andyroddick1
Rookie
I've been reading up a lot of seed reports and everyone basically agrees with a Fed- Djoker, Rod- Nadal(Jon Wertheim, Tennis.com, Espn) semis so I'm breaking down everyone's road to the semis and then an analysis on all the possible matches.
1st Seed Roger Federer
First Round: Dominik Hrbaty- Hrbaty was a good player but has not accomplished anything major in a couple of years. Fed in 3.
2nd Round: 80% chance Soderling- Soderling can give Fed some trouble but not enough to beat him. Fed will win in 3 unless Soderling is playing great which would mean four sets.
3rd Round: 50% Monfils- Monfils took a set in Paris but he had the home crowd on Fed's least favorite surface. Fed in 3
30% Nishikori (Sorry to who ever told me to not spell people's names wrong)- A young gun who pushed Nadal last week. If Fed plays below 85% Nishikori will take a set but I don't think he will. Fed in 3.
4th Round: 40% Gonzalez- Gonzo is a streaky player and grass isn't his favorite surface. If he gets hot he can cause Fed some problems. Fed in 4.
40% Hewitt- Roger just owns Hewitt since like 04. Fed in 3.
Quarters: 40% Berdych- A lot depends on if he chokes. He has the capability to take Roger to 4 or even 5 but I say Fed in 4.
20% Ancic- Ancic is inconsistent but plays well on grass. Not as good as Berdych but can take Fed to 4 on a good day. Fed in 3.
20% Ferrer- His game is grinding and won't work against Fed. Fed in 3
2nd Seed: Rafael Nadal
1st Round: Andreas Beck- Never played at a grand slam against a on fire Nadal. Rafa in 3
2nd Round: 60% Gulbis- I somehow forgot him in my other Wimby post but he can take Nadal farther than Soderling last year. But will he? Nadal in 4.
40% Isner- Depends on if he's having a good day but I think Nadal in 3 should do it.
3rd Round: 60% Kiefer- Kiefer isn't as good as he used to be. Nadal is better than he used to be. Nadal in 3.
20% Benneteau- Stayed with Fed at RG but Nadal is better on grass than Fed is on clay. Nadal in 3.
4th Round: 50% Youzhny- Youzhny can definately provide a challenge to Nadal if he's healthy. He's definately Rafa's biggest challenge till the semis. Nadal in 5
30% Stepanak- A good player, who's not good enough against this Nadal in this form. Nadal in 3.
Quarters: 50% Murray- The Brit will have support and is game can trouble Nadal. Won't be enough though. Nadal in 4.
30% Gasquet- If Gasquet turns on like last year before the third set I think that Rafa will lose. I doubt that Gasquet will do that again. Nadal in 4.
3rd Seed: Novak Djokovic
1st Round: Berrer- Has played Roddick in Wimbledon this year. Not good enough to beat Djoker. Djoker in 3.
2nd Round: 80% Safin- If Safin AO 05 shows up Djoker is in for it but chances are he won't. Djoker in 4.
3rd Round: 40% Serra/Seppi- They both don't have the game to derail Djokovic. Djoker in 3.
4th Round: 60% Wawrinka- He's a good player, but better on clay. Djoker in 4.
20% Querry: With that serve he can make the 4th but will lose in 3.
Quarters: 40% Baghdatis- They played a classic last year but will Baghdatis be able to push Djoker again. Djoker in 4.
20% Nalbandian- Doubt he'll make it but he's a former RUP. Queens told the story if he does make it. Djoker in 3.
20% Karlovic- With that serve he's always a threat but loses against quality opponents. Djoker in 4.
6th Seed: Andy Roddick
1st Round: Schwank- First Wimby against a player meant for fast courts. Roddick in 3.
2nd Round: 80% Tipsarevic- Tipsarevic can push matches but all depends on Roddick's serving. Roddick in 4.
3rd Round: 50% Tursonov- The two have played a classic but Tursonov barely won on Rod's worst surface. Roddick in 4.
30% Mahut- Has sort of disappeared since last year but is a true grass courter. Roddick in 4.
4th Round: 60% Blake- Blake doesn't like the grass too much and this hasn't been his best year. Roddick in 4.
20% Almagro- He got destroyed on his best surface. Roddick in 3.
Quarters: 40% Ljubicic- He's got a good serve but is past his prime. Roddick in 4.
20% Mathieu- The Frenchman is a solid player but doesn't have enough firepower to beat Roddick. Roddick in 4.
20% Davydenko- I'm only including him because he is a seed but I doubt he'll do anything. Roddick in 3.
The Semis
Federer vs. Djokovic- At first I thought this could be a classic but I changed my mind. Djokovic is going to get humiliated in this match because of what his family said. Federer wants revenge and he's going to get it. Djoker's family added insult to injury after AO and Roger's going to show them their place.
Nadal vs. Roddick- Going to be closer than Fed- Djokovic and is a lot more difficult to call. Nadal definitely has the upper hand, maybe 60- 40 right now but a lot depends on the way Roddick plays. Nadal is more consistent where as Roddick has tourny's where he is on fire and tourny's like Queens where he is not. If he repeats the Dubai performance he has a really good shot at the finals.
Possible finals
Federer vs. Nadal- If this comes its going to be a classic where both are trying to get a record which involves the great Bjorn Borg. Nadal has the upper hand right now but lets see how Fed's form is coming into the final before we make Nadal the outright favorite. This match has the makings of a classic and will probably go five. But Fed's five set record is pretty bad.
Federer vs. Roddick- If Roddick makes it past Nadal he will come in with a lot of confidence especially beating Fed earlier this year. But for Roddick to win he'll have to play better than he did that day. Dubai quality when he was beating up Nadal and Djoker. If Roddick has to win, serve bombs, smash his forehand, take chances on Fed's serve.
Roddick vs. Djokovic- Roddick and Djoker are probably tied when it comes to chances of them winning. Roddick has the experience and the "I've already beaten him advantage. Djokovic will have more confidence cause he's been here more recently. I seriously doubt that Fed will let Djoker of all people get here though.
Nadal vs. Djokovic- I don't think Djoker will have much of a chance because of the way Nadal can make him slip which will easily cost him. Djokovic will have confidence after beating Fed but it won't be enough.
The Greatest match of Wimby:
Roddick vs. Nadal
I know your thinking that I'm crazy but won't it be symbolic. The two people who he has beaten twice in the final competing to prevent him from getting his sixth wimby. Both full of confidence this year and have beaten. It's easily both of their best years in a while. They are the exact opposite of each in playing style but both have done well on grass. They have both also almost beaten Fed in the final. Andy in 04 when it was 1-1 in the set score Andy up a break in the 3rd serving out of his mind and the rains came. Fed returned a different player. Rafin last year when he had so many break point chances in the 5th but just couldn't convert and Fed won. I hope this match turns out to be a classic and even though the final probably will be better, this match will be more symbolic to Fed's wimbledon victories.
Comments Please
1st Seed Roger Federer
First Round: Dominik Hrbaty- Hrbaty was a good player but has not accomplished anything major in a couple of years. Fed in 3.
2nd Round: 80% chance Soderling- Soderling can give Fed some trouble but not enough to beat him. Fed will win in 3 unless Soderling is playing great which would mean four sets.
3rd Round: 50% Monfils- Monfils took a set in Paris but he had the home crowd on Fed's least favorite surface. Fed in 3
30% Nishikori (Sorry to who ever told me to not spell people's names wrong)- A young gun who pushed Nadal last week. If Fed plays below 85% Nishikori will take a set but I don't think he will. Fed in 3.
4th Round: 40% Gonzalez- Gonzo is a streaky player and grass isn't his favorite surface. If he gets hot he can cause Fed some problems. Fed in 4.
40% Hewitt- Roger just owns Hewitt since like 04. Fed in 3.
Quarters: 40% Berdych- A lot depends on if he chokes. He has the capability to take Roger to 4 or even 5 but I say Fed in 4.
20% Ancic- Ancic is inconsistent but plays well on grass. Not as good as Berdych but can take Fed to 4 on a good day. Fed in 3.
20% Ferrer- His game is grinding and won't work against Fed. Fed in 3
2nd Seed: Rafael Nadal
1st Round: Andreas Beck- Never played at a grand slam against a on fire Nadal. Rafa in 3
2nd Round: 60% Gulbis- I somehow forgot him in my other Wimby post but he can take Nadal farther than Soderling last year. But will he? Nadal in 4.
40% Isner- Depends on if he's having a good day but I think Nadal in 3 should do it.
3rd Round: 60% Kiefer- Kiefer isn't as good as he used to be. Nadal is better than he used to be. Nadal in 3.
20% Benneteau- Stayed with Fed at RG but Nadal is better on grass than Fed is on clay. Nadal in 3.
4th Round: 50% Youzhny- Youzhny can definately provide a challenge to Nadal if he's healthy. He's definately Rafa's biggest challenge till the semis. Nadal in 5
30% Stepanak- A good player, who's not good enough against this Nadal in this form. Nadal in 3.
Quarters: 50% Murray- The Brit will have support and is game can trouble Nadal. Won't be enough though. Nadal in 4.
30% Gasquet- If Gasquet turns on like last year before the third set I think that Rafa will lose. I doubt that Gasquet will do that again. Nadal in 4.
3rd Seed: Novak Djokovic
1st Round: Berrer- Has played Roddick in Wimbledon this year. Not good enough to beat Djoker. Djoker in 3.
2nd Round: 80% Safin- If Safin AO 05 shows up Djoker is in for it but chances are he won't. Djoker in 4.
3rd Round: 40% Serra/Seppi- They both don't have the game to derail Djokovic. Djoker in 3.
4th Round: 60% Wawrinka- He's a good player, but better on clay. Djoker in 4.
20% Querry: With that serve he can make the 4th but will lose in 3.
Quarters: 40% Baghdatis- They played a classic last year but will Baghdatis be able to push Djoker again. Djoker in 4.
20% Nalbandian- Doubt he'll make it but he's a former RUP. Queens told the story if he does make it. Djoker in 3.
20% Karlovic- With that serve he's always a threat but loses against quality opponents. Djoker in 4.
6th Seed: Andy Roddick
1st Round: Schwank- First Wimby against a player meant for fast courts. Roddick in 3.
2nd Round: 80% Tipsarevic- Tipsarevic can push matches but all depends on Roddick's serving. Roddick in 4.
3rd Round: 50% Tursonov- The two have played a classic but Tursonov barely won on Rod's worst surface. Roddick in 4.
30% Mahut- Has sort of disappeared since last year but is a true grass courter. Roddick in 4.
4th Round: 60% Blake- Blake doesn't like the grass too much and this hasn't been his best year. Roddick in 4.
20% Almagro- He got destroyed on his best surface. Roddick in 3.
Quarters: 40% Ljubicic- He's got a good serve but is past his prime. Roddick in 4.
20% Mathieu- The Frenchman is a solid player but doesn't have enough firepower to beat Roddick. Roddick in 4.
20% Davydenko- I'm only including him because he is a seed but I doubt he'll do anything. Roddick in 3.
The Semis
Federer vs. Djokovic- At first I thought this could be a classic but I changed my mind. Djokovic is going to get humiliated in this match because of what his family said. Federer wants revenge and he's going to get it. Djoker's family added insult to injury after AO and Roger's going to show them their place.
Nadal vs. Roddick- Going to be closer than Fed- Djokovic and is a lot more difficult to call. Nadal definitely has the upper hand, maybe 60- 40 right now but a lot depends on the way Roddick plays. Nadal is more consistent where as Roddick has tourny's where he is on fire and tourny's like Queens where he is not. If he repeats the Dubai performance he has a really good shot at the finals.
Possible finals
Federer vs. Nadal- If this comes its going to be a classic where both are trying to get a record which involves the great Bjorn Borg. Nadal has the upper hand right now but lets see how Fed's form is coming into the final before we make Nadal the outright favorite. This match has the makings of a classic and will probably go five. But Fed's five set record is pretty bad.
Federer vs. Roddick- If Roddick makes it past Nadal he will come in with a lot of confidence especially beating Fed earlier this year. But for Roddick to win he'll have to play better than he did that day. Dubai quality when he was beating up Nadal and Djoker. If Roddick has to win, serve bombs, smash his forehand, take chances on Fed's serve.
Roddick vs. Djokovic- Roddick and Djoker are probably tied when it comes to chances of them winning. Roddick has the experience and the "I've already beaten him advantage. Djokovic will have more confidence cause he's been here more recently. I seriously doubt that Fed will let Djoker of all people get here though.
Nadal vs. Djokovic- I don't think Djoker will have much of a chance because of the way Nadal can make him slip which will easily cost him. Djokovic will have confidence after beating Fed but it won't be enough.
The Greatest match of Wimby:
Roddick vs. Nadal
I know your thinking that I'm crazy but won't it be symbolic. The two people who he has beaten twice in the final competing to prevent him from getting his sixth wimby. Both full of confidence this year and have beaten. It's easily both of their best years in a while. They are the exact opposite of each in playing style but both have done well on grass. They have both also almost beaten Fed in the final. Andy in 04 when it was 1-1 in the set score Andy up a break in the 3rd serving out of his mind and the rains came. Fed returned a different player. Rafin last year when he had so many break point chances in the 5th but just couldn't convert and Fed won. I hope this match turns out to be a classic and even though the final probably will be better, this match will be more symbolic to Fed's wimbledon victories.
Comments Please
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