Will Tennys Sandgren win a Slam?

[BGod]

Despite the odds on paper to be insanely low he ever does, by holding 7 MPs in a Slam Quarter (his 2nd) against a still world #3 and the coming years, that question is far from ludicrous.

He is currently 28 who will turn 29 in July. For the current time period, that age does not exclude him from contention alone. There is currently no active player under 30 who has won a Slam and the youngest winner in the last 5 years has been 27 year old Djokovic in 2015. In just the last 3 years, Kevin Anderson made his first Slam Final at age 31, Isner made his first Slam Semifinal at age 33 and Bautista Agut made his first QF at age 30 and then first SF after turning 31 a few months later.

Sandgren is streaky, his Masters record is paltry and 8 of his 14 Slam match wins have come in 2 out of 11 appearances BUT, he's had a concentration in Australia of 2 Quarters in 3 years, has shown improvement and given the right draw and a fading with a void post Big 3, it can happen. For historical precedent, Gaston Gaudio and Thomas Johansson won Slams and MalaVai Washington made a Final.

 

[Sudacafan]

I think that if he manages to get 7 MPs in a GS final, he should win it.

 

[Fedinkum]

Grandpa might have scarred him for life.

 

[Im(moral) Winner]

Roland Garros

 

[SonicNirvana]

Probably not

 

[BGod]

I can see him making a Final in what I would see as his first SF.

Kinda like Kevin Anderson but a guy like MalaVai Washington was a bigger outsider. I don't know if that would be AO or USO though. Ginepri made the SF and lost in 5 to Agassi in 05. And honestly, Sandgren at least appears to have more talent than Ginepri did. I just think with tennis draws the Final is where the magic ends. A quarter can and has been dropping often in recent years so a weak QFist should surprise nobody. But it tends to end there or the SF. So Sandgren would have to stand up in a SF to get that extra step and then in the Final what are the odds he faces another long-shot? That's the catch. Anderson got Isner and Busta in his Semis. Two guys who might never make another Semi, so he basically caught lightning twice. Sandgren might not have the serve of Anderson to give him easy holds but he's way better of a returner.

I think hypothetically speaking he could make through a Dimitrov-Goffin type QF-SF scenario.

 

[OldschoolKIaus]

CYGS 2021:

AO vs. Zverev
FO vs. Thiem
WIM vs. Raonic
UO vs. Medvedev

 

[Mark-Touch]

Tennys is toast. This is the match he will be telling his grand children about.
The only slam he'll be winning is in his dreams!

 

[I Am Finnish]

......

 

[Wander]

I think his odds of getting past quarter-finals are slim. Obviously he should have made the semis here (by virtue of some good luck - including facing a hobbled Federer - to be honest) I don't actually think it matters much that he lost this Federer match because he would've been destroyed by Novak in straight sets anyway. I don't expect it to make any difference to his future career trajectory. See: Stakhovsky who beat Federer once in a slam. Didn't change his career trajectory any either.

Tennys will have a decent career (it already is), but I don't foresee big finals in his future. Not that it's impossible, but there are at least 30 ATP players more likely to pick up a slam than him. Not that any of the other US players look like slam winners though, so he shouldn't feel too bad.

 

[atatu]

Unlikely, but the fact is that he's the best American player right now because he is the one who fights the hardest and cares the most. I'm sure he's just happy he doesn't have to scrape for crumbs on the challenger tour any more.

 

[Sudacafan]

I think his odds of getting past quarter-finals are slim. Obviously he should have made the semis here (by virtue of some good luck - including facing a hobbled Federer - to be honest) I don't actually think it matters much that he lost this Federer match because he would've been destroyed by Novak in straight sets anyway. I don't expect it to make any difference to his future career trajectory. See: Stakhovsky who beat Federer once in a slam. Didn't change his career trajectory any either.

Tennys will have a decent career (it already is), but I don't foresee big finals in his future. Not that it's impossible, but there are at least 30 ATP players more likely to pick up a slam than him. Not that any of the other US players look like slam winners though, so he shouldn't feel too bad.

Different to Stakhovsky, Tennys has stroke twice with a slam tournament quarterfinal (first one: AO18, this one: which could have been a semi). Better than Stakhovsky, but not enough anyway.

 

[Tshooter]

 

[BorgCash]

i would like he will

 

[daggerman]

Not only will he not make it past another Quarters ever, he'll never make it to another Quarters ever.

 

[Wander]

Different to Stakhovsky, Tennys has stroke twice with a slam tournament quarterfinal (first one: AO18, this one: which could have been a semi). Better than Stakhovsky, but not enough anyway.

Better at Slams for sure, but Stakhovsky won 4 250 titles and managed a peak rank of 31. Sandgren would do well to beat that and crack top 30. I'm pretty sure this year will be his best chance.

 

[Sudacafan]

Better at Slams for sure, but Stakhovsky won 4 250 titles and managed a peak rank of 31. Sandgren would do well to beat that and crack top 30. I'm pretty sure this year will be his best chance.

Sandgren is only 28 now. Following recent trends of players developing/peaking older than in past years, he may bring something more to the table in the next months/years.

 

[victorcruz]

Roger be like

 

[Mainad]

Not whilst the Big 3 are still playing. That's for sure.

 

[Mark-Touch]

Sandgren is only 28 now. Following recent trends of players developing/peaking older than in past years, he may bring something more to the table in the next months/years.

Look at his slam timeline and past history.
This was a freak run.
At least in the case of a late bloomer like Wawrinka he showed the world he was alive and well for many years before starting his slam drive.

 

[HBK4life]

I’d saw he get matching outfits first

 

[BeatlesFan]

Not only will he not make it past another Quarters ever, he'll never make it to another Quarters ever.

I wouldn't be so sure, the dude is strong as an ox and played some serious ball last night in stretches. He made the 4R at Wimbledon last year and has now made a slam QF. I was impressed with his play and his serving. His chances of winning a major are about 1%, but he may make another QF in his career.

 

[Mark-Touch]

I wouldn't be so sure, the dude is strong as an ox and played some serious ball last night in stretches. He made the 4R at Wimbledon last year and has now made a slam QF. I was impressed with his play and his serving. His chances of winning a major are about 1%, but he may make another QF in his career.

Good observations.
Did you also notice the striking difference between his upper body development and lower leg development?

 

[Alexh22]

I don’t think he will ever get any closer. I am more interested in his H22 set up.