Is Agut and Bautista not the same person?
Federer's chances at US open ??? What odds do you give him
- Thread starter dgold44
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Is Agut and Bautista not the same person?
Djokovic2011
Bionic Poster
Yeah, he needs to start focussing more on the slams but he's such a consummate professional and thrives on the tough competition the Masters provide which is why he nearly always gives his all when competing in them. I just hope it doesn't end up biting him on the @rse over the next few weeks.
kingcheetah
Hall of Fame
Here are my thoughts:
Djokovic: 45%
Murray: 30%
Federer: 7%
Stan: 6%
Nadal: 4%
Cilic: 3%
Nishikori, Dimitrov, Berdych: 1% each
Remainder of field: 2%
Novak is the favorite, but I think Murray has a decent shot. The issue for Fed will be endurance. It's worrysome because last year he had a golden opportunity at a final without Novak, but got steamrolled in the Semis. Combine that with his recent final performances, and it's not an ideal situation. Stan and Nadal are both doubtful, as neither has been in top form lately (Nadal's been off all year.) Cilic gets a 3% shot because he won last year, but hasn't made much noise in slams this year. Nishikori Dimitrov and Berdych have been there before but haven't capitalized.
Djokovic: 45%
Murray: 30%
Federer: 7%
Stan: 6%
Nadal: 4%
Cilic: 3%
Nishikori, Dimitrov, Berdych: 1% each
Remainder of field: 2%
Novak is the favorite, but I think Murray has a decent shot. The issue for Fed will be endurance. It's worrysome because last year he had a golden opportunity at a final without Novak, but got steamrolled in the Semis. Combine that with his recent final performances, and it's not an ideal situation. Stan and Nadal are both doubtful, as neither has been in top form lately (Nadal's been off all year.) Cilic gets a 3% shot because he won last year, but hasn't made much noise in slams this year. Nishikori Dimitrov and Berdych have been there before but haven't capitalized.
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antonico
New User
Cincinnati is a lot like Dubai for Federer: the court is super fast, it's Best of Three for only 5 days, and when Roger is in the form he's in now he gets through a lot of his matches in 60, maybe 90 minutes, tops. The older he gets the better that format is for him. Best of Five? Wimbledon will still be the best chance he has to score #18, mostly because there are more guys who are less effective on grass, so Federer gets through the first 4 rounds there moves on through a deteriorating draw, which is helpful. On hard courts and clay, he has more threats, and when you have to keep winning a 3rd set to move on against better guys, the mileage piles up on 34yo legs more quickly than it would on 24yo legs. It can take 3 hours or more to win 3 sets in a match, and that's where Federer often gets hurt now - recovering. It's slower as you age. He could win another US Open - but the draw will have to collapse in an unusual way for him. Last year, Cilic just blew Federer off the court in the SF, in the same way Safin did to Sampras in the 2000 US Open Final. This year, it was Wawrinka who blasted Federer off the court in a Major at RG. So Federer is still susceptible to a guy like that who puts together a lot of power with a "lights out" confidence. If those kinds of players drop off before he has to play them, then Federer's chances get much better. It's just not likely that all of those kinds of guys will lose before he has to play them.
Surecatch
Semi-Pro
I think he has as good of a chance as he's had in the last two Wimbledons and the last US Open, I'll say that. Federer's ability to maintain the level he does has been astonishing, but I still think that his real kryptonite is when he gets to that SF or F and has to face a Djokovic or Murray or anyone else that wouldn't be a cake matchup by fluke, etc. I think that is where the age factor shows up and why it'll be tough to win more majors. On the other hand, Roger is right there.....he's right near it. You never know how the cookie will crumble.
I think if he was able to get another major it would be a sort of "buttoning up," or summarization of this 2013-2015 period where he really strung together a couple great seasons but hasn't managed to get another Slam title. I think after that, no Fed' fan would ever really reasonably expect more from his career.
I think if he was able to get another major it would be a sort of "buttoning up," or summarization of this 2013-2015 period where he really strung together a couple great seasons but hasn't managed to get another Slam title. I think after that, no Fed' fan would ever really reasonably expect more from his career.
junior74
Talk Tennis Guru
I hope Federer can keep his matches short. His consistency was a huge surprise in Cincinnati. He won a lot of long rallies and had very few shanks, because his movement was so superb. It was a delight to watch Federer totally sharp again!
Hope he can reach QF without losing a set. If so, he may reach another final.
Hope he can reach QF without losing a set. If so, he may reach another final.
Federer and Del Potro
Bionic Poster
"Surely would have beaten Federer" TROLLOLOL
THUNDERVOLLEY
G.O.A.T.
OP: I still say Federer has one more major left to win, but I still think Wimbledon should be the one. The U.S. Open has posed a vast number of difficulties for him for a very long time, so the only way for him to win there is...?
Djokovic2011
Bionic Poster
Hope for Murray and Djokovic to battle it out for five hours in the semis and feed off the carcass in the final.
Chanwan
G.O.A.T.
And you don't the other way around? Matches you want to see happen:
Can't blame you, but it's Feddy turn to avoid Murray - he had him at Wimbledon.
swordtennis
G.O.A.T.
RSH
Professional
In the post-final interview with ESPN, Federer said that last year he was tired from making the finals of both Canada and Cincinnati, and that this year he was feeling more fresh at this point than the past year; he also made some comments indicating that his goal was to reach the USO final this year. If true, this is good for him as he made the semis last year.
What really raises his chances in my eyes are his varied and aggressive returns we've seen the last two months and, as @D.Nalby12 has so tirelessly pointed out, his more consistent ground game highlighted by a seemingly higher level forehand.
To me these factors lead me to give him a 50/50 chance of making the final.
What really raises his chances in my eyes are his varied and aggressive returns we've seen the last two months and, as @D.Nalby12 has so tirelessly pointed out, his more consistent ground game highlighted by a seemingly higher level forehand.
To me these factors lead me to give him a 50/50 chance of making the final.
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