If Fed and Verdasco were a little clutch at AO 09....

Doctor/Lawyer Red Devil

Talk Tennis Guru
If, if, if... Doesn't exist.

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Federer and The Sauceman aren't capable of the type of ball-bashing par excellence and extreme movement we saw from Thiem and Nadal tonight.

No need to disparage Nadal, let Domi have the moment. He played brilliantly.
 

Biggest3

New User
Same could be said about Nadal in both 2012 and 2017 when he was up a break in the final set.No matter how much try to dismiss him, in reality he really underachieved at this particular slam and don't get me started with the massive choke from 2014.
 

ForehandCross

G.O.A.T.
Remind me who beat Nadal at RG 2009?

If Nadal had been more clutch, no RG for Federer plus another beatdown extradonaire in finals.
 

JaoSousa

Hall of Fame
AO 05, WB 08, AO 09, USO 09, USO 11, WB 19. (Federer was definitely playing better than Nadal at 2011 USO up to the final, actual Federer might have contrived to lose even if he beat Djokovic, but this hypothetical Clutcherer I am imagining wouldn't.)
Key phrase here.
 
Nadal has no AO and no YEC

He'd go from needing 18 more Slams to needing 21 more Slams (assuming Federer would have beaten Verdasco, which is a safe assumption because any good tennis analyst starts from the premise that none of Federer's defeats count). Why, you ask? Well, followers have to go far beyond their leader. As Federer has 20 Slams, Nadal needs 37, so he needs 18 more. But if Nadal didn't win AO 2009, then he'd now have 18 - and that's on the generous assumption of no butterfly effect. And Federer would have 21, on the same assumption. So, Nadal would need 19 just to get to 37. But whereas in the case of a 37-20 race, it's just about fair enough to say that the man who came second has gone sufficiently past his leader to count as being ahead overall, that's not true of 37-21. If Federer had 21 Slams, Nadal would need to get to 39 slams for his achievement to be meaningful, so he would need 21 more slams from now. Project 39!
 
AO 05, WB 08, AO 09, USO 09, USO 11, WB 19. (Federer was definitely playing better than Nadal at 2011 USO up to the final, actual Federer might have contrived to lose even if he beat Djokovic, but this hypothetical Clutcherer I am imagining wouldn't.)

Federer should not have won Wimbledon 08. Nadal should have finished the match before even getting to a 5th set.

Australian Open 05 I could sort of see, but don't really agree. Federer had a match point and Safin hit a perfect lob which would have been very hard for Federer to win the point off of. It was an amazing match, and Federer just fell short.

The others maybe, but Berdych should have taken out Federer at AO 09 anyway.
 

AnOctorokForDinner

Talk Tennis Guru
Federer should not have won Wimbledon 08. Nadal should have finished the match before even getting to a 5th set.

Australian Open 05 I could sort of see, but don't really agree. Federer had a match point and Safin hit a perfect lob which would have been very hard for Federer to win the point off of. It was an amazing match, and Federer just fell short.

The others maybe, but Berdych should have taken out Federer at AO 09 anyway.

Federer should have won WB 08 in straight sets actually if he wasn't so pathetic at converting BPs and maintaining a lead. Look at the stats - he had higher RPW (return points won %) in each of the first three sets yet nearly lost in straights. That would've been an all-time statistical choke. (On the same note, Djokovic should have won the 2014 final in straight sets because he had higher RPW in set 1 as well not to mention a set point on serve, but Federer should have been two sets to love up in 2015.)

Safin played excellently in the fifth set of AO 05 semi so it was nothing egregious, but wasting the *5-2 double minibreak lead in the breaker was kinda bad from Fed, more than the match point where Marat did well though Federer probably shouldn't have s&v'd on 2nd serve in the first place.
 
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