokovic wins a CYGS in 2019.]
If I recall correctly, RG was his goal for years and he only got it in 2016. I can guarantee you that going into 2013 RG SF, Djokovic wasn't planning on losing. Nadal stopped him, and no matter how he seemed in the AO, Nadal is the favorite for RG. 65-35 Nadal.
1. SicknessWhat i predicted was my OWN projection, not Djokovic's! I never heard from him personally or his team, that his goal is to win everything until the end of the year...it was just my wishful thinking based on several factors (including his own form!)...
...now speaking of 2019 and his chances for CYGS and comapring it with the past...he doesn't have the SAME Nadal, that was in 2013, Nadal NOW and back then are two different kind of Nadals and i truly believe on his good day he can take him out now! (especially now! Considering the weight of responsibility of losing another career slam opportunity is gone now and he can play more relaxed and freely and when he does that he is nearly unstoppable! There is no reason to fear Nadal at RG anymore, first he straight setted him at RG once, even though on his bad day, second he won RG once, which will bring more confidence and the last but not least, he pulled off too many victories over Nadal ever since RG 2013 now not to know how to perform against him, RG or outside of it!) Federer seem to be a non-factor now and i don't see him pulling off a victory over Novak at grand slam anymore, that ship looks like sailed to me! Who else is there to stop him? Him and Nadal shown at AO perfectly, that they are both (unlike Federer) are still capable of taking out next gen yet, so my question is who or what can stop Djokovic NOW?...
Actually, Federer was the younger of the Big Three to achieve his 17th Slam. (Considering that if Nole reaches 17, he will be older than Fed was at the time he achieves it)... Will Djokovic do the same this year?
If not CYGS, then he will hit 17 for sure! I can't see any other case scenario tbh...its either he wins an exhausting Roland Garros and doesn't have enough time to recover for WC and loses there, but then resurfaces again to defend USO or he loses at RG, but goes all gun blazing at both WC and USO...or neither happens he gets easy draws at both RG (avoids playing Nadal in finals for some reason!) and WC and blitzes all four!...one of these three cases scenarios! I don't even consider a two slam option! Given the form Novak is in, its just ridiculous...
1. Sickness
2. Loss of form
3. Nadal
4. Weather conditions
5. Zverev learning how to play BO5.
6. Federer.
7. Bad draw
8. Injury
9. Accident
10. Sudden amnesia
11. Tries eating gluten again
12. Children sit on him and don't get up. He misses his match and ends up forfeiting.
13. Literally anything else.
17/18 seems a more accurate number. Djokovic is playing like a God right now and we are in the Weak Next Gen Era.Either 16 or 17, but I'll err on the conservative side. 16.
Again and again... When will you guys learn ? It's not because a player shows a good form at the beginning of the year that he will win every tournament of the season. Remember Rafa in 2009, Roger in 2010, 2018, Novak in 2012, 2013, 2016 etc... His level will drop, it's obvious. IMO he will win one more this year.
And he stayed 17 for a very long time.Actually, Federer was the younger of the Big Three to achieve his 17th Slam. (Considering that if Nole reaches 17, he will be older than Fed was at the time he achieves it)
I think Fed peaked too fast.
Last time i checked EVERY TOURNAMENT isn't a requirement for CYGS, but it rather only includes 4 biggest tournaments of the season! Since when Has it changed?...
Relatively young for current sport.At the next AO he will still be 32.
The FO is in 4 months, WB in 5 and the US in 7, it's a lot of time for a level to drop. Also, he was beaten in Paris, London and Doha in the last 3 months so it cleary shows he is not unbeatable. Do you remember what happened after RG2016 ?
Djokovic will have 0 bad draws on hard courts. Look at the Weak Next Gen Era: Medvedev, Khachanov, Zverev, Tsitsipas, Shapovalov. All of them can beat Djokovic in Masters 1000 when he is at 50% of his level, sick or tired. But none of them stands a chance against him at the US or the AO. And we all saw how Djokovic toyed with Nadal at the AO.7. Bad draw
Paris, London and Doha aren't grand slams and he won everyone of those, winning more doesn't make any difference at this point, so the motivation is non-existent...grand slams is the wole different beast...any more arguments left? LOL
It tends to happen when you're 31-35 years old and you play against 10+ Slam winners who are in their primes.And he stayed 17 for a very long time.
Budge won 6 slams in a row.That was not a problem of motivation, equaling Nadal's Masters 1000 records and Federer's Masters record are surely motivating enough for Novak. Also you could see he was happy winning the Abu Dabi exhibition so I don't think he was not motivated to win Doha.
In 2015 he also won WB, the USO, the OA and then was a beast until the FO. We all know what happened then. And no player in history has won 6 slams in a row, especially a 32 yo player with other ATG playing at the same time.
You know your prediction will be wrong. I will bump this in a few month for sure, I hope you will still be there to talk about it.
So yeah, probably before Fedal then.At the next AO he will still be 32.
Consistent with the observation that Fed collected most of his slam trophies until prime Djokodal emerged - he is just inferior to the other two.It tends to happen when you're 31-35 years old and you play against 10+ Slam winners who are in their primes.
Unlike now.
Saying it lots of times doesn't make it trueConsistent with the observation that Fed collected most of his slam trophies until prime Djokodal emerged - he is just inferior to the other two.
And Djokovic won 80% of his Slams after Federer's 30th birthday.Consistent with the observation that Fed collected most of his slam trophies until prime Djokodal emerged - he is just inferior to the other two.
Prime Djokodal had each other. All prime Fed had was Nadal in his diaper.And Djokovic won 80% of his Slams after Federer's 30th birthday.
And all but one when Federer was 29,5 years old+
WEAK STAIN
2007 = baby Nadal.Prime Djokodal had each other. All prime Fed had was Nadal in his diaper.
2010-2013 Nadal = Peak Nadal2007 = baby Nadal.
2015 = full peak Bulldall.
Why is Federer turning 30 such a big deal? Laver won the open era Grand Slam after his 30th birthday. It's winning against baby ATGs that's the easy part. And Federer even struggled at that.And Djokovic won 80% of his Slams after Federer's 30th birthday.
And all but one when Federer was 29,5 years old+
WEAK STAIN
30 is not per se, it's old when you have to go through ATGs who are 25 years old.Why is Federer turning 30 such a big deal? Laver won the open era Grand Slam after his 30th birthday. It's winning against baby ATGs that's the easy part. And Federer even struggled at that.
"2008/2009 pre-prime Nadal"2010-2013 Nadal = Peak Nadal
2005-2009 Nadal = Baby to pre-Prime Nadal
True.Consistent with the observation that Fed collected most of his slam trophies until prime Djokodal emerged - he is just inferior to the other two.
If Nadal was not young in 2004-09, Federer was not old in 2011-16.2007 = baby Nadal.
2015 = full peak Bulldall.
And Murray.Prime Djokodal had each other. All prime Fed had was Nadal in his diaper.
And Djokovic won 80% of his Slams after Federer's 30th birthday.
And all but one when Federer was 29,5 years old+
WEAK STAIN
Why include 2004 Nadal? He didn't do crap that year.If Nadal was not young in 2004-09, Federer was not old in 2011-16.
Djokovic is coetaneous with Nadal and Murray.
Federer is coetaneous with Roddick and Hewitt.
Djokovic 12 of 15Seriously? Jajaja. Federer beat an all time great in only 8 of his 20 grand slams. Do you see that number? 8, and most of those were well before they became all time greats. Connors and Lendl beat an all time great in 7 of their 8 grand slams. Djokovic did it in 11 of his 15 and Nadal did it in 12 of his 17? Weak stain you say. Yes the weak stain is Federer.
Except Djokovic beat a 34-year old Federer in a Slam when he was at his peak. You think peak Federer wouldn't handle a 34-year old Djokovic LMAO?Seriously? Jajaja. Federer beat an all time great in only 8 of his 20 grand slams. Do you see that number? 8, and most of those were well before they became all time greats. Connors and Lendl beat an all time great in 7 of their 8 grand slams. Djokovic did it in 11 of his 15 and Nadal did it in 12 of his 17? Weak stain you say. Yes the weak stain is Federer.
And Wawrinka.And Murray.
Djokovic 12 of 15
Nadal 10 of 17
Wawrinka was ''made'' by Djokovic, unlike Murray.And Wawrinka.
Yep. Murray did a lot of effort to improve his clay game. He was training in Spain to improve his clay skills and did reach the Roland Garros final. He also beat Nadal in Madrid 2015.I counted aussie 2013, aussie 2015, french 2016 and us open 2018 as grand slams that Djokovic didn't face an all time great. You may be missing a few on Nadal.
Except Djokovic beat a 34-year old Federer in a Slam when he was at his peak. You think peak Federer wouldn't handle a 34-year old Djokovic LMAO?
Huge age advantage for Djokovic here.
With Murray:I counted aussie 2013, aussie 2015, french 2016 and us open 2018 as grand slams that Djokovic didn't face an all time great. You may be missing a few on Nadal.
With Murray:
Djokovic 12 of 15 (80%)
Nadal 10 of 17 (58.8)
Federer 8 of 20 (40)
Without Murray:
Nadal 10 of 17 (58.8)
Djokovic 7 of 15 (46.7)
Federer 5 of 20 (25)
What difference does it make - 2005 Federer or 2015 Djokovic? They were both at their peaks. Djokovic at the age of 28 player a lot betted than at the age of 25.Federistas are such whining babies. Did you forget that Federer beat aging Agassi in the us open back in 2004 and 2005 when he was 11 years younger than him?
That's a lot more than 6 years like between Djokovic and Federer, and almost double that. Federer was in his early 20's and Djokovic was in his late 20's, and I smell a double standard.