If Zverev defeats Medvedev, Nadal is out of the ATP finals

I Am Finnish

Bionic Poster
And the Mad Lad needs Tsitsipas to beat Nadal to make it.:-D:-D:-D
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Lol will Tsitsipas help medvedev :sneaky:?
 

Sabrina

Hall of Fame
If Nadal beats Tsisipas 2-0 and Zverev beats Medvedev 2-1 so both Nadal and Zverev will have a set ratio of 4-3, who will advance in this scenario? Does we have to consider the percentage of games won in this case?
 

JadeC

Hall of Fame
If Nadal beats Tsisipas 2-0 and Zverev beats Medvedev 2-1 so both Nadal and Zverev will have a set ratio of 4-3, who will advance in this scenario? Does we have to consider the percentage of games won in this case?

Tsitsipas is group winner. Tiebreak between Nadal and Zverev will be set ratio, then H2H. So Zverev will advance in second place. A Zverev win guarantees he qualifies regardless of the other match result.
 

Daniel Andrade

Hall of Fame
I would hope Nadal can win and Medvedev can win, but it's unlikely. It's simply too difficult to end year-end #1 against Djokovic, if Djokovic gets it, it's more than well deserved.
 

ForumMember

Hall of Fame
who plays first on last day? Med vs Z or Nadal v Tsitsipas.

If Med plays first, it will be good for Nadal as Med is still with outside chance so he'll be motivated to win. If Med beats Z then Nadal will qualify with a win over Tsitsipas.

If Med-Zed is last in that case Med would not be interested if Nadal has already beaten Tsit.

And to make things more interesting, we can throw in ATP YE#1 scenarios. However interestingly Nadal winning and losing last RR has no direct influence on YE race.
 

ForumMember

Hall of Fame
Just checked. Bad news is Nadal-Tsit is scheduled ahead of Med-Zed. It makes huge difference.

1. If Nadal wins against Tsit, Med would be out of tournament. He would have no motivation to beat Zed and in the likely scenario of Zed win, Nadal is out of WTF.
2. If Nadal loses to Tsit. Med would still have chance to make it to SF. He would be motivated to win against Z and in that case Zed might lose, but Nadal is out of WTF even before the match started.

I don't see Nadal making it ti SF.

Now it's all upto GOAT in other group. Hope he cleans Djokovic.
 
D

Deleted member 763691

Guest
Medvedev def. Zverev 64 61 in their only meeting of the year - Shanghai Final :)
 
D

Deleted member 763691

Guest
Just checked. Bad news is Nadal-Tsit is scheduled ahead of Med-Zed. It makes huge difference.

1. If Nadal wins against Tsit, Med would be out of tournament. He would have no motivation to beat Zed and in the likely scenario of Zed win, Nadal is out of WTF.
2. If Nadal loses to Tsit. Med would still have chance to make it to SF. He would be motivated to win against Z and in that case Zed might lose, but Nadal is out of WTF even before the match started.

I don't see Nadal making it ti SF.

Now it's all upto GOAT in other group. Hope he cleans Djokovic.
Well, so far Medvedev has played poorly under pressure.
So the less pressure on Medvedev, the better he will play :)
And how does Zverev respond to pressure? Not bad considering he won London last year, but he's horrendous at slams, and that's the ultimate pressure.....so Zverev is far from a mental giant.
 

van_Loederen

Professional
A moral victory would be Djokovic classifying with 2 victories and Nadal getting eliminated with 2 victories. Same merits, different benefits. Which prove the rules of this tournament are completely unfair.

It should be:
Same merits = same benefits.

I am sure some years a player in group A may have classified with only 1 victory while a player in group B has not classified with 2 victories.
it is not unfair as the 2 groups are not necessarily equally strong.
it's just somewhat random, but this doesn't seem to bother people when it comes to the soccer wch.
 

tudwell

G.O.A.T.
FRI, 15 NOV 2019
SINGLES ANDRE AGASSI / 02:00 PM

NADAL
VS
TSITSIPAS
SINGLES ANDRE AGASSI / 08:00 PM
MEDVEDEV
VS
ZVEREV

If Nadal wins then Medvedev knows he's out, he tanks to spite Rafa. If Nadal loses then of course Medvedev will beat Zverev in two sets. Mad Lad a master of TTW logic, so no way for Nadal to get out of Round Robin.:sneaky:
From your lips to Medvedev’s ears!
 

Lew II

G.O.A.T.
If Nadal beats Tsitsi and Med beats Zverev is he #1 of the group?

That would probably mean facing Novak in the semi, so Novak needs to win the tournament regardless of what Nadal does, to be #1.
 

ForumMember

Hall of Fame
If Nadal beats Tsitsi and Med beats Zverev is he #1 of the group?

That would probably mean facing Novak in the semi, so Novak needs to win the tournament regardless of what Nadal does, to be #1.
Thats true. Interestingly with the same performance, beating Tsit in 3rd rubber, he would be either #1 in group or #3 in group.
 

jm1980

Talk Tennis Guru
If Nadal beats Tsitsi and Med beats Zverev is he #1 of the group?

That would probably mean facing Novak in the semi, so Novak needs to win the tournament regardless of what Nadal does, to be #1.
Yes. Nadal can only advance as the #1, not #2.

Djoko can regain the #1 ranking without outside help
 

van_Loederen

Professional
I think you have skipped game percentage which comes before H2H in 3 player ties. See Point 4 below:


Standings are determined by:
1) Number of wins;
2) Number of matches;
3) In two-players-ties, head-to-head results;
4) In three-players-ties, percentage of sets won, then percentage of games won, then head-to-head results;
5) ATP rankings
i was always thinking the same, but in the link to the ATP the OP gave, it's made clear that it's not a 3-way tie anymore if not all 3 players are tied in set percentage.
now i don't know if this interpretation of the rules was changed only this year or had been like that already before and they only improved the wording now.
one could check the YEC results of the last couple years. maybe that reveals it.
 

veroniquem

Bionic Poster
Yes. Nadal can only advance as the #1, not #2.
Are you sure? Wow that's actually very cool o_O That means we'd be guaranteed a Djokodal or a Fedal in semi AND one of the young gen in final.
+ if Djoko manages to pass Fed, then it is simply the best possible scenario that he would need to beat Nadal for the #1.
 

JasonZ

Hall of Fame
In football at the wc the last matches are played at the same time, so no team has the advantage to know what result it needs to advance. At the wtf it is not really fair competition
 

ChrisRF

Legend
i was always thinking the same, but in the link to the ATP the OP gave, it's made clear that it's not a 3-way tie anymore if not all 3 players are tied in set percentage.
now i don't know if this interpretation of the rules was changed only this year or had been like that already before and they only improved the wording now.
one could check the YEC results of the last couple years. maybe that reveals it.
Okay, then it makes sense that Nadal can only be 1st or 3rd.

I only remember one occurence where game percentage mattered. In 2009 Federer and Del Potro eliminated Murray this way. But I checked and they were all 3 tied in sets percentage, so no H2H could come into play anyway. Indeed, quite astonishingly all 6 Matches in that group went to 3 sets.
 
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Mike Sams

G.O.A.T.
Medvedev is probably on fumes by now, physically and emotionally. Even despite Zverev's performance today against Tsitsipas, he should get through Medvedev handily.
 

blablavla

G.O.A.T.
I mean it’s no slam since you can technically win the title with just 3 match wins but you’d still land 3 top 10 wins which is pretty good considering players like Nadal won slams without facing a top 20 player...

I have never seen a player winning 5 matches at the Tour Finals and losing the tournament.
 

blablavla

G.O.A.T.
Nadal should withdraw from this joke of a "tournament" and start getting prepared for AO where he doesn't have to depend on anybody, all players have to win 7 matches in order to win it. Let Djokovic have this YE#1, it means more than slams for him and his fans.

by your logic he should be already packing his luggage after first match.
 

blablavla

G.O.A.T.
They are right though. So Djokovic can classify winning 2 group matches but Nadal can't classify winning 2 group matches? The tournament is a joke.

right, so the rules of this tournament were designed years ago in a way to unfavor Mr. Nadal?
just like the rules of Wimbledon were changed in 2001 in order to favor Djokovic seeding in 2018 and Federer seeding in 2019? having these particular players in mind?
 

van_Loederen

Professional
In football at the wc the last matches are played at the same time, so no team has the advantage to know what result it needs to advance. At the wtf it is not really fair competition
there are regularly teams already qualified after 2 games and can tank the last one.
 

JadeC

Hall of Fame
Okay, then it makes sense that Nadal can only be 1st or 3rd.

I only remember one occurence where game percentage mattered. In 2009 Federer and Del Potro eliminated Murray this way. But I checked and they were all 3 tied in sets percentage, so no H2H could come into play anyway. Indeed, quite astonishingly all 6 Matches in that group went to 3 sets.

The doubles event this year has a game percentage scenario.

 

mightyjeditribble

Hall of Fame
I don't think OP considered games won percentage, which have to be considered before H2H in case of a 3-way tie.

These are the scenarios i can think of:
1. Zverev wins , Nadal loses - Nadal is out due to having worse record with tsitsipas taking 1st and Zverev taking 2nd.(regardless of the scoreline in both matches.)

2. Zverev wins in 2, Nadal wins - Nadal is out regardless of scoreline, 1st position for tsitsipas if nadal wins in 3, but it will depend on aggregate ratio of no. of games won by tsitsipas and zverev if Nadal wins in 2.

3. Zverev wins in 3, Nadal wins - if Nadal wins in 3, he is out with tsitsipas taking 1st and Zverev taking 2nd. If Nadal wins in 2, he has a chance to qualify in 2nd poition ahead of Zverev based on aggregate ratio of no. of games won after 3 matches.

4. Medvedev wins , Nadal wins - Nadal and tsitsipas qualify with Nadal taking 1st position and tsitsipas 2nd(regardless of scoreline).

5. Medvedev wins in 2, Nadal loses - Medvedev takes 2nd position regardless of the scoreline.

6. Medvedev wins in 3, Nadal loses - Zverev qualifies in 2nd position regardless of scoreline.


Currently, games win/loss for Nadal and Zverev is - 25/28 and 17/18 respectively, for tsitsipas it is 25/15 , so I would say tsitsipas has practically qualified but it can get really close between Zverev and Nadal
You are wrong, in the current situation games won are irrelevant. If a two way tie is broken by sets won percentage in such a way that two players are still tied, H2H decides between those two.

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