Redirecting shots dtl from a cc shot always was and always will be low %.
Fortunately, tennis isn't that simple
There are times when going DTL on outside shots is prob more % than going CC. Avoiding to play into better forhend pops up to mind almost instantly.
Say the guy has a crushing FH and, strangely, goes CC with a moderately paced and places shot, to my FH. I have the time and the position to securely redirect the ball to his WEAKER side, but it's an outside stroke and I am standing out of the baseline, so by Wardlaw I am bound to go back CC and hope my opponent doesn't rip this one and put me on big pressure.
If a guy really has big FH that is able to do damage to me with high probability of success, wouldn't it then be more effective to TAKE A RISK MYSELF and change the direction and go for his weaker side + make him run (to his BH court)?
If I got a moderate shot from him, and don't want to go for winner, but aim 50 cms away from sideline and about 50 cm from the baseline with about 60% of pace.... and if that is the shot I can produce succesfully in 80% or more cases...
...then why the hell wouldn't I be doing that?
My point here is this - changing direction doesnt always have to be a low pct play on a outside shot while standing out of the court. Maybe you have a really solid FH DTL with a moderate pace?! Maybe its about 80-90% safe while with 80% pace it downgrades to 40-50%...
No one knows the exact percentages in his game, but I guess most of us have a very rough, but correct estimate of our safe and less safe directions.
Tennis is a complex sport. Applying Wardlaws depends on many factors, such as level of play, opponents capability of putting pressure on my low paced (and maybe shorter) shots, etc, etc...
Recently I was playing a very important match which developed into a big battle. I lost in three, although I was blindly following the directionals' rules - don't change the direction if the conditions for it aren't fullfilled.
After the game, I was analyzing the match in my head. I concluded I was playing most of the match into opp's big strenght - his FH! While I had the power to run, I was winning most of those CC exchanges. But as soon as I ran out of fuel (at the end of the 2nd set), he started to take over those exchanges, I couldnt put pressure and was always only basically retrievieng to his FH. He was pulling me of the court and winning a lot of those rallies.
And I was affraid to go for his BH, just to change the direction, only because it was supposed to be a low % play. And in fact it wasn't!!
It turned out that going CC on all of his FH shots to my FH was proven to be very low % late in the match, and I tried NOTHING tactically to change that!!!
And the sadest part is I actually have a pretty decent FH DTL, especially since most of his forehands weren't so fast or devastating, but they had great placement and had been runing me down gradually.
I guess I would be able to redirect his moderate attacks (FH to FH) to his BH side in at least 60-70% in a way he would not be able to attack me straight away with moderate-high percentage. Not to mention I have a better BH than his and this would be an exchange I would be accepting to have all day long with him!!
Instead of going for those 60-70%, I was choosing to go back to FH and keep going it and wait to prob lose yet another point, since I was losing about 3 out of 4 in that way, at that part of the match...
A very long post, sorry for that and bad english.
But I guess you got my point.