The Good:
Slam results: QF, SF, 4R, SF. he was right there with Tsitsipas even coming down from 2-0 at the french open. So 3 very close losses to the eventual champion/finalist. And of course he did look imperious in Madrid, taking down Nadal in two convincing sets and Cincy/Olympics with two more big titles. Vienna was a great win for him last week as well.
I’ll give him this: he showed me something new vs. Djokovic at the AO/USO (going up a break in all 4 sets, having a chance to make it 2-1 at the AO, simply outplaying Djokovic from the baseline for stretches in both the USO/AO). his level was right there with a (not at his best but still decently well playing) Djo which I genuinely don’t think anyone but Medvedev is capable of in Bo5. Good aggression and genuinely strong baselining to outplay Novak which is quite an achievement to do.
The Bad:
of course his undoing in those HC Slam matches was actually not his opponent GOATing, it was his DFs (2nd set final game at USO, 3rd&4th set crucial DFs at the AO) and choked shots (OH on BP at USO, crap FH on multiple big points at AO) more than anything.
He fell apart mentally in every big Slam match and the DFs (20, yes 20 in the FAA loss at Wimby) seem to be an unresolvable bugaboo. Even at the USO his go to 2nd serve plan was just the Goran-esque slamming in 130mph 2nd serves, which is a decent strategy until you realize he doesn’t have the confidence to do it in big moments, making this Pete rendition basically a band-aid over an obvious gaping hole in his game. I also think he has a tendency to lose confidence in his FH for stretches of matches which is simply unacceptable for a baseliner of his caliber. You can’t spray free errors like that and expect to win against the top players.
The Verdict:
I think it’s clear he has slam winning talent and groundstrokes. His ceiling is still the highest of any young guy for me. At this point the masters hardly register on our radar, because he’s 24. All those smaller victories show is that he has to focus on to translating his form into Slams and that simply still has not happened.