enlightenment
Semi-Pro
Since (and including) 2007, there have been 91 masters tournaments, with 79/91 titles (86.8%) won by the big 4. The 12 exceptions were:
In grand slam finals since 2007, there have been 41 grand slams played, thus 82 finals positions. 68/82 positions (82.9%) were filled by the big 4. The exceptions were:
Australian Open (3): Gonzalez (2007), Tsonga (2008), Wawrinka (2014)
French Open (4): Soderling (2009, 2010), Ferrer (2013), Wawrinka (2015)
Wimbledon (3): Roddick (2009), Berdych (2010), Raonic (2016)
US Open (4) : Del Potro (2009), Cilic (2014), Nishikori (2014), Wawrinka (2016)
Not just percentage, but numerically wise. There have been 15 distinct grand slam finalists since 2007, (from a potential 82) but only 13 distinct Masters winners. (from a potential 91)
This statistic is remarkable in many ways. On one hand, you'd think winning M1000's would be easier due to the more upset-prone nature of BO3, and the fact that the Big 4 would be less likely to give consistent effort there. However it might actually be easier to reach a GS F since you'd have on average 2 of the big 4 on each side of the draw, so with 1 upset you might be able to reach the final beating just 1 member. This has proven to be the case with players from the 'lost generation' such as Nishikori, Raonic, who have reached GS F's and M1000 finals but always fall at the last hurdle.
Discuss.
- David Nalbandian (Madrid 2007, Paris 2007)
- Nikolay Davydenko (Miami 2008, Shanghai 2009)
- Jo-Wilfred Tsonga (Paris 2008, Toronto 2014)
- Ivan Ljubicic (IW 2010)
- Andy Roddick (Miami 2010)
- Robin Soderling (Paris 2010)
- David Ferrer (Paris 2012)
- Stanislas Wawrinka (Monte Carlo 2014)
- Marin Cilic (Cincinatti 2016)
In grand slam finals since 2007, there have been 41 grand slams played, thus 82 finals positions. 68/82 positions (82.9%) were filled by the big 4. The exceptions were:
Australian Open (3): Gonzalez (2007), Tsonga (2008), Wawrinka (2014)
French Open (4): Soderling (2009, 2010), Ferrer (2013), Wawrinka (2015)
Wimbledon (3): Roddick (2009), Berdych (2010), Raonic (2016)
US Open (4) : Del Potro (2009), Cilic (2014), Nishikori (2014), Wawrinka (2016)
Not just percentage, but numerically wise. There have been 15 distinct grand slam finalists since 2007, (from a potential 82) but only 13 distinct Masters winners. (from a potential 91)
This statistic is remarkable in many ways. On one hand, you'd think winning M1000's would be easier due to the more upset-prone nature of BO3, and the fact that the Big 4 would be less likely to give consistent effort there. However it might actually be easier to reach a GS F since you'd have on average 2 of the big 4 on each side of the draw, so with 1 upset you might be able to reach the final beating just 1 member. This has proven to be the case with players from the 'lost generation' such as Nishikori, Raonic, who have reached GS F's and M1000 finals but always fall at the last hurdle.
Discuss.
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