The race to 400 weeks

[mahatma]

Djokovic will again become world #1 post USO after his first round win.

Can he reach 400 weeks as world #1. If he does, by when!

 

[MichaelNadal]

Who else is on tour? lol

 

[TripleATeam]

Well, it's tough to see Djokovic losing here before the QFs, so if we use that as a floor for his point total, he'll be ahead by about 350 points. So the earliest he realistically loses #1 is Shanghai (5 weeks), putting him at 394.

Regardless of that floor, I think Djokovic holds onto #1 at least until the ATP Finals (through either Alcaraz not winning USO or Djokovic making the final), which gives him another 5 weeks.

So if you think Djokovic ends the year as #1, he'll pass 400 this year. But if he doesn't hold #1 going into next year, his best chance will be the Sunshine Double. I think Djokovic pulls off another YE#1 and takes it in 2023.

 

[Biotic]

Who else is on tour? lol

I hear these two did some great things for tennis in the recent past.

 

[MichaelNadal]

I hear these two did some great things for tennis in the recent past.

Too bad Nadal actually aged and didn't visit the pyramids

 

[TheNachoMan]

Don’t think so. I think the politics have cost him that milestone, sadly.

 

[Biotic]

Too bad Nadal actually aged and didn't visit the pyramids

He looked just fine when he was vulturing the first half of 2022.

But the trickery can only last so long.

 

[InsideOut900]

Don’t think so. I think the politics have cost him that milestone, sadly.

The two sides of a coin:

Nadal fans: 2020 YE#1 is asterisked because he only held #1 for half of the season, making it an incomplete season

Djoko fans: he was clear cut best player in 2020 and would have more weeks at #1 if not for the ranking freeze

 

[mahatma]

Well, it's tough to see Djokovic losing here before the QFs, so if we use that as a floor for his point total, he'll be ahead by about 350 points. So the earliest he realistically loses #1 is Shanghai (5 weeks), putting him at 394.

Regardless of that floor, I think Djokovic holds onto #1 at least until the ATP Finals (through either Alcaraz not winning USO or Djokovic making the final), which gives him another 5 weeks.

So if you think Djokovic ends the year as #1, he'll pass 400 this year. But if he doesn't hold #1 going into next year, his best chance will be the Sunshine Double. I think Djokovic pulls off another YE#1 and takes it in 2023.

Mostly yes, a good USO outing though would be critical. He made a lot of points post USO last year and I don’t think he will be able to defend that much - the more the lead that he gains during USO, the better.

Also realistically I think this might be the last year that he holds on to #1 - so it would be great if he takes the YE#1 too. Would rightly deserve it.

 

[RF-18]

#1 again, this guy is ridiculous. Against players he was 15-16 years of age when they were born.

 

[MichaelNadal]

#1 again, this guy is ridiculous. Against players he was 15-16 years of age when they were born.

 

[jm1980]

A lot of it will depend on how the USO develops. If he wins and Alcaraz gets bounced early (QF or before), then the chances are good

He needs a healthy margin if he is to hold the #1 for 11 more weeks, as I suspect this will be Novak's last stint at #1