Path to the finals for every contender at RG (your welcome :))

[clout]

Djokovic

R1: Sandgren
R2: Pouille/Cuevas
R3: Humbert
R4: Goffin/ADM
QF: Federer
SF: Nadal
F: Stefanos/Thiem/Zverev

Nadal

R1: Popyrin
R2: Gasquet/Gaston (Rafa looks to continue owning French players at RG)
R3: Sonego
R4: Sinner/Monfils
QF: Rublev/DieGOAT
SF: Djokovic
F: Stefanos/Thiem/Zverev

Thiem

R1: Andujar
R2: Albot/Delbonis
R3: Fognini
R4: Ruud
QF: Zverev
SF: Stefanos
F: Nadal/Djokovic

Stefanos

R1: Chardy
R2: Korda
R3: Isner
R4: PCB/Raonic
QF: Medvedev (let's be real it'll probably be a random player here)
SF: Thiem/Zverev
F: Nadal/Djokovic

Zverev

R1: Qualifier
R2: Qualifier
R3: Evans
R4: RBA
QF: Thiem
SF: Stefanos
F: Nadal/Djokovic

I didn't include Medvedev since he'll probably be gone in round 1, and I didn't include Fed either cuz let's face it, the old man isn't going to be a contender at RG lol

 

[Yugram]

Please Gasquet R2. I want this 17-0.

 

[clout]

Tbh Novak has a pretty favourable draw up until the semis unless Fed turns back the clock somehow

Nadal might get tested in the R16/QF but he shouldn't be in danger of losing.

Thiem's draw has early exit written all over it when you combine his recent form as well and I consider myself a fan of Dom's

Stefanos has a pretty favourable draw too considering he'll probably get someone who is low ranked in the quarters being in Med's quarter

Zverev has a decent draw as well but we all know how shaky he can be in BO5

 

[xFedal]

Lets see how many of these guys atually make it. Lets see how the tournament unfolds, lets see if Novak makes it semi fresh. Novak must be fresh or we won't get 5 setter.

 

[xFedal]

Tbh Novak has a pretty favourable draw up until the semis unless Fed turns back the clock somehow

Nadal might get tested in the R16/QF but he shouldn't be in danger of losing.

Thiem's draw has early exit written all over it when you combine his recent form as well

Stefanos has a pretty favourable draw too considering he'll probably get someone who is low ranked in the quarters being in Med's quarter

Zverev has a decent draw as well but we all know how shaky he can be in BO5

Novak won't make it to Semis if Rafa is there!!!

 

[Jonesy]

At least there is a chance of my dream final of Raonic vs Djokovic to happen.

 

[Steve0904]

I appreciate the work, but OP is unnecessarily long. There's only going to be one winner.

 

[Mediterranean Might]

Thiem's draw is just nightmarish

 

[Hitman]

I appreciate the work, but OP is unnecessarily long. There's only going to be one winner.

Every contender.....

 

[clout]

I appreciate the work, but OP is unnecessarily long. There's only going to be one winner.

Lol yes more than likely it'll be Rafa winning it but I just like doing these draw list outs every time a slam rolls around

 

[Arak]

Tbh Novak has a pretty favourable draw up until the semis unless Fed turns back the clock somehow

Nadal might get tested in the R16/QF but he shouldn't be in danger of losing.

Thiem's draw has early exit written all over it when you combine his recent form as well and I consider myself a fan of Dom's

Stefanos has a pretty favourable draw too considering he'll probably get someone who is low ranked in the quarters being in Med's quarter

Zverev has a decent draw as well but we all know how shaky he can be in BO5

Thiems’s draw looks like the worst of all.

 

[Mediterranean Might]

Nadal's draw is maybe the easiest one. He doesn't have to face Nadal

 

[Hitman]

Nadal's draw is maybe the easiest one. He doesn't have to face Nadal

Finally! I've always said this.

 

[TheNachoMan]

Novak always gets Sandgren and RAFA always gets Gasquet

 

[clout]

Novak always gets Sandgren and RAFA always gets Gasquet

If I'm not mistaken, the last time Reechard beat Rafito was when they were 13

 

[ChaelAZ]

Thiem got hosed.

 

[Nadal_King]

Well Rg organizers have gambled to have a slam half devoid of big 3 , will these next gen ir thiem even make it to the final or we could have a really weak finalist or something like Garin, carreno busta

 

[El_Yotamo]

QF: Medvedev (let's be real it'll probably be a random player here)

I'm probably wrong, but my pick is Opelka for QF

 

[StrongRule]

Nadal's quarter is not the toughest, but it doesn't matter, as he has Djokovic in the semifinals. Djokovic's path is 250 level though...Belgrade level draw.

 

[StrongRule]

I appreciate the work, but OP is unnecessarily long. There's only going to be one winner.

Yeah. With this draw it is obvious that Djokovic wins.

 

[Hitman]

Nadal's quarter is not the toughest, but it doesn't matter, as he has Djokovic in the semifinals. Djokovic's path is 250 level though...Belgrade level draw.

Belgrade was tough, you saw the dog fight he had with Aslan?

 

[StrongRule]

Belgrade was tough, you saw the dog fight he had with Aslan?

How about Belgrade 2?

 

[Hitman]

How about Belgrade 2?

A week before RG? Come on...the real one was the one a few weeks back and it was tough.

 

[El_Yotamo]

Upon inspecting the draw, there's a small but not too small chance that Ruud makes the finals. This will happen if the trio of Thiem, Zverev, and Tsitsipas aren't at their best which isn't all that unlikely ...

 

[StrongRule]

A week before RG? Come on...the real one was the one a few weeks back and it was tough.

Djokovic doesn't even have Karatsev in his draw.

 

[zvelf]

How about Belgrade 2?

Djokovic's draw is much harder than Belgrade 2.

 

[TripleATeam]

Thanks! I've been doing this the last couple years but recently my threads have been deleted because there's already a draw discussion thread .

Hope this one survives, it's a good thing to have.

 

[zvelf]

Upon inspecting the draw, there's a small but not too small chance that Ruud makes the finals. This will happen if the trio of Thiem, Zverev, and Tsitsipas aren't at their best which isn't all that unlikely ...

Yes, I have Ruud vs. Tsitsipas in the semis.

 

[King No1e]

Ruud in the 4R scares me. If he does get through Ruud, Zverev, and Tsitsipas though, he'd in better shape than ever form-wise to take on Rafa.

 

[ibbi]

On paper Rafa is certainly going to be made to work for it if he wants to break that record! Popyrin couple of nice wins on clay this season, Gaston the hero of last years tournament (though you'd imagine his fortunes would be pretty different in summery conditions when you can hit more through the court), then from there on it's pretty self explanatory - Sonego, Sinner, Rublev, Djokovic, Tsitsipas/Zverev would have been a good answer in one of those What's the Toughest Draw You Can Come Up With For Rafa At Roland Garros threads.

 

[ibbi]

Ruud in the 4R scares me. If he does get through Ruud, Zverev, and Tsitsipas though, he'd in better shape than ever form-wise to take on Rafa.

Form he's in, he'd do well to get past Fognini/Fucsovics, forget about what comes after!

 

[Arak]

Where’s Karatsev in all this? No one is mentioning him, but he could be a threat to any of the favorites.

 

[BGod]

Thiem actually has the nicest draw for him I think ever. Fognini/Ruud is not the test you guys make it out to be then Zverev maybe and an easier SF than other half.

Tsitsipas In terms of form looks like a likely finalist though. Putting a bill on that actually.

 

[King No1e]

Form he's in, he'd do well to get past Fognini/Fucsovics, forget about what comes after!

In BO3 maybe. But not at RG.

 

[Deleted member 770948]

On paper Rafa is certainly going to be made to work for it if he wants to break that record! Popyrin couple of nice wins on clay this season, Gaston the hero of last years tournament (though you'd imagine his fortunes would be pretty different in summery conditions when you can hit more through the court), then from there on it's pretty self explanatory - Sonego, Sinner, Rublev, Djokovic, Tsitsipas/Zverev would have been a good answer in one of those What's the Toughest Draw You Can Come Up With For Rafa At Roland Garros threads.

Who is going to take a set from Nadal?
Sinner is 0-5 in sets vs. Nadal.
Sonego just lost to Korda!
Rublev needed Nadal to serve 7 double-faults including 2 on break points (in the first clay event of the season when Nadal was rusty)........and Nadal crushed Rublev at London last year.
Zverev could only beat Nadal at Madrid, and couldn't win a set at Rome.......and Zverev is 0-9 vs. Top 10 players at Slams!
Tstisipas almost lost in straight sets to Nadal at the AO, and was down championship points in the 2nd Set at Barcelona before losing in 3.
So looks like a replay of 2020 RG....

 

[ibbi]

Who is going to take a set from Nadal?
Sinner is 0-5 in sets vs. Nadal.
Sonego just lost to Korda!
Rublev needed Nadal to serve 7 double-faults including 2 on break points (in the first clay event of the season when Nadal was rusty)........and Nadal crushed Rublev at London last year.
Zverev could only beat Nadal at Madrid, and couldn't win a set at Rome.......and Zverev is 0-9 vs. Top 10 players at Slams!
Tstisipas almost lost in straight sets to Nadal at the AO, and was down championship points in the 2nd Set at Barcelona before losing in 3.
So looks like a replay of 2020 RG....

I didn't suggest anyone was going to beat him, just if you want to make it tough then you couldn't do much more than give him a draw like this.

 

[Deleted member 770948]

I didn't suggest anyone was going to beat him, just if you want to make it tough then you couldn't do much more than give him a draw like this.

But I wasn't talking about beating Nadal, I said "take a set".
I don't see the toughness, because it will be very hard for those guys to take a set from Nadal.
And Djokovic will find it even harder this year than 2020 RG........if the roof is open this year and sunshine.

 

[Deleted member 771911]

Zverev got a very nice draw indeed.

 

[ibbi]

But I wasn't talking about beating Nadal, I said "take a set".
I don't see the toughness, because it will be very hard for those guys to take a set from Nadal.
And Djokovic will find it even harder this year than 2020 RG........if the roof is open this year and sunshine.

Well, what a question I mean since 2017 he's only dropped 3 sets. To Diego, Goffin, and Thiem. Even the Diego one is a little sketchy given it was weather reliant. Plenty of these guys are at least as good on clay as Goffin is, so I wouldn't write them off.

 

[Deleted member 629564]

Ultimate Tennis Statistics Roland Garros Forecast [LINK]

chances to reach every tournament stage:

​	​	R64​	R32​	R16​	QF​	SF​	F​	W​
1​	[SRB] Novak Djokovic​	95.9%​	89.4%​	85.4% ​	78.3% ​	64.9% ​	36.8%​	27.3%​
8​	[SUI] Roger Federer​	94.9%​	68.7%​	49.2%​	28.6%​	9.6% ​	3.4% ​	1.5%​
3​	[ESP] Rafael Nadal​	95.1%​	89.3%​	82.5%​	75.4%​	64.4%​	43.5% ​	34.1%​
7​	[RUS] Andrey Rublev​	79.0%​	69.8%​	56.8%​	37.4%​	12.5%​	4.6%​	2.2%​
6​	[GER] Alexander Zverev​	96.6% ​	93.2% ​	80.4%​	60.7%​	37.5%​	23.5%​	8.1%​
4​	[AUT] Dominic Thiem​	89.9%​	78.1%​	66.0%​	51.0%​	31.4%​	20.6%​	7.7%​
5​	[GRE] Stefanos Tsitsipas​	87.6%​	78.2%​	65.8%​	51.4%​	39.9%​	23.6%​	8.5%​
2​	[RUS] Daniil Medvedev​	68.5% ​	54.2% ​	39.7% ​	24.8% ​	12.3%​	5.4%​	1.6%​

Zverev as most solid bet to reach R32
Djokovic most solid bet to reach SF
Nadal as the favourite to win overall

 

[clout]

Ultimate Tennis Statistics Roland Garros Forecast [LINK]

chances to reach every tournament stage:

​	​	R64​	R32​	R16​	QF​	SF​	F​	W​
1​	[SRB] Novak Djokovic​	95.9%​	89.4%​	85.4% ​	78.3% ​	64.9% ​	36.8%​	27.3%​
8​	[SUI] Roger Federer​	94.9%​	68.7%​	49.2%​	28.6%​	9.6% ​	3.4% ​	1.5%​
3​	[ESP] Rafael Nadal​	95.1%​	89.3%​	82.5%​	75.4%​	64.4%​	43.5% ​	34.1%​
7​	[RUS] Andrey Rublev​	79.0%​	69.8%​	56.8%​	37.4%​	12.5%​	4.6%​	2.2%​
6​	[GER] Alexander Zverev​	96.6% ​	93.2% ​	80.4%​	60.7%​	37.5%​	23.5%​	8.1%​
4​	[AUT] Dominic Thiem​	89.9%​	78.1%​	66.0%​	51.0%​	31.4%​	20.6%​	7.7%​
5​	[GRE] Stefanos Tsitsipas​	87.6%​	78.2%​	65.8%​	51.4%​	39.9%​	23.6%​	8.5%​
2​	[RUS] Daniil Medvedev​	68.5% ​	54.2% ​	39.7% ​	24.8% ​	12.3%​	5.4%​	1.6%​

Zverev as most solid bet to reach R32
Djokovic most solid bet to reach SF
Nadal as the favourite to win overall

So there's a 5% chance that Popryin is gonna beat Rafa lmaooo

 

[Deleted member 770948]

Nadal bagelled Djokovic in 2 of their last 3 meetings on clay.
So based on their last 3 meetings, there is a 66.7% chance of Nadal winning a bagel over Djokovic here.
Or I guess you add up the number of sets they played, 3 sets at Rome 2019........3 sets at RG 2020........3 sets at Rome 2021........so that's 2 bagels out of 9 sets = 22.2%.

 

[Nadal_King]

Love affair between rublev and bautista agut finally has ended but a new one on the horizon Schwartzman and karatsev

 

[Ray Mercer]

Thiem is screwed this year. His draw is
Tough and his level is poor.

 

[Ray Mercer]

Ruud in the 4R scares me. If he does get through Ruud, Zverev, and Tsitsipas though, he'd in better shape than ever form-wise to take on Rafa.

No he wouldn’t he would be completely drained and put up a dud like he did in 2019 eating 2 breadsticks.

 

[Deleted member 770948]

No he wouldn’t he would be completely drained and put up a dud like he did in 2019 eating 2 breadsticks.

And Nadal will have already beaten Sinner, Rublev and Djokovic, so it will be hard for Thiem to make an impression on a very in-form Nadal.

 

[ibbi]

In BO3 maybe. But not at RG.