Why do people continually predict that this will be the year that the Big 3 stop winning slams?

[Jokervich]

It's been happening since like 2012. Every single year, people predict that this will be the year the Big 3 don't win a slam, or that the Next Gen will break through etc. It's not happening any time soon. Djokovic and Nadal looked as good as ever at the ATP cup, with Djokovic obviously the better one. We haven't seen Federer yet but I doubt he's had some massive decline and we're sure to see him reach the latter stages of the AO, bar some freak one-off inspired performance from a Next Gen player.

We do see shocks at the USO and WTF, but that's because it's hard to keep up a consistently high level of play at 30+ years old for the whole season. But Next Gen haven't even come close to winning the AO, FO or Wimbledon. Until they do that, I can't see 2020 as the year when the Next Gen start winning slams on a consistent basis.

 

[Mike Sams]

Medvedev AO2020 Champion!

 

[Jokervich]

Medvedev AO2020 Champion!

He will almost certainly win a slam in his career, but he'd probably need to beat 2 of the big 3 at this years AO. Can't see it happening.

 

[Phoenix1983]

I mean, it has to happen at some point, no?

 

[junior74]

Next gen jinxing will never end!

 

[tennis_pro]

Because everyone wants to be the one who gets the prediction right.

Honestly, I think all 3 will be relevant until they retire so Fed for another 1-2 years, Djokovic/Nadal for another 3-5 years.

 

[Jokervich]

I mean, it has to happen at some point, no?

Yeah, and then of course the people who predict it correctly will go "I told you so" but they won't admit the fact they've been predicting it for the last 7+ years and got it wrong every time.

 

[Jokervich]

I mean, it has to happen at some point, no?

Yes eventually, but at 38 Federer is still relevant. So we can assume Djokovic and Nadal should last at least until then also.

 

[Phoenix1983]

Yes eventually, but at 38 Federer is still relevant. So we can assume Djokovic and Nadal should last at least until then also.

Ugh - I hope not.

 

[Jokervich]

Ugh - I hope not.

Wow, bit harsh

 

[Jonesy]

It's more of a prayer than a prediction.

 

[RelentlessAttack]

Just optimism that the weak era has to end sometime

 

[Tennis_Hands]

Just optimism that the weak era has to end sometime

What they didn't account for is that the tennis authorities don't have (or at least didn't in the past) the intention to even create competition by creating variety of conditions on the tour.

 

[Federer and Del Potro]

Yeah, and then of course the people who predict it correctly will go "I told you so" but they won't admit the fact they've been predicting it for the last 7+ years and got it wrong every time.

Lmao exactly

 

[Fabresque]

Because it has to happen eventually. It’s going to be comical when they’re in their 40s winning slams, while Zverev has to play futures qualifiers (that’s how far he’ll far). Quite a ways, going from luxurious hotels and private jets to Motel 6 and ****-stained airline seats with... *gasp* normal human beings!

 

[Enceladus]

People have always been obsessed with the idea of the end. Whether it's the end of the world, the end of Fedalovic's tennis careers, or whatever.

 

[Benoit Kyrgios]

Medvedev is going to clear the draw up for Roger, who is going to destroy Medvedev in the final

 

[Lleytonstation]

It's been happening since like 2012. Every single year, people predict that this will be the year the Big 3 don't win a slam, or that the Next Gen will break through etc. It's not happening any time soon. Djokovic and Nadal looked as good as ever at the ATP cup, with Djokovic obviously the better one. We haven't seen Federer yet but I doubt he's had some massive decline and we're sure to see him reach the latter stages of the AO, bar some freak one-off inspired performance from a Next Gen player.

We do see shocks at the USO and WTF, but that's because it's hard to keep up a consistently high level of play at 30+ years old for the whole season. But Next Gen haven't even come close to winning the AO, FO or Wimbledon. Until they do that, I can't see 2020 as the year when the Next Gen start winning slams on a consistent basis.

I predict the opposite. This will be 2019 all over again. 2021 will be the first chance for the changing of the guard, but likely 2022.

 

[Shaolin]

Literally no one is predicting the big 3 are done.

 

[Bender]

It's been happening since like 2012. Every single year, people predict that this will be the year the Big 3 don't win a slam, or that the Next Gen will break through etc.

Because eventually they will be right

 

[rUDin 21]

Maybe this will be the year like 2014.Big 3 winning 2/4 slams.

 

[James P]

I predicted 19 of the last 2 financial crashes.

 

[kevaninho]

Even if Medvedev were to win the AO, its not going to be a new era. Nadal and Djokovic are still not losing at RG / Wimbledon this year.

 

[TennisFan3]

Even if Medvedev were to win the AO, its not going to be a new era. Nadal and Djokovic are still not losing at RG / Wimbledon this year.

I agree with you. Nadal/Djokovic/Fed are favorite at F.O/Wimb/UsOpen.
And also, I don't think Medvedev is going to win the AO. Too much hype, not enough substance IMO.

 

[prairiegirl]

There is no way to predict future events. It's hopeless to try. However, the only way they will cease to be relevant is when the younger players can beat them regularly. Some are getting close. Tsitsipas, Medvedev, Thiem and a few others have wins against them, but not in Slams for some reason. When someone outside "the 3" wins a Slam it will signal the beginning of the end.

 

[ibbi]

Because eventually they will be right, and people love to be right.